Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 17-04-2015.

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17.04.2015
18:20
American focus: Dollar rises along with Greek-default fears AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD NZDUSD USDCAD USDCHF USDJPY

The U.S. dollar inched higher against its main rivals Friday, snapping three sessions of losses, as fears of a Greek default drove the dollar higher.

The Labor Department said Friday that core consumer prices rose 0.2% in March on the back of higher gas prices, matching expectations of economists polled by MarketWatch. Core prices increased by the same amount in February.

Aside from Friday's gauge of consumer-price inflation, U.S. economic data released since Monday has been weak, weighing on the dollar and suggesting that the Fed will wait longer before raising interest rates.

Greece's Kathimerini newspaper reported Friday that central banks of Southeastern European countries have told subsidiaries of Greek lenders operating in their countries to exit all exposure to Greek sovereign debt, which the market interpreted as a sign that a Greek default is imminent.

Sebastien Galy, director of FX strategy at Société Générale, said that Greek default fears were driving investors into the dollar.

Elsewhere, the Canadian dollar rallied against its U.S. counterpart after retail sales for February and the March consumer-price index came in above economists' expectations.

14:01
U.S.: Leading Indicators , March 0.2% (forecast 0.3%)
14:00
U.S.: Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, April 95.9 (forecast 93.8)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.0400 (E581M), $1.0450 (E478M), $1.0600 (E612M), $1.0800 (E575M)

EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7214 (E300M)

USD/CAD: C$1.2300 ($480M)

NZD/USD: $0.7580 (NZ$2.4B)

USD/JPY: Y120.00 ($1.8B), Y121.20 ($500M), Y121.40 ($401M)

12:31
Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, February 9.27B
12:30
U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, March -0.1% (forecast 0.1%)
12:30
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y, March 2.4%
12:30
U.S.: CPI, m/m , March 0.2% (forecast 0.3%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, March 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)
12:30
Canada: Retail Sales, m/m, February +1.7%
12:30
Canada: Consumer price index, y/y, March 1.2%
12:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, March 1.8% (forecast 1.7%)
12:30
Canada: Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m, February 2.0%
12:30
Canada: Consumer Price Index m / m, March 0.6% (forecast 0.5%)
12:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0800 1.0820 1.0840 1.0865 1.0880 1.0900

Bids 1.0760 1.0740 1.0725 1.0700 1.0650-55 1.0620 1.0600


GBP/USD

Offers 1.4980-85 1.5000 1.5025-35 1.5050 1.5080 1.5100

Bids 1.4950 1.4930 1.4900 1.4885 1.4840 1.4800 1.4780 1.4750-55


EUR/JPY

Offers 128.30 128.60 129.00 129.50

Bids 127.80 127.50 127.00 126.85 126.50


USD/JPY

Offers 119.15-25 119.55-60 119.75-80 120.00 120.20 120.50

Bids 118.70 118.50-55 118.25-30 118.00 117.85


EUR/GBP

Offers 0.7220-25 0.7250-55 0.7270 0.7285 0.7300 0.7320-25 0.7350

Bids 0.7175-80 0.7155-60 0.7135 0.7115 0.7100


AUD/USD

Offers 0.7825-30 0.7860 0.7880 0.7900

Bids 0.7800 0.7780-85 0.7750 0.7735 0.7700-05

09:20
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.0400 (E581M), $1.0450 (E478M), $1.0600 (E612M), $1.0800 (E575M)

EUR/GBP: Gbp0.7214 (E300M)

USD/CAD: C$1.2300 ($480M)

NZD/USD: $0.7580 (NZ$2.4B)

USD/JPY: Y120.00 ($1.8B), Y121.20 ($500M), Y121.40 ($401M)

09:00
Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, Y/Y, March -0.1% (forecast -0.1%)
09:00
Eurozone: Harmonized CPI, March 1.1% (forecast 1.1%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Claimant Count Rate, March 2.3%
08:30
United Kingdom: Claimant count , March -20.7K (forecast -28.5)
08:30
United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, March 5.6% (forecast 5.6%)
08:00
Eurozone: Current account, unadjusted, bln , February €13.8B
07:15
Switzerland: Retail Sales Y/Y, February -2.7% (forecast 0.7%)
06:19
Options levels on friday, April 17, 2015: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.0885 (1038)

$1.0858 (601)

$1.0832 (69)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0771

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0728 (1293)

$1.0688 (1926)

$1.0635 (2321)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 56031 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (6121);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 71309 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0000 (9095);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.27 versus 1.31 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 16


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5208 (724)

$1.5111 (1659)

$1.5016 (2354)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4942

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4884 (1543)

$1.4788 (2344)

$1.4691 (2520)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 22962 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (2354);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 32796 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4400 (3719);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.43 versus 1.29 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 16


* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:18
Foreign exchange market. Asian session: The currencies of Australia and New Zealand dropped

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

08:00 Japan Consumer Confidence March 40.7 41.4 41.7


The Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the currency against 10 major counterparts, was little changed amid a weekly retreat of 1.5 percent, the most since the five days to March 20. Investors are poring over U.S. economic reports as they try to determine the Federal Reserve's likely path on interest rates. Officials from the U.S. central bank continued to provide conflicting signals Thursday, spurring fluctuations in Treasuries.

Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer sent Treasuries tumbling last session after reminding investors that the central bank wants to boost key borrowing costs. Fed Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart then halted the selloff, saying he wanted to see both falling unemployment and quickening inflation prior to the first rate increase.

The currencies of Australia and New Zealand pared their advances this week as commodity prices dropped. Iron ore, the nation's biggest export earner, fell below $50 on Thursday.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.0750-85

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of $1.4920-45

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range Y118.85-15


The next hurdle for the euro will come from eurozone CPI due later today at 0900 GMT.

05:05
Japan: Consumer Confidence, March 41.7 (forecast 41.4)

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