CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 14-10-2014

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14.10.2014
23:30
Australia: Westpac Consumer Confidence, October +0.9%
22:30
Stocks. Daily history for Oct 14'2014:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 14,936.51 -364.04 -2.38%

Hang Seng 23,047.97 -95.41 -0.41%

Shanghai Composite 2,359.47 -6.53 -0.28%

FTSE 100 6,392.68 +26.44 +0.42%

CAC 40 4,088.25 +9.55 +0.23%

Xetra DAX 8,825.21 +12.78 +0.15%

S&P 500 1,877.7 +2.96 +0.16%

NASDAQ Composite 4,227.17 +13.52 +0.32%

Dow Jones 16,315.19 -5.88 -0.04%

22:20
Currencies. Daily history for Oct 14'2014:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2657 -0,66%

GBP/USD $1,5904 -1,07%

USD/CHF Chf0,9537 +0,53%

USD/JPY Y107,13 +0,14%

EUR/JPY Y135,60 -0,52%

GBP/JPY Y170,37 -0,92%

AUD/USD $0,8718 -0,47%

NZD/USD $0,7837 -0,63%

USD/CAD C$1,1293 +0,91%

22:01
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Oct 15’2014:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) September -1.8%

00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) September -3.5%

01:30 China PPI y/y September -1.2% -1.4%

01:30 China CPI y/y September +2.0% +1.7%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (Finally) August -0.7% -0.7%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Finally) August -1.5% -1.5%

06:00 Germany CPI, y/y (Finally) September +0.8% +0.8%

06:00 Germany CPI, m/m (Finally) September 0.0% 0.0%

07:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

08:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y August +0.7% +0.8%

08:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y August +0.6% +0.7%

08:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate August 6.2% 6.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant count September -37.2 -34.2

08:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate September 2.9%

09:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) October -7.7 -12.0

12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m September 0.0% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. Retail sales September +0.6% -0.1%

12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto September +0.3% +0.2%

12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y September +1.8% +1.7%

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m September +0.1% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September +1.8% +1.7%

12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index September 27.5 20.3

14:00 U.S. Business inventories August +0.4% +0.4%

18:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks

18:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book

20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories October +5.1

21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI September 56.5

19:00
Dow 16,369.72 +48.65 +0.30%, Nasdaq 4,234.63 +20.97 +0.50%, S&P 500 1,883.95 +9.21 +0.49%
16:02
European stocks close: stocks closed slightly higher following a rally in the U.S.

Stock indices traded following a rally in the U.S. The U.S. shares rose on positive corporate earnings.

Earlier, European stocks dropped due to the weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment data. The ZEW released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone today. The economic sentiment index for Germany dropped to -3.6 in October from 6.9 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 0.2.

The economic sentiment index for the Eurozone fell to 4.1 in October from 14.2 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 7.1.

The ZEW economic sentiment data fuelled concern the Eurozone falls into recession.

Eurozone's industrial production fell 1.8% in August, missing expectations for a 1.5% decline, after a 0.9% gain in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.0% increase.

France's consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.4% in September from 0.5% in August, in line with expectations.

Indexes on the close:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 6,392.68 +26.44 +0.42%

DAX 8,825.21 +12.78 +0.15%

CAC 40 4,088.25 +9.55 +0.23%

16:00
European stocks closed in plus: FTSE 100 6,392.68 +26.44 +0.42%, CAC 40 4,088.25 +9.55 +0.23%, DAX 8,825.21 +12.78 +0.15%
15:40
Brent crude fell to the lowest level in almost four years

Brent crude fell to the lowest level in almost four years after the International Energy Agency said oil demand will expand this year at the slowest pace since 2009. West Texas Intermediate slipped for the fifth time in six days.

Futures dropped as much as 3.1 percent in London and 2.1 percent in New York. Oil consumption will rise by about 650,000 barrels a day this year, 250,000 fewer than the prior estimate, the Paris-based agency said in its monthly market report. U.S. crude supplies probably grew by 2.5 million barrels last week, according to a Bloomberg survey of analysts before a report from the Energy Information Administration on Oct. 16.

Oil futures have collapsed into bear markets as shale supplies boost U.S. output to the most in almost 30 years and global demand weakens. The biggest producers in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries are responding by cutting prices, sparking speculation that they will compete for market share rather than trim output. Saudi Arabia won't alter its supplies much between now and the end of the year, a person familiar with its oil policy said on Oct. 3.

"The IEA report is killing Brent," Bob Yawger, director of the futures division at Mizuho Securities USA Inc. in New York, said by phone. "This is the fourth month in a row where they've cut their demand forecast. There's tremendous downside risk for the market."

