CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 13-11-2017

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13.11.2017
23:26
Commodities. Daily history for Nov 13’2017:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 56.73-0.02%

Gold 1,278.50+0.34%

23:25
Stocks. Daily history for Nov 13’2017:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -300.43 22380.99 -1.32%

TOPIX -16.95 1783.49 -0.94%

Hang Seng +61.26 29182.18 +0.21%

CSI 300 +16.16 4128.07 +0.39%

Euro Stoxx 50 -19.24 3574.52 -0.54%

FTSE 100 -17.81 7415.18 -0.24%

DAX -53.05 13074.42 -0.40%

CAC 40 -39.09 5341.63 -0.73%

DJIA +17.49 23439.70 +0.07%

S&P 500 +2.54 2584.84 +0.10%

NASDAQ +6.66 6757.59 +0.10%

S&P/TSX -13.00 16026.26 -0.08%

23:25
Currencies. Daily history for Nov 13’2017:

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,1666 +0,01%

GBP/USD $1,3114 -0,63%

USD/CHF Chf0,99604 +0,03%

USD/JPY Y113,61 +0,08%

EUR/JPY Y132,54 +0,09%

GBP/JPY Y148,983 -0,56%

AUD/USD $0,7621 -0,53%

NZD/USD $0,6900 -0,42%

USD/CAD C$1,27314 +0,42%

23:02
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Nov 14’2017 (GMT0)

03:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 7

05:00 China Retail Sales y/y October 10.3% 10.4%

05:00 China Industrial Production y/y October 6.6% 6.3%

05:00 China Fixed Asset Investment October 7.5% 7.4%

10:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) October 0.1% 0.0%

10:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) October 1.8% 1.6%

10:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Preliminary) Quarter III 2.1%

10:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Preliminary) Quarter III 0.6% 0.6%

11:05 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks

11:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y October 0.8%

12:00 Eurozone ECB's Lautenschläger Speech

12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) October 0.2% 0.3%

12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) October 8.4% 4.9%

12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) October 0.4% 1.0%

12:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) October 3.3% 2.9%

12:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y October 2.7% 2.8%

12:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y October 3.9% 4.1%

12:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m October 0.1% 0.2%

12:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y October 3% 3.1%

12:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m October 0.3% 0.2%

13:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment November 26.7

13:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) September 3.8% 3.2%

13:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) September 1.4% -0.6%

13:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (Revised) Quarter III 0.7% 0.6%

13:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (Revised) Quarter III 2.3% 2.5%

13:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

13:00 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks

13:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment November 17.6 20.0

13:00 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

13:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

16:15 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks

16:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y October 2.2% 2.3%

16:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m October 0.4% 0.2%

16:30 U.S. PPI, m/m October 0.4% 0.1%

16:30 U.S. PPI, y/y October 2.6% 2.4%

18:30 Eurozone ECB's Benoit Coeure Speaks

21:08
The major US stock indexes finished trading with a minimum increase

Major US stock markets closed around zero after GE's shares reached the lowest level in five years, and investors worried about the future of the US tax reform plan.

So, General Electric Co. (GE) will drastically cut its business to focus on aviation, energy and healthcare, focusing on sectors that the company believes can bring profit. The 125-year-old company cut dividends twice and the profit forecast. The company's shares fell, as investors worry about how the company will generate cash to increase the value of the shares.

Oil prices were in a narrow range on Monday, as support from tensions in the Middle East region and a record number of long positions among fund managers was counterbalanced by the growth of oil production in the US. Experts note that tensions in the Middle East supported the market, despite concerns that production could increase even more, especially in Saudi Arabia. In terms of supply, tensions in the Middle East raised prospects for disruptions, traders said.

Most components of the DOW index recorded a rise (16 out of 30). The growth leader was the shares of The Home Depot, Inc. (HD, + 1.24%). Outsider were shares of General Electric Company (GE, -7.51%).

Sectors Index S & P completed the auction mixed. The utilities sector grew most (+ 0.7%). The largest decrease was shown by the sector of conglomerates (-1.2%).

