The euro fell on speculation European Union leaders meeting for a two-day summit in Brussels will fail to agree on a strategy to solve the region’s debt crisis.
The common currency slid for a fourth day versus the dollar as Italy paid the most to sell 10-year bonds since December and a research institute predicted the German economy will weaken this year.
The dollar gained as U.S. jobless claims decreased by 6,000 to 386,000 in the week ended June 23, in line with the median forecast of economists.
USD/JPY Y79.10, Y79.15, Y79.30, Y79.50, Y79.90
EUR/USD $1.2450, $1.2475, $1.2490, $1.2500, $1.2550, $1.2600
GBP/USD $1.5500, $1.5560, $1.5585, $1.5600
AUD/USD $1.0000, $1.0100, $1.0175
EUR/GBP stg0.7950
Data:
06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index June +0.3% +0.5% -0.6%
06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y June -0.7% -0.6% -1.5%
07:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. June 6.7% 6.7% 6.8%
07:55 Germany Unemployment Change June 0 4 7
08:30 United Kingdom Current account, bln Quarter I -8.5 -8.9 -11.2
08:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey Quarter II
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (finally) Quarter I -0.3% -0.3% -0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (finally) Quarter I +0.5% -0.1% -0.2%
09:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator June -0.77 -0.87 -0.94
09:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence June -11.3 -12.0 -12.7
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 387 385 386
12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (finally) Quarter I +3.0% +1.9% +1.9%
12:30 U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index, y/y Quarter I +2.1% +2.1% +2.0%
The euro fell to a three-week low against the yen on speculation European Union leaders meeting for a two-day summit in Brussels will fail to agree a strategy to solve the region’s debt crisis. EU leaders meet today and tomorrow for the 19th summit on the region’s debt crisis. They are due to discuss a plan seen playing out over more than a decade for closer European integration. The blueprint, written by European Council President Herman Van Rompuy, centers on common banking supervision and deposit insurance, along with a “criteria-based and phased” move toward joint debt issuance.
The 17-nation currency slid for a fourth day versus the dollar as Italy paid the most to sell 10-year bonds since December and a research institute predicted the German economy will weaken this year. The number of people out of work in Germany rose a seasonally adjusted 7,000 to 2.88 million, the Nuremberg-based Federal Labor Agency said today. Economists had forecast an increase of 3,000.
The pound fell against the backdrop of heightened fears that the UK recession tightens. So, today's data showed that in the 1st quarter net income of Britons fell again, consumer spending declined and the economy contracted. Revenue fell 0.9% against the same drop in Q4, as reported today the National Statistics Office in London. GDP fell by 0.3%, coinciding with a preliminary estimate and forecasts of economists. The state of the economy, which can not escape from the recession, more and more pushing the Bank of England to resume purchases of bonds in order to revitalize the process of recovery. Fiscal measures the government is also putting pressure on demand. Industrial production fell by 0.5%. Production in the construction sector was revised up to -4.9% from -4.8%, while those in the services sector grew by 0.2% against 0.1% preliminary estimate. Consumer spending fell 0.1%, exports fell by 1.7% while imports decreased by 0.3%. Government spending increased by 1.9%, according to Office of Statistics. A separate report showed that business investment rose by 1.9% q / q, up 14.8% y / y
EUR / USD: the pair fell into the region of $ 1.2405
GBP / USD: the pair of stepped into the region of $ 1.5520
USD / JPY: the pair fell into the region of Y79.20.
At 22:45 GMT New Zealand will provide information on changes in the volume of building permits issued in May. At 23:01 GMT the UK to publish an indicator of the GfK consumer confidence for June. At 23:30 GMT Japan will announce the change of the level of household expenditures in May. At the same time leaves the consumer price index in Tokyo and the consumer price index in Tokyo without taking into account the prices of fresh food products in June. Also at 23:30 GMT will be presented to the consumer price index in Tokyo, excluding prices for food and energy prices in June, consumer price index and consumer price index excluding prices for fresh food in May, as well as the consumer price index excluding prices for food and energy prices for May. Finish the day at 23:50 GMT publish preliminary data on industrial production in Japan in May.
Need immediate short-term aid for states under market pressure
EUR/USD
Offers $1.2580/85, $1.2560, $1.2550, $1.2500, $1.2475/80
Bids $1.2400, $1.2375, $1.2350
Offers $1.5695/00, $1.5670/75, $1.5650/55, $1.5600, $1.5575/80
Bids $1.5525/20, $1.5500, $1.5480/70, $1.5450, $1.5400
Offers $1.0200, $1.0190, $1.0150, $1.0100
Bids $1.0050, $1.0010, $1.0000, $0.9990, $0.9980
Offers Y80.30/40, Y80.00, Y79.80
Bids Y79.20, Y79.00
Offers Y100.00, Y99.90, Y99.50, Y99.00/10
Bids Y98.00, Y97.50, Y97.30/25
Offers stg0.8075/90, stg0.8045/50, stg0.8035/40, stg0.8025/30
Bids stg0.7965/60
Resistance 3: Y80.33 (Jun 21 high)
Resistance 2: Y79.88 (Jun 27 high)
Resistance 1: Y79.55 (МА(200) for Н1)
Current price: Y79.37
Support 1: Y79.20 (area of session low and Jun 26 low)
Support 2: Y78.80 (Jun 20 low)
Support 3: Y78.60 (Jun 15 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9800 (psychological level)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9780 (area of 2011-2012 high )
Resistance 1: Chf0.9680 (area of session high and Jun 4-5 high)
Current price: Chf0.9660
Support 1: Chf0.9590 (session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9555 (МА(200) for Н1)
Support 3: Chf0.9500 (Jun 20 high)

