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26.02.2019, 10:58

Real yields in the USA declining - AmpGFX analyst

“US real yields peaked in November last year at 1.16%, falling to 0.74%, a low since August last year.  This has led a fall in a number of other countries’ real yields, including Australia and Canada. However, yields in the USA have fallen somewhat further in recent weeks, whereas they have stabilised in other countries. Lower US yields suggest that confidence in the US economy has faded, and the outlook for Fed policy is towards easing. 10-year real-yield spreads have been more correlated with exchange rates than short or long term nominal yield spreads over the last year. The recent fall in USA real yields points to downside risk for the USD.” Greg Gibbs, analyst at AmpGFX, said.

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