At closing:

DJIA + 0.08% 23.439.90 +17.69

Nasdaq + 0.10% 6,757.60 +6.66

S & P + 0.10% 2.584.84 + 2.54

20:00
DJIA +0.10% 23,446.52 +24.31 Nasdaq +0.11% 6,758.59 +7.65 S&P +0.11% 2,585.06 +2.76
19:00
U.S.: Federal budget , October -63.0 (forecast -50.0)
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -17.81 7415.18 -0.24% DAX -53.05 13074.42 -0.40% CAC 40 -39.09 5341.63 -0.73%
16:11
GBP/CAD DAILY TIME FRAME CHART

On daily time frame chart we can see that there is a chart pattern "Head and Shoulders" which price has broken and now is testing the neckline.


However, during the morning of today and due to some political instability in the Theresa May government we witnessed a depreciation of the pound.

If today´s candle close above or near to the "neckline" then the possibility of long entries still remains valid.


depreciation

14:35
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.32%, Nasdaq -0.31%, S&P -0.27%
14:28
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.35%, NASDAQ futures -0.42%

U.S. stock-index futures were lower on Monday amid rising uncertainty over a U.S. tax reform deal.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 22,380.99 -300.43 -1.32%

Hang Seng 29,182.18 +61.26 +0.21%

Shanghai 3,448.68 +16.01 +0.47%

S&P/ASX 6,021.77 -7.60 -0.13%

FTSE 7,414.98 -18.01 -0.24%

CAC 5,321.60 -59.12 -1.10%

DAX 13,000.55 -126.92 -0.97%

Crude $56.97 (+0.41%)

Gold $1,278.40 (+0.33%)

13:50
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

42.76

-0.25(-0.58%)

2128

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

64.99

-0.03(-0.05%)

570

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,122.99

-2.36(-0.21%)

9425

Apple Inc.

AAPL

173.8

-0.87(-0.50%)

118230

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

14.04

0.06(0.43%)

3941

Boeing Co

BA

262.5

1.65(0.63%)

13596

Chevron Corp

CVX

116.1

-1.08(-0.92%)

100

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

33.95

-0.04(-0.12%)

10234

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

71.75

-0.50(-0.69%)

10901

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

82.99

0.05(0.06%)

300

Facebook, Inc.

FB

177.6

-0.86(-0.48%)

30727

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.02

0.01(0.08%)

33163

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

14.2

-0.21(-1.46%)

12290

General Electric Co

GE

20.69

0.20(0.98%)

2040469

Goldman Sachs

GS

238.52

-1.63(-0.68%)

982

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,023.78

-4.29(-0.42%)

3943

Home Depot Inc

HD

164.9

0.79(0.48%)

18778

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

145.54

-0.21(-0.14%)

120

Intel Corp

INTC

45.62

0.04(0.09%)

29093

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

148.94

-0.22(-0.15%)

3458

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

96.95

-0.56(-0.57%)

2331

McDonald's Corp

MCD

165.5

-0.09(-0.05%)

1279

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

83.68

-0.19(-0.23%)

14807

Nike

NKE

56

-0.09(-0.16%)

1005

Pfizer Inc

PFE

35.15

-0.03(-0.09%)

2700

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

88.48

0.32(0.36%)

3002

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

56.65

-0.39(-0.68%)

429

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

300

-2.99(-0.99%)

53547

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

46.59

0.05(0.11%)

123

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

20.2

-0.12(-0.59%)

33407

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

45

0.12(0.27%)

1276

Visa

V

111.79

-0.09(-0.08%)

1067

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

91.14

0.22(0.24%)

7508

Walt Disney Co

DIS

104.5

-0.28(-0.27%)

13529

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

31

0.01(0.03%)

4540

13:46
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

Tesla (TSLA) initiated with a Buy at First Shanghai Securities

FedEx (FDX) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; target $270

12:27
UK PM's spokesman, when asked about EU’s demand for more clarity on Brexit financial settlement in two weeks, says we are working towards EU summit in december
12:01
OPEC says global oil demand to rise 1.51 million bpd next year (prev forecast 1.38 million bpd) - Monthly report

  • Trims 2018 non-OPEC oil supply growth forecast to 870,000 bpd (prev 940,000 bpd)

  • OECD oil inventories fell by 23.6 million barrels in sept to 2.985 bln barrels, 154 mln barrels above 5-year average

  • Size of oil supply overhang has fallen considerably since start of year

11:58
OPEC sees 2018 demand for its crude averaging 33.42 million bpd, up 360,000 bpd from previous forecast
11:25
German govt spokesman says not enough progress has been made in Brexit talks between EU and Britain

