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Cортувати за валютними парами
07.11.2012
20:01
U.S.: Consumer Credit , September 11.4 (forecast 10.1)
19:00
American focus: the dollar rose sharply

The dollar index rose to two-month high, as investors flocked to safer assets on concern that U.S. President Barack Obama will struggle to persuade Congress to avoid the so-called "financial cliff" after his historic re-election.

The euro fell to its weakest level in the last two months against the dollar after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said that the crisis in the region affects Germany.

The U.S. currency weakened against the yen since Obama defeated Republican rival Mitt Romney, who is opposed to the current policy of the Federal Reserve System, which is based on stimulating the economy.

The euro fell against most major currencies, except the Norwegian krone against the fact that Greek lawmakers were ready to vote on the austerity measures required to receive international aid.

Also today, the European Commission said that the euro zone economy is likely to grow by only 0.1% in 2013, compared to the vulnerable forecast at 1% increase. The committee lowered its forecast for growth in Germany to 0.8% from 1.7%.

Switzerland franc rose against the euro and fell against the dollar after the central bank said the country's foreign exchange reserves declined last month, which was the first time since February. Also published data showed that consumer price index rose in October, much less than expected.


15:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, +1.8
15:22
USD / CAD Canadian dollar lost intraday рoints

 

Canadian dollar handed position, won after the election, and decreased at the beginning of the U.S. session, as attention shifted from relief in respect of soft policy of the Federal Reserve to concerns about "financial cliff" and the debt ceiling.

On the one hand, an Obama victory means continuing to stimulate the economy and the dollar's decline. On the other hand, the balance of power in the Senate and House of Representatives, which is dominated by representatives of different parties, indicates that the market expects the uncertainty before the talks about "fiscal cliff" and the debt ceiling.

Later on Wednesday, the Greek Parliament will vote on a package of austerity measures and structural reforms, without which Greece is experiencing financial difficulties, it may be unable to access aid funds. Uncertainty about this vote on Wednesday is likely to increase the overall uncertainty in the market.

At the moment the pair USD / CAD rose to the level of 0.9950


14:48
USD / JPY fell to intraday lows area

 

 

Pair is testing the key level of Y80.00 for the second time in a day. Later today, Japan will release the set of indicators, including orders for machinery, foreign investment and trade balance.

Currently, USD / JPY traded at around Y79.92. The nearest support level - Y79.77 (Nov 1 low).



 

14:19
EU REHN: European economic imbalances resolving

 

 

- See growth downturn lasting until year end

- Europe exports to benefit from stronger global growth

- Underlying domestic price pressures subdued

- Greece recovery seen in 2014

- See Portugal recession ending mid-2013

- Fiscal consolidation, reforms essential

- Need to boost public, private investment

- Lower pace of consolidation in Italy a 'concern'

- We focus on structural deficits not headline numbers


13:51
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2700, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2875

USD/JPY Y79.75, Y79.95, Y80.00, Y80.50

EUR/JPY Y104.00

GBP/USD  $1.5915, $1.6025

EUR/GBP stg0.8035

AUD/USD $1.0370, $1.0375, $1.0400, $1.0425, $1.0450


 

13:38
European session: the euro fell

 08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves October 429.3 432.0 424.4

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) October +0.3% +0.3% +0.1%
08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) October -0.4% -0.2% -0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) September +0.2% 0.0% -0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) September -0.9% -0.8% -0.8%
11:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) September -0.5% -0.4% -1.8%
11:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) September -1.4% +0.2% -1.2%
12:10 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks -
 

The dollar fell against the yen on speculation Barack Obama’s re-election as president will boost chances the U.S. will maintain monetary stimulus policies that tend to weaken the greenback.

The U.S. currency was mixed versus its major peers as Obama defeated Republican challenger Mitt Romney, who disagreed with current Federal Reserve policy. Obama now faces the so-called fiscal cliff, $600 billion in tax increases and spending cuts set to be implemented in 2013.

The euro erased gains as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the Europe’s crisis is affecting Germany.

