Новини ринків

The euro rose against the dollar and the yen, after a five-day decline against the backdrop of a member of the Board of the ECB statement on the provision of the European Fund for Saving the banking license.

Also, the single currency has strengthened against most of the 16 most traded currencies, as the profitability of Spanish and Italian bonds fell against the backdrop of optimism, as the European Stability Fund will help to curb the debt crisis in the region. Yield of 10-year bond fell to Spain's 25 basis points to 7.38% level, while the Italian has declined by 15 basis points to 6.45%. The euro rose against the dollar after data showed that sales of new U.S. homes unexpectedly fell in June. The pound fell sharply against the dollar, which was caused by the publication of data on GDP, according to which the UK economy is shrinking the third consecutive quarter.

The Canadian dollar has appreciated significantly during the day against the dollar, updating the previous day at least, that was caused by weak data from USA.

European stocks continued their decline, which has already lasted four days in a row. The fall was caused by walked out of the UK data, which showed that the economy in the second quarter declined most rapidly in the last three years, and data on the U.S. for the sale of new buildings that unexpectedly fell last month.

Shares of BT Group Plc (BT) fell 3.3% after the largest telecommunications provider in the UK announced a reduction of profits. Drax Group Plc (DRX) fell by 15% after the British government raised its subsidies for renewable energy by offering less financial support than predicted. Daimler AG (DAI) rose 4.1% after it became known that in the second quarter, sales increased by 10% to 28.9 billion euros ($ 35 billion). The third-largest producer of luxury cars also said that earnings before interest and taxes amounted to 2.24 billion euros, compared with analysts' expectations at 2.2 billion euros.

Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell 0.1% to 250.39 at the close of trading.

Resistance of 3:1640 (high of June)

Resistance of 2:1624 (high of July)

Resistance of 1:1612 (resistance line from Jun 6)

Current Price: 1602.10

Support 2:1566 (support line from May 16)

Support 2: 1548 (low of June)

Support 3: 1527 (low of May)

During the day, crude oil futures showed a small increase, approaching with up to $ 89 per barrel in anticipation of the change of information on oil reserves according to the Ministry of Energy, which indicate the level of immediate demand for fuel.

Rise in oil prices also helped the positive sentiment in global markets, which led to an increase in stock indices around the world.

Despite the optimism, the price of oil fell from a high of $ 106 per barrel, nearly three months against the backdrop of slowing global economy, as well as due to the fact that Europe was mired in debt crisis, the growth in China has decreased, and the recovery in the U.S. slowed.

It is also a significant effect on the price of oil has a conflict in Syria, as well as the outstanding differences between the Western powers and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program. supported by the oil. On this, the current tensions in the Middle East should not produce any sharp drop in prices.

But despite the rise throughout the day, quotes, oil futures on NYMEX fell 1% against the data on reserves, and reached a session low near $ 87.50. According to information from the Ministry of Energy, crude oil stocks rose 2.7 million barrels.

The cost of the September futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) on the NYMEX is now at $ 87.35 per barrel.

September futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture dropped to $ 102.85 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange.

Gold rose on Wednesday as the dollar dipped to session lows against the euro and stock markets extended gains, after Spain and France said the common strategy for euro area stability included the adoption of a supervisory mechanism for banks.

The euro quickly recovered ground it lost earlier against the dollar, allowing gold to move back above $1,600 an ounce for the first time since July 10, while stocks rose in Europe and opened higher on Wall Street.

Also on the rise in the price impact of the ECB comments Ewald Nowotny, who said that he saw no grounds for granting the European Fund for Saving the banking license, which would get cheap funding from the ECB, after which the ECB said that the EFS can eventually get a banking license .

Gold has been particularly sensitive to moves in the wider financial markets in the absence of direction from physical demand, which has been weak in recent months. It tends to benefit from dollar weakness and sharper appetite for risk.

Gold has held in a $75 range so far in July, its narrowest monthly spread since April. Weak seasonal buying in some Asian markets, waning inflows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds and caution among investors have limited price gains.

Physical gold traders in number one consumer India stayed on the sidelines after prices extended gains for a third straight day to hit their highest level in more than two weeks.

