Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 06-11-2012.

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06.11.2012
19:00
American focus: the euro has appreciated

The dollar fell against most of the 16 most traded currencies against the fact that voters in the United States must now decide who will lead the world's largest economy within the next four years.
Analysts expect that after an initial rise, the U.S. currency is likely to fall against most other currencies, except the yen as investors' willingness to take risks will increase with the victory of Romney. At the same time, Obama's victory will cause a weakening dollar, in light of the fact that politicians will try to avoid the so-called "financial failure."
The euro continued its rise against the euro despite the fact that the data released today showed that the volume of industrial orders in Germany fell in September to the highest setting for the year. The Ministry of Economy in Berlin said that orders, adjusted for seasonal variation and inflation, fell 3.3%, after a revised downward rate for August at 0.8%.
The Australian dollar rose against all major currencies after the central bank unexpectedly declined to lower interest rates, leaving it at 3.25%.
Note also that in the context of the decision of Australia currency rose to a five-week high against the U.S. dollar.
The dollar index (DXY), which is used to track the U.S. currency against six major currencies, the U.S. partners, decreased slightly, reaching the mark with 80.68, after rising in the previous four days.
Pound during trading trading reserved, but in the last hours showed a slight increase. Note that in the first half of the day rate fell slightly against the dollar after a report showed that industrial production and manufacturing output declined significantly, exceeding the estimates of analysts. Also during the session, it became known that the house price index fell in October by 0.7%, while the expected increase of 0.5%. But despite this, the currency could still be strengthened by setting a new session high.

15:01
Canada: Ivey Purchasing Managers Index, October 58.3 (forecast 58.3)
15:00
United Kingdom: NIESR GDP Estimate, October +0.5%
14:45
EUR / USD rose to new high of $ 1.2802

 

 

Support for the euro by the news from France, where French President Hollande today presented a package of measures aimed at stimulating the industrial sector, including tax breaks for companies in the amount of € 20 billion over the next 3 years.


 

13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2750, $1.2795, $1.2800, $1.2825, $1.3000

USD/JPY Y79.80, Y79.95, Y80.00, Y80.50

GBP/USD $1.6000

AUD/USD $1.0350, $1.0450


 

13:31
European session: The U.S. currency fluctuated versus the 17-nation currency

 

 

06:45 Switzerland SECO Consumer Climate Quarter III -17 -21 -17

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index October -0.4% +0.5% -0.7%

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y October -1.2% -1.3% -1.7%

08:50 France Services PMI (finally) October 46.2 46.2 44.6

08:55 Germany Services PMI (finally) October 49.3 49.3 48.4

09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (finally) October 46.2 46.2 46.0

09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) September -0.5% -0.6% -1.7%

09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) September -1.2% -1.6% -1.0%

09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) September -1.1% +0.3% +0.1%

09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) September -1.2% +0.4% -1.0%

10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM September +0.9% +0.3% +0.2%

10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) September +2.7% +2.6% +2.7%

11:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) September -1.3% -0.3% -3.3%

11:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) September -4.8% -1.5% -10.2%


The dollar touched an eight-week high against the euro as U.S. voters head to the polls today to decide whether President Barack Obama or challenger Mitt Romney will guide the world’s biggest economy for the next four years. The U.S. currency fluctuated versus the 17-nation currency on speculation whoever wins the election will press ahead with resolving the so-called fiscal cliff of federal spending cuts and tax increases.

Australia’s dollar appreciated against all its 16 major counterparts after the central bank unexpectedly refrained from cutting interest rates today.

The euro declined against most of its major counterparts as Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras struggles to get the members of three-party coalition to support a package of further austerity measures, which will be voted on as soon as tomorrow.

Spain said yesterday it is working on a review of income and spending in its welfare system as it heads toward a deficit. The country is relying on European aid for its banks and potentially seeking more to shore up its public finances.

German factory orders fell the most in a year in September, the Economy Ministry in Berlin said today. Orders, adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, slumped 3.3 percent from August, when they dropped a revised 0.8 percent.

The pound fell against the dollar after the British industrial production was much weaker than projected at -1.7% m / m vs. consensus estimates and expectations of -0.6% National Statistical Agency of -0.8% in the GDP report for the 3rd quarter.


