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10.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains subdued
near 99.17 points, with the EURUSD trading slightly higher by 0.10% at 1.14050.
The pair initially advanced last week on the back of weak U.S. macroeconomic
data, including disappointing manufacturing PMI and a sharp drop in ADP Nonfarm
Payrolls to just 37,000 for May—the lowest figure since January 2022. This
weakness helped propel the EURUSD toward its primary upside target zone of
1.14500–1.15500, reaching as high as 1.14940.
05.06.2025
Brent crude prices rose by 3.5% to $65.40 per
barrel, largely returning to the average level seen over the past two months.
Despite a series of political and economic developments, no single event has
had a decisive impact on the oil market. On May 28, Brent climbed 0.8% to
$64.85 following the U.S. Court of International Trade’s decision to overturn
proposed tariff hikes. However, after the U.S. Appeals Court reinstated those
tariffs, prices slid by 1.5% to $63.89.
03.06.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell by 0.41% to
98.92 points this week, while EURUSD climbed by 0.57% to 1.14110, with currency
markets remaining heavily influenced by ongoing tariff developments. Initially,
the delay of the 50% U.S. tariffs on EU imports until July 9 supported the
Dollar, lifting it by as much as 0.6% during the first half of the week and
pushing EURUSD down to 1.12920. This signaled a potential move toward the
1.12600 support level, which materialized after the U.S. Court of International
Trade blocked Trump’s proposed tariff hikes.
29.05.2025
Gold prices fell sharply this week by 2.0% to
$3,286 per troy ounce, extending the decline to as much as 3.3% at the weekly
low of $3,245 — near the critical support zone at $3,230–3,250. This area has
proven technically and psychologically significant, marking a key battleground
for bulls and bears. The major driver of volatility has been U.S. trade policy.
After initially rallying on renewed tariff threats from President Trump, gold
reversed sharply when a U.S. Federal court blocked those tariffs, ruling they
exceeded presidential authority.
27.05.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.27% to
99.38 points this week, while the EURUSD slipped by 0.10% to 1.13530. The
currency market saw heightened volatility as U.S. president Donald Trump once
again injected uncertainty.
The EURUSD climbed to 1.13600 last Wednesday,
but strong U.S. economic data on Thursday bolstered the Dollar. May PMI
business activity indicators came in above expectations, strengthening the
Greenback and pulling the EURUSD down to 1.12650. At that point, it looked like
a breakdown below 1.12600 was imminent, with the pair potentially heading
toward the 1.
22.05.2025
Brent crude oil prices are down 2.6% this
week, slipping to $64.00 and showing signs of weakening compared to last week’s
temporary rebound from the same level. The decline in momentum is largely
driven by renewed optimism surrounding a potential U.S.–Iran nuclear deal,
strongly backed by the U.S. administration. If sanctions are lifted and Iran is
allowed to resume oil exports, the market could see an additional 1 million
barrels per day, significantly altering supply dynamics. A new round of talks
is scheduled for May 23 in Rome, which has already pressured prices down to
$64.
20.05.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 0.54% this
week, falling to 100.14, while the EURUSD has surged 0.97% to 1.1270. This
rebound aligns with positioning from large investors, who appeared to
anticipate the move. The WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU)
reported net outflows of $2.6 million last week, following $18.3 million in
outflows the week before.
EURUSD found strong support in the
1.1100–1.1200 range and has since reversed course, quickly reaching the key
upside target zone of 1.1260–1.1360.
15.05.2025
Gold prices have fallen by 5.5% to $3,143 per
troy ounce, dipping as low as $3,120 this week—the lowest level since 10 April,
when U.S.-China trade tensions were at their peak.
Now, the landscape has shifted following the
start of trade talks between the two nations in Switzerland last weekend. Both
countries agreed to reduce tariffs: the United States will lower import duties
on Chinese goods to 30%, while China will reduce tariffs on U.S. goods to 10%.
Additionally, China has agreed to lift its ban on Boeing aircraft imports.
13.05.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 1.21% to
101.56 points on Monday, as the EURUSD pair dropped by 1.25% to 1.11060. This
move brought the pair down to primary short-term downside targets between
1.11000 and 1.11500, with an intraday low of 1.10640—the lowest level since 10
April, when trade tensions and a major sell-off in U.S. Treasuries rattled
markets.
Long-awaited trade negotiations between the
United States and China finally commenced over the weekend. Both countries
agreed to reduce tariffs: U.S.
06.05.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index
(DXY) is declining by 0.5% to 99.50 points, while the EURUSD pair is rising by
0.5% to 1.13500. However, the pair has yet to confirm a
breakout towards the primary downside targets at 1.11000–1.11500. A decisive
drop below the support zone at 1.13100–1.13300 is needed to reinforce a bearish
outlook.
Last week, the EURUSD
dipped to 1.12650 but failed to extend the decline. The
recent rebound appears puzzling, especially given the macroeconomic backdrop,
which seems to favour the U.S. Dollar. In the first quarter of 2025, U.S. GDP
contracted by 0.
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