USD/CAD is a complex technical structure across the time frames and the following top-down analysis illustrates the prospects of a downside extension across the weekly, daily, 4-hour and hourly charts:

From a weekly perspective, we can see that the price has been attempting to retest the neckline of the M-formation but has so far struggled to bypass the offers which are leaving a bearish outlook for the lower time frames.

On the daily chart, we can see a similar scenario. It might be too premature to expect an immediate downside extension. However, there has been a significant restest of the bearish structure so further bullish attempts would be expected to be met with supply.

As for the 4-hour chart, there is room for a deeper correction into the 21-EMA and the 61.8% Fibo towards 1.2730 having already corrected to the 38.2% ratio. With that being said, the price seems to be climaxing around this level, 1.2705. If the bears press here, then it could be all downhill from here on.

Meanwhile, on the hourly chart, this area represents support. A break at this juncture will rhyme with the above scenarios for a downside run in a bearish hourly extension beyond the hourly lows of 1.2667.
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