Gains in the euro were tempered as Greek lawmakers prepared to vote on austerity measures needed to keep its international bailout on track.

The 238 pages of additional austerity plans, ranging from raising the retirement age to eliminating holiday payments for pensioners, will be debated by the Greek parliament today with a roll-call vote expected. Approval is the first of the parliamentary votes required by Nov. 12 to unlock a 31 billion- euro portion of international aid.


EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.2877, and then fell to $ 1.2735

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6042, and then fell to $ 1.5954

USD / JPY: during the European session the pair fell to Y79.80 and then rose to the level Y80.42


At 15:30 GMT the United States, there are data on stocks of crude oil from the Department of Energy. At 21:45 GMT New Zealand will publish a change in the number of employed and the unemployment rate for the 3rd quarter. At 23:50 GMT Japan will change in orders for machinery and equipment for September and the total current account surplus in September.


13:11
Orders

 

 

EUR/USD

Offers    $1.2880 

Bids  $1.2805/00, $1.2760/50, $1.2710/00


GBP/USD

Offers    $1.6140/50, $1.6125, $1.6100/10, $1.6075/80, $1.6060, $1.6000

Bids $1.5985/80, $1.5950, $1.5885/80


AUD/USD

Offers    $1.0550, $1.0500

Bids $1.0430, $1.0415/10, $1.0400, $1.0370/60, $1.0350


EUR/JPY

Offers    Y104.50, Y104.00, Y103.50

Bids Y102.80, Y102.50, Y102.00, Y101.80, Y101.70/65


USD/JPY

Offers   Y81.00, Y80.80, Y80.60, Y80.50

Bids  Y80.05/00, Y79.50


EUR/GBP

Offers   stg0.8100, stg0.8080, stg0.8040

Bids stg0.7985/80, stg0.7945/40


12:49
EUR / USD fell to a new low of $ 1.2743 after dropping the European Commission forecasts and ahead of a vote in the Greek Parliament
12:43
ECB DRAGHI: EMU inflation well contained, money growth subdued

 

 

- Econ,fin situation in the EMU remains challenging

- EMU growth expected to remain weak in near term

- EMU unemployment is deplorably high

- Fiscal consolidation progressing well in most countries

- ECB OMT clear signal to mkt: EMU break-up fear baseless

- Unlimited omt does not mean uncontrolled

- OMT conditionality is important

- Fin union dsn't have to mean pooling deposit guarantees



 

11:16
GERMAN BOBL AUCTION RESULTS:

 

 

Germany allotted E3.29bln of its 5-year benchmark 0.50% Oct 2017 Bobl issue Wednesday at an average yield 0.42% (0.53%) and bid-to-cover ratio of 1.5 times (2.2).


 

11:01
Germany: Industrial Production (YoY), September -1.2% (forecast +0.2%)
11:00
Germany: Industrial Production s.a. (MoM), September -1.8% (forecast -0.4%)
10:28
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2875, $1.2850, $1.2800, $1.2750, $1.2955

USD/JPY Y79.75, Y79.95, Y80.00, Y80.50

GBP/USD  $1.6025

EUR/GBP stg0.8035

AUD/USD $1.0370, $1.0375, $1.0400, $1.0425


 

10:00
Eurozone: Retail Sales (MoM), September -0.2% (forecast 0.0%)
10:00
Eurozone: Retail Sales (YoY), September -0.8% (forecast -0.8%)
09:14
Forex: Tuesday review

The dollar fell against most of the 16 most traded currencies against the fact that voters in the United States must now decide who will lead the world's largest economy within the next four years.

