06.05.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index
(DXY) is declining by 0.5% to 99.50 points, while the EURUSD pair is rising by
0.5% to 1.13500. However, the pair has yet to confirm a
breakout towards the primary downside targets at 1.11000–1.11500. A decisive
drop below the support zone at 1.13100–1.13300 is needed to reinforce a bearish
outlook.
Last week, the EURUSD
dipped to 1.12650 but failed to extend the decline. The
recent rebound appears puzzling, especially given the macroeconomic backdrop,
which seems to favour the U.S. Dollar. In the first quarter of 2025, U.S. GDP
contracted by 0.
29.04.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down by 0.36%
this week to 99.11 points, while the EURUSD has risen by 0.26% to 1.13930. The
final obstacle to further strengthening of the Greenback has been removed.
Although the U.S. President denied any intention to dismiss Federal Reserve
(Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, he expressed a desire to gently steer him towards
cutting interest rates.
This pressure previously led the EURUSD to
rally by 1.59% to 1.15730 last week. However, following the removal of this
pressure, the gains were quickly erased, and the pair returned to mid-April
levels.
24.04.2025
Brent crude prices declined by 1.6% to $66.73
per barrel, rebounding from intraday lows of $65.33 reached on Wednesday. The
recovery remains limited by the resistance range of $67–69, which has
repeatedly capped upside attempts, including at the end of last week. Prices
are currently oscillating within a broad sideways range, with Wednesday’s move
marking an unexpected correction.
22.04.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index is down 1% to 98.39
points, while the EURUSD has climbed 0.9% to 1.14970, as tariff tensions
between the United States and China ease. With both sides expressing
willingness to seek compromise, markets are taking a breather from the
volatility triggered by trade policy uncertainty. In particular, the absence of
major sell-offs in U.S. Treasuries has helped stabilise 10-year yields, which
in turn allowed the EURUSD to consolidate.
17.04.2025
Gold prices have rallied 2.6% this week to
$3,322 per troy ounce, extending a powerful uptrend driven by geopolitical
uncertainty and growing expectations of monetary easing in the United States.
The metal has climbed 21% since November 2024, largely fuelled by sustained
buying from the People’s Bank of China amid escalating trade tensions with the
U.S.
According to a recent Bank of America survey,
42% of fund managers now expect gold prices to rise further in 2025, up sharply
from just 23% when prices hovered near $3,000 in March.
15.04.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 0.51% this
week to 99.58 points, while the EURUSD pair is trading flat around 1.1350,
consolidating last week’s sharp gains. The Euro surged 4.6% to 1.1473—its
highest level since February 2022—largely driven not by macroeconomic
fundamentals, but by the intensifying trade standoff between the United States
and China.
The initial boost for the Euro came on April
3, following President Donald Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs
targeting imports from 185 countries. In response, the EURUSD spiked 2.8% to
1.
10.04.2025
Brent crude oil prices are down by 1.6% this
week to $65.38 per barrel, but despite the negative result, prices have shown a
strong rebound from the midweek low of $58.68—the weakest level since February
2021. This extreme volatility has been fuelled by U.S. President Donald Trump’s
aggressive tariff campaign, which began on April 2 with sweeping duties on
imports from 185 countries. Brent promptly slid to the $68.00–70.00 range on
the news.
Trump specifically targeted China with 34%
tariffs, effective from April 9. Beijing responded with identical levies on all
U.S.
08.04.2025
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is rising by 0.22%
to 103.25 points, while the EURUSD has slipped by 0.30% to 1.09265. The
Dollar’s rebound comes in the aftermath of a stunning tariff escalation by U.S.
President Donald Trump, who announced sweeping new levies on goods from 185
nations last Wednesday.
Interestingly, the Greenback initially dropped
the following day, with the EURUSD surging by 2.9% in a single session to
1.11460—the highest level since September 2024.
03.04.2025
Gold prices have surged by 1.3% this week to
$3,125 per troy ounce, continuing their relentless climb to new all-time highs.
Over the past 16 trading days, gold has set 10 record highs, with the latest
peak reaching $3,167 per ounce early Thursday. This spike falls within the
extreme target zone of $3,150–$3,250, suggesting a heightened risk of a
downside reversal from a technical standpoint. Traders should brace for
potential surprises.
The primary driver behind gold's rally has
been U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies.
01.04.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.20% to
104.24 points this week, while the EURUSD has declined by 0.22% to 1.07990. The
Dollar's upside correction paused after the EURUSD plunged to 1.07320 last
Wednesday, breaking below key support at 1.07800–1.08000. The pair has since
rebounded, stabilising just above support, but a clear path toward
1.06800–1.07000 is now open. Any strong catalyst could drive the pair toward
these downside targets.
This week presents multiple downside risks for
the EURUSD, including the release of U.S. Manufacturing and Services PMIs.
Additionally, the U.S.
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