European
stocks climbed ahead the publication of Eurozone’s inflation report on
Wednesday. Stock markets were supported by the better-than-expected earnings
reports. Market participants were unimpressed by the worse-than expected Spanish
unemployment rate and German CPI.
Spain’s
unemployment rate rose to 25.9% in the first quarter from 25.7% in the fourth
quarter of 2013. The fourth quarter figure was revised down from 26.0%.
Analysts forecasted the fall to 25.6%.
German CPI
decreased 0.2% in April (March: +0.3%). Analysts forecasted the decline of
0.1%.
Nordea Bank
AB shares jumped 3.5% due to its revenue increased 4.7% in the first quarter.
Statoil ASA
was up 4.5% after beating its earnings forecast.
Nokia Oyj
climbed 2.6 percent after naming a new chief executive officer.
PSA Peugeot
Citroen dropped 1.6%.
ABB Ltd.
shares - the world’s largest maker of power transformers - declined 7.1% after
reporting the 18% fall of its first-quarter net income.
Indexes on
the close:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE
100 6,769.91 +69.75 +1.04%
DAX 9,584.12 +137.76 +1.46%
The euro
traded dropped against the U.S. dollar due to the worse-than-expected German
CPI. German CPI decreased 0.2% in April (March: +0.3%). Analysts forecasted the
decline of 0.1%. The euro was also affected by the weak M3 money supply. M3
money supply in the Eurozone increased 1.1% in March (February: 1.3%). Analysts
forecasted the rise of 1.4%.
The U.S.
dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. S&P/Case-Shiller
home price index climbed at an annual rate of 12.9% in February. Analysts
forecasted the rise of 13.0%. The growth in January was 13.2%. The U.S. consumer
confidence declined to 82.3 in April. Analyst forecasted 82.9. March’s figure
was revised up to 83.9 from 83.2.
The British
pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The UK economy is continuing to
grow, but the growth was weaker than expected. The GDP was up 0.8% in the first
quarter. The annual rate of growth increased to 3.1%. It is fastest rate of
annual growth since the fourth quarter of 2007. The projected quarterly rate
was 0.9% and an annual growth of 3.2%.
The
Japanese yen dropped against the most major currency due to the falling demand
for the safe-haven currency. Market participants are waiting for monetary
policy statements by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
The
Canadian dollar climbed against most major currencies ahead the publication of
economic data later in the week.
The New
Zealand dollar was down against the U.S. dollar and has reached a
three-and-a-half week low on Tuesday. But later, New Zealand’s currency recovered
a part of its losses. The weaker-than-expected trade surplus and the
better-than-expected U.S. pending home sales had a negative impact on the New
Zealand’s currency. New Zealand's trade surplus increased to NZ$920 million in
March. But the figure in February was revised down to NZ$793 million from
NZ$818 million. The projected trade surplus was NZ$937 million.
The
Australian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the fall in iron-ore
prices and due to the better-than-expected U.S. pending home sales. But later, Australia’s
currency recovered a part of its losses.
West
Texas Intermediate and Brent oil rose after the U.S. and European Union added
to sanctions against Russia over the Ukraine crisis.
WTI
climbed as much as 1.3 percent. The U.S. put seven more people on its sanctions
list yesterday, including the head of OAO Rosneft, the state-run Russian oil
company. Crude stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI,
fell in 11 of the 12 weeks ended April 18, according to the Energy Information
Administration. Data tomorrow will probably show nationwide crude supplies
gained 1.1 million barrels to 398.8 million, based on the median response in a
Bloomberg survey.
“We’re
up on two factors today, the continuing crisis in Ukraine and speculation about
the U.S. storage numbers,” said Bob Yawger, director of the futures division at
Mizuho Securities USA Inc. in New York. “The focus of the market switches from
the Cushing number to the national total. Cushing supplies are at the lowest
level since 2009 already while total U.S. supply is approaching a massive 400
million barrels.”
WTI for
June delivery advanced $1.11, or 1.1 percent, to $101.95 a barrel a 9:58 a.m.
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Trading was 5.3 percent above the 100-day
average for the time of day.
Brent
for June settlement climbed $1.02, or 0.9 percent, to $109.14 a barrel on the
London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Trading was 2.7 percent above
average. The European benchmark traded at a $7.19 premium to WTI, compared with
$7.28 yesterday.

