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25.07.2024
Brent crude prices declined by 1.8% to $81.18 per barrel this week, hitting a low of $80.63 per barrel, the lowest level since June 10. The decline halted at the support range of $80.00-82.00 per barrel. Investors are now waiting for further clues to direct prices, which may either fall towards the next support at $70.00-72.00 per barrel or recover to $88.00-90.00 per barrel. Both scenarios have equal chances of materializing, with prices swinging in a wide range between $80.00 and $90.00 per barrel.
23.07.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is losing 0.1% to 104.33 this week, while the EURUSD is declining by 0.1% to 1.08700. Major currencies are mixed, with commodity-driven currencies like the Australian, New Zealand, and Canadian Dollars weakening against the Greenback by 0.3-0.8% due to deteriorating commodity prices. The Euro and the British Pound are more stable relative to the Dollar, while the Yen is rising by 1.1%. Interestingly, investors are increasing demand for the Japanese currency without any support from the Bank of Japan. This may signal rising risks in the financial market.
18.07.2024
Gold prices rose by 2.6% to $2473 per troy ounce this week, reaching a new all-time high of $2483 on July 17, after starting the week at $2450 on July 16. This surge was influenced by an assassination attempt on Donald Trump and unexpected dovish signals from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. The assassination attempt had a mixed impact on gold prices. On one hand, Trump's potential increase in fiscal spending and trade tariffs could push inflation up, necessitating higher interest rates for longer, which is typically unfavorable for gold.
16.07.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is rising by 0.3% to 104.40 points this week, while the EURUSD is up by 0.2% to 1.08830. The American currency is exhibiting less volatility than expected. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell recently expressed greater confidence in achieving the 2.0% inflation target, citing a series of declining inflation data from April to June. This marks a significant shift from his previous week's cautious rhetoric in Congress, where he was more hawkish.
11.07.2024
Brent crude prices dropped by 1.7% to $86.00 per barrel this week, which is above the dip at $84.45 on July 10. Brent prices jumped to two-month highs at $88.52 on July 5. However, June unemployment in the United States unexpectedly rose to 4.1%, putting pressure on oil prices. Consequently, Brent prices retreated by 0.7% to $87.06 on the same day. The pressure continued this week amid fears of severe oil infrastructure damage in the Gulf of Mexico. However, the actual damage caused by Hurricane Beryl was much less than feared, meaning that U.S.
09.07.2024
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is rising by 0.1% to 105.05 points, while the EURUSD is down by 0.1% to 1.08210. This mirrors the market situation from last Tuesday, although the Dollar is weaker by 1.0% now. Last week, the Greenback was recovering following the first round results of the French parliamentary election. The American currency lost another 0.7% to 1.08160 on weak Nonfarm Payrolls by ADP and a U.S. Services PMI that fell to 49.6 points, indicating a contraction of the sector.
04.07.2024
Gold prices are rising by 1.4% to $2360 per troy ounce. The yellow metal jumped by 1.5% to $2364 per ounce on Wednesday, marking a two-week high. The Head and Shoulders pattern failed to materialize after an unsuccessful attempt to break the "neck" line of the pattern, and gold prices bounced from $2300 per ounce. Declining inflation in the U.S. also supported gold prices and pushed the Dollar down. Key economic indicators contributed to this movement. The ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.2 points from 48.7 points.
02.07.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is marginally up by 0.1% to 105.98, while the EURUSD is down by 0.1% to 1.07230. Despite the apparent market tranquility, significant turbulence looms beneath the surface. The May PCE Index in the United States, indicating a continuous slowdown, was largely ignored by investors. Instead, the market's focus has shifted to political developments. Last Friday, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields surged to 4.40%, a move driven by chaos within the Democratic party.
27.06.2024
Brent crude oil is experiencing a marginal growth of 0.5%, bringing prices to $85.50 per barrel. This modest increase comes as prices continue to move sideways within a narrow range, fluctuating 1.7% in either direction since June 19. Such dynamics suggest that oil prices are poised for a significant movement. Investor sentiment is divided, with some anticipating a continuation towards $90.00 per barrel, while others foresee a retreat to $80.00 per barrel. Over the past two months, prices have been constrained between these levels, reflecting a tug of war in the market.
25.06.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is experiencing a slight decline of 0.3% to 105.46 points, while the EURUSD pair has risen by 0.4% to 1.07340. This movement appears to be more of a standard technical retreat rather than a response to the current macroeconomic conditions. The strong June PMI readings from the United States should have bolstered the Greenback, but this hasn't occurred. Instead, the EURUSD pair has reversed its earlier decline. The Eurozone reported unexpectedly weaker PMI figures, initially pushing the EURUSD down to the 1.06700-1.06900 range. However, the stronger U.S.
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