The euro rose against the dollar and the yen against the U.S. improve statistics on the labor market. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 7.8% in September, mainly due to the increase of employment of Americans to work part time, and off-farm employment increased by 114 thousand (the August value was revised to 142 million). The average duration of the week and hourly wage also rose last month.
With regard to regional statistics, the German factory orders for August fell short of expectations: the indicator fell by 4.8% y / y after the July decline of 4.6% and -4.3% forecast. In monthly terms orders fell by 1.3% vs. -0.5%. In the 2nd quarter of eurozone GDP fell by 0.2% after falling 0.3% in the previous quarter. This result coincided with analysts' forecasts. Spanish industrial output came out better than expected, although it remained in negative territory (-3.2% vs. prev. -5.4% And -5.5% of the forecast).
The yen earlier rose against major currencies after the Bank of Japan decided not to change the course of monetary policy. The Bank of Japan on Friday left its benchmark interest rate in the range of 0-0.1%. The total amount of incentive programs Bank of Japan kept at 80 trillion yen (just over $ 1 trillion), including a program of emergency loans to banks - 25 trillion yen asset repurchase program, expanded in the past month - 55 trillion yen. CB solutions line with expectations of economists.
The Canadian dollar was higher against the U.S. dollar after the rate of employment in Canada increased more than five times faster than economists' forecasts, with increased job full-time, starting from the retail sector and to construction. However, the unemployment rate also rose, with increased labor force. Employment rose by 52,100 in September, after rising by 34,300 in August, according to statistics office today. Unemployment rate increased to 7.4% from 7.3%, and the labor force increased by 72,600.
EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.2975, $1.3000, $1.3020, $1.3050, $1.3100
USD/JPY Y78.00, Y78.50, Y79.00
GBP/USD $1.6125, $1.6100
EUR/GBP stg0.8050
USD/CHF Chf0.9200, Chf0.9370
EUR/CHF Chf1.2100
AUD/USD $1.0150, $1.0160, $1.0200, $1.0225, $1.0250
USD/CAD C$0.9845, C$0.9900
Data:
07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves September 418.4 429.3
07:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference -
08:00 Switzerland KOF Institute Economic Forecast IV quarter
09:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (finally) Quarter II -0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
09:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (finally) Quarter II -0.5% -0.4%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) August +0.5% -0.4% -1.3%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) August -4.5% -4.3% -4.8%
The euro held in a narrow range against the dollar in the standby power of statistics on the labor market in the U.S.. The market expects that the number of jobs outside agriculture in the U.S. in September rose by 111,000. The lower rate will revive fears that the economic slowdown world's largest economy is more stable than expected by some.
The euro has remained stable after the regional statistics. German Factory Orders for August fell short of expectations: the indicator fell by 4.8% y / y after July's decline of 4.6% and -4.3% forecast. In monthly terms orders fell by 1.3% vs. -0.5%.
In the 2nd quarter of eurozone GDP fell by 0.2% after falling 0.3% in the previous quarter. This result coincided with analysts' forecasts. Spanish industrial output came out better than expected, although it remained in negative territory (-3.2% vs. prev. -5.4% And -5.5% of the forecast).
The yen earlier rose against major currencies after the Bank of Japan decided not to change the course of monetary policy. The Bank of Japan on Friday left its benchmark interest rate in the range of 0-0.1%. The total amount of incentive programs Bank of Japan kept at 80 trillion yen (just over $ 1 trillion), including a program of emergency loans to banks - 25 trillion yen asset repurchase program, expanded in the past month - 55 trillion yen. CB solutions line with expectations of economists.
EUR / USD: the pair is trading in the range of $ 1.2993 - $ 1.3016
GBP / USD: the pair is trading in the range of $ 1.6172 - $ 1.6198
USD / JPY: the pair dropped to the level of Y78.26, then recovered to the level of Y78.51
At 12:30 GMT in Canada, there are data on changes in the volume of building permits issued in August, the unemployment rate, changes in the number of employees, change in the number of employed full-time and a change in the number of employed part-time in September. At 12:30 GMT, the U.S. announced the unemployment rate for September, changing the number of people employed in non-agricultural sector, changes in the number of employees in the private sector of the economy, changes in the number of employed in the manufacturing sector of the economy and changes in the average hourly wage for September.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3100, $1.3030-50
Bids $1.2980/70, $1.2920/00
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6310, $1.6250/55, $1.6220/30, $1.6210
Bids $1.6170, $1.6150, $1.6135/30, $1.6100
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0350, $1.0315/20, $1.0300, $1.0290, $1.0275/80
Bids $1.0220, $1.0200
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8070/80
Bids stg0.8025/20, stg0.8005-995, stg0.7980/75, stg0.7945/40
EUR/JPY
Offers Y103.00, Y102.80, Y102.50
Bids Y101.50, Y101.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y79.20, Y79.00, Y78.60/70
Bids Y78.20, Y78.00, Y77.90, Y77.80/70
EUR/USD $1.2900, $1.2950, $1.2975, $1.3000, $1.3020, $1.3050, $1.3100
USD/JPY Y78.00, Y78.50, Y79.00
GBP/USD $1.6125, $1.6100
EUR/GBP stg0.8050
USD/CHF Chf0.9200, Chf0.9370
EUR/CHF Chf1.2100
AUD/USD $1.0150, $1.0160, $1.0200, $1.0225, $1.0250
USD/CAD C$0.9845, C$0.9900
Watching if Japan prices move in right direction
Price view not linked automatically to policy
Japan govt understands BOJ policy stance
Always watching FX impact on econ, prices
can't buy foreign bonds that would affect fx rates
Watching if Japan prices move in right direction
Price view not linked automatically to policy
Japan govt understands BOJ policy stance
Always watching FX impact on econ, prices
can't buy foreign bonds that would affect fx rates
Yesterday the euro rose for a sixth day versus the yen, the longest run since March, as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the currency was irreversible and the ECB’s decision to start buying bonds helped ease tensions.
