Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 17-08-2012.

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17.08.2012
17:38
American focus: the euro still show weekly growth versus dollar

 

 

retreated from session low versus dollar  amid optimism that European leaders are moving closer to agreement on solving the region’s debt crisis.

The euro has been buoyed by suggestions that the ECB will buy bonds as soon as anyone comes to the European Financial Stability Fund to ask for help.

Canada’s dollar weakened against its U.S counterpart for the first time in four days as inflation slowed in July, adding to evidence the nation’s economy is moving away from full capacity.

15:51
EUR/USD modest rebound off lows, rose above $1.2300

The pair now likely to find resistance at $1.2320/25 area of broken support. Bids remain in area $1.2285/80 with stops in place below.

13:55
U.S.: Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, August 73.6 (forecast 72.5)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

EUR/USD $1.2275, $1.2300, $1.2350, $1.2400

EUR/JPY Y79.00, Y79.05, Y79.10, Y79.20, Y79.25

EUR/JPY Y98.00, Y97.05, Y97.00

GBP/USD $1.5760

EUR/GBP stg0.7800, stg0.7950

USD/CHF Chf0.9760

AUD/USD $1.0350, $1.0405, $1.0450, $1.0500, $1.0600

AUD/JPY Y83.00, Y82.60, Y82.00

12:34
Canada: Consumer price index, y/y, July +1.3%
12:32
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y, July +1.7%
12:31
Canada: Consumer Price Index m / m, July -0.1% (forecast +0.2%)
12:31
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m, July -0.1% (forecast +0.2%)
12:15
European session: the dollar strengthens

Data

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) July -0.4% +0.4% 0.0%

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) July +1.6% +0.9%

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln June 10.9 7.8 12.7

09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. June 6.3 5.4 10.5


The euro rose to its highest level in six weeks against the yen, as Germany has declared its support for the decision of the European Central Bank to overcome the debt crisis, which may include the purchase of sovereign debt.

The single currency rose against all 16 major currencies after German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Francois Hollande and the Prime Minister Antonis Samaras of Greece said that the leaders feel obliged to do everything to protect the euro.

Australian dollar won back all lost over the past two days otnoscheniyu position on the U.S. dollar, as there were rumors that the RBA may resort to stimulating monetary policy if the changes in exchange rates will seriously harm the economy.

The New Zealand dollar strengthened after the published data on the producer price index showed an unexpected increase in the second quarter.

The pound fell during the session, which probably was corrected after yesterday's rapid growth.


EUR/USD: Trading in the updated a couple of yesterday's high, then began to decline and is now trading near the minimum values ​​of the session

GBP/USD: Trading steam flow steadily declining, and lost more than half of the positions won yesterday

USD/JPY: during the course of the session showed showed a slight increase, but despite this renewed yesterday's high


At 12:30 GMT, Canada will provide the consumer price index and core consumer price index from the Bank of Canada in July. At 13:55 GMT the U.S. consumer sentiment index released by the University of Michigan in August

11:30
Orders

 

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2485, $1.2460/65, $1.2445/50, $1.2410/20, $1.2382/00

Bids $1.2325/20, $1.2305/00, $1.2285/80, $1.2256, $1.2240

AUD/USD

Offers $1.0550, $1.0520, $1.0500, $1.0475/80

Bids $1.0430, $1.0400, $1.0365/60, $1.0350

GBP/USD

Offers $1.5800/10, $1.5780, $1.5750

Bids $1.5665/60, $1.5635/30, $1.5600

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.7920, stg0.7900/05, stg0.7885, stg0.7879

Bids stg0.7810/00, stg0.7780/75, stg0.7755/50

USD/JPY

Offers Y80.20, Y80.00, Y79.80

Bids Y79.10, Y79.05/00, Y78.80, Y78.50

EUR/JPY

Offers Y99.20, Y99.00, Y98.50

Bids Y97.50, Y97.20, Y97.05/00, Y96.85/80, Y96.70

 

09:24
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2275, $1.2300, $1.2350, $1.2400

 

USD/JPY Y79.00, Y79.05, Y79.10

EUR/JPY Y98.00, Y97.05, Y97.00

GBP/USD $1.5760

EUR/GBP stg0.7800, stg0.7950

AUD/USD $1.0350, $1.0405, $1.0600

AUD/JPY Y83.00

 

09:00
Eurozone: Trade Balance s.a., June 10.5 (forecast 5.4)
08:00
Eurozone: Current account, adjusted, bln , June 12.7 (forecast 7.8)
07:46
Asian session: The euro traded 0.3 percent from a six-week high versus the yen

 

 

 

The euro traded 0.3 percent from a six-week high versus the yen as Germany signaled its support for a European Central Bank approach to resolve the debt crisis. Merkel is due to host Hollande, Paris-based Agence France- Presse reported, one day before Samaras visits Berlin for talks. Italian media reported that Prime Minister Mario Monti is due in the German capital on Aug. 29, while Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy has said that Merkel will visit Madrid on Sept. 6.