Resistance 3: $ 1.5730 (Jun 21 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5635 (Jun 22 high, МА(200) for Н1)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5620 (session high)
Current Price: $ 1.5556
Support 1: $ 1.5520 (session low)
Support 2: $ 1.5470 (Jun 14-15 low)
Support 3: $ 1.5400 (Jun 8 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.2665 (Jun 15 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.2570 (МА(200) for Н1)
Resistance 1 : $1.2525 (session high)
The current price: $1.2427
Support 1 : $1.2405 (area of session low and Jun 5 low)
Support 2 : $1.2290 (June low)
Support 3 : $1.2200 (psychological level)

USD/JPY Y79.10, Y79.15, Y79.30, Y79.50, Y79.90
EUR/USD $1.2450, $1.2475, $1.2490, $1.2500, $1.2550, $1.2600
GBP/USD $1.5500, $1.5560, $1.5585, $1.5600
AUD/USD $1.0000, $1.0100, $1.0175
EUR/GBP stg0.7950
Italy sold E2.5bln vs target E1.75bln-E2.5bln
E2.5bln of 4.75% 2017 BTP; avg yield 5.84% (5.66%), cover 1.54 (1.35)
Sold E2.293bln vs target E2.0bln-E3.0bln
E2.923bln of 5.50% 2022 BTP; avg yield 6.19% (6.03%), cover 1.28(1.4)
01:00 New Zealand NBNZ Business Confidence May 27.1 12.6
01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m May +6.9% +0.7%
The dollar weakened against most of its major counterparts as Asian stocks rallied for a second day and European leaders gather for a summit in Brussels to stem the region’s debt crisis. EU leaders meet today and tomorrow for the 19th summit on the region’s debt crisis. They are due to discuss a plan seen playing out over more than a decade for closer European integration. The blueprint, written by European Council President Herman Van Rompuy, centers on common banking supervision and deposit insurance, along with a “criteria-based and phased” move toward joint debt issuance.
The 17-nation euro is poised for its biggest quarterly drop versus the yen since September amid concern the region’s fiscal woes are spreading to bigger economies. Italy will hold a debt auction today following sales in the past two days that saw borrowing costs increase. Italy is scheduled to sell 2.5 billion euros ($3.1 billion) of five-year notes and 3 billion euros of 10-year debt today. The 185-day bills sold yesterday got a rate of 2.957 percent, while the zero-coupon, two-year notes offered on June 26 yielded 4.712 percent. Both were the highest this year. The nation’s 10-year yields climbed to a five-month high of 6.34 percent on June 14, nearing the 7 percent level that spurred Greece, Ireland and Portugal to seek bailouts.
The so-called Aussie headed for its biggest monthly gain versus its U.S. counterpart since January as traders added to bets the Reserve Bank of Australia will keep rates unchanged next week as long as Europe’s debt crisis doesn’t worsen.
EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose above $ 1.2500.
GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose above $ 1.5600.
USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell to yesterday's lows.
The UK house price index from the Nationwide is released at 0600GMT. UK data continues at 0830GMT with the final reading of Q1 GDP data. US data continues with the weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage data at 1430GMT, followed at 1500GMT by Kansas City Fed Production for June. US speakers start at 1530GMT with Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto. At 1600GMT, Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher participates in moderated discussions at the 2012 Aspen Ideas Festival in Aspen, Colorado. Back in the UK, at 1700GMT, Bank of England MPC member Weale makes remarks at Queen Mary University.
Yesterday the euro approached the lowest level against the dollar in more than two weeks after German Chancellor Angela Merkel dimmed expectations European leaders will solve the region’s debt crisis when they meet tomorrow.
The 17-nation currency pared its advance versus the yen after Italian borrowing costs increased at a bill sale. Merkel responded to a Spanish plea by saying joint euro-area bonds are the “wrong way” to achieve integration, while Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble called for stronger fiscal discipline.
Speaking three hours after Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy made a plea for a two-day summit of European leaders in Brussels to use all available tools to help Spain service its debt, Merkel said euro bonds, euro bills and debt redemption funds are unconstitutional in Germany and economically “wrong and counterproductive.”
The pound fell against all of its major counterparts as U.K. mortgage approvals fell to their lowest level in more than a year. The British pound weakened after the number of loans granted to buy homes dropped 5.8 percent last month to 30,238, the least since April 2011, supporting the case for the central bank to resume an expansion of stimulus measures. Bank of England Governor Mervyn King told lawmakers yesterday he voted for more so-called quantitative easing this month because of a deteriorating global economic outlook.
Resistance 3: Y80.65 (Jun 25 high)
Resistance 2: Y80.00 (Apr 22 low, psychological level)
Resistance 1: Y79.85 (Jun 27 high)
Current price: Y79.43
Support 1: Y79.20 (Jun 26 low)
Support 2: Y78.80 (Jun 20 low)
Support 3: Y78.60 (Jun 15 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9770 (Jun 1 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9700 (psychological level)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9650 (Jun 26-27 high)
Current price: Chf0.9597
Support 1: Chf0.9580 (Jun 26 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9540 (Jun 22 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9500 (Jun 20 high)

