USD/CHF remains below MA (200) H1

Today, there is a pronounced downward trend on the hourly chart of the USD/CHF pair, which was formed after the breakdown of the 0.8270 support level. From this moment on, the price shows decreasing highs and lows, which confirms the dominance of the bears. The MACD indicator shows a weak bullish divergence - the histogram is gradually moving from a negative zone to a positive one, which may indicate an attempt at corrective growth. However, there is no obvious impulse yet, and the signal line remains close to zero. The MA (200) H1 moving average (0.8365) is directed downwards and significantly higher than current prices, which confirms the dominance of the downtrend. The price is trading well below this average, which signals the weakness of the bulls and continued selling pressure.

The overall technical background for USD/CHF remains negative. Support is at 0.8100 and its breakdown may strengthen the downward movement and send the price to new lows. To weaken the bearish scenario, a steady consolidation above the 0.8270 level is necessary, followed by a test of the 0.8365 zone. Until this happens, the pressure from sellers remains.

Resistance levels are: 0.8270, 0.8365, 0.8585

Support levels are: 0.8100, 0.7715, 0.7080

The main scenario for the pair's advance suggests a breakout of the support 0.8100 (April 11 low) and a possible decline to 0.7715 (Sep 2’ 2011 low) 

An alternative scenario implies a breakout of the resistance 0.8270 (April 14 high) and there may be an increase to 0.8365 (April 9 low, MA (200) H1)