Brent for November settlement declined $2.54, or 2.9 percent, to $86.35 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange at 10:24 a.m. in New York. It slipped to $86.17, the lowest intraday price since Dec. 1, 2010. The volume of all futures traded was 68 percent above the 100-day average for the time of day. Prices have decreased 22 percent this year.

WTI for November delivery dropped $1.71, or 2 percent, to $84.03 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract settled at $85.74 yesterday, the lowest close since December 2012. Volume was 72 percent higher than the 100-day average. The U.S. benchmark grade traded at a $1.96 discount to Brent, down from $3.15 at yesterday's close.

The IEA reduced its estimate for demand growth this year for the fourth month in a row, meaning oil consumption will expand by about half the rate of 1.3 million barrels a day anticipated in June. The IEA cut its 2015 demand growth forecast by 100,000 barrels a day to 1.1 million. About 200,000 barrels a day less crude will be needed from OPEC this year and next than estimated previously, the agency said.

15:33
Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies in the absence of any major economic reports from the U.S.

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. No major economic reports will be released in the U.S. today.

The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar. Earlier, the euro dropped against the greenback due to the weaker-than-expected the weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment data. The ZEW released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone today. The economic sentiment index for Germany dropped to -3.6 in October from 6.9 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 0.2.

The economic sentiment index for the Eurozone fell to 4.1 in October from 14.2 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 7.1.

The ZEW economic sentiment data fuelled concern the Eurozone falls into recession.

Eurozone's industrial production fell 1.8% in August, missing expectations for a 1.5% decline, after a 0.9% gain in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.0% increase.

France's consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.4% in September from 0.5% in August, in line with expectations.

The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the morning trading session, the pound plunged against the greenback due to the weaker-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.K. The U.K. consumer price index declined to 1.2% in September from 1.5% in August, missing forecasts of a fall to 1.4%. That was the lowest level since September 2009.

The drop was driven by lower energy and food prices. Fuel prices decreased 6% in September, while food prices fell 1.5%.

The consumer price inflation data could mean that the Bank of England will delay its interest rate hike.

The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the morning trading session, the Swiss franc declined against the greenback. Swiss producer and import prices declined 0.1% in September, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.2% drop in August.

The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the kiwi increased the greenback as the People's Bank of China lowered a 14-day repo rate. That could be signs that China's central bank is willing to boost the economy. Bloomberg reported that the People's Bank of China sold 20 billion yuan of 14-day repurchase agreements at 3.4% (a 14-day repo rate was 3.5% last week).

No major economic reports were released in New Zealand.

The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The National Australia Bank's business confidence index fell to 5 in September from 7 in August. August's figure was revised down from 8.

The RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle said at the Citi Annual Australian and New Zealand investment conference in Sydney that the Aussie was still too high despite the decline in September. He also said that the next sell-off in global fixed-income markets could be "relatively violent".

The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Japan.

15:20
Gold prices are close to 4-week high

Gold traded near a four-week high, as the current concern about the global economic outlook and the decline in the stock markets support the demand for safe assets.

On Monday, the American and European indices showed a decline on concern about the weakness of the world economy, while a growing concern about the spread of Ebola also exert pressure.

Meanwhile, traders continue to speculate on the timing of rate hikes in the United States after the September Fed meeting minutes, published last week, showed that some officials are concerned about the impact of the strong dollar on global growth and inflation prospects in the United States.

Protocol prompted investors to revise expectations of the Fed rate at a later date.

The slowdown in interest rates can support gold, as it lowers the relative cost of the metal retention, which guarantees investors a profit.

"Our products are backed by gold stock for the first time over the last month received inflows as minutes of the meeting of the Committee on the work of the Federal Open Market caused weakening of the dollar and weak data in Germany stimulated interest in safe assets," - said the director of ETF Securities in Australia and New Zealand Danny Leydler .

The world's largest reserves of the gold-exchange-traded fund SPDR Gold Trust on Monday rose by 1.79 tons, it has become the most significant increase from September 10.

The cost of the December gold futures on the COMEX today dropped to 1231.10 dollars per ounce.

15:15
Switzerland’s producer and import prices fell 0.1% in September

Switzerland's Federal Statistical Office released the producer and import prices data today. Swiss producer and import prices declined 0.1% in September, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.2% drop in August.

On a yearly basis, producer and import prices fell 1.4% in September, in line with expectations, after a 1.2% decline in August. That was the 12th decline in 12 months.

14:57
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) assistant governor Guy Debelle: the Aussie was still too high despite the decline in September

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) assistant governor Guy Debelle said at the Citi Annual Australian and New Zealand investment conference in Sydney:

  • The Aussie was still too high despite the decline in September;
  • "The exchange rate is thus offering less assistance than would normally be expected in achieving balanced growth in the Australian economy. A lower exchange rate would be helpful in achieving that objective";
  • The next sell-off in global fixed-income markets could be "relatively violent";
  • Monetary policies in "the U.S., China, Europe and Japan are moving in divergent directions";
  • "It is challenging for foreign exchange markets and it creates a complicated environment for setting monetary policy in other parts of the world, including here in Australia";
  • Volatility picked up in foreign exchange markets but "it has not yet returned to a 'normal' level of volatility".

