Pare | Closed | % change |
EUR/USD | $1,1586 | -0,64% |
GBP/USD | $1,3017 | -0,82% |
USD/CHF | Chf0,99541 | +0,35% |
USD/JPY | Y111,63 | -0,04% |
EUR/JPY | Y129,34 | -0,68% |
GBP/JPY | Y145,325 | -0,86% |
AUD/USD | $0,7364 | -0,55% |
NZD/USD | $0,6742 | -0,75% |
USD/CAD | C$1,30215 | +0,16% |
Time | Country | Index | Period | Previous value | Forecast |
01:30 | Australia | Retail Sales, M/M | June | 0.4% | 0.3% |
01:45 | China | Markit/Caixin Services PMI | July | 53.9 | 54.0 |
07:15 | Switzerland | Consumer Price Index (MoM) | July | 0% | -0.3% |
07:15 | Switzerland | Consumer Price Index (YoY) | July | 1.1% | 1.2% |
07:50 | France | Services PMI (Finally) | July | 55.9 | 55.3 |
07:55 | Germany | Services PMI (Finally) | July | 54.5 | 54.5 |
08:00 | Eurozone | Services PMI (Finally) | July | 55.2 | 54.4 |
08:30 | United Kingdom | Purchasing Manager Index Services | July | 55.1 | 54.7 |
09:00 | Eurozone | Retail Sales (MoM) | June | 0% | 0.4% |
09:00 | Eurozone | Retail Sales (YoY) | June | 1.4% | 1.4% |
12:30 | Canada | Trade balance, billions | June | -2.77 | -2.3 |
12:30 | U.S. | Government Payrolls | July | 11 | |
12:30 | U.S. | Manufacturing Payrolls | July | 36 | 22 |
12:30 | U.S. | Average workweek | July | 34.5 | 34.5 |
12:30 | U.S. | Private Nonfarm Payrolls | July | 202 | 189 |
12:30 | U.S. | Labor Force Participation Rate | July | 62.9% | |
12:30 | U.S. | Average hourly earnings | July | 0.2% | 0.3% |
12:30 | U.S. | International Trade, bln | June | -43.1 | -46.5 |
12:30 | U.S. | Unemployment Rate | July | 4% | 3.9% |
12:30 | U.S. | Nonfarm Payrolls | July | 213 | 190 |
13:45 | U.S. | Services PMI (Finally) | July | 56.5 | 56.2 |
14:00 | U.S. | ISM Non-Manufacturing | July | 59.1 | 58.6 |
17:00 | U.S. | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | August | 861 |
New orders for manufactured durable goods in June increased $2.5 billion or 1.0 percent to $251.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up following two consecutive monthly decreases, followed a 0.3 percent May decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.4 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.5 percent. Transportation equipment, also up following two consecutive monthly decreases, led the increase, $1.9 billion or 2.2 percent to $87.7 billion.
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in June, up ten of the last eleven months, increased $4.1 billion or 1.7 percent to $251.6 billion. This followed a 0.2 percent May increase. Transportation equipment, up following two consecutive monthly decreases, led the increase, $3.1 billion or 3.8 percent to $85.3 billion
Says above-target inflation reflects past sterling depreciation and higher energy prices
In the week ending July 28, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 218,000, an increase of 1,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 217,000. The 4-week moving average was 214,500, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week's unrevised average of 218,000.
BOE Sees Inflation Returning To 2% Target In 2020
"Very Limited" Spare Capacity, And "Excess Demand" In 2019
Outlook Could Be "Siginificantly" Affected By Brexit Expectations
"Tentative" Signs That Protectionist Policies Are Weakening Global Growth
MPC Voted 9-0 to Raise Bank Rate to 0.75%
Rate Rise Is Second In A Decade, Follows November Move
Slowdown In Economic Growth During 1Q Was Temporary
BOE Raises UK Economic Growth Forecasts For 2018, 2019
In June 2018, compared with May 2018, industrial producer prices rose by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In May 2018, prices increased by 0.8% in the euro area and by 1.1% in EU28. In June 2018, compared with June 2017, industrial producer prices rose by 3.6% in the euro area and by 4.4% in the EU28.