The cost of the August gold futures on the COMEX today has grown to a value of $1606.4, and then slightly decreased and now stands at 1600.2 dollars per ounce.

Resistance 3:90,10 (61,8% FIBO 92,00-87,10)

Resistance 2:89,50 (high of U.S. session on Jul 23, 50,0% FIBO 92,00-87,10)

Resistance 1:88,80 (session high, Jul 24 high)

Current Price: 87.34

Support 1:87,10 (session lows, Jul 17 and 24 lows)

Support 2:86,70 (61.8% FIBO 83.50-92.00)

Support 3:85,80 (MA (50) for D1)

Currently the pair is trading at $ 1.2125

Resistance 3:1353 / 56 (Jul 23 high, MA (100) for D1)

Resistance 2:1346 / 48 (Jul 24 high, MA (200) for H1)

The resistance of 1:1340 (session high)

Current Price: 1332.00

Support 1:1321 / 19 (low of July, 50,0% FIBO 1265-1375, bottom line of up channel from Jun 4)

Support 3:1314 (MA (200) for D1)

Support 3:1307 (61,8% FIBO 1265-1375)

Комментарии: фьючерс отступил от июльских минимумов и вернулся выше МА(50) для D1. Для продолжения снижения фьючерсу необходимо преодолеть сильные области поддержку 1321/19 и 1314.

The next support level is $ 1.5390/10 (area of Jul 12-13 lows)

EUR/USD $1.2000, $1.2050, $1.2075, $1.2100

USD/JPY Y77.75

GBP/USD $1.5425

AUD/USD $1.0350

AUD/JPY Y78.95

U.S. stock futures are mixed, but the market is firm as companies including Caterpillar Inc. and Boeing Co. (BA) raised their forecasts after better-than-estimated earnings.
European Central Bank council member Ewald Nowotny said there are arguments in favor of giving Europe’s rescue fund a banking license, reviving the debate on bolstering its firepower as leaders face the prospect of a full-scale Spanish bailout.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei  8,365.9 -122.19 -1.44%
Hang Seng 18,877.33 -25.87 -0.14%
Shanghai Composite 2,136.15 -10.44 -0.49%
FTSE  5,519.22 +19.99 +0.36%
CAC 3,104.73 +30.05 +0.98%
DAX 6,465.95 +75.54 +1.18%
Crude oil $88.79 (+0,33%)
Gold 1.53% $1600.30

Data:

08:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate July 105.3 104.8 103.3

08:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment July 113.9 113.0 111.6

08:00 Germany IFO - Expectations July 97.3 96.8 95.6

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (preliminary) Quarter II -0.3% -0.2% -0.7%

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (preliminary) Quarter II -0.2% -0.3% -0.8%

10:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance July -11 -10 -6

During the European session, the euro rose despite weak data on the index of business sentiment in Germany, which fell more economists forecast in July to a minimum by more than 2 years, since the worsening of the debt crisis affected the economic outlook and the company's profits. Index Ifo institute business climate fell to 103.3 in July from 105.2 in June, registering its third consecutive decline and reached the lowest level since March 2010. According to the average forecast of economists expected a more modest decline to 104.5.

Support the single currency has had a performance management board member of the European Central Bank Ewald Nowotny, who said Wednesday that it sees no reason for granting a permanent fund with a banking license in Europe, although the ECB has so far rejected this idea. Also, the euro responded positively to the comments that the EU is going to move forward on the issue of banking supervision at the beginning of September.

The British pound fell after data showed that UK GDP in the second quarter, according to preliminary data, decreased by 0.7% q / q, is expected to decline by 0.2% k / k

EUR / USD: the pair rose to the level of $ 1.2170

GBP / USD: on the news about of GDP the pair rose to $ 1.5551, and then fell to $ 1.5467

USD / JPY: the pair is trading in a range of Y78.10 - Y78.28

EUR/USD
Offers   $1.2275/80, $1.2240/50, $1.2200/10, $1.2180, $1.2150/60
Bids  $1.2040,  $1.2010/00

EUR/JPY
Offers   Y96.00, Y95.50, Y95.20
Bids Y94.45/40, Y94.00, Y93.50

AUD/USD
Offers  $1.0375/80, $1.0350, $1.0300
Bids $1.0200, $1.0180/70, $1.0150

EUR/GBP
Offers   stg0.7920/30, stg0.7895/900, stg0.7880/85, stg0.7845/55  
Bids stg0.7755/50, stg0.7735/30, stg0.7700/690