The 17-nation currency gained the most in almost three weeks versus the dollar after Draghi said the ECB was ready to start buying government bonds from nations such as Spain as soon as the necessary conditions are met.
The ECB is ready to undertake bond purchases under its plan known as Outright Monetary Transactions “once all the prerequisites are in place,” Draghi said at a press conference in Ljubljana, Slovenia. At last month’s conference, Draghi unveiled a program of unlimited debt buying to cap borrowing costs for debt-ridden nations.
The ECB left its benchmark rate at a record low of 0.75 percent.
Spain sold a combined 3.99 billion euros ($5.19 billion) of two-, three-and five-year notes today as investors debated whether the nation will ask for an international bailout. Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy this week denied he has any immediate plans to do so.
The greenback stayed lower versus most major peers as claims for U.S. jobless benefits rose less than forecast, encouraging investors to buy higher- returning assets. U.S. Labor Department data showed applications for jobless benefits increased 4,000 to 367,000 in the week ended Sept. 29. A survey forecast 370,000 claims.
The pound strengthened versus the dollar after the Bank of England left its asset-purchase target at 375 billion pounds ($604 billion) at its monthly gathering. The central bank kept its main interest rate at a record-low 0.5 percent.
00:00 China Bank holiday -
03:30 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision - 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
03:30 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement -
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index August 93.0 93.6 93.6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index August 93.8 93.6 93.0
The yen strengthened versus most of its 16 major counterparts and pared a weekly decline versus the dollar, after BOJ officials kept the bank’s asset-purchase fund, its main policy tool amid near-zero rates, unchanged. The BOJ said today in a statement that its bond-buying program will remain at 55 trillion yen ($702 billion). The outcome was expected by all 20 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Officials will next meet on Oct. 30.
Today’s meeting was attended by Japanese Economy Minister Seiji Maehara, the first minister to do so for over nine years. Maehara said he went to the BOJ to express his concern about yen appreciation and prolonged deflation.
The euro was 0.1 percent from a two-week high after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the bank is ready to start buying government bonds as part of a program to help ease borrowing costs for debt-ridden nations in the region. ECB President Draghi said yesterday the bank is ready to undertake Outright Monetary Transactions “once all the prerequisites are in place.” He spoke at a press conference in Ljubljana, Slovenia, after policy makers left the benchmark rate at a historic low of 0.75 percent. The plan has “helped to alleviate tensions over the past few weeks” and “now it’s really in the hands of governments,” he said.
The dollar slid versus most of its major peers this week on prospects the Federal Reserve will continue measures supporting growth even as employment data is forecast to indicate improvement. In the U.S., payrolls rose by 115,000 in September, up from 96,000 in the prior month, the Labor Department may report today, according to the median projection of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The jobless rate is estimated at 8.2 percent, compared with 8.1 percent in August.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $1.3010-20.
GBP/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $1.6180-95.
USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y78.25.
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2955 +0,36%
GBP/USD $1,6192 +0,69%
USD/CHF Chf0,9305 -0,86%
USD/JPY Y78,49 0,00%
EUR/JPY Y102,16 +0,81%
GBP/JPY Y127,08 +0,70%
AUD/USD $1,0244 +0,24%
NZD/USD $0,8216 +0,27%
USD/CAD C$0,9804 -0,69%
00:00 China Bank holiday -
03:30 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision - 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
03:30 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement -
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index August 93.0 93.6
05:00 Japan Coincident Index August 93.8 93.6
07:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves September 418.4
07:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference -
08:00 Switzerland KOF Institute Economic Forecast IV quarter
09:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (finally) Quarter II -0.2% -0.2%
09:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (finally) Quarter II -0.5%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) August +0.5% -0.4%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) August -4.5% -4.3%
12:30 Canada Building Permits (MoM) August -2.3% -0.7%
12:30 Canada Unemployment rate September 7.3% 7.3%
12:30 Canada Employment September 34.3 11.9
12:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate September 8.1% 8.2%
12:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls September 96 111
12:30 U.S. Average hourly earnings September 0.0% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. Average workweek September 34.4 34.4
17:00 U.S. FOMC Member Elizabeth Duke Speaks -
19:00 U.S. Consumer Credit October -3.3 6.3© 2000-2025. All rights reserved.
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