- Análisis
- Análisis de mercado
- Opiniones de mercado
Opiniones de mercado
Por tipo de mercado
Por autor
22.10.2024
The U.S. Dollar index
(DXY) is rising by 0.38% to 103.89 points this week, while the EURUSD is
declining by an equivalent 0.38% to 1.08420. The Greenback
has now strengthened for four consecutive weeks, though this rise appears to be
losing momentum.
Last week, the Dollar gained strength
following the European Central Bank's (ECB) predictable decision to cut
interest rates by another quarter percentage point. However, ECB President
Christine Lagarde struck a more optimistic tone on inflation, stating it would
return to the 2.0% target by the end of 2025.
17.10.2024
Gold prices have risen by 1.0% to $2,683 per
troy ounce this week, retreating slightly from their new all-time high of
$2,685.7 per ounce. This level surpasses the previous record of $2,685.5 per
ounce set on 26th September. Despite the brief pullback, gold is poised to
resume its upward climb.
Last week, the bullion faced some challenges.
Gold prices initially dropped by 1.
15.10.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is up by 0.1% to
103.09 points this week, while the EURUSD is down by 0.2% to 1.09090. Although
the Dollar has been strengthening over the past three weeks, its momentum
appears to be waning. The EURUSD dropped by 1.7% to 1.09640 in the first week
and by 0.3% to 1.09300 in the second. This week, the pair may trade flat or
even rise, given the current trend.
Large investors are also positioning for a
weaker Dollar. The WisdomTree Bloomberg US Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) reported
no changes in inflows or outflows last week, and investors have withdrawn $3.
10.10.2024
Brent crude oil is down 1.0% this week,
trading at $77.70 per barrel, retreating from its two-month high of $81.57 per
barrel on Monday. Despite the pullback, oil prices remain elevated due to two
key drivers: macroeconomic factors and geopolitics.
Geopolitics has become the primary catalyst
for the recent oil price rally. While strong macroeconomic data—such as JOLTs
job openings, Nonfarm Payrolls, and a positive non-manufacturing PMI—have had a
moderate impact, the most significant market reaction came from U.S. labor data
released last Friday. In September, the U.S.
08.10.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is down 0.15% to
102.39 points, while the EURUSD has risen 0.25% to 1.09900 this week. Though
this dip in the Dollar may appear minor after last week’s 1.75% surge, it
suggests a potential shift in market sentiment, at least in the short term.
The Greenback had been bolstered by Federal
Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks on 30th September, where he signaled
support for continued monetary tightening and highlighted the strength of the
U.S. economy.
03.10.2024
Gold prices are down by 0.5% to $2,645 per
troy ounce, retreating from the all-time high of $2,685. However, the upward
trend may not be over yet, as gold broke through the resistance at $2,490–2,510
per ounce in September, clearing the way for a primary target of $2,700–2,800
and potentially extreme targets of $3,200–3,300 per ounce. This rally could
extend until the end of November, driven largely by the Federal Reserve’s (Fed)
unexpected half-point interest rate cut in September.
The last time the Fed made such a bold move
was in August 2007, which triggered a 59.
01.10.2024
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has risen by 0.5%
this week to 100.97 points, while the EURUSD has declined at a similar pace,
dropping below 1.11000. It appears the Greenback is beginning to recover
following Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks during
his speech on Monday.
Christine Lagarde, President of the European
Central Bank (ECB), expressed confidence in achieving the inflation target of
2.0% soon, signalling a likely interest rate cut by the ECB in mid-October.
26.09.2024
Brent crude prices are down by 3.8% this week
to $71.90 per barrel, dipping as low as $70.89 earlier on Thursday, marking the
lowest level since September 12 and nearing the September 10 lows when concerns
over a U.S. recession were high.
This time, negative sentiment is even
stronger, with declining PMIs (Purchasing Managers' Indexes) for both
manufacturing and services in the Eurozone, U.S., and the U.K. Japan is also
experiencing falling manufacturing activity, while its services sector
stagnates. Despite this, the oil supply outlook appears more optimistic as U.S.
24.09.2024
The U.S. Dollar has shown unusual stability
since the start of the week. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is up slightly by
0.05% to 100.77 points. However, the picture varies significantly when
comparing the Greenback against different reserve currencies. The Dollar
strengthened by 0.2% against the Euro, while retreating by 0.4% against the
British Pound. The Japanese Yen has fallen by 0.5% to the Dollar, while
commodity-driven currencies such as the Canadian, Australian, and New Zealand
Dollars have risen by 0.5-0.6% against the Greenback.
17.09.2024
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has seen a slight
decline of 0.30% to 100.61 points this week, while the EUR/USD pair climbed by 0.60%
to 1.11400, nearing its recent high. Investors are keenly watching the Federal
Reserve’s upcoming decision, speculating a possible half-point rate cut. This
aggressive rate cut appears overestimated given the current mixed economic
indicators, especially with core inflation showing some persistence.
The idea of a half-point cut is seen by some,
like former New York Fed President William Dudley, as necessary due to
potential labor market deterioration.
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