USD/JPY
Offers  Y79.00, Y78.80, Y78.45/50
Bids Y77.90, Y77.50

GBP/USD

Offers  $1.5690/700, $1.5640/50, $1.5625/30, $1.5600, $1.5575/85

Bids $1.5455/50

Resistance 3: Y79.02 (Jul 17 high)

Resistance 2: Y78.72 (MA (200) H1)

Resistance 1: Y78.50 (Jul 23 high)

Current price: Y78.22

Support 1: Y77.93 (Jul 23 low)

Support 2: Y77.65 (Jun 1 low)

Support 3: Y77.35 (Feb 14 low)

Resistance 3: Chf1.0070 (Nov 2010 high)

Resistance 2: Chf1.0000 (psychological level)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9970 (Jul 24 high)

Current price: Chf0.9873

Support 1: Chf0.9845 (MA (200) H1)

Support 2: Chf0.9795 (Jul 13 low)

Support 3: Chf0.9745 (Jul 17, 19 low)

Resistance 3: $ 1.5715 (Jul 19, 20 high)

Resistance 2: $ 1.5615 (session high)

Resistance 1: $ 1.5570 (MA (200) H1)

Current Price: $ 1.5504

Support 1: $ 1.5465 (session low)

Support 2: $ 1.5390/10 (area of Jul 12-13 lows) 

Support 3: $ 1.5320 (Jun 5 low)

Resistance 3: $ 1.2320 (area of July 17, 19 high)

Resistance 2 $ 1.2260 (July 13 high)

Resistance 1: $ 1.2200 (MA(200) H1)

Current Price: $ 1.2138

Support 1: $ 1.2040 (July 23 low)

Support 2: $ 1.2000 (psychological level)

Support 3: $ 1.1925 (Jun 9 low)

European stocks were little changed, following a three-day decline, as a report showed the U.K. economy shrank the most in three years last quarter, offsetting a rally by carmakers.

In the U.K., the economy shrank for a third quarter in the three months through June, deepening the country’s double-dip recession. Gross domestic product fell 0.7 percent from the first quarter, the Office for National Statistics said today. Economists had forecast a 0.2 percent drop.

In Germany, a gauge of business confidence slipped in July to the lowest level since March 2010. The Ifo institute’s business climate index, based on a survey of 7,000 executives, dropped to 103.3 from 105.2 in June.

Peugeot climbed 3.6 percent to 6.47 euros after Europe’s second-biggest carmaker posted a first-half operating profit of 4 million euros ($4.9 million), down from 1.16 billion euros a year earlier. The average estimate of analysts ihad called for a loss of 38 million euros.

Daimler AG advanced 3.6 percent to 37.43 euros after saying second-quarter sales increased 10 percent to 28.9 billion euros. The world’s third-largest maker of luxury cars also posted earnings before interest and taxes of 2.24 billion euros, in line with the 2.2 billion-euro average of analyst estimates.

ArcelorMittal gained 1.9 percent to 11.96 euros after the company posted second-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of $2.4 billion, compared with $3.4 billion a year earlier. That was higher than the $2.1 billion median forecast of analysts.

FTSE 100 5,509.16 +9.93 +0.18%         

CAC 40 3,093.08    +18.40 +0.60%               

DAX 6,419.73         +29.32 +0.46%           

• Germany alloted E2.322bln 30-year benchmark 2.50% July 2044 Bund Wednesday at an average yield of 2.17% (2.62%) and covered 1.5 times (1.1).

EUR/USD $1.2000, $1.2050, $1.2075, $1.2100

USD/JPY Y77.75

GBP/USD $1.5425

AUD/USD $1.0350

AUD/JPY Y78.95

Asian stocks fell, with the regional benchmark index headed for a four-day loss, amid concern Europe’s crisis is worsening and as the International Monetary Fund said China’s economy faces significant downside risks.

Nikkei 225 8,365.9 -122.19 -1.44%

S&P/ASX 200 4,123.9 -9.33 -0.23%

Shanghai Composite 2,136.15 -10.44 -0.49%

Suppliers to Apple Inc. tumbled after the company reported earnings that missed estimates.

