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Opiniones de mercado
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28.09.2023
Gold prices are dropping rapidly since the beginning of the week. They have made 2.5% down already to $1870 per troy ounce, crashing a strong support at $1910-1930 per ounce.
Basic scenario for gold is to drop to $1800-1840 support zone. There is a huge volatility for the yellow metal prices that could mean an elevated turbulence for gold. Gold prices have started to drop right after the meeting of the Federal Reserve (Fed) on September 20. It lost more than 3.0% since then after the monetary watchdog disclosed its hawkish intentions.
26.09.2023
The U.S. Dollar is strengthening with the U.S. Dollar index (DXY) up by more than 0.5% to 105.72 this week. The DXY was even higher at 105.89 at some point, the highest since November 2022.
The rise of the Dollar resumed after policy meetings of major central banks last week. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has demonstrated the most hawkish intentions despite takin a pause in interest rates hike cycle. Fed members suggested another interest rates hike this year, which came as a much-unexpected surprise for investors.
21.09.2023
Crude prices are going down since the beginning of the week. Brent crude lost almost 2.0% to $92.50 per barrel despite touching the $96.00, the highest since November 2022.
The oil market is witnessing a furious battle around the resistance at $92.00-94.00 per barrel. Stakes are high, as a breakthrough of this resistance would initiate an upside scenario with targets above $100 per barrel. This would be extremely unfavorable for the American economy and for other oil consuming countries too, as it will ramp up inflation.
19.09.2023
The U.S. Dollar is weakening since the beginning of the week. The U.S. Dollar index lost 0.5% to 104.7 points. This is a rather expected move ahead of the central bankers meetings this week. But the situation may change very rapidly.
The correction of the U.S. Dollar matured a few weeks ago, but the Greenback is struggling. Only three major currencies have demonstrated a significant upside correction against the Dollar. All of them also have a secret ingredient of the success. The Loonie was strongly supported by rising crude prices that added more than 10% since the beginning of September.
14.09.2023
Gold prices are going down by 0.5% to $1907 per troy ounce this week. This may seem of no importance in ordinary situation, as the primary support at $1900-1920 per ounce is intact. But this is no ordinary situation as the support will move up to $1910-1930 per ounce. Hovering below $1910 level may mean for prices an elevated possibility to dive below $1850 per ounce from the technical point of view.
There are no fundamental insights for such dive, especially after August inflation report in the United States. CPI went up to 3.7% YoY from the 3.2% YoY in July, while U.S.
12.09.2023
The U.S. Dollar is weakening this week with the U.S. Dollar index losing 0.6% to 104.30. Central bankers in major countries are seen trying to push the Dollar down coordinating attack on the Greenback. These are central banks of China, Japan, the United Kingdom, Eurozone and the United States too.
The U.S. Dollar strengthened by 5% against world’s major currencies in the last two months. The Yuan and the Yen were very close to the dangerous edge where these currencies could deteriorate rapidly.
07.09.2023
Brent crude prices are rising by 1.3% to $90.50 per barrel of Brent crude this week. This is the best performance in seven consecutive days since May 2023. The question is how long crude price would increase further considering a global economy slowdown.
Macroeconomic data in developed countries now corresponds most with the end of 2022 and autumn of 2020. This is low performance, and in both cases crude prices were under pressure. This time it is totally different. Crude prices are rallying by 20% since July, and are likely to continue up.
10.09.2021
El par EUR/USD se mantiene sobra la marca de 1.1800 en la jornada del jueves cierto grado de volatilidad generado por la reunión del Banco Central Europeo (BCE). El par alcanzó un máximo de 1.1840 y retrocedió rápidamente hasta 1.1805 antes de establecerse a mitad de rango.
El BCE mantuvo su tasa de referencia en el 0% tal como se esperaba. Con respecto al programa de compras de activos antipandemia (PEPP, por sus siglas en inglés) Christine Lagarde, Presidente del BCE, señaló que las compras se ejecutarán a “un ritmo moderadamente menor” que en los dos trimestres anteriores.
09.09.2021
El dólar estadounidense está avanzando por tercer día consecutivo este miércoles, manteniendo al par EUR/USD a la defensiva mientras los inversores esperan la decisión de política monetaria del Banco Central Europeo el jueves.
El EUR/USD perdió más de 100 pips desde el máximo del viernes en 1.1908, marcando un mínimo de 1.1801 durante la sesión europea, antes de recuperarse ligeramente y establecerse en el área de 1.1815.
07.09.2021
El peso mexicano cede algo de terreno frente al dólar en la jornada del martes, con el par USD/MXN alejándose levemente del mínimo del viernes ante una recuperación generalizada del dólar a través del tablero.
Sin embargo y pese a la caída de las acciones, el peso se mantiene relativamente estable ante el billete verde mientras el mercado recupera la liquidez después del feriado del lunes.
El par USD/MXN detuvo su caída en 19.85 el viernes después de seis jornadas consecutivas a la baja, dado que el dólar recuperó algo de demanda tras la publicación de las nóminas no agrícolas de empleo.
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