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The euro fell for a second day versus the dollar after German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said Spain must take over guarantees for bailout funding, adding to concern European leaders will struggle to stem their sovereign-debt crisis.
The euro gained versus the dollar today before Schaeuble said Spain would remain liable for as much as 100 billion euros ($123 billion) of aid. German lawmakers approved their government’s participation in the euro-area bailout of Spanish banks after the assurance.
While there was broad support to help Spain, lawmakers demanded reassurances that German taxpayer money will be channeled via the Spanish government and not go directly to banks themselves. They raised concerns that loopholes may enable such a route when the program shifts from the current rescue fund to the permanent European Stability Mechanism.
European stocks rose to the highest level since early April as companies reported quarterly earnings that exceeded analysts’ estimates.
Spain’s five-year borrowing costs surged at a debt sale today, while France paid record-low yields of less than 1 percent to sell similar securities.
Spanish five-year notes yielded an average 6.459 percent, compared with 6.072 percent a month ago. French yields for the same maturity fell to 0.86 percent, almost half of last month’s level. Spain sold debt as lawmakers debated spending cuts in Parliament, where police erected barriers and stood guard.
Spanish 10-year bonds extended their decline, pushing the yield through 7 percent for the first time since July 10, after the auction.
National benchmark indexes rose in all 18 western European markets except Portugal and Iceland. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 gained 0.5 percent. France’s CAC 40 climbed 0.9 percent and Germany’s DAX advanced 1.1 percent.
Nokia surged 12 percent to 1.54 euros. The unprofitable mobile-phone maker posted sales of its flagship smartphone that topped some analysts’ estimates. Sales of the Lumia product increased to 4 million units in the second quarter, Espoo, Finland-based Nokia said.
Novartis AG rose 1.7 percent to 56 francs. The company reported second-quarter profit that declined less than analysts forecast, helped by increasing sales of new products such as the Gilenya treatment for multiple sclerosis and the Afinitor cancer drug.
Electrolux AB, the world’s second-biggest appliance maker, rose 6.2 percent to 153.70 kronor as it reported second-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates after it succeeded in pushing through higher prices in North America.
Gold is expensive because of the weakening of the dollar after weak macro statistics. According to published reports, home sales in the secondary market in June, contrary to expectations, fell, and up to 8-month low - amounted to 4.63 million in May a revised level of 4.62 million, experts on average were expecting a slight increase in sales.
The remaining statistics are also disappointed - the index of leading indicators in June fell by 0.3%, is stronger than expected, and the index of the Philadelphia Fed business activity in July was -12.9 points at medium level projections for -8 points.
August gold futures on the COMEX today rose to 1591.5 dollars per ounce.
Resistance of 3:1624 (high of June)
Resistance of 2:1614 (resistance line from June 6)
Resistance of 1:1600 (Jul 10 and 17 highs)
Current Price: 1586.90
Support 2:1564 (support line from May 16)
Support 2: 1548 (low of June)
Support 3: 1527 (low of May)
Resistance 3:96,40 (MA (200) for D1)
Resistance 2:95,00 (61,8% FIBO 106,10-77,20)
Resistance 1:91,70 (50,0% FIBO 106,10-77,20, Jun 29 high, session high)
Current Price: 91.69
Support 1:89,60 (bottom border of up channel from Jul 12)
Support 2:88,30 (Jul 18 low)
Support 3:87,20 (Jul 17 low)
Oil advanced to the highest level in seven weeks on rising concern that the Middle East will lose stability and speculation that governments will act to spur economic growth.
Prices gained as much as 1.8 percent as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu threatened a forceful response against Iran, which he blamed for a suicide attack in Bulgaria that killed Israeli tourists, and as Syrian government forces battled rebels in Damascus. China has “relatively large” room to boost fiscal spending to support economic growth, a government researcher said.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said on July 17 policy makers are studying options for further easing that could be deployed in case economic growth remains too feeble to produce a lasting decline in unemployment.
Crude for August delivery rose to $91.86, the highest intraday level since May 29.
Brent oil for September settlement advanced $1.77, or 1.7 percent, to $106.93 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.
