Новини ринків

Gold $1,290.50 +4.30 +0.33%

ICE Brent Crude Oil $110.39 +1.28 +1.17%

Nikkei 14,404.99 -141.28 -0.97%

Hang Seng 22,562.8 +53.16 +0.24%

Shanghai Composite 2,057.03 -10.35 -0.50%

S&P 1,878.61 +3.22 +0.17%

NASDAQ 4,148.34 +21.37 +0.52%

Dow 16,501.65 0.00 0.00%

FTSE 1,343.27 +4.43 +0.33%

CAC 4,479.54 +28.46 +0.64%

EUR/USD $1,3831 +0,11%

GBP/USD $1,6800 +0,13%

USD/CHF Chf0,8815 -0,19%

USD/JPY Y102,27 -0,24%

EUR/JPY Y141,45 -0,13%

GBP/JPY Y171,80 -0,12%

AUD/USD $0,9262 -0,27%

NZD/USD $0,8565 -0,63%

00:00 Australia Bank holiday                 

00:00 New Zealand     Bank holiday                 

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m February +1.0% -0.5%     

08:00 Switzerland SNB Chairman Jordan Speaks                 

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) March +1.7% -0.4%     

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) March +3.7% +3.8%     

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals March 47.6 48.9     

13:43 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) April 55.3 56.2     

European stock markets lost a part of their gains after Russian military started exercises along its border with Ukraine. In the morning, European markets were supported by the speech of European Central Bank president Mario Draghi. Mario Draghi said at a banking conference in Amsterdam the European Central Bank could trigger new quantitative stimulus measures to combating the threat of deflation and the credit crunch. A strong euro could also trigger additional action by the central bank.

Alstom SA (ALO) shares increased 13% because of the rumours General Electric Co. want to acquire Alstom.

Telekom Austria shares climbed 6.7% after America Movil announced that the company want to acquire the outstanding shares in Telekom Austria.

Name                                   Price                                    Change                 Change %

FTSE 100                             6,700.8                               +26.06                      +0.39% 

DAX                                     9,545.39                              +1.20                       +0.01%

CAC 40                                4,476.22                              +25.44                     +0.56%

Oil prices rose moderately , as the dispute between Russia and Ukraine on the West increased concerns about oil supplies.

According to media reports , in the east of Ukraine Slovyansk go armed clashes between the military forces of Ukraine and local self- reported 5 killed by militias . Guide Donetsk 's Republic announced a general mobilization in the region in connection with the operation of Ukrainian security officials, saying that it is a civil war. Meanwhile , Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the use of the Ukrainian authorities of the armed forces against their own people will have serious consequences . Russia in response to the situation in the south- east of Ukraine began military exercises battalion tactical groups in southern and western military districts.

Experts point out that further escalation of tensions can lead to devastating economic sanctions , which increases the risk of disruptions in the supply of Russian gas , which affects Europe . Russia is also one of the world's largest oil producers.

Meanwhile, adding that the increase in crude oil inventories in the United States to the highest value since 1982 , as stated in yesterday's government data to keep prices in check. Note that the price of Brent crude oil is still increased by almost 6 percent compared to the five-month low at $ 103.95 , which was recorded on April 2.

June futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to $ 102.08 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

June futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture fell 76 cents to $ 110.00 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

Gold prices have risen markedly today returned with all previously lost ground, which was due to the escalation of tension between Russia and Ukraine.

" Because of the situation in south-east Ukraine began teaching Russian troops." The Minister and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said before a meeting of the board of the military department . According to him, on Thursday in the border regions of Ukraine began teaching battalion tactical groups combined arms southern and western military districts. Work out issues committing troops march under their own power , and deployment to perform assigned tasks .

" The sudden increase in tensions in the Ukraine would support the market , especially at a time when traders are waiting for an event that would have tipped the market to increase or decrease ," - said Phillip Futures investment analyst Joyce Liu .

I also add that the decline in investment demand causes an outflow of funds backed by gold exchange-traded funds . Stocks of the largest of them SPDR Gold Trust last week decreased by 9.3 tons.

The course of today's trading also affected the U.S. data , which showed that the number of Americans applying for first time unemployment benefits rose last week , becoming a sign of increasing the number of layoffs after they touched the seven-year low earlier this month . The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits , a measure of layoffs, increased by 24,000 to a seasonally adjusted 329,000 in the week ended April 19. This was stated by the Ministry of Labour on Thursday . Weekly gain was the biggest since December. Economists had expected 309,000 new claims last week. The number of calls for the previous week was revised higher by 1000 to 305,000 . Labor Department said that there were no special factors influencing the latest data.

June futures on COMEX gold rose to $ 1291.30 .