  • Says there is real urgency to make progress in Brexit negotiations

10:41
IMF - Europe's central banks should be ready to gradually withdraw stimulus where wages have accelerated
10:14
ECB's Constancio says we are not yet fulfilling our mandate and that is why monetary policy will have to continue to be very accommodative
10:02
Forex option contracts rolling off today at 14.00 GMT:

EUR/USD: 1.1550 (370 m), 1.1600(482 m)

USD/JPY: 112.35 (865 m), 112.95-113.00(530 m), 113.10-15(785 m), 114.50(860 m), 115.10(864 m)

GBP/USD: 1.3300 (361 m)

AUD/USD: 0.7610-15 (508 m), 0.7625(223 m)

USD/CAD: 1.2600 (254 m)

EUR/JPY: 133.00 (323 m)

09:20
RBA's Debelle says if interest rates were materially higher households would have trouble servicing their debt
09:19
Fed’s Harker: I have pencilled in one rate hike this year and three next year, but want to make sure we make progress toward inflation goal

  • I respect Powell's insights into markets and economy

  • We can continue to reduce regulatory burden on small banks, but need to be cautious about regulations on large banks

  • Fed does not have to remove a lot of accommodation to return to neutral

09:17
U.S. President Trump, meeting with Abe, Turnbull, says 'we've made a lot of progress on trade'
09:16
IMF - disruptive Brexit would probably lead to "appreciably" lower growth in Britain and Euro Zone

  • British interest rate rise justified by higher inflation

  • European recovery looks increasingly durable, strengthening and broadening

09:11
EU foreign ministers agree arms embargo on Venezuela, legal basis for sanctions on individuals

  • EU still to decide names, to consider those responsible for "serious human rights violations"

09:09
Swiss total sight deposits at 577.531 bln chf in week ending november 10 versus 577.842 bln chf a week earlier

  • Sight deposits of domestic banks at 472.652 bln chf in week ending november 10 versus 468.761 bln chf a week earlier

08:36
Major stock exchanges in Europe trading in positive territory: FTSE 7467.87 +34.88 + 0.47%, DAX 13157.58 +30.11 + 0.23%, CAC 5383.31 +2.59 + 0.05%
07:45
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.389 percent vs U.S. close of 2.400 percent on friday
07:44
Positive start of trading expected on the main European stock markets: DAX + 0.1%, CAC 40 + 0.1%, FTSE 100 + 0.3%
07:43
German selling prices in wholesale trade increased by 3.0% in October

As reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the selling prices in wholesale trade increased by 3.0% in October 2017 from the corresponding month of the preceding year. In September 2017 and in August 2017 the annual rates of change were +3.4% and +3.2%, respectively.

From September 2017 to October 2017 the index did not change.

06:28
Global Stocks

European stocks fell Friday, marking their worst weekly drop in three months by rounding it off with a disappointing outlook from Cartier parent Richemont and lingering concerns about tax-cut legislation in the U.S. The Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, -0.35% shed 0.4% to end at 388.69, the lowest close since Oct. 25, according to FactSet data. Only the financial sector finished higher.

U.S. stock benchmarks closed mostly lower on Friday, putting an end to multiweek winning streaks by the major indexes as investors expressed nagging anxiety about a possible delay in much-anticipated corporate tax cuts. However, some strong corporate results limited the day's decline and kept the Nasdaq in barely positive territory.

Most Asia Pacific stock markets started the week on a quiet note, though the Japanese stock market continued to fall. The Nikkei Stock Average NIK, -0.62% finished morning trading down 0.7% after it posted a 0.8% loss on Friday, its largest percentage loss in two months, amid broad regional weakness. The benchmark had surged 21% from early September through last week before the rally paused Thursday.

06:01
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , October 49.9%
06:01
Options levels on monday, November 13, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1768 (5782)

$1.1725 (1391)

$1.1703 (865)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1657

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1619 (5675)

$1.1593 (5460)

$1.1561 (8190)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 150519 contracts (according to data from November, 10) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (8336);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3309 (3203)

$1.3269 (1271)

$1.3244 (632)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3134

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3143 (1145)

$1.3124 (1099)

$1.3100 (1322)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 8 is 39398 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (3203);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 8 is 38881 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (4790);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 0.97 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 10

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

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