Market news
07.03.2019, 09:25

BoE MPC member Tenreyro: disorderly Brexit more likely to require loosening of monetary policy than tightening

  • easy to envisage other scenarios requiring opposite response

  • sterling would likely appreciate after a smooth Brexit, which would limit inflation pressure

  • will need a small amount of tightening over next 3 years after smooth Brexit

  • before voting for rate hikes, need to be confident of demand growing faster than supply, increase in domestic inflation pressure

  • i suspect UK economy ended 2018 with some amount of spare capacity

  • supply in UK has been growing in line with demand over past couple of years, if not slightly faster

  • trade tensions, US tariffs on china are biggest drivers of global slowdown

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