CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 11-10-2017

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11.10.2017
22:28
Commodities. Daily history for Oct 11’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 51.02 +0.20%

Gold 1,293.90 +0.01%

22:26
Stocks. Daily history for Oct 11’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei +57.76 20881.27 +0.28%

TOPIX +1.67 1696.81 +0.10%

Hang Seng -101.26 28389.57 -0.36%

CSI 300 +12.83 3902.69 +0.33%

Euro Stoxx 50 +8.60 3607.39 +0.24%

FTSE 100 -4.46 7533.81 -0.06%

DAX +21.43 12970.68 +0.17%

CAC 40 -1.24 5362.41 -0.02%

DJIA +42.21 22872.89 +0.18%

S&P 500 +4.60 2555.24 +0.18%

NASDAQ +16.30 6603.55 +0.25%

S&P/TSX +30.04 15800.40 +0.19%

22:26
Currencies. Daily history for Oct 11’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1860 +0,44%

GBP/USD $1,3221 +0,14%

USD/CHF Chf0,97327 -0,17%

USD/JPY Y112,50 +0,12%

EUR/JPY Y133,42 +0,55%

GBP/JPY Y148,747 +0,27%

AUD/USD $0,7787 +0,13%

NZD/USD $0,7087 +0,25%

USD/CAD C$1,24558 -0,47%

22:10
Schedule for today, Thursday, Oct 12’2017 (GMT0)

00:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, y/y September 2.3% 3.0%

03:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation October 3.8%

03:30 Australia Home Loans August 2.9% 0.5%

07:30 Japan Tertiary Industry Index August 0.1%

09:45 France CPI, y/y (Finally) September 0.9% 1%

09:45 France CPI, m/m (Finally) September 0.6% -0.1%

11:30 United Kingdom BOE Credit Conditions Survey

12:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August 3.2% 2.6%

12:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August 0.1% 0.5%

12:00 U.S. IEA Monthly Report

15:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY August 0.4%

15:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM August 3.8% 0.3%

15:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 1938 1.935

15:30 U.S. PPI, y/y September 2.4% 2.5%

15:30 U.S. PPI, m/m September 0.2% 0.4%

15:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m September 0.1% 0.2%

15:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September 2.0% 2%

15:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 260 251

16:00 United Kingdom MPC Member Andy Haldane Speaks

17:30 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks

17:30 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

17:30 U.S. FOMC Member Jerome Powell Speaks

17:30 U.S. FOMC Member Brainard Speaks

18:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories October -6.023 -1.8

21:00 U.S. Federal budget September -108.0 6

22:15 Canada Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

22:45 Eurozone ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks

23:10 Eurozone ECB's Lautenschläger Speech

21:47
New Zealand: Food Prices Index, y/y, September 3.0%
20:09
Major US stock indexes finished trading in positive territory

Major US stock indices increased slightly on Wednesday, while moderate gains in the conglomerate sector and technology sector were offset by the fall of the industrial goods sector on the eve of the publication of quarterly statements by Wall Street banks.

In addition, some influence on the dynamics of trading provided data for the US and the protocol of the September meeting of the FOMC. A survey of vacancies and labor turnover, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed that in August the number of vacancies decreased to 6.082 million. The indicator for July was revised downward - to 6.14 million from 6.17 million. Analysts had expected , that the number of vacancies will decrease to 6,125 million. The vacancy level was 4.0%, unchanged in July. The number of vacancies has changed little in both the private sector and the government segment. In addition, in August, hiring amounted to 5.430 million against 5.521 million in July. The level of hiring fell by 0.1%, to 3.7%. Hiring has changed little in the private sector, as well as in the government sphere.

As for the September FOMC meeting protocol, most of the Fed executives expected another rate hike this year, although some said their decision will depend on whether inflation will increase in the coming months. Many leaders of the Fed think that the weakness of inflation will be short. Otherwise, some managers have indicated that they will have to reassess the forecast rate of rate hikes. Some members of the Fed management said their decision on whether to raise rates this year will depend more on whether the economic data in the next few months will strengthen their belief in inflation growth to the committee's target level of 2%.

The components of the index of the DOW index finished the trades mixed (15 in positive territory, 15 in negative territory). The leader of growth was the shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, + 2.23%). Outsider were shares of General Electric Company (GE, -1.39%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P index recorded an increase. The conglomerate sector grew most (+ 0.4%). The sector of industrial goods showed the greatest decrease (-0.2%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.18% 22.872.89 +42.21

Nasdaq + 0.25% 6.603.55 +16.30

S & P + 0.18% 2.555.24 +4.60

19:00
DJIA +0.10% 22,853.82 +23.14 Nasdaq +0.12% 6,595.24 +7.99 S&P +0.08% 2,552.59 +1.95
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -4.46 7533.81 -0.06% DAX +21.43 12970.68 +0.17% CAC 40 -1.24 5362.41 -0.02%
14:24
Dollar index holds near 2-week lows after U.S. JOLTS job openings fall in August
14:14
US job openings little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of August

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.1 million on the last business day of August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were also little changed at 5.4 million and 5.2 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs
and discharges rate were little changed at 2.1 percent and 1.2 percent, respectively. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.

