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- US Q1 GDP Preview: Banks expecting growth to rebound strongly
US Q1 GDP Preview: Banks expecting growth to rebound strongly
Most of the economists and researchers are expecting the US Q1 GDP to advance in between 2.2-2.5% despite the impact of the government shutdown.
“We expect GDP to advance 2.3% q/q saar in Q1, largely keeping with the economy’s Q4 pace. Despite a notable slowdown in consumer spending, we anticipate an offsetting shift from negative to positive contributions for net exports and government spending. Indeed, we expect the contribution to growth by private consumption to be around half of what it was in Q4 2018. Notably, and reflecting the recent pick-up in the housing sector, residential investment likely contributed positively to growth for the first time since 2017. All in, a more solid Q1 print suggests less impetus for a particularly large bounce back reflected in the Q2 GDP print.” - TD Securities said.
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