Resistance 3: $ 1.5775 (Jun 20 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5730 (Jun 21 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5650 (Jun 26 high)
Current Price: $ 1.5588
Support 1: $ 1.5535/45 (Jun 25-27 low)
Support 2: $ 1.5510 (low of the U.S. session on Jun 15)
Support 3: $ 1.5470/75 (Jun 14-15 low)

Resistance 3: $ 1.2635 (Jun 20 low)
Resistance 2: $ 1.2585 (Jun 22 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2530 (Jun 26 high)
Current Price: $ 1.2511
Support 1: $ 1.2445 (Jun 26-27 low)
Support 2: $ 1.2405 (Jun 5 low)
Support 3: $ 1.2365 (May 30 low)

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2468 -0,18%
GBP/USD $1,5565 -0,44%
USD/CHF Chf0,9630 +0,18%
USD/JPY Y79,69 +0,25%
EUR/JPY Y99,37 +0,07%
GBP/JPY Y124,03 -0,19%
AUD/USD $1,0080 +0,22%
NZD/USD $0,7916 +0,11%
USD/CAD C$1,0254 +0,13%
01:00 New Zealand NBNZ Business Confidence May 27.1
01:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m May +6.9%
06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index June +0.3% +0.5%
06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y June -0.7% -0.6%
07:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. June 6.7% 6.7%
07:55 Germany Unemployment Change June 0 4
08:30 United Kingdom Current account, bln Quarter I -8.5 -8.9
08:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey Quarter II
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (finally) Quarter I -0.3% -0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (finally) Quarter I +0.5% -0.1%
09:00 Eurozone Business climate indicator June -0.77 -0.87
09:00 Eurozone Industrial confidence June -11.3 -12.0
12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 387 385
12:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (finally) Quarter I +3.0% +1.9%
12:30 U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditure - Prices Index, y/y Quarter I +2.1% +2.1%
15:30 U.S. FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks -
17:00 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks -
22:45 New Zealand Building Permits, m/m May -7.2% +3.0%
23:01 United Kingdom Gfk Consumer Confidence June -29 -30
23:15 Japan Manufacturing PMI June 50.7
23:30 Japan Household spending Y/Y May +2.6% +2.5%
23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y May +0.4% +0.2%
23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y May +0.2% 0.0%
23:30 Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index, y/y June -0.5% -0.5%
23:30 Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food, y/y June -0.8% -0.7%
23:30 Japan Unemployment Rate May 4.6% 4.5%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (preliminary) May -0.2% -2.6%
23:50 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (preliminary) May +12.9% +6.6%
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