USD/JPY remains below MA (200) H1 for now

Today, the hourly chart of USD/JPY shows a recovery after a decline that followed the formation of a peak around 145.90. After the breakdown of the key support at 144.25, the price dropped to the area of 142.35, from where it began a corrective rebound. At the moment, the price is approaching the level of 143.55, which coincides with the moving average zone, which can act as a resistance.

The moving average indicates a trend change, starting to smooth out the slope after a long upward movement. The breakdown of the moving average from top to bottom was the first signal for the possible completion of the upward phase and the transition to a downward or sideways trend. The MACD indicator with parameters forms an ascending histogram, demonstrating the presence of a short-term bullish impulse. This may indicate a potential continuation of the upward correction, but for now the histogram remains below the previous highs, which indicates a weakness in momentum. The current technical picture indicates an attempt to recover from a strong correction, but the decisive factor will be the price behavior near the level of 143.55 and the dynamics of volumes and MACD on the approach to this zone.

Resistance levels are: 143.55, 144.25, 145.10

Support levels are: 142.35, 141.50-95, 139.90

The main scenario for the pair's advance assumes a breakout of MA (200) H1 (143.55) and there may be an increase to 144.25 (May 6 high)

An alternative scenario assumes a breakout of the support of 142.35 (May 6 low) and there may be a decline to 141.50-90 (April 23 and 28 lows)