Opiniones de mercado

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25.04.2024
Brent crude prices increased by 1.2% to reach $88.35 per barrel this week, marking a rebound from the support level at $87.00 per barrel. The previous week saw prices diving by 4.6% to $86.30, but the Israeli strike on Iran’s airbase offset downward pressure from investors attempting to push prices lower. The United States Oil Fund (USO) witnessed significant fluctuations in net capital flows amidst heightened geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East. Last week, the fund reported net capital inflows of $301.7 million, the largest single-week reading since October 2023.
23.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has dipped by 0.2% to 105.68 points this week. Meanwhile, the EURUSD has climbed by 0.4% to 1.06950, marking its highest level since April 12. Other major commodity-driven currencies, including the Aussie, Kiwi, and Loonie, have also strengthened by 0.3% against the Greenback. Asian currencies such as the Yen and Yuan have largely remained neutral in relation to the Dollar. The currency market is undergoing a corrective phase following a recent 1.5% rally of the Greenback. However, this correction does not alter the overall short-term outlook for the market.
18.04.2024
Gold prices experienced a 1.7% increase this week, reaching $2379 per troy ounce, following a sudden spike to $2431, followed by a subsequent drop to $2333 per ounce last Friday. Currently, prices appear to be consolidating. Investor sentiment was largely influenced by tensions in the Middle East, particularly as Iran launched over 300 missiles and drones towards Israel. Despite Israel's interception of the majority of these projectiles, concerns about the potential for a broader conflict persist among investors. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) reported net capital inflows of $39.
16.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has shown strength this week, rising by 0.3% to 106.30. Conversely, the EURUSD has experienced a decline of 0.2% to 1.06150, reaching its lowest level since November 2, 2023, when it was lower at 1.0620 early Tuesday. The currency market has been relatively stagnant for almost four months, with the EURUSD mostly trading within the 1.08000-1.09000 range. However, the trend has finally shifted in favor of the Greenback following higher-than-expected March inflation data in the United States. Consumer prices for March increased to 3.
11.04.2024
Oil prices are facing downward pressure this week, with Brent crude dropping by 0.4% to $90.28 per barrel. On Wednesday, prices dipped even further to $89.00 per barrel amidst significant geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning potential missile strikes from Iran on Israeli military and government facilities. Despite these concerns, investors are skeptical about the likelihood of such an escalation and are withdrawing capital from crude assets. Last week, $103.8 million was pulled out of the United States Oil Fund (USO), followed by another $49.
09.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) experienced a slight decline of 0.1% to 103.95 points this week, prompting the EURUSD to retreat by 0.3% to 1.08700. The market is bracing for the release of U.S. inflation data on April 10. Last week, the EURUSD flirted with the possibility of dipping below 1.07000 but found support around 1.07250 before rallying to 1.08760 ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls data release. Now, if the pair manages to surpass 1.08700, it could potentially continue its ascent towards 1.10000. However, it's likely to hover around 1.
04.04.2024
Gold prices surged by 2.7% to reach $2293 per troy ounce this week, marking a new all-time high at $2305, where a formidable resistance level resides, suggesting a challenging breakthrough. The precious metal has exhibited remarkable performance, with a 12.5% increase since the onset of March. This rapid ascent echoes the trajectory seen during the outbreak of the war in Ukraine in February 2022 when gold prices soared by 15.0% to $2070 within six weeks.
02.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) surged by 0.5% to reach 104.84 this week, marking its highest reading since February 14. In contrast, the EURUSD experienced a decline of 0.5%, falling to 1.07240. This unexpected rise in the Dollar followed a report of slowing inflation published the previous Friday. Despite expectations of a weaker Dollar, the WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) reported net capital outflows of $3.9 million after maintaining a near-zero balance for two consecutive weeks. This indicates that bets on a weaker Dollar have begun to emerge. However, U.S.
28.03.2024
Brent crude prices have seen a modest 0.7% increase, reaching $86.35 per barrel. Despite attempts to test the resistance zone at $87.00-92.00 per barrel earlier in the week, similar to mid-March, they fell short. This pattern suggests a potential period of heightened volatility ahead, signaling caution for oil markets. This anticipated period of volatility could persist until mid-May, potentially leading to a precarious downside scenario with prices possibly plunging to $50 per barrel.
26.03.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) saw a decline of 0.3% this week, settling at 104.12 points. Conversely, the EURUSD pair experienced a 0.4% rise, reaching 1.08500. The notable volatility originated from China, where the Chinese offshore Yuan (CNH) unexpectedly plummeted last Friday. As a result, the USDCNH surged by 0.8% to 7.2800, marking its highest level since November 2023. This sudden movement caught investors off guard, especially considering the USDCNH had been trading within a narrow range of 7.1800-7.2200, closely monitored by China's central bank.
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