Gold prices rise on continued tensions in Ukraine and the new EU and U.S. sanctions against Russia .
Support for precious metals also had a weaker dollar after a report on consumer confidence in the United States . Data published by the Conference Board, showed that the preliminary index of consumer confidence fell slightly in April to a level of 82.3 points from 83.9 points in March ( final value ) . Economists were expecting the index to be 82.9 points. I also add that the index , which assesses the current situation , fell to 78.3 from 82.5 , while the expectations index remained virtually unchanged - 84.9 points, compared with 84.8 in March.
Meanwhile, from India - the world's second gold consumer after China - received news that may have a positive impact on the dynamics of the price of gold . Expects the All India Federation of Trade gems and jewelery (All India Gems & Jewellery Trade Federation), gold demand in the country will increase in connection with the religious festival of Akshaya Tritiya (Akshaya Trithiya), during which traditionally bought large quantities of gold . The festival will be held on Friday , May 2. However , analysts at Commerzbank expect the market to continue the current week sluggish dynamics as important data that could push prices up, come out only in the second half of the week . The first of these will be the results of the next meeting of the FOMC, which will be released on Wednesday . These are followed by PMI and ISM report U.S. Department of Labor .
June futures on COMEX gold rose to $ 1302.00 .

The
Conference Board published the U.S. consumer confidence today. The consumer
confidence declined to 82.3 in April. Analyst forecasted 82.9. March’s figure
was revised up to 83.9 from 83.2.
Lynn
Franco, Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board commented the
current figures: “Consumer confidence declined slightly in April, as consumers
assessed current business and labor market conditions less favorably than in
March”
S&P/Case-Shiller
home price index climbed at an annual rate of 12.9% in February. Analysts
forecasted the rise of 13.0%. The growth in January was 13.2%.
David M.
Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said that
the annual rate "cooled the most we've seen in some time."
EUR/USD $1.3750, $1.3785
USD/JPY Y102.20/25, Y102.40/50, Y102.65, Y102.75, Y102.80, Y103.00, Y103.75
AUD/USD $0.9225, $0.9240, $0.9250, $0.9265/70, $0.9290, $0.9300, $0.9373
GBP/USD $1.6710
USD/CAD Cad1.0960, Cad1.1000, Cad1.1075/80, Cad1.1155
EUR/CAF Chf1.2100, Chf1.2190, Chf1.2275
EUR/GBP stg0.8250
U.S. stock futures rose after earning results from Merck & Co. topped estimates and the Federal Reserve begins a two-day policy meeting.
Global markets:
Hang Seng 22,453.89 +321.36 +1.45%
Shanghai Composite 2,020.34 +16.85 +0.84%
FTSE 6,748.95 +48.79 +0.73%
CAC 4,486.99 +26.46 +0.59%
DAX 9,558.18 +111.82 +1.18%
Crude oil $101.27 (+0.73%)
Gold $1297.80 (-0.16%)
(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)
Visa | V | 201.45 | +0.01% | 1.1K |
General Electric Co | GE | 26.82 | +0.15% | 25.0K |
AT&T Inc | T | 35.14 | +0.17% | 1.4K |
Nike | NKE | 71.79 | +0.17% | 0.7K |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 193.50 | +0.19% | 5.2K |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 79.91 | +0.19% | 4.4K |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 126.00 | +0.21% | 7.5K |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 23.07 | +0.22% | 0.4K |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 100.53 | +0.22% | 0.7K |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 46.72 | +0.26% | 2.3K |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 101.47 | +0.30% | 3.8K |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 32.15 | +0.34% | 12.9K |
3M Co | MMM | 137.72 | +0.36% | 2.1K |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 80.46 | +0.36% | 0.1K |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 157.12 | +0.37% | 6.5K |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 101.71 | +0.37% | 0.3K |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 55.71 | +0.40% | 2.3K |
Intel Corp | INTC | 26.44 | +0.42% | 0.8K |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 41.04 | +0.42% | 9.7K |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 78.30 | +0.67% | 0.1K |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 105.00 | +0.71% | 0.5K |
Boeing Co | BA | 128.03 | +0.78% | 0.2K |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 57.15 | +0.83% | 14.1K |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 82.94 | 0.00% | 2.4K |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 40.96 | -0.17% | 3.3K |
Upgrades:
Hewlett-Packard Co (HPQ) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at Pacific Crest
Barrick Gold (ABX) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at HSBC Securities, target raised to $18 from $17
Downgrades:
Other:
Coca-Cola (KO) initiated at Buy at Nomura
Walt Disney (DIS) reiterated at Outperform at FBR Capital, target raised to $96 from $85
Economic
calendar (GMT0):
06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer
Confidence Survey May 8.5 8.5 8.5
08:00 Eurozone M3 money supply,
adjusted y/y March
+1.3% +1.4% +1.1%
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I +0.7%
+0.9% +0.8%
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter I +2.7%
+3.2% +3.1%
12:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) April +0.3% -0.1% -0.2%
12:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) April +1.0% +1.3% +1.1%
The euro traded
mixed against the U.S. dollar. M3 money supply in the Eurozone increased 1.1%
in March (February: 1.3%). Analysts forecasted the rise of 1.4%.
