Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bulls retain control near multi-month peak, around $24.50

• Silver edges higher for the third straight day and inches back closer to the multi-month top.
• The set-up favours bulls and supports prospects for an extension of the appreciating move.
• A convincing break below the $23.00 mark is needed to negate the near-term positive bias.

Silver prolongs the positive trend for the third straight day on Monday and steadily climbs back closer to its highest level since April 22 touched earlier this month. The white metal sticks to its intraday gains heading into the European session, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the $24.50-$24.55 area before placing fresh bets.

From a technical perspective, last week's bounce from the vicinity of the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart and a sustained strength above the $24.00 mark was seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. Furthermore, oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in the positive territory and are still far from being in the overbought zone. This, in turn, supports prospects for an extension of the appreciating move.

That said, RSI (14) on hourly charts hovers around the 70 mark (representing overbought conditions) and warrants some caution. Nevertheless, the stage still seems set for an eventual breakout through the $24.50-$24.55 region and a subsequent move towards reclaiming the $25.00 psychological mark for the first time since April 2022. Some follow-through buying has the potential to lift the XAG/USD to the $25.35-$25.40 hurdle.

On the flip side, the $24.10-$24.00 resistance breakpoint now seems to protect the immediate downside. Any further pullback is more likely to attract fresh buyers and remain limited near the 200-SMA on the 4-hour chart, currently around the $23.30-$23.25 area. This is followed by the $23.00 round figure, which if broken decisively will negate the positive outlook and shift the near-term bias in favour of bearish traders.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the fall towards the $22.60-$22.55 region and weaken further towards the next relevant support near the $22.10-$22.00 zone.

Silver 4-hour chart

Key levels to watch