- Analytics
- Market analysis
- Market Opinions
- Sergey Rodler
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07.05.2024
The U.S. Dollar index has seen a modest 0.2%
rise to 105.30 this week, while the EURUSD has experienced a slight 0.1%
decline to 1.07550. Other major reserve currencies have followed a similar
trajectory, with the exception of the Japanese Yen, which has lost 1.1% to
154.60.
Several factors have contributed to the recent
fluctuations in the Dollar. Firstly, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervened in the
currency market twice, significantly impacting the USDJPY exchange rate. The
first intervention occurred on April 29, when the USDJPY reached 160.16,
prompting the BoJ to inject around $36.
02.05.2024
Gold prices faced a decline of 1.2% to $2309
per troy ounce over the course of this week, with a sharper drop of 2.4%
observed on May 1, bringing prices down to $2281 per ounce. However, prices
rebounded following the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting held on Wednesday.
Investors had been eagerly anticipating the
Fed's decisions amidst the backdrop of accelerated inflation in February and
March. It was widely expected that policymakers would adopt a hawkish stance in
response. However, the Fed surprisingly opted for a dovish approach.
25.04.2024
Brent crude prices increased by 1.2% to reach
$88.35 per barrel this week, marking a rebound from the support level at $87.00
per barrel. The previous week saw prices diving by 4.6% to $86.30, but the
Israeli strike on Iran’s airbase offset downward pressure from investors
attempting to push prices lower.
The United States Oil Fund (USO) witnessed
significant fluctuations in net capital flows amidst heightened geopolitical
uncertainty in the Middle East. Last week, the fund reported net capital
inflows of $301.7 million, the largest single-week reading since October 2023.
23.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has dipped by 0.2%
to 105.68 points this week. Meanwhile, the EURUSD has climbed by 0.4% to
1.06950, marking its highest level since April 12. Other major commodity-driven
currencies, including the Aussie, Kiwi, and Loonie, have also strengthened by
0.3% against the Greenback. Asian currencies such as the Yen and Yuan have
largely remained neutral in relation to the Dollar.
The currency market is undergoing a corrective
phase following a recent 1.5% rally of the Greenback. However, this correction
does not alter the overall short-term outlook for the market.
18.04.2024
Gold prices experienced a 1.7% increase this
week, reaching $2379 per troy ounce, following a sudden spike to $2431,
followed by a subsequent drop to $2333 per ounce last Friday. Currently, prices
appear to be consolidating.
Investor sentiment was largely influenced by
tensions in the Middle East, particularly as Iran launched over 300 missiles
and drones towards Israel. Despite Israel's interception of the majority of
these projectiles, concerns about the potential for a broader conflict persist
among investors.
The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) reported net capital
inflows of $39.
16.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has shown strength
this week, rising by 0.3% to 106.30. Conversely, the EURUSD has experienced a
decline of 0.2% to 1.06150, reaching its lowest level since November 2, 2023,
when it was lower at 1.0620 early Tuesday.
The currency market has been relatively
stagnant for almost four months, with the EURUSD mostly trading within the
1.08000-1.09000 range. However, the trend has finally shifted in favor of the
Greenback following higher-than-expected March inflation data in the United
States. Consumer prices for March increased to 3.
11.04.2024
Oil prices are facing downward pressure this
week, with Brent crude dropping by 0.4% to $90.28 per barrel. On Wednesday,
prices dipped even further to $89.00 per barrel amidst significant geopolitical
tensions, particularly concerning potential missile strikes from Iran on
Israeli military and government facilities. Despite these concerns, investors
are skeptical about the likelihood of such an escalation and are withdrawing
capital from crude assets. Last week, $103.8 million was pulled out of the
United States Oil Fund (USO), followed by another $49.
09.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) experienced a
slight decline of 0.1% to 103.95 points this week, prompting the EURUSD to
retreat by 0.3% to 1.08700. The market is bracing for the release of U.S.
inflation data on April 10.
Last week, the EURUSD flirted with the
possibility of dipping below 1.07000 but found support around 1.07250 before
rallying to 1.08760 ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls data release. Now, if the
pair manages to surpass 1.08700, it could potentially continue its ascent
towards 1.10000. However, it's likely to hover around 1.
04.04.2024
Gold prices surged by 2.7% to reach $2293 per
troy ounce this week, marking a new all-time high at $2305, where a formidable
resistance level resides, suggesting a challenging breakthrough.
The precious metal has exhibited remarkable performance,
with a 12.5% increase since the onset of March. This rapid ascent echoes the
trajectory seen during the outbreak of the war in Ukraine in February 2022 when
gold prices soared by 15.0% to $2070 within six weeks.
02.04.2024
The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) surged by 0.5% to
reach 104.84 this week, marking its highest reading since February 14. In
contrast, the EURUSD experienced a decline of 0.5%, falling to 1.07240. This
unexpected rise in the Dollar followed a report of slowing inflation published
the previous Friday.
Despite expectations of a weaker Dollar, the
WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (USDU) reported net capital
outflows of $3.9 million after maintaining a near-zero balance for two
consecutive weeks. This indicates that bets on a weaker Dollar have begun to
emerge. However, U.S.
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