Обзоры рынков: Мнения экспертов

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03.04.2025
Gold prices have surged by 1.3% this week to $3,125 per troy ounce, continuing their relentless climb to new all-time highs. Over the past 16 trading days, gold has set 10 record highs, with the latest peak reaching $3,167 per ounce early Thursday. This spike falls within the extreme target zone of $3,150–$3,250, suggesting a heightened risk of a downside reversal from a technical standpoint. Traders should brace for potential surprises. The primary driver behind gold's rally has been U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff policies.
01.04.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.20% to 104.24 points this week, while the EURUSD has declined by 0.22% to 1.07990. The Dollar's upside correction paused after the EURUSD plunged to 1.07320 last Wednesday, breaking below key support at 1.07800–1.08000. The pair has since rebounded, stabilising just above support, but a clear path toward 1.06800–1.07000 is now open. Any strong catalyst could drive the pair toward these downside targets. This week presents multiple downside risks for the EURUSD, including the release of U.S. Manufacturing and Services PMIs. Additionally, the U.S.
27.03.2025
Brent crude prices have risen by 1.4% to $73.34 per barrel this week, retreating from Wednesday’s peak of $73.98—the highest level since March 3. The price is now positioned between the support at $68.00–$70.00 and the resistance at $78.00–$80.00. A rebound towards $74.00–$75.00 was expected, but a further significant increase appears unlikely as large investors remain in their long positions to capitalise on the price recovery without adding new bets. The United States Oil Fund (USO) recorded modest net inflows of $12.
25.03.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is rising by 0.29% to 104.40 points, while EURUSD is down by 0.21% to 1.07860, hovering near its March 7 lows. This signals a correction following a two-week consolidation, during which the pair tested resistance at 1.09500–1.10500. Despite this decline, overbought pressures remain. However, large investors appear to be betting on a weaker dollar. The WisdomTree Bloomberg US Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) reported net outflows of $64.59 million last week, even as the dollar strengthened.
20.03.2025
Gold prices have surged by 1.9% to $3,042 per troy ounce, setting new record highs five times in the past six days. The latest all-time high of $3,057 per ounce was reached following last week’s U.S. inflation data release. Consumer prices declined to 2.8% YoY in February from 3.0%, the lowest level since November 2024, while the Producer Price Index dropped to 3.2% YoY from 3.7%, signalling further potential inflation cooling. Meanwhile, trade tensions have eased, at least temporarily. After the European Union retaliated against U.S.
18.03.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 0.44% this week, trading at 103.26, while the EURUSD pair has risen by 0.75% to 1.09530, its highest level since November 6, 2024. There has been no downside correction in the pair following the release of softer U.S. inflation data. February inflation fell to 2.8% year-on-year from 2.9%, marking its lowest level since November 2024. The Producer Price Index also declined to 3.2% YoY from 3.7%. Last week, the EURUSD climbed 0.36% to 1.08710 in response to the data.
13.03.2025
Brent crude is down 0.02% to $70.65 per barrel this week, testing the support range of $68.00–$70.00 per barrel twice but failing to break below it. This could indicate a potential recovery. Large investors remain cautious, having observed the $70.00–$90.00 per barrel range for at least two years. Over this period, four downside attempts have failed, each followed by a rebound to $80.00 per barrel. Shorting oil remains a challenge. Last week, large investors sold United States Oil Fund (USO) shares worth $57.8 million following earlier sell-offs of $21.9 million, securing a 4–6% profit.
11.03.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down by 0.27% to 103.55 points this week, while the EURUSD has risen by 0.60% to 1.09150, marking its highest level since November 6, 2024, when the Trump-driven rally began. Few anticipated such a rapid strengthening of the Euro, which was largely driven by incoming German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s announcement of a massive spending plan aimed at bolstering the military and heavily investing in the economy. This initiative will require substantial borrowing, with defense spending exempt from the country’s constitutional debt brake.
06.03.2025
Gold prices have risen 1.45% to $2,898 per troy ounce this week, rebounding after a 4.1% correction last week. Prices briefly reached $2,929 per ounce, approaching the all-time high of $2,954. The correction was largely driven by recession fears and uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. Last week’s macroeconomic data pointed to a sharp slowdown in the U.S. economy, with the S&P 500 declining 3.0% and large investors reducing their gold positions. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) reported a neutral balance last week but recorded net outflows of $234.
04.03.2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 0.85% to 106.26 points this week with the EURUSD rising by 1.63% to 1.05400. The Dollar’s sharp decline from Monday is unusual and may be driven by slowing inflation. The January PCE Index fell to 2.5% YoY from 2.6%, while core PCE (excluding food and fuel) dropped to 2.6% YoY from 2.8%. This weakness was compounded by disappointing ISM March Manufacturing PMI, which declined to 50.3 points, although S&P Global Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.7 points. Additionally, Atlanta Fed Q1 2025 GDP projections suggest the U.S. economy may contract by 2.
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Kote
Simbol Bid Ask Vreme
AUDUSD 0.62476 0.62481 06:02:18
EURUSD 1.10893 1.109 06:02:17
GBPUSD 1.31008 1.31013 06:02:18
NZDUSD 0.57272 0.57277 06:02:18
USDCAD 1.40798 1.40805 06:02:18
USDCHF 0.85364 0.85368 06:02:18
USDJPY 145.737 145.742 06:02:18
XAGEUR 28.35 28.387 06:02:15
XAGUSD 31.449 31.471 06:02:16
XAUUSD 3097.15 3097.36 06:02:18

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