Hutchison Whampoa Ltd., an operator of ports and retail chains that gets 55 percent of its revenue in Europe, fell 2.4 percent in Hong Kong.

Toshiba Corp. paced losses among Apple suppliers. Sony Corp., Japan’s No. 1 exporter of consumer electronics, dropped to the lowest since 1980 after a report showed Japan had an unexpected trade surplus in June.

Gome Electrical Appliances Holding Ltd., China’s second-biggest electronics retailer, plunged to an all-time low in Hong Kong after forecasting a first-half loss.

01:30 Australia CPI, q/q Quarter II +0.1% +0.6% +0.5%

01:30 Australia CPI, y/y Quarter II +1.6% +1.3% +1.2%

Euro drops the fifth day against the yen, while showing the longest decline since May amid speculation that the sovereign debt crisis in Europe is worsening.

Also on the decline of the single currency affect the weak data on the index of business activity in the euro area. The European currency fell to its lowest level against the yen over the past 11 years.

The euro fell below 1.21 against the dollar after ratings agency Moody 's downgraded the credit rating outlook for Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg with a "stable" to "negative", amid escalating worries about the crisis in the region.

The Swiss franc also continued to decline, and had almost approached parity with the dollar for the first time since December 2010 against the backdrop of the financial crisis in Europe.

The Australian dollar rose against the dollar for the first time three days after the growth of China's manufacturing index strengthened the export prospects for the country.

Canadian dollar against the dollar during the U.S. session shows a rapid and steady growth, even despite the fact that the published data on retail sales were above expectations.

Asian stocks swung between gains and losses after a private survey showed China’s manufacturing may contract at a slower pace this month and Moody’s Investors Service cut the credit outlook for Germany.

Nikkei 225 8,488.09 -20.23 -0.24%

S&P/ASX 200 4,133.23 +4.29 +0.10%

Shanghai Composite 2,146.59 +5.19 +0.24%

China Railway Construction Corp. Ltd., builder of more than half of the nation’s rail links since 1949, gained 1.8 percent in Hong Kong after signing 20 billion yuan ($3.1 billion) in new contracts.

Nintendo Co., a maker of video-game players that depends on Europe for 34 percent of its sales, dropped 2.1 percent.

SK Telecom Co., the biggest South Korean wireless operator, rose 6 percent in Seoul, after the company’s decision to eliminate some handset subsidies prompted speculation profit will increase.

European stocks retreated for a third day as Moody’s Investors Service lowered its credit outlook for Germany and a measure of manufacturing in the Richmond region of the U.S. plunged.

Elan Corp. tumbled 11 percent after the results of a study for an Alzheimer’s drug failed to show that patients’ symptoms improved. Royal KPN NV (KPN) fell 7.3 percent as the company cut its dividend forecast by 61 percent after quarterly net income missed analysts’ estimates. Swatch Group AG (UHR) gained 2.3 percent after posting sales and profit that increased. Man Group Plc (EMG) surged 4.1 percent after saying it will double its cost cuts.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP) slipped 0.5 percent to 250.57 at the close of trading in London.

Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg had the outlooks for their Aaa credit ratings lowered to negative by Moody’s after markets closed yesterday. The ratings company cited the risk that Greece will leave the 17-nation euro currency and the “increasing likelihood” of collective support for European countries such as Spain and Italy, according to a statement.

German manufacturing and services output contracted in July more than economists had forecast. An index based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry declined to 43.3 this month from 45 in June.

National benchmark indexes in 15 of the 18 western-European markets retreated today.

FTSE 100 5,499.23 -34.64 -0.63% CAC 40 3,074.68 -26.85 -0.87% DAX 6,390.41 -28.92 -0.45%

STMicroelectronics NV (STM) dropped 4.3 percent to 3.77 euros, after earlier declining as much as 7 percent. Europe’s largest chipmaker forecast third-quarter revenue will grow by about 2.5 percent, indicating sales will miss analysts’ estimates amid weaker demand for the company’s products.

Endesa SA (ELE) fell 5.8 percent to 11.63 euros.