The U.S. durable goods orders rose 2.6% in March from 2.2% in February. It is the highest increase since November 2013. The projected figure was 2.2%. Durable goods orders in February were revised down to a 2.1% from 2.2%.

Durable goods orders excluding transportation climbed 2.0% in March from 0.2% in February. Analysts forecasted the increase of 0.6%.

The number of initial jobless claims rose 24,000 to 329,000 for the week ended April 19. The number of people still receiving benefits declined 61,000 to 2.68 million in the week ended April 12. This is the lowest level since December 2007. It is a good omen that the unemployment rate could drop in April. The unemployment rate in March was 6.7%.

EUR/USD $1.3775, $1.3785, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3860, $1.3900

USD/JPY Y101.95-102.00, Y102.05-10, Y102.25, Y102.50, Y103.00, Y103.50

EUR/JPY Y140.95

EUR/GBP stg0.8200, stgt0.8295-0.8300

EUR/CHF Chf1.2150, Chf1.2250-60

USD/CAD C$1.1090

U.S. stock futures show strong gains as better-than-estimated earnings from Apple (AAPL) Inc. and Facebook (FB) Inc. boosted optimism that stocks will continue to rise.

Global markets:

Nikkei 14,404.99 -141.28 -0.97%

Hang Seng 22,562.8 +53.16 +0.24%

Shanghai Composite 2,057.03 -10.35 -0.50%

FTSE 6,719.49 +44.75 +0.67%

CAC 4,487.04 +35.96 +0.81%

DAX 9,569.88 +25.69 +0.27%

Crude oil $101.65 (+0.19%)

Gold $1273.10 (-0.92%)

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)

Upgrades:

Apple (AAPL) upgraded to Buy from Outperform at Credit Agricole

Downgrades:

Other:

Boeing (BA) target raised to $145 from $138 at RBC Capital Mkts

Facebook (FB) target raised to $86 from $76 at RBC Capital Mkts

Oppenheimer reiterated Facebook (FB) at Outperform, target raised from $70 to $79

Jefferies reiterated Facebook (FB) at Buy, target raised from $80 to $85

FBR Capital  reiterated Facebook (FB) at Outperform, target raised from $67 to $77

RBC Capital Mkts reiterated Apple (AAPL) at Outperform, target raised from $590 to $625

Cowen reiterated Apple (AAPL) at Outperform, target raised from $590 to $630

Mizuho reiterated Apple (AAPL) at Buy, target raised from $575 to $625

Economic calendar:

06:00    Switzerland        Trade Balance                      March    2.62      2.79       2.05

08:00    Germany            IFO - Business Climate           April      110.7    110.5     111.2

08:00    Germany            IFO - Current Assessment      April      115.2    115.7     115.3

08:00    Germany            IFO - Expectations                April      106.4    105.9     107.3

09:00    Eurozone             ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks                                                     

10:00    United Kingdom    CBI retail sales volume balance    April        13          18           30

The euro traded mixed. The euro was supported by German IFO business climate. The index climbed to 111.2 in April from 110.7 in March. The projected figure was 110.5 points. But later, the Eurozone currency declined after the speech of the European Central Bank president Mario Draghi. Mario Draghi said that the central bank could trigger new quantitative stimulus measures to combating the threat of deflation and the credit crunch. A strong euro could also be a reason for additional action.

The U.S. dollar strengthened against the most major currencies ahead the publication of unemployment claims and core durable goods orders.

The British pound climbed a little against the U.S. dollar. The better-than-expected CBI retail sales volume balance figure supported the British currency. The CBI retail sales index rose to 30 in April from 13 in March. Analysts forecasted the increase to 18.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair climbed a little

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30  U.S.                          Durable Goods Orders                                 March  +2.2% +2.1%

12:30  U.S.                          Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation     March  +0.2% +0.6%

12:30  U.S.                          Durable goods orders ex defense                 March  +1.8%           

12:30  U.S.                          Initial Jobless Claims                                     April     304     309    

16:15  Eurozone                 ECB’s Vitor Constancio Speaks                                           

23:30  Japan                      Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y                  April     +1.3%           

23:30  Japan                      Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y                       April     +1.0% +2.8%

23:30  Japan                       National Consumer Price Index, y/y              March  +1.5%           

23:30  Japan                       National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y                   March  +1.3% +1.4%

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3900, $1.3880-85, $1.3860/65

Bids  $1.3785/75, $1.3765/60, $1.3705/00

GBP/USD

Offers  $1.6900, $1.6870/80, $1.6840/50

Bids  $1.6765-60, $1.6750/45, $1.6680

AUD/USD

Offers  $0.9395/00, $0.9350,  $0.9305/10

Bids  $0.9250, $0.9220, $0.9200

EUR/JPY

Offers  Y142.80, Y142.50, Y142.00

Bids  Y141.20, Y141.00

USD/JPY

Offers  Y102.95/00, Y102.65/70

Bids  Y102.25/20, Y102.00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50

EUR/GBP

Offers  stg0.8330/35

Bids  stg0.8190-80, stg0.8150

European stocks climbed supported by the better-than-expected first quarter results of Apple and Facebook. The revenue of Facebook increased 72%. German IFO business climate had also a positive influence on stock markets. The index climbed to 111.2 in April from 110.7 in March. The projected figure was 110.5 points.

