UK manufacturers’ order book balance improves less than forecast in July

The latest survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) revealed on Thursday the UK manufacturers' order books improved slightly in July.

According to the report, the CBI's monthly factory order book balance increased to -46 in July from -58 in the previous month. This pointed to the smallest decline in factory orders since March. Economists had forecast the reading to come in at -38.

The CBI also reported that output in the quarter to June fell at the steepest rate since 1975 (to -59 from -57 in June), but is expected to begin to recover in the next three months (+15). Meanwhile, average domestic prices in the quarter to July (-24) dropped at their fastest pace since January 2002, while average export prices (-28) declined at their quickest since July 2000. However, firms expect domestic prices to pick up slightly (+4) next quarter, while export prices are anticipated to decrease at a slower pace (-10).

“Manufacturers continue to face extreme hardship due to the COVID-19 crisis. Output volumes continued to decline at a record pace, while total orders have fallen at their fastest rate since October 1980”, noted Rain Newton-Smith, CBI Chief Economist. “There are tentative signs of gradual recovery on the horizon, with firms expecting output and orders to begin to pick up in the next three months. But demand still remains deeply depressed.”