Analysts expect that after an initial rise, the U.S. currency is likely to fall against most other currencies, except the yen as investors' willingness to take risks will increase with the victory of Romney. At the same time, Obama's victory will cause a weakening dollar, in light of the fact that politicians will try to avoid the so-called "financial failure."
The euro continued its rise against the fact that the data released showed that the volume of industrial orders in Germany fell in September to the highest setting for the year. The Ministry of Economy in Berlin said that orders, adjusted for seasonal variation and inflation, fell 3.3%, after a revised downward rate for August at 0.8%.
The Australian dollar rose against all major currencies after the central bank unexpectedly declined to lower interest rates, leaving it at 3.25%.
Note also that in the context of the decision of Australia currency rose to a five-week high against the U.S. dollar.
The dollar index (DXY), which is used to track the U.S. currency against six major currencies, the U.S. partners, decreased slightly, reaching the mark with 80.68, after rising in the previous four days.
Pound during trading trading reserved, but in the last hours showed a slight increase. Note that in the first half of the day rate fell slightly against the dollar after a report showed that industrial production and manufacturing output declined significantly, exceeding the estimates of analysts. Also during the session, it became known that the house price index fell in October by 0.7%, while the expected increase of 0.5%. But despite this, the currency could still be strengthened by setting a new session high.

08:30
Asian session: The dollar weakened

 

 

 

The dollar weakened on speculation President Barack Obama’s re-election victory will boost chances the U.S. will continue monetary stimulus policies that tend to weaken the currency. The dollar reversed earlier gains versus the euro after Obama defeated Republican challenger Mitt Romney, according to television network projections that show the president winning the electoral votes needed for re-election. Romney had said he disagrees with the Federal Reserve measures to stimulate the economy and would replace Chairman Ben S. Bernanke at the end of his term in January 2014.

Demand for the euro was limited as Greece headed for a vote on austerity measures needed to keep its bailout on track. In Greece, the 238 pages of austerity measures, ranging from raising the retirement age two years to 67 to eliminating Christmas and holiday payments for pensioners, will be debated in the 300-seat Parliament from 10 a.m. Athens time with a roll- call vote expected after 8 p.m. today. Approval of the legislation is the first of the parliamentary votes required by Nov. 12 to unlock a 31 billion-euro ($40 billion) portion of international aid.

German industrial production probably fell for a second month in September, decreasing 0.7 percent from the prior month, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. A separate report may show euro-area retail sales slid 0.1 percent in September, according to another poll.

 

EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose on the floor of a figure to $1.2875.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $1.6035.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to the floor of a figure to Y79.80.

 

With the US election votes in and largely counted, attention refocuses on the fundamentals - although Wednesday sees a fairly light day, giving many the chance to get over a late night of election watching. The US starts clearing the bunting away early and readies for the 1100GMT release of the Nov 2 week MBA Mortgage Applications numbers are released. Late data, at 2000GMT, the September Consumer Credit numbers and the October Treasury Allotments By Class numbers will cross the wires.


08:15
Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (YoY), October -0.2% (forecast -0.2%)
08:15
Switzerland: Consumer Price Index (MoM) , October +0.1% (forecast +0.3%)
08:01
Switzerland: Foreign Currency Reserves, October 424.4 (forecast 432.0)
06:19
Currencies. Daily history for Nov 6'2012:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2813 +0,13%

GBP/USD $1,5995 +0,11%

USD/CHF Chf0,9427 -0,07%

USD/JPY Y80,35 +0,09%

EUR/JPY Y102,95 +0,22%

GBP/JPY Y128,51 +0,19%

AUD/USD $1,0434 +0,67%

NZD/USD $0,8269 +0,23%

USD/CAD C$0,9919 -0,43%


05:59
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Nov 7’2012:

08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves October 429.3 432.0

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (MoM) October +0.3% +0.3%

08:15 Switzerland Consumer Price Index (YoY) October -0.4% -0.2%

10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) September +0.1% 0.0%

10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) September -1.3% -0.8%

11:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) September -0.5% -0.4%

11:00 Germany Industrial Production (YoY) September -1.4% +0.2%

12:10 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks -

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories - -2.0

20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit September 18.1 10.1

21:45 New Zealand Employment Change, q/q Quarter III -0.1% +0.3%

21:45 New Zealand Unemployment Rate Quarter III 6.8% 6.7%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders September -3.3% -1.9%

23:50 Japan Current Account Total, bln September 454.7 761.3

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