In the EU28, the 0.4% increase is due to rises of 1.2% in the energy sector, of 0.4% for intermediate goods and of 0.1% for capital goods, durable and non-durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy rose by 0.2%. The highest increases in industrial producer prices were observed in Denmark (+2.6%), Estonia (+2.1%), Hungary (+1.6%) and Latvia (+1.5%), while decreases were observed in Luxembourg (-0.9%), Greece (-0.6%) and Croatia (-0.1%).
At 55.8 in July, up sharply from 53.1 in the previous month, the seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers' Index signalled the fastest rise in overall construction output since May 2017. Survey respondents commented on improving demand conditions, higher volumes of new project starts and, in some cases, a degree of catch-up from the bad weather earlier in 2018.
Turnover in the retail sector rose by 1.1% in nominal terms in June 2018 compared with the previous year. Seasonally adjusted, nominal turnover rose by 0.6% compared with the previous month. These are provisional findings from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).
Real turnover in the retail sector also adjusted for sales days and holidays rose by 0.3% in June 2018 compared with the previous year. Real growth takes inflation into consideration. Compared with the previous month, real, seasonally adjusted retail trade turnover registered an increase of 0.5%.
The number of registered unemployed in the offices of the Public Employment Services has decreased in July by 27,141 people in relation to the previous month. In seasonally adjusted terms, unemployment has fallen by 12,183 people. With regard to July 2017, unemployment has been reduced by 200,903 people, which puts its year-on-year reduction level at 6.02%. Thus, the total number of unemployed registered is 3,135,021, the lowest since December 2008. This means that since highs recorded in February 2013 (5,040,222), unemployment has been reduced by 1,905,201 people.
In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,428m in June 2018, an increase of $186m on the surplus in May 2018.
In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,873m in June 2018, an increase of $1,148m on the surplus in May 2018.
The sum of seasonally adjusted balances for the three months to June 2018 was a surplus of $3,192m, a decrease of $165m on the surplus of $3,357m for the three months to March 2018. However, if seasonal factors used in compiling the quarterly balance of payments are applied, the preliminary June quarter 2018 surplus was $2,860m, a decrease of $490m on the March quarter 2018 surplus of $3,350m.
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1758 (4589)
$1.1726 (2897)
$1.1705 (792)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1634
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1598 (3897)
$1.1549 (2738)
$1.1500 (3675)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date August, 13 is 90800 contracts (according to data from August, 1) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1850 (5326);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3216 (1414)
$1.3187 (829)
$1.3156 (286)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.3086
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3043 (2313)
$1.2997 (1577)
$1.2949 (2296)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date August, 13 is 24872 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (3205);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date August, 13 is 29730 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3100 (2486);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.18 from the previous trading day according to data from August, 1.
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Job Gains Strong, Unemployment Low In Recent Months
Household Spending, Business Investment Have Grown Strongly
Fed says the labor market was strong in multiple instances in its most recent statement
Consumer sentiment in Switzerland has almost dropped back to its long-term average. While consumers still expect a positive economic development, they are less optimistic than in recent quarters. Consumers' expectations regarding their own budget also remain subdued, while they adjusted their assessment of inflation upwards. Correspondingly, the likelihood of consumers making major purchases remains low.
Having suffered a marked decline, the consumer sentiment index from July 2018 stands at -7 points and is now close to its long-term average (-9 points). Consumers had seemed far more optimistic in the previous four quarters.
Fed Statement Changes Assessment of Economic Activity To 'Strong' From 'Solid'
Monetary Policy Remains Accommodative
Risks To Economic Outlook Appear Roughly Balanced
Long-Term Inflation Expectations Remain Little Changed
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