The number of hires was little changed at 5.4 million in August. The hires rate was 3.7 percent. The number of hires was little changed for total private and for government. The number of hires was little changed in all industries. Hires decreased in the Northeast region.

14:00
U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, August 6.082 (forecast 6.125)
13:44
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EURUSD: 1.1710 (EUR 625m) 1.1740-45 (310m) 1.1770 (480m) 1.1825-30 (540m) 1.1850 (335m) 1.2030 (335m)

USDJPY: 110.00 (USD 800m) 111.00 (480m) 112.80 (1.3bln) 113.00 (640m)

GBPUSD: Ntg of note

AUDUSD: Ntg of note

USDCAD: 1.2200 (USD 750m) 1.2650 (255m) 1.2800 (450m)

13:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.06%, Nasdaq +0.04%, S&P +0.04%
13:29
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.09%, NASDAQ futures -0.07%

U.S. stock-index futures were lower on Wednesday as investors awaited the publication of the minutes from the FOMC's latest meeting later today as well as prepared for the start of earnings season, which will unofficially kick off tomorrow tomorrow morning when financial heavyweights JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Citigroup (C) release their results for the third quarter.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 20,881.27 +57.76 +0.28%

Hang Seng 28,389.57 -101.26 -0.36%

Shanghai 3,389.05 +6.06 +0.18%

S&P/ASX 5,772.15 +34.04 +0.59%

FTSE 7,531.67 -6.60 -0.09%

CAC 5,348.51 -15.14 -0.28%

DAX 12,945.11 -4.14 -0.03%

Crude $51.02 (+0.20%)

Gold $1,292.20 (-0.12%)

13:16
British PM May says if there is a no Brexit deal, obviously we will have to have arrangements with other EU states on citizens rights
12:54
Fed's Evans says don't see any harm in waiting longer to take more stock of the inflation situation before more rate hikes

  • We need to see substantial progress on inflation data

  • It is important to position ourselves for the next several years with regards to monetary policy

  • Not enough detail on tax proposals to judge how they will affect U.S. economy and monetary policy

12:52
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

46.86

-0.03(-0.06%)

501

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

65.25

0.24(0.37%)

2161

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

990.36

3.16(0.32%)

14815

American Express Co

AXP

92.29

0.40(0.44%)

822

Apple Inc.

AAPL

155.85

-0.05(-0.03%)

61936

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

16.68

0.03(0.18%)

3012

Boeing Co

BA

261.45

0.52(0.20%)

670

Chevron Corp

CVX

118.85

0.05(0.04%)

677

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

74.94

-0.24(-0.32%)

25564

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

82.31

0.05(0.06%)

1160

Facebook, Inc.

FB

172.3

0.71(0.41%)

100968

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

221.86

1.08(0.49%)

350

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.35

-0.04(-0.32%)

9446

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14.42

0.01(0.07%)

2015

General Electric Co

GE

23.11

-0.25(-1.07%)

366537

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

45.29

0.08(0.18%)

8311

Goldman Sachs

GS

242

-0.60(-0.25%)

2069

Google Inc.

GOOG

973.9

1.30(0.13%)

2217

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

143.5

0.19(0.13%)

945

Intel Corp

INTC

39.55

-0.10(-0.25%)

9264

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

134.36

0.46(0.34%)

15015

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

96.88

-0.25(-0.26%)

20526

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

76.23

-0.06(-0.08%)

12532

Nike

NKE

51.45

-0.08(-0.16%)

13312

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

91.57

-0.05(-0.05%)

8034

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

354.84

-0.75(-0.21%)

26429

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

17.44

0.03(0.17%)

10285

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

49.49

0.35(0.71%)

643

Visa

V

107.93

0.62(0.58%)

2034

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

84.3

0.17(0.20%)

17888

Walt Disney Co

DIS

99.89

0.31(0.31%)

1261

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

31.91

0.20(0.63%)

5273

12:49
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

FedEx (FDX) initiated with a Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts; target $260

