(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,1666 +0,01%
GBP/USD $1,3114 -0,63%
USD/CHF Chf0,99604 +0,03%
USD/JPY Y113,61 +0,08%
EUR/JPY Y132,54 +0,09%
GBP/JPY Y148,983 -0,56%
AUD/USD $0,7621 -0,53%
NZD/USD $0,6900 -0,42%
USD/CAD C$1,27314 +0,42%
03:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 7
05:00 China Retail Sales y/y October 10.3% 10.4%
05:00 China Industrial Production y/y October 6.6% 6.3%
05:00 China Fixed Asset Investment October 7.5% 7.4%
10:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) October 0.1% 0.0%
10:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) October 1.8% 1.6%
10:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.1%
10:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter III 0.6% 0.6%
11:05 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks
11:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y October 0.8%
12:00 Eurozone ECB's Lautenschläger Speech
12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) October 0.2% 0.3%
12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) October 8.4% 4.9%
12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) October 0.4% 1.0%
12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) October 3.3% 2.9%
12:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y October 2.7% 2.8%
12:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y October 3.9% 4.1%
12:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m October 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y October 3% 3.1%
12:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m October 0.3% 0.2%
13:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment November 26.7
13:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) September 3.8% 3.2%
13:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) September 1.4% -0.6%
13:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Revised) Quarter III 0.7% 0.6%
13:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Revised) Quarter III 2.3% 2.5%
13:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks
13:00 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks
13:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment November 17.6 20.0
13:00 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks
13:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks
16:15 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks
16:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y October 2.2% 2.3%
16:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m October 0.4% 0.2%
16:30 U.S. PPI, m/m October 0.4% 0.1%
16:30 U.S. PPI, y/y October 2.6% 2.4%
18:30 Eurozone ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks
On daily time frame chart we can see that there is a chart pattern "Head and Shoulders" which price has broken and now is testing the neckline.
However, during the morning of today and due to some political instability in the Theresa May government we witnessed a depreciation of the pound.
If today´s candle close above or near to the "neckline" then the possibility of long entries still remains valid.
depreciation
Trims 2018 non-OPEC oil supply growth forecast to 870,000 bpd (prev 940,000 bpd)
OECD oil inventories fell by 23.6 million barrels in sept to 2.985 bln barrels, 154 mln barrels above 5-year average
Size of oil supply overhang has fallen considerably since start of year
Says there is real urgency to make progress in Brexit negotiations
EUR/USD: 1.1550 (370 m), 1.1600(482 m)
USD/JPY: 112.35 (865 m), 112.95-113.00(530 m), 113.10-15(785 m), 114.50(860 m), 115.10(864 m)
GBP/USD: 1.3300 (361 m)
AUD/USD: 0.7610-15 (508 m), 0.7625(223 m)
USD/CAD: 1.2600 (254 m)
EUR/JPY: 133.00 (323 m)
I respect Powell's insights into markets and economy
We can continue to reduce regulatory burden on small banks, but need to be cautious about regulations on large banks
Fed does not have to remove a lot of accommodation to return to neutral
British interest rate rise justified by higher inflation
European recovery looks increasingly durable, strengthening and broadening
EU still to decide names, to consider those responsible for "serious human rights violations"
Sight deposits of domestic banks at 472.652 bln chf in week ending november 10 versus 468.761 bln chf a week earlier
As reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the selling prices in wholesale trade increased by 3.0% in October 2017 from the corresponding month of the preceding year. In September 2017 and in August 2017 the annual rates of change were +3.4% and +3.2%, respectively.
From September 2017 to October 2017 the index did not change.
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1768 (5782)
$1.1725 (1391)
$1.1703 (865)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1657
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1619 (5675)
$1.1593 (5460)
$1.1561 (8190)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 150519 contracts (according to data from November, 10) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (8336);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3309 (3203)
$1.3269 (1271)
$1.3244 (632)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.3134
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3143 (1145)
$1.3124 (1099)
$1.3100 (1322)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 39398 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (3203);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 38881 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4790);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 0.97 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 10
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
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