EUR / USD: during the European session the pair fell to $ 1.2769, and then rose to $ 1.2813

GBP / USD: during the European session the pair fell to $ 1.5964

USD / JPY: during the European session the pair rose to the level Y80.28


From Ivey PMI index for October will be released at 15:00 GMT in Canada. At 15:00 GMT, Britain will publish data on the change in GDP from NIESR for October. At 20:00 GMT report will be published on the financial stability of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. At 21:30 GMT the United States will change in the volume of crude oil, according to API.

In the U.S., elections are held in the Congress and the presidential election.

13:01
Orders

 

 

EUR/USD

Offers   $1.2980/85, $1.2940/50, $1.2890/900, $1.2850, $1.2810 

Bids $1.2760/50, $1.2710/00


GBP/USD

Offers  $1.6125, $1.6100/10, $1.6075/80, $1.6040/60, $1.6020, $1.6000

Bids $1.5950, $1.5885/80, $1.5860/50


AUD/USD

Offers   $1.0500, $1.0480, $1.0450

Bids $1.0400, $1.0370/60, $1.0320


EUR/JPY

Offers  Y103.50, Y102.95/00

Bids Y102.00, Y101.80, Y101.70/65, Y101.50


USD/JPY

Offers  Y80.80, Y80.60, Y80.50

Bids Y79.80/70, Y79.50


EUR/GBP

Offers  stg0.8100, stg0.8080, stg0.8070/75, stg0.8030, stg0.8015

Bids stg0.7980, stg0.7945/40


12:30
BELGIUM T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS:

 

 

Sold E2.513bln vs target E2.3-E2.7bln

- E1.205bln 3-month TC; avg yield 0.004% (-0.01%), cover 3.39 (3.12)

- E1.308bln 6-month TC; avg yield 0.021% (0.017%), cover 2.66 (2.07)



 

11:00
Germany: Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY), September -10.2% (forecast -1.5%)
11:00
Germany: Factory Orders s.a. (MoM), September -3..3% (forecast -0.3%)
10:51
AUSTRIA AUCTION RESULTS:

 

 

AFFA alloted E1.32bln; E120mln retained

- E600mln of 3.40% 2022 RAGB;avg yield 1.888% (1.326%),cover 2.86 (3.69)

- E600mln of 1.95% 2019 RAGB;avg yield 1.218%, cover 2.21.



 

10:40
GREEK T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS:

 

PDMA sold E1.3bln; E300mln to non-comps

- E1.3bln 26-week T-bill; avg yield 4.41% (4.46%), cover 1.7 (1.6)



 

10:23
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2795, $1.2800, $1.2825, $1.3000

USD/JPY Y79.80, Y80.00, Y80.50

GBP/USD $1.6000, $1.6195

AUD/USD $1.0350, $1.0450


 

10:01
Eurozone: Producer Price Index (YoY) , September +2.7% (forecast +2.6%)
10:01
Eurozone: Producer Price Index, MoM , September +0.2% (forecast +0.3%)
09:31
United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (YoY), September -1.0% (forecast +0.4%)
09:31
United Kingdom: Manufacturing Production (MoM) , September +0.1% (forecast +0.3%)
09:31
United Kingdom: Industrial Production (YoY), September -1.0% (forecast -1.6%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Industrial Production (MoM), September -1.7% (forecast -0.6%)
08:59
Eurozone: Services PMI, October 46.0 (forecast 46.2)
08:53
Germany: Services PMI, October 48.4 (forecast 49.3)
08:49
France: Services PMI, October 44.6 (forecast 46.2)
07:22
Asian session: The euro traded 0.2 percent from an eight-week low

 

 

00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y October +1.5% +1.3% -0.1%

00:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter III +0.5% +1.1% +0.3%

00:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter III -2.1% +0.8% +0.3%

01:00 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks -

03:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate - 3.25% 3.00% 3.25%

03:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement -

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index September 93.6 91.8 91.7

05:00 Japan Coincident Index September 93.5 91.2 91.2

 

The euro traded 0.2 percent from an eight-week low amid concern Greece will struggle to win bailout funds, risking its future in the European monetary bloc. As Greece seeks a 31 billion-euro ($40 billion) financing tranche this month, Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is facing down a revolt in his three-party coalition. The leader of the Democratic Left reiterated Nov. 4 his party’s opposition to changes in the labor law demanded by international creditors. While no date has been set for a vote on that bill, it may come as soon as tomorrow. The budget vote is slated for Nov. 11.