The U.S.
dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead the publication of S&P/Case-Shiller
home price indices and U.S. consumer confidence figures.
The British
pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The UK economy is continuing to
grow, but the growth was weaker than expected. The GDP was up 0.8% in the first
quarter. The annual rate of growth increased to 3.1%. It is fastest rate of
annual growth since the fourth quarter of 2007. The projected quarterly rate
was 0.9% and an annual growth of 3.2%.
The
Japanese yen dropped against the most major currency due to the falling demand
for the safe-haven currency.
The
Canadian dollar climbed against most major currencies.
EUR/USD:
the currency pair traded mixed
GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed
USD/JPY: the currency pair has reached Y102.78
USD/CAD: the currency pair has reached $1.0964
The most
important news that are expected (GMT0):
13:00 U.S.
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y March
+13.2% +12.9%
14:00 United Kingdom BOE Deputy Governor Andrew
Bailey Speaks
14:00 U.S. Consumer
confidence
April 82.3 82.9
19:30 Canada BOC Gov Stephen
Poloz Speaks
22:45 New Zealand Building Permits,
m/m
March -1.7%
23:05 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence April -5 -4
23:15 Japan Manufacturing
PMI
April 53.9
23:50 Japan Industrial Production
(MoM) (Preliminary) March -2.3%
+0.6%
23:50 Japan Industrial
Production (YoY) (Preliminary)
March +7.0%
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3950, $1.3930, $1.3900, $1.3880-85
Bids $1.3835, $1.3815, $1.3800, $1.3785/75, $1.3765/60
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6900, $1.6870/80, $1.6840/50
Bids $1.6775, $1.6765-60, $1.6750/45, $1.6680
AUD/USD
Offers $0.9395/00, $0.9350, $0.9315/20, $0.9300, $0.9260
Bids $0.9220, $0.9200, $0.9155/50, $0.9100
EUR/JPY
Offers Y143.00, Y142.90/00, Y142.80, Y142.50
Bids Y141.55/65, Y141.00, Y140.40/50, Y139.95/00
USD/JPY
Offers Y103.40, Y102.95/00, Y102.70/80
Bids Y102.00, Y101.85/80, Y101.50, Y101.30, Y101.00
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8390/00, stg0.8330, stg0.8300/10, stg0.8280
Bids stg0.8215, stg0.8190/80, stg0.8150, stg0.8100
European stocks climbed due to the better-than-expected earnings reports. Market participants were unimpressed by the worse-than expected Spanish unemployment rate. Spain’s unemployment rate rose to 25.9% in the first quarter from 25.7% in the fourth quarter of 2013. The fourth quarter figure was revised down from 26.0%. Analysts forecasted the fall to 25.6%.
Nordea Bank AB shares jumped 3.2% due to its revenue increased 4.7% in the first quarter.
Statoil ASA was up 4.0% after beating its earnings forecast.
Nokia Oyj climbed 7.1 percent after naming a new chief executive officer.
PSA Peugeot Citroen dropped 5.57% after offering stock to investors at 6.77 euros a share.
ABB Ltd. shares - the world’s largest maker of power transformers - declined 6.9% after reporting the 18% fall of its first-quarter net income.
Current figures:
Name Price Change Change %
FTSE 100 6,744.58 +44.42 +0.66%
DAX 9,555.4 +109.04 +1.15%
CAC 40 4,481.92 +21.39 +0.48%
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said today:
- The U.K. economy recovery is starting to “broaden”;
- There are early signs of sustainable recovery;
- UK central bank sees longer-term growth;
- BoE sees plenty of slack in the labor market.