Asked about ECB chief Mario Draghi’s announcement the bank may return to sovereign bond buying, Merkel said recent ECB decisions “have made it clear that the European Central Bank is counting on political action in the form of conditionality as the precondition for a positive development of the euro.”

The yen headed for its biggest weekly loss in almost two months versus the greenback as the extra yield investors receive from U.S. securities over Japanese debt climbed.

Sales of existing U.S. homes probably rose to a 4.5 million annual rate in July from a 4.37 million pace in June, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before a report by the National Association of Realtors due Aug. 22. Housing starts fell 1.1 percent to a 746,000 annual rate last month from June’s 754,000 pace, Commerce Department figures showed yesterday.

Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Narayana Kocherlakota said he believes the Federal Open Market Committee has gone too far by pledging to hold the main interest rate near zero at least through late 2014.

 

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair retreated from yesterday's high.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell, retreating from yesterday's high.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose to yesterday's high.


European data for Friday starts at 0600GMT with PPI from Germany, which is expected to rise by 0.5% m/m, 1.4% y/y in July. EMU data also sees the ECB current account at 0800GMT and EMU trade balance at 0900GMT. US data starts at 1355GMT, when the University of Michigan Sentiment Index is expected to fall to a reading of 72.0 in early-August from a 72.3 reading in July. US Leading Indicator data follows at 1400GMT along with the latest BLS State Unemployment data.  Later on, at 2015GMT, US C&I Loans data is due.

07:09
Forex: Thursday’s review

 

 

Yesterday after three days of recession, market participants are still able to achieve a strengthening of the euro. During the first half of the day maintained the pressure on the euro, as market participants were waiting for release of data on consumer price index. After its publication, it became clear that the situation remained the same as the index remained stable and in line with analysts' expectations. But despite this, the market situation started to change gradually in favor of the euro. The attention of many traders immediately switched to the output data for the U.S., which, as expected, were to influence the growth of the dollar. Prior to the publication of the reports the euro gained slightly, while departing from the values ​​of the day. But immediately after the published data showed that the number of building permits has increased markedly in July, and the level of housing starts decreased by 1.1% the euro started to rise rapidly and confidently. Also helped the growth of the single currency presented by the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, which fell in August to -7.1 from -12.9 in July. In the end of the session on the euro against the dollar was able to show growth at more than one figure.

Unprecedented movement also spread to other couples. Significant growth was able to show, the pound sterling. After a bad start to the day, which was caused by the depreciation of currencies against the dollar by 50 points, the pair began their recovery. At first it was due to expectations of data on the level of retail sales, according to which a significant increase was recorded during the month of 0.3% compared to 0.1% in June. As a result of news of the pair managed to recover with minimum values ​​and update with the high of the day. Output data for the United States helped the pair make another rapid spurt that the outcome of the session allowed the pair to show growth at a single figure.

Also notable movement was pleased the Swiss franc. Its value today, had little impact index value of investors' expectations according to the ZEW and Credit Suisse, which amounted to -33.3 in August, compared with -42.5 in July. But a little more on the value of currency affect U.S. data, which caused the depreciation of the franc against the dollar by about 90 points.

The unusual dynamics of introduced the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar. Surprising is the fact that the currency barely reacted to the economic releases from the United States, and strengthened the beginning only a couple of hours, which was due to the fact that the rating agency Moody's has published its annual report on Canada.

The other major pairs mainly show the same dynamics, which is a marked increase in the exchange rate against the U.S. dollar.

06:00
Germany: Producer Price Index (MoM), July 0.0% (forecast +0.4%)
05:24
Currencies. Daily history for Aug 16'2012:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2357 +0,57%

GBP/USD $1,5734 +0,35%

USD/CHF Chf0,9719 -0,58%

USD/JPY Y79,32 +0,43%

EUR/JPY Y98,01 +1,00%

GBP/JPY Y124,80 +0,79%

AUD/USD $1,0511 +0,10%

NZD/USD $0,8109 +0,47%

USD/CAD C$0,9863 -0,28%

05:02
Schedule for today, Friday, Aug 17’2012:

 

 

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (MoM) July -0.4% +0.4%

 

06:00 Germany Producer Price Index (YoY) July +1.6%

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln June 10.9 7.8

09:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. June 6.3 5.4

12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index m / m July -0.4% +0.2%

12:30 Canada Consumer price index, y/y July +1.5%

12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, m/m July -0.4% +0.2%

12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y July +2.0%

13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (preliminary) August 72.3 72.5

 

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