The shared currency maintained declines versus most of its 16 major counterparts ahead of data that may add to signs the region’s debt crisis is hurting growth. The final reading on a composite index measuring euro-area services and manufacturing was probably at 45.8, the lowest in more than three years and unchanged from preliminary data on Oct. 24, according to the median economist estimate compiled by Bloomberg News. London-based Markit Economics releases the report today.

Economists in a separate Bloomberg poll estimate German factory orders, adjusted for seasonal swings and inflation, declined 0.4 percent in September from the previous month, when it decreased 1.3 percent. The Economy Ministry in Berlin will report its figures today.

Australia’s dollar climbed to the highest in five weeks after the Reserve Bank unexpectedly left interest rates unchanged. The so-called Aussie surged after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens and his board left the overnight cash- rate target at 3.25 percent. Seven of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg predicted the decision, with the other 20 seeing a cut to 3 percent.

The yen advanced as Japanese shares fell, boosting demand for haven assets.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.2780-05.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.5970-90.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to Y80.00.


Tuesday is election day in the US, with polls opening from 11GMT (bar the two early New Hampshire votes. National polls are by and large

tied, although President Obama is seen with a narrow advantage in the key battleground states. On the data front, Tuesday gives us a fresh snap shot of the state of the eurozone economy, with the release of the national and EMU October service PMI. Spanish PMI is released at 0813GMT, Italy at 0843GMT, France at 0848GMT and Germany at 0853GMT. EMU data is release at 0858GMT. Flash data was mixed, but showed further weakening at the core. Further European data is expected at 1000GMT, with the release of EMU September PPI and then at 1100GMT when German September manufacturing orders numbers are out.


06:45
Switzerland: SECO Consumer Climate, Quarter III -17 (forecast -21)
06:24
Currencies. Daily history for Nov 5'2012:

 

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

 

EUR/USD $1,2796 -0,31%

GBP/USD $1,5978 -0,27%

USD/CHF Chf0,9434 +0,35%

USD/JPY Y80,28 -0,22%

EUR/JPY Y102,72 -0,44%

GBP/JPY Y128,26 -0,44%

AUD/USD $1,0364 +0,28%

NZD/USD $0,8250 0,00%

USD/CAD C$0,9962 +0,05%


06:01
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Nov 6’2012:

00:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y October +1.5% +1.3% -0.1%

00:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) Quarter III +0.5% +1.1% +0.3%

00:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) Quarter III -2.1% +0.8% +0.3%

01:00 U.S. FOMC Member Williams Speaks -

03:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate - 3.25% 3.00%

03:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement -

05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index September 93.2 91.8

05:00 Japan Coincident Index September 93.5 91.2

06:45 Switzerland SECO Consumer Climate Quarter III -17 -21

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index October -0.4% +0.5%

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y October -1.2% -1.3%

08:50 France Services PMI (finally) October 46.2 46.2

08:55 Germany Services PMI (finally) October 49.3 49.3

09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (finally) October 46.2 46.2

09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) September -0.5% -0.6%

09:30 United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) September -1.2% -1.6%

09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) September -1.1% +0.3%

09:30 United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) September -1.2% +0.4%

10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index, MoM September +0.9% +0.3%

10:00 Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) September +2.7% +2.6%

11:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) September -1.3% -0.3%

11:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) September -4.8% -1.5%

13:30 U.S. Presidential Election -

13:30 U.S. Congressional Elections -

15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index October 60.4 58.3

15:00 United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate October +0.8%

20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Financial Stability Report November

05:02
Japan: Coincident Index, September 91.2 (forecast 91.2)
05:02
Japan: Leading Economic Index , September 91.7 (forecast 91.8)

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