Today, the USD/JPY hourly chart shows a decline after reaching a local maximum near the level of 145.90. The price has rolled back down and is currently trading near the level of 143.85. The MA (200) H1 moving average is passing around 143.35, which can act as a dynamic support. If the price fixes below this line, a further pullback to the levels of 141.90 and 141.55 is possible. If the current support is maintained, a rebound towards 145.90 is likely, and if this level is broken, an increase towards 147.15 is possible.
The MACD indicator is in the negative zone, the histogram is decreasing, which confirms the current decline and indicates continued bearish pressure. However, if a divergence appears or an upward reversal of the histogram begins, this may signal a possible recovery of the upward movement. The overall picture indicates a correction within an uptrend as long as the price is trading above MA (200) H1. If this support is lost, there will be a change in direction in favor of the bears, with a likely deepening of the decline.
Resistance levels are: 145.90, 147.15, 148.25
Support levels are: 143.35, 141.55-90, 139.90
The main scenario for the pair's advance implies a breakout of the resistance of 145.90 (May 2 high) and there may be an increase to 147.15 (high of the European session on April 10)
An alternative scenario suggests a breakout of MA (200) H1 (143.35) and a possible decline to 141.55 (April 23 low)
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