Swatch rose 2.3 percent to 369.90 Swiss francs. The biggest maker of Swiss watches reported first-half profit that beat analysts’ estimates as sales of Omega and Longines timepieces to Chinese consumers increased.

Man Group rallied 4.1 percent to 72 pence. The world’s biggest publicly traded hedge fund manager also said it plans to sell fewer so-called guaranteed products that generate high commissions for employees.

Software AG (SOW) rallied 11 percent to 25.98 euros after the company raised the forecast for its Enterprise Transaction Systems in 2012. Germany’s second-biggest software maker also posted a 46 percent increase in revenue from its Business Process Excellence licenses in the second quarter.

SAP AG (SAP) climbed 3.5 percent to 50.77 euros. The largest maker of business-management software is beating rivals to contracts as companies limit their spending amid slowing economies.

Croda International Plc (CRDA) gained 6.1 percent to 2,364 pence, its lowest price since at least 1989. The maker of cosmetic ingredients reported first-half pretax profit before one-off items of 67.5 million pounds ($105 million). That beat the average estimate of 66.2 million pounds in a survey of analysts

Resistance 3: Y79.20 (Jul 17 high, MA (50) D1)

Resistance 2: Y78.70/80 (area of Jul 19- 20 highs, MA (200) H1)

Resistance 1: Y78.50 (Jul 23 high)

Current price: Y78.17

Support 1: Y78.05 (session low)

Support 2: Y77.95 (Jul 23 low)

Support 3: Y77.35 (Feb 14 low)

Resistance 3: Chf1.0065 (Dec 1 high)

Resistance 2: Chf1.0000 (psychological level)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9975 (Jul 24 high)

Current price: Chf0.9945

Support 1: Chf0.9910 (low of U.S. session)

Support 2: Chf0.9885 (Jul 23 low and Jul 20 high)

Support 3: Chf0.9835 (MA (200) H1)

Resistance 3: $ 1.5615 (Jul 23 high)

Resistance 2: $ 1.5585 (MA (200) H1, MA (50) D1)

Resistance 1: $ 1.5550 (Jul 24 high)

Current Price: $ 1.5508

Support 1: $ 1.5485 (Jul 23-24 lows)

Support 2: $ 1.5390/10 (area of Jul 12-13 lows)

Support 3: $ 1.5320 (Jun 5 low )

Resistance 3: $ 1.2205 (MA (200) H1)

Resistance 2: $ 1.2145 (Jul 23 high and Jul 20 low)

Resistance 1: $ 1.2115 (Jul 24 high)

Current Price: $ 1.2075

Support 1: $ 1.2040 (Jul 24 low)

Support 2: $ 1.2000 (psychological level)

Support 3: $ 1.1925 (Jun 9 low)

Change % Change Last

Gold 1,582 +11 +0.68%

Oil 92.30 +2.43 +2.70%

Change % Change Last

Nikkei 225 8,488.09 -20.23 -0.24%

S&P/ASX 200 4,133.23 +4.29 +0.10%

Shanghai Composite 2,146.59 +5.19 +0.24%

FTSE 100 5,499.23 -34.64 -0.63%

CAC 40 3,074.68 -26.85 -0.87%

DAX 6,390.41 -28.92 -0.45%

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2061 -0,45%

GBP/USD $1,5504 +0,02%

USD/CHF Chf ,9955 +0,44%

USD/JPY Y78,16 -0,20%

EUR/JPY Y94,27 -0,66%

GBP/JPY Y121,17 -0,19%

AUD/USD $1,0223 -0,32%

NZD/USD $0,7843 -0,43%

USD/CAD C$1,0216 +0,26%

01:30 Australia CPI, q/q Quarter II +0.1% +0.6% +0.5%

01:30 Australia CPI, y/y Quarter II +1.6% +1.3% +1.2%

08:00 Germany IFO - Business Climate July 105.3 104.8

08:00 Germany IFO - Current Assessment July 113.9 113.0

08:00 Germany IFO - Expectations July 97.3 96.8

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (preliminary) Quarter II -0.3% -0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (preliminary) Quarter II -0.2% -0.3%

10:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance July -11 -10

13:00 Belgium Business Climate July -13.2 -13.4

14:00 U.S. New Home Sales June 369 373

14:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories - -0.8

21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision - 2.50% 2.50%

21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement