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- NZD/USD remains below MA (200) H1
NZD/USD remains below MA (200) H1
Today, on the hourly chart, the NZD/USD pair is showing a weak recovery after the sharp collapse that occurred on April 4. The price has pushed off from the 0.5505 support level and is now trying to gain a foothold above 0.56000. However, the general trend direction remains downward, which is confirmed by the MA (200) H1 moving average line (0.5685), which is significantly higher than the current quotes and continues to decline. The MACD indicator shows a positive histogram, but the growth rate is slowing down, which may indicate a possible fading of the upward momentum. If the histogram starts to decline, this will be the first signal for a reversal and a potential continuation of the downtrend. Thus, in the short term, there is an attempt at a rebound, but the overall pressure remains bearish, and to confirm the reversal, it is necessary to see a steady consolidation above 0.5640 with an increase in volumes and an increase in bullish dynamics.
Resistances are at the marks: 0.5640, 0.5685, 0.5800
An alternative scenario: 0.5505, 0.5400, 0.5300
The main scenario of the pair's movement implies a breakout of the support 0.5505 (April 7 low) and there may be a decline to the psychological level of 0.5400
The alternative scenario assumes a breakout of the resistance of 1.5640 (April 7 high) and there may be an increase to MA (200) H1 (0.5685)
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