Resistance of 3:1420 (high of 2012)
Resistance of 2:1410 (high of May)
Resistance of 1:1375 (session high, high of July, top border of up channel from Jul 12)
Current Price: 1368.75
Support 1:1357 (bottom border of up channel from Jul 12)
Support 2:1346 (MA (200) for H1)
Support 3:1340 (Jul 17 low)
EUR/USD $1.2100, $1.2175, $1.2190, $1.2300, $1.2325, $1.2335, $1.2400.
USD/JPY Y78.70, Y79.00, Y80.00
GBP/USD $1.5500, $1.5700, $1.5720
AUD/USD $1.0300, $1.0340, $1.0350, $1.0400
NZD/USD $0.7965
U.S. stock futures rose amid better-than-estimated earnings at companies from International Business Machines Corp. and EBay Inc..
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 8,795.55 +68.81 +0.79%
Hang Seng 19,559.05 +319.17 +1.66%
Shanghai Composite 2,184.84 +15.74 +0.73%
FTSE 5,690.93 +5.16 +0.09%
CAC 3,260.09 +24.69 +0.76%
DAX 6,753.59 +69.17 +1.03%
Crude oil $90.87 (+1,11%)
Gold $1584.50 (+0.87%).
American Express (AXP) was downgraded to a Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim.
American Express (AXP) was reiterated at Mkt Perform at FBR Capital.
Data:
01:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter II -1 -2
04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m May +0.1% -0.2% -0.3%
06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance June 2.48 2.21 2.25
08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln May 4.6 5.3 10.9
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) June +1.4% +0.6% +0.1%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) June +2.4% +2.3% +1.6%
During the session, the dollar down amid speculation that the Federal Reserve System and the Government of China will take further measures to stimulate economic growth, which led to a decline in demand for safe assets.
The U.S. currency fell against all but one of 16 primary. Australian and New Zealand dollars are now showing rapid growth. The euro fell against the yen, which was caused by an increase in bond yields in Spain. We also learned that China could reduce banks' reserve requirements, when the Cabinet meets to discuss ways to stimulate growth. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said yesterday that the timing of further stimulation until the feud is not certain.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against six major trading partners, fell 0.3% to 82.787, while showing the lowest level since July 5.
EUR/USD: during the European session, the pair reached a high of $ 1.2320, followed by a slight decrease
GBP/USD: steam during the session was moving erratically, setting all-time high at $ 1.5695, and is now trying to overcome it
USD/JPY: pair reached a minimum at Y78.45, little recoil, and is now trading in the minimum values of the day
At 12:30 GMT in Canada becomes aware of change in the volume of wholesale trade in May. At the same time, the U.S. will report on the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in July, the number of repeated applications for unemployment benefits in July, the volume of home sales in the secondary market in June. There will also be presented to the Fed manufacturing index for July-Philadelphia. At 14:30 GMT in Canada will publish a report of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy for the third quarter. At 15:15 GMT in Canada will be a press conference of the Bank of Canada. Finished the day in 22:45 GMT New Zealand data on the consumer price index for the second quarter.
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.7920/30, stg0.7895/900, stg0.7880/85
Bids stg0.7810/00
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0550, $1.0500, $1.0445/50
Bids $1.0360/50, $1.0325/20, $1.0300, $1.0250
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5750, $1.5695/700
Bids $1.5600, $1.5550
EUR/JPY
Offers Y97.50, Y97.00
Bids Y96.20/15, Y96.00, Y95.65/60, Y95.50
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2400/05, $1.2380, $1.2340/50, $1.2320/25
Bids $1.2265/60, $1.2215
USD/JPY
Offers Y79.00
Bids Y78.15/10, Y78.00
Resistance 3: Y79.40 (July 9 low)
Resistance 2: Y79.30 (July 2 low)
Resistance 1: Y79.12 (July 11 low, July 18 high)
Current price: Y78.55
Support 1: Y78.45 (session low)
Support 2: Y78.10 (June 5 low)
Support 3: Y77.65 (June 1 low)
Resistance 3: Chf0.9875 (July 13 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9850 (July 16 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9830 (July 18 high)
Current price: Chf0.9759
Support 1: Chf0.9735 (July 10 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9715 (38,2% of FIBO (0.9465-0.9875), July 5 high)
Support 3: Chf0.9670/80 (50% FIBO (0.9465-0.9875), June 28 low, July 6 low)
Resistance 3: $ 1.5780 (June 20 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5720 (July 2 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5700 (psychological level, resistance line of 22.05 and 20.06)
Current Price: $ 1.5688
Support 1: $ 1.5590/95 (61.8% at FIBO ($ 1.5395-$ 1.5722), July 16 high)
Support 2: $ 1.5555/60 (50% FIBO ($ 1.5395-$ 1.5722), July 17 low)
Support 3: $ 1.5510/20 (July 16 low, 38.2% for the FIBO ($ 1.5395-$ 1.5722))
Resistance 3: $ 1.2405 (July 6 high, June 28 low)
Resistance 2: $ 1.2365 (38.2% of FIBO ($ 1.2163-$ 1.2695), a minimum of 5 July)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2320 (July 17 high, session high)
Current Price: $ 1.2302
Support 1: $ 1.2215 (July 18 low)
Support 2: $ 1.2165 (July 12 low)
Support 3: $ 1.2116 (June 2010 low)
Today we have published figures for the UK retail sales, which accounted for June y / y +1.6% (+2.3% while the forecast), the June m / m +0.1% (the forecast of +0.6%). Eurozone balance of payments, seasonally adjusted in May amounted to 10.9 billion (forecast at 5.3).
The focus of the market is an auction of government bonds in Spain, which will be held today. As well as news on the U.S. labor market, which will be released today at 15:30 in Kiev.
FTSE 100 5,694.31 +8.54 +0.15%
DAX 6,704.11 +19.69 +0.29%
CAC 3,240.78 +5.38 +0.17%
Favorably to the results of the stock market had a Novartis AG (Switzerland). Despite the fact that the company's net profit in the I half of 2012 decreased by 9% to $ 5.06 billion against $ 5.547 billion dollars during the same period a year earlier, Novartis shares rose in price by 0.64%.
Against this backdrop, shares of GlaxoSmithKline rose by 0,01%, Bayer - by 1.22%.
Also reported a positive company Saab AB. Net income for the I half of 2012 rose 16% year on year and amounted to 803 million Swedish kronor (115 million dollars). Paper companies have increased in price by 0.43%.
EUR/USD $1.2100, $1.2175, $1.2190, $1.2300, $1.2325, $1.2335, $1.2400.
USD/JPY Y78.70, Y79.00, Y80.00
GBP/USD $1.5500, $1.5700, $1.5720
AUD/USD $1.0300, $1.0340, $1.0350, $1.0400
NZD/USD $0.7965
Asian stocks rose, with the benchmark index headed toward its biggest gain in almost three weeks, amid speculation China will do more to boost growth and after U.S. housing starts jumped to the highest in four years.
Nikkei 225 8,795.55 +68.81 +0.79%
S&P/ASX 200 4,206.69 +83.09 +2.02%
Shanghai Composite 2,184.84 +15.74 +0.73%
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index of Chinese companies listed in the city jumped 2.4 percent as the country’s swap market signaled a further reduction in the reserve ratio requirement for banks.
BHP Billiton Ltd., Australia’s biggest oil producer, increased 2.5 percent as crude prices exceeded $90 a barrel for the first time since May.
Man Wah Holdings Ltd., a sofa maker which gets more than half of its sales from the U.S., climbed 4.9 percent in Hong Kong.
01:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter II -1 -2
04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m May +0.1% -0.2% -0.3%
The yen rose against all of its 16 major counterparts as concern Europe’s leaders will be slow to implement measures to stem the region’s debt crisis supported demand for Japan’s currency as a haven.
The yen climbed for a second day against the euro before German lawmakers vote on a bailout for Spanish lenders. German lawmakers are due to vote in a special session of the lower house today in Berlin after the Finance Ministry asked parliament in a July 16 letter to support aid of as much as 100 billion euros ($122.8 billion) for Spain’s banks. The money would come from a temporary backstop, the European Financial Stability Facility, and then from the European Stability Mechanism that has yet to be set up.
Chancellor Angela Merkel called on fellow leaders to work harder to make Europe succeed without waiting for German help.