12:47
Analyst coverage resumption before the market open

American Express (AXP) resumed with a Outperform at Wells Fargo; target $105

12:45
Target price changes before the market open

Amazon (AMZN) target raised to $1350 from $1100 at Credit Suisse

Alphabet (GOOG) target raised to $1350 from $1100 at Credit Suisse

Facebook (FB) target raised to $235 from $190 at Credit Suisse

General Electric (GE) target lowered to $20 from $22 at JP Morgan

12:44
Upgrades before the market open

Visa (V) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies

11:28
OPEC sees 2018 demand for its crude averaging 33.06 million bpd, up 230,000 bpd from previous forecast
10:46
Spain's Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy says government agreed to formally ask Catalan government whether it had declared independence or not

  • This requirement comes before any other measure that could be taken under article 155 of the constitution

10:04
UK finance minister Hammond says equivalence that EU currently offers U.S. financial service firms can be withdrawn at short notice, would not be appropriate for UK
09:11
UK finance minister Hammond says need to determine what is a realistic 'worst case' scenario for brexit that we can plan for

  • Money spent on customs border with eu would be money that could not be spent on public services

  • Do not propose to allocate brexit funds to departments before spending is needed

  • UK does have fundamental underlying problem with productivity growth

  • UK economy fundamentally robust but has 'cloud of uncertainty' that we need to remove as soon as possible

08:09
Russian foreign ministry says not ruling out it may demand that U.S. cut number of diplomats in Russia to 300 or below - RIA
07:47
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1850(335 m), 1.1825-30(540 m), 1.1770(480 m)

USD/JPY: 113.00(640 m), 112.80(128 m), 111(475 m)

07:33
Major stock exchanges in Europe trading mixed: FTSE 7540.64 +2.37 + 0.03%, DAX 12971.08 +21.83 + 0.17%, CAC 5359.05 -4.60 -0.09%
07:18
China foreign ministry calls on all sides to exercise restraint over North Korea issue
06:52
Options levels on wednesday, October 11, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1971 (3422)

$1.1919 (2894)

$1.1873 (403)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1825

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1776 (2253)

$1.1728 (2635)

$1.1698 (3107)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 92366 contracts (according to data from October, 10) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2000 (5478);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3335 (3269)

$1.3297 (2232)

$1.3253 (1050)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3192

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3141 (1903)

$1.3092 (1064)

$1.3063 (2140)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 3 is 34161 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3300 (3270);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 3 is 31125 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (2191);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.91 versus 0.94 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 10

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:47
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.4 pct, DAX futures up 0.2 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.3 pct, FTSE futures up 0.2 pct
06:46
Romanian consumer price inflation quickens to 1.8 pct y/y in September from 1.2 pct in August; 1.6 pct y/y forecast; 0.5 pct m/m - Stats board
06:45
Japanese core machine orders rose more than expected in August

Core machine orders in Japan jumped a seasonally adjusted 3.4 percent on month in August, the Cabinet Office said on Wednesday, cited by rttnews, - coming in at 882.4 billion yen.

That beat forecasts for an increase of 1.0 percent following the 8.0 percent spike in July.

On a yearly basis, core machine orders advanced 4.4 percent - again beating expectations for a gain of 0.8 percent following the 7.5 percent decline in the previous month.

The total value of machine orders, which includes volatile ones for ships and electric power companies, added 8.5 percent on month and 21.5 percent on year to 2,583.9 billion yen.

06:42
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.362 percent vs U.S. close of 2.345 percent on Tuesday
06:41
Catalan lawmakers sign document they call declaration of independence, but delay its implementation @AP
06:40
Spanish foreign minister Dastis tells french radio that Catalonia leader's speech on tuesday was a "trick" but adds there remains room for talks within framework of spanish constitution
05:59
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , September 45.3%
05:34
Global Stocks

U.K. stocks rose Tuesday, with banks among biggest gainers after a broker upgrade, outperforming the wider European market that was weighed by tensions between Catalonia and Madrid. The FTSE 100 index UKX, +0.40% picked up 0.4% to end at 7,538.27, marking its highest close in two months.

All main U.S. stock indexes closed higher on Tuesday, with the Dow finishing at its 47th record for 2017, as optimism appeared to grow ahead of the start of the earnings season, which will provide concrete insight into the state of U.S. corporations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.31% rose 69.61 points, or 0.3%, to end at 22,830.68. The S&P 500 SPX, +0.23% added 5.91 points, or 0.2%, to close at 2,550.64. The Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.11% reversed earlier losses to finish 7.52 points, or 0.1%, higher at 6,587.25.

The monthlong global stock rally continued early Wednesday, with Asian stocks mostly higher and Japan's Nikkei making a fresh run at its best close since 1996. The markets seem to be comfortable with the U.S. Federal Reserve's plan to remain on its rate-increase path, as it signals confidence that the economy there is accelerating, said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets.

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