The European Central Bank president Mario Draghi said at a banking conference in Amsterdam the European Central Bank could trigger new quantitative stimulus measures to combating the threat of deflation and the credit crunch. A strong euro could also trigger additional action by the central bank.

Alstom SA (ALO) shares increased 11% because of the rumours General Electric Co. want to acquire Alstom.

Michelin & Cie. - Europe’s largest tiremaker – declined 3.1% after announcing the worse-than-expected revenue in the first quarter.

Scania AB shares jumped 10% after the fourth-largest owner backed the Volkswagen’s bid.

Current figures:

Name                                   Price                                    Change                 Change %

FTSE 100                              6,716.99                              42.25                     0.63%  

DAX                                       9,610.79                              66.60                     0.70%

CAC 40                                  4,491.15                              40.07                     0.70%

EUR/USD $1.3775, $1.3785, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3860, $1.3900

USD/JPY Y101.95-102.00, Y102.05-10, Y102.25, Y102.50, Y103.00, Y103.50

EUR/JPY Y140.95

EUR/GBP stg0.8200, stgt0.8295-0.8300

EUR/CHF Chf1.2150, Chf1.2250-60

USD/CAD C$1.1090

Asian stock markets traded mixed again. The Japanese index Nikkei 225 dropped after the Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said that a US-Japan free trade deal had not been finalised yet. There are also concerns about the U.S. economy after the yesterday’s weaker-than-expected figures from the U.S. housing market.

Indexes on the close:

Nikkei 225                    14,404.99   -141.28      -0.97%

Hang Seng                   22,562.8     +53.16     +0.24%

Shanghai Composite    2,057.03     -10.35        -0.50%

Economic calendar (GMT0):

06:00    Switzerland        Trade Balance                      March    2.62      2.79       2.05

08:00    Germany            IFO - Business Climate           April      110.7    110.5     111.2

08:00    Germany            IFO - Current Assessment      April      115.2    115.7     115.3

08:00    Germany            IFO - Expectations                April      106.4    105.9     107.3

The U.S. dollar was weaker against the most major currencies. The U.S. currency remains under pressure after the yesterday’s disappointing figures from the U.S. housing market.

The Australian dollar climbed a little against the U.S. dollar. There were no impulses (the lack of economic data) that could influence the currency.

The New Zealand dollar increased against the U.S. dollar and reached a one-week high of $0.8638. The reason for the strength of New Zealand dollar was the hike of interest rate by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The central bank raised its interest rate to 3.0% from 2.75%. This decision was expected by market participants. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand governor Graeme Wheeler said this move is necessary because of the inflationary pressures. The likelihood is very high that the central bank will hike interest rates again in June.

The Japanese Yen was up against the U.S. dollar after the Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said that a US-Japan free trade deal had not been finalised yet.

EUR/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.3825

GBP/USD: the currency pair was up to $1.6790

USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y102.25

NZD/USD: the currency pair increased to $0.8638

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

09:00  Eurozone                  ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks                                    

10:00  United Kingdom        CBI retail sales volume balance                    April     13       18       

12:30  U.S.                          Durable Goods Orders                                 March  +2.2% +2.1% 

12:30  U.S.                          Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation     March  +0.2% +0.6% 

12:30  U.S.                          Durable goods orders ex defense                 March  +1.8%            

12:30  U.S.                          Initial Jobless Claims                                     April     304     309     

16:15  Eurozone                 ECB’s Vitor Constancio Speaks                                           

23:30  Japan                      Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y                  April     +1.3%            

23:30  Japan                      Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y                       April     +1.0% +2.8% 

23:30  Japan                       National Consumer Price Index, y/y              March  +1.5%            

23:30  Japan                       National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y                   March  +1.3% +1.4%

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3900 (2181)

$1.3875 (1549)

$1.3857 (1167)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3823

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3795 (114)

$1.3764 (859)

$1.3739 (1505)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 25944  contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (2871);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 32182 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3600 (3902);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.24 versus 1.23 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 23.

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.7001 (1262)

$1.6902 (1613)

$1.6806 (1713)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6785

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.6696 (777)

$1.6598 (1300)

$1.6499 (1228)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 16873 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6800 (1713);

- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 19331 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (1870);

- Theratio of PUT/CALLwas 1.15 versus 1.10 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 23.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.