The dollar slid to the lowest in 2 1/2 months versus its Australian counterpart before U.S. data today that may show claims for jobless benefits climbed, boosting prospects the Federal Reserve will add to easing measures that debase the greenback. Figures from the U.S. Labor Department today may show initial jobless claims increased to 365,000 in the week ended July 14 from 350,000 in the previous period, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair was trading in range $1.2275-$1.2295.
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair was trading in range $1.5645-$1.5665.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair dropped and showed a new week’s low.
European events start at 0800GMT Thursday with the ECB current account data and Italian industrial orders, while at the same time the Norges Bank releases the Q2 Bank Lending Survey. US data starts at 1230GMT when the level of weekly initial jobless claims is expected to rebound by 15,000 to 365,000 in the July 14 employment survey week after plunging to a 4-year low in the previous week on special factors. At 1400GMT, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is tentatively scheduled to testify to the Senate Banking Committee on Libor rate setting. US data at 1400GMT includes NAR Existing Home Sales, the Philadelphia Fed Survey and also Leading Indicator data.
During the American session, the dollar has weakened its position against higher-yielding currencies against the second part of speech Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in Congress. The text of Bernanke repeated a speech the day before. Although Bernanke has stressed the readiness of the Central Bank to act, he refrained from giving any details and did not say whether it would be quantitative easing, and when it is such measures can be taken.
Earlier, the euro declined after German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that "the European project" is under threat, and if the policy will work harder, fueling interest in solving the debt crisis in the region, it will remain impossible.
The pound fell against the dollar before the first time in four days after the Bank of England said that there is a possibility of future rate reductions. However, nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee decided unanimously to keep its key interest rate at a record low of 0.5% this month. Seven of the nine members of the Committee on Monetary Policy Bank of England voted in favor of additional incentives at the meeting. Governor of the Bank of England Governor Mervyn King among the other seven members voted to increase asset purchase program by 50 billion pounds to 375 billion pounds, as there is reason to inject more cash into the UK economy and stimulate lending to the slowdown in inflation.
The focus of market participants is a publication of a report the Federal Reserve "Beige Book", which is scheduled for 18:00 GMT. Recall that this report provides an overview of the current economic situation in each of the 12 federal districts of the United States. This report is used for the Fed decision on monetary policy at a meeting of Federal Open Market Committee, which will take place in the 2nd week.
Asian stocks declined after Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao warned of a “severe” jobs outlook and amid concern Asian companies’ profits are falling. Exporters to the U.S. gained as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the central bank is prepared to act to spur growth.
Nikkei 225 8,726.74 -28.26 -0.32%
S&P/ASX 200 4,123.6 -17.20 -0.42%
Shanghai Composite 2,163.96 +2.78 +0.13%
Huaneng Renewables Corp Ltd., an alternative energy company, slumped 14 percent in Hong Kong after saying profit may fall more than 50 percent.
European stocks advanced for the third time in four days after lenders including Credit Suisse Group AG reported profits that beat estimates, while minutes showed the Bank of England may reconsider the case for an interest-rate cut.
In the U.K., minutes from the Bank of England’s recent July Monetary Policy meeting showed policy makers voted 7-2 to increase stimulus and said they may reconsider the case for an interest-rate cut after assessing the impact of new lending and liquidity measures on the economy.
U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne outlined plans to encourage as much as 51 billion pounds ($80 billion) of spending on infrastructure and exports in the latest effort pull the economy out of recession.
National benchmark indexes rose in all western European markets except Finland and Iceland. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 gained 1 percent. France’s CAC 40 climbed 1.8 percent and Germany’s DAX advanced 1.6 percent.
Credit Suisse advanced 4.5 percent to 17.91 Swiss francs. The bank announced measures to cut costs and boost capital by 8.7 billion francs ($8.9 billion) after a central bank report last month called for an increase in equity. The cost savings target was increased to 3 billion francs from 2 billion francs, the bank said.
ASML paced gains among European technology companies, rising 6.8 percent to 44.23 euros, as Chief Executive Officer Eric Meurice said on a conference call that he expects a “steady increase in profitability,” even as the producer of machines for chipmakers joined Applied Materials Inc. and Intel Corp. in predicted a weaker chip market.