The Office of National Statistics published that the GDP was up 0.8% in the first quarter. The annual rate of growth increased to 3.1%. It is fastest rate of annual growth since the fourth quarter of 2007. The projected quarterly rate was 0.9% and an annual growth of 3.2%.
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said today that the U.K. recovery is starting to “broaden” and there are early signs of sustainable recovery. Market participants are expecting the hike of interest rates in the next year.
The Office of National Statistics Chief Economist Joe Grice said that the economy is now only 0.6% below the pre-recession peak at the beginning of 2008. He added services are now 2% above the pre-recession peak but the production and construction sectors are still around 12% lower.
Asian stock markets showed a mixed trend. The Japanese stock market was closed for a public holiday. The Chinese stock indexes were up due to speculation that the government will take steps to boost the economy.
Indexes on the close:
Nikkei 225 closed
Hang Seng 22,453.89 + 321.36 +1.45%
Shanghai Composite 2,020.34 +16.85 +0.84%
Newcrest Mining dropped 3.1% caused by the price decline of the bullion.
Samsung Electronics declined 2% after reporting its weaker-than expected quarter results.
LG Electronics shares climbed almost 4%. The company’s operating profit increased 44% on a year earlier.EUR/USD $1.3750, $1.3785
USD/JPY Y102.20/25, Y102.40/50, Y102.65, Y102.75, Y102.80, Y103.00, Y103.75
AUD/USD $0.9225, $0.9240, $0.9250, $0.9265/70, $0.9290, $0.9300, $0.9373
GBP/USD $1.6710
USD/CAD Cad1.0960, Cad1.1000, Cad1.1075/80, Cad1.1155
EUR/CAF Chf1.2100, Chf1.2190, Chf1.2275
EUR/GBP stg0.8250
06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey May 8.5 8.5 8.5
08:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y March +1.3% +1.4% +1.1%
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter I +0.7% +0.9% +0.8%
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter I +2.7% +3.2% +3.1%
The U.S. dollar climbed against the most major currencies supported by Monday’s better-than-expected U.S. pending home sales. U.S. pending sales of existing homes climbed 3.4% in March from February. It is the first increase for the first time in nine months. Analysts forecasted the increase of 1.0%.
The New Zealand dollar was down against the U.S. dollar and has reached a three-and-a-half week low on Tuesday. The weaker-than-expected trade surplus and the better-than-expected U.S. pending home sales had a negative impact on the New Zealand’s currency. New Zealand's trade surplus increased to NZ$920 million in March. But the figure in February was revised down to NZ$793 million from NZ$818 million. The projected trade surplus was NZ$937 million.
The Australian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar due to the fall in iron-ore prices and due to the better-than-expected U.S. pending home sales.
The Japanese yen declined against the most major currencies. The Japanese stock market was closed for a public holiday.
EUR/USD: the currency pair was up to $1.3865
GBP/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.6815
USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed
NZD/USD: the currency pair has reached a three-and-a-half week low
The most important news that are expected (GMT0):
12:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Preliminary) April +0.3% -0.1%
12:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Preliminary) April +1.0% +1.3%
13:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y March +13.2% +12.9%
14:00 United Kingdom BOE Deputy Governor Andrew Bailey Speaks
14:00 U.S. Consumer confidence April 82.3 82.9
19:30 Canada BOC Gov Stephen Poloz Speaks
22:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m March -1.7%
23:05 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence April -5 -4
23:15 Japan Manufacturing PMI April 53.9
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Preliminary) March -2.3% +0.6%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Preliminary) March +7.0%
EUR / USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3940 (2200)
$1.3913 (2176)
$1.3893 (1460)
Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.3861
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3839 (63)
$1.3812 (1547)
$1.3789 (1082)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 26211 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4000 (3244);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 32535 contracts, with the maximum number of contractswith strike price $1,3600 (3834);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.24 versus 1.24 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 28.

GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.7100 (1364)
$1.7001 (1351)
$1.6903 (1612)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.6813
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.6698 (850)
$1.6599 (1321)
$1.6500 (1225)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 9 is 17071 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6800 (1759);
- Overall open interest on the PUT optionswith the expiration date May, 9 is 19575 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (1869);
- Theratio of PUT/CALLwas 1.15 versus 1.15 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 28.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
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