Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 27-10-2017.

Consumer sentiment slipped ever so slightly in late October, despite remaining at its highest monthly level since the start of 2004. This is only the second time the Sentiment Index has been above 100.0 since the end of the record 1990's expansion, and its average during the first ten months of 2017 (96.7) has been the highest since 2000 (108.5).

The October gain was reflected in more favorable consumers' assessments of current economic conditions (+4.8) as well as expected economic prospects (+6.1). Personal finances were judged near all-time record favorable levels due to gains in household incomes as well as decade highs in home and stock values. Lingering doubts about the near term strength of the national economy were dispelled as more than half of all respondents expected good times during the year ahead and anticipated the expansion to continue uninterrupted over the next five years.

EURUSD: 1.1500 (EUR 580m) 1.1550 (500m) 1.1600 (560m) 1.1700 (520m) 1.1750(770m)

USDJPY: 112.70-75 (USD 530m) 113.00 (1.3bln) 113.50 (675m) 114.00 (1.42bln) 114.45-50 (1.54bln)

GBPUSD: Ntg of note

AUDUSD: 0.7465 (AUD 500m) 0.7650 (430m) 0.7680 (660m) 0.7725 (280m)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.0 percent in the third quarter of 2017, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.1 percent.

The increase in real GDP in the third quarter reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, exports, and federal government spending. These increases were partly offset by negative contributions from residential

fixed investment and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the

calculation of GDP, decreased.

The deceleration in real GDP growth in the third quarter primarily reflected decelerations in PCE, in nonresidential fixed investment, and in exports that were partly offset by an acceleration in private inventory investment and a downturn in imports.

Current-dollar GDP increased 5.2 percent, or $245.5 billion, in the third quarter to a level of $19,495.5 billion. In the second quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 4.1 percent, or $192.3 billion.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.8 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent in the second quarter. The PCE price index increased 1.5 percent, compared with an increase of 0.3 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 1.3 percent, compared with an increase of 0.9 percent

• Inflation is projected to be close to 3% by late 2017; going forward, as the temporary factors run their course, it will approach 4%

• Monetary conditions lay the groundwork for inflation holding close to 4% and not constraining economic growth

• Key rate decisions will be based on its assessment on the balance of risks for inflation significantly and persistently deviating in either direction from the target

• Medium-term risks of inflation overshooting the target dominate over the risks of its persistent downward deviation

• Number of factors bear the risk of inflation deviating from the target both upwards and downwards

EUR/USD: 1.1750 (765m), 1.1700 (510m), 1.1600 (555m), 1.1550 (485m), 1.1500 (570m)

USD/JPY: 114.75 (500m), 114.42 -114.50 (1.53 b), 114.00 (1.42b), 113.50 (675m), 113.00 (1.29b), 112.70/75 (520m)

AUD/USD: 0.7725 (275m), 0.7680 (660m), 0.7650 (425m), 0.7465 (500m )

• 2018 gpd growth at 1.9 pct vs 1.8 pct 3 months ago, 2019 growth seen at 1.7 pct vs 1.6 pct

• Unemployment seen at 8.6 pct in 2018, 8.2 pct in 2019, both 0.2 percentage point down from last forecast

• 2022 inflation at 1.9 pct vs 1.8 pct seen 3 months ago; 2018 and 2019 forecasts unchanged

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1780 (1541)

$1.1751 (1290)

$1.1702 (273)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1626

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1578 (5634)

$1.1538 (4758)

$1.1494 (2852)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 114294 contracts (according to data from October, 26) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (9750);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3237 (1241)

$1.3205 (1365)

$1.3184 (1050)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3108

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3088 (2668)

$1.3056 (2029)

$1.3020 (2104)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 3 is 42620 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (3838);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 37112 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3292);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.87 versus 0.87 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 26

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

Overall consumer prices in Japan climbed 0.7 percent on year in September, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications cited by rttnews.

That was in line with expectations and unchanged from the August reading.

Core inflation also advanced an annual 0.7 percent - again matching forecasts and steady from the previous month.

Fuel prices led the increase, up 6.0 percent on year, along with medical care (1.8 percent), food (1.0 percent), education (0.4 percent and recreation (0.2 percent).

Clothing prices were down an annual 0.3 percent, along with housing and furniture (both -0.2 percent).

Overall and core CPI both were flat on a monthly basis.

Final demand (excl. Exports):

• Rose 0.2% in the september quarter 2017.

• Mainly due to rises in the prices received for electricity, gas and water supply (+4.9%), heavy and civil engineering construction (+0.7%) and building construction (+0.3%).

• Partly offset by falls in the prices received for other agriculture (-11.6%), electronic equipment manufacturing (-4.5%) and meat and meat product manufacturing (-6.0%).

• Rose 1.6% through the year to the september quarter 2017.

Intermediate demand:

• Rose 0.6% in the september quarter 2017.

• Mainly due to rises in the prices received for electricity, gas and water supply (+3.3%), architectural, engineering and technical services (+2.1%) and real estate services (+2.3%).

• Partly offset by falls in the prices received for textile, leather, clothing and footwear manufacturing (-1.8%) computer and electronic equipment manufacturing (-5.9%) and meat and meat product manufacturing (-5.6%).

• Rose 2.5% through the year to the september quarter 2017.

As reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the index of import prices increased by 3.0% in September 2017 compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In August 2017 and in July 2017 the annual rates of change were +2.1% and +1.9%, respectively. From August 2017 to September 2017 the index rose by 0.9%.

The index of import prices, excluding crude oil and mineral oil products, increased by 2.1% compared with the level of a year earlier.

The index of export prices increased by 1.7% in September 2017 compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In August 2017 and in July 2017 the annual rates of change were +1.5%, each. From August 2017 to September 2017 the export price index rose by 0.2%.