Nordea rose 2.4 percent to 62.05 kronor after saying second-quarter profit jumped 17 percent as an increase in lending income outweighed higher loan losses. Net income rose to 820 million euros from 698 million euros a year earlier, the Stockholm-based lender said in a statement. That beat the 722 million-euro average estimate of analysts.
U.S. stocks rose for a second day after companies from Intel Corp. (INTC) to Honeywell International Inc. reported profit that beat estimates and housing starts increased to the fastest rate in almost four years.
Housing starts rose 6.9 percent last month to a 760,000 annual pace after a revised 711,000 rate in May that was faster than initially estimated, the Commerce Department reported.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke reiterated during his second day of testimony to Congress that the U.S. fiscal situation is “unsustainable.” The central bank said in its survey that is based on reports from its 12 district banks that the world’s largest economy expanded at a “modest to moderate” pace in June and early July, as retail sales and manufacturing cooled in some regions.
Intel rallied 3.3 percent to $26.21 after reporting second- quarter profit was 54 cents a share, exceeding the average analyst estimate by 2 cents. The world’s largest semiconductor maker also scaled back its annual sales forecast as personal- computer demand fails to rebound among consumers in the U.S. and Europe.
Honeywell gained 6.7 percent to $58.18. The company reported second-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates, driven by sales in its aerospace unit. The company, which sells airplane parts from navigational systems to brakes, is benefiting from an increase in aircraft production as Boeing Co., Airbus SAS and other plane makers seek to whittle down large backlogs of orders.
Resistance 3: Y79.40 (Jul 13 high, MA (50) D1)
Resistance 2: Y79.10 (Jul 17 high , MA (200) H1)
Resistance 1: Y78.70 (Jul 16 low)
Current price: Y78.60
Support 1: Y78.45 (session low)
Support 2: Y78.00/10 (area of June 4-5 lows)
Support 3: Y77.65 (Jun 1 low)
Resistance 3: Chf0.9850 (Jul 17 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9830 (Jul 11 and 18 highs)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9795 (MA (200) H1)
Current price: Chf0.9770
Support 1: Chf0.9750/60 (area of Jul 17 low and the session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9735 (Jul 10 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9685 (Jul 6 low)
Resistance 3: $ 1.5775 (Jun 20 high, MA (100) D1)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5720 (Jul 2 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5675 (Jul 17 high)
Current Price: $ 1.5656
Support 1: $ 1.5580 (Jul 18 low)
Support 2: $ 1.5555 (Jul 17 low, MA (200) H1)
Support 3: $ 1.5515 (Jul 16 low)
Resistance 3: $ 1.2400 (Jul 6 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.2335 (Jul 10 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2305/15 (area of Jul 17-18 highs )
Current Price: $ 1.2286
Support 1: $ 1.2260 (MA (200) H1)
Support 2: $ 1.2215 (Jul 18 low)
Support 3: $ 1.2175 (Jul 16 low)
Change % Change Last
Gold 1,573 -17 -1.04%
Oil 89.95 +0.73 +0.82%
Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 8,726.74 -28.26 -0.32%
S&P/ASX 200 4,123.6 -17.20 -0.42%
Shanghai Composite 2,163.96 +2.78 +0.13%
FTSE 100 5,685.77 +56.68 +1.01%
CAC 40 3,235.4 +58.43 +1.84%
DAX 6,684.42 +106.78 +1.62%
Dow 12,909 +103 +0.81%
Nasdaq 2,943+ 33 +1.12%
S&P 500 1,373 +9 +0.67%
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2294 +0,05%
GBP/USD $1,5663 +0,10%
USD/CHF Chf0,9768 -0,06%
USD/JPY Y78,54 -0,69%
EUR/JPY Y96,55 -0,64%
GBP/JPY Y123,00 -0,58%
AUD/USD $1,0385 +0,80%
NZD/USD $0,8010 +0,52%
USD/CAD C$1,0090 -0,35%
01:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter II -1 -2
04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m May +0.1% -0.2%
06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance June 2.48 2.21
08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln May 4.6 5.3
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) June +1.4% +0.6%
08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) June +2.4% +2.3%
12:30 Canada Wholesale Sales, m/m May +1.5% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 350 370
14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales June 4.55 4.65
14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey July -16.6 -7.7
14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators June +0.3% -0.1%
23:15 Australia RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks -
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