14:14
Drop of ZEW economic sentiment for Germany was driven by geopolitical tensions and the weak economic development

The ZEW released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone today. The economic sentiment index for Germany dropped to -3.6 in October from 6.9 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 0.2. That was the 10th straight decline in 10 months and the lowest level since November 2012.

The economic sentiment index for the Eurozone fell to 4.1 in October from 14.2 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 7.1.

The ZEW President Clemens Fuest said that the decline was driven by "geopolitical tensions and the weak economic development in some parts of the Eurozone". He added the disappointing economic data have contributed to the growing pessimism.

13:48
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.67bn), $1.2615(E610mn), $1.2625(E2.44bn), $1.2650(E2.36bn), $1.2700(E1.29bn), $1.2725(E313mn), $1.2740(E383mn), $1.2745(E348mn), $1.2750(E2.17bn), $1.2800(E218mn), $1.2825(E1.37bn)

USD/JPY: Y106.85($410mn), Y107.00($917mn), Y107.50($701mn), Y107.75($600mn), Y108.00(1.1bn)

EUR/JPY: Y135.80(E200mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6100(stg210mn)

EUR/GBP: stg0.7900(E200mn), stg7960-65(E420mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8780(A$200mn), $0.8800(A$1.48bn), $0.8855(A$200mn)

NZD/USD: $0.7940(NZ$729mn)

AUD/NZD: NZ$1.1025(A$290mn), NZ$1.1135(A$360mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1150($365mn), C$1.1260-65($470mn)

13:29
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.64%, Nasdaq futures +0.74%

U.S. stock futures rose amid speculation the recent selloff was overdone and as earnings from Citigroup Inc. to Johnson & Johnson topped forecasts.

Global markets:

Nikkei 14,936.51 -364.04 -2.38%

Hang Seng 23,047.97 -95.41 -0.41%

Shanghai Composite 2,359.47 -6.53 -0.28%

FTSE 6,368.47 +2.23 +0.04%

CAC 4,066.78 -11.92 -0.29%

DAX 8,803.32 -9.11 -0.10%

Crude oil $85.03 (-0.82%)

Gold $1235.00 (+0.40%)

13:10
DOW components before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)


Visa

V

204.41

+0.06%

0.1K

Walt Disney Co

DIS

84.02

+0.13%

1.8K

Home Depot Inc

HD

90.75

+0.17%

0.4K

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

44.15

+0.18%

16.1K

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

84.12

+0.20%

1.1K

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

184.10

+0.32%

1.4K

AT&T Inc

T

33.93

+0.33%

11.7K

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

91.21

+0.41%

1.8K

3M Co

MMM

133.50

+0.45%

5.4K

Goldman Sachs

GS

179.60

+0.46%

14.2K

Boeing Co

BA

121.02

+0.47%

2.0K

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.60

+0.48%

11.0K

Pfizer Inc

PFE

28.63

+0.56%

1.2K

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

23.06

+0.57%

10.2K

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

56.46

+0.57%

2.5K

General Electric Co

GE

24.09

+0.58%

20.9K

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

83.88

+0.61%

11.6K

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

43.92

+0.62%

13.3K

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

92.48

+0.87%

1.9K

Intel Corp

INTC

31.81

+1.08%

34.4K

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

100.45

+1.34%

31.7K

McDonald's Corp

MCD

90.73

0.00%

0.2K

American Express Co

AXP

82.76

-0.02%

2.2K

Nike

NKE

85.03

-0.42%

0.3K

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

57.30

-1.48%

361.3K

13:05
Upgrades and downgrades before the market open

Upgrades:

Ford Motor (F) upgraded from Underperform to Neutral at Buckingham Research


Downgrades:

Home Depot (HD) downgraded from Buy to Neutral at Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey

Ford Motor (F) downgraded from Buy to Neutral at Goldman


Other:

12:05
Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound plunged against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.K.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence September 7 Revised From 8 5

06:45 France CPI, m/m September +0.4% -0.3% -0.4%

06:45 France CPI, y/y September +0.5% +0.4% +0.4%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m September -0.2% +0.3% -0.1%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y September -1.2% -1.4% -1.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m September +0.4% +0.3% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y September +2.4% +2.3% +2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) September -0.6% -0.4% -0.6%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) September -7.2% -6.6% -7.4%

08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y September +2.5% +2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) September -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) September -0.3% -0.4% -0.4%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m September +0.4% +0.3% +0.0%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y September +1.5% +1.4% +1.2%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y September +1.9% +1.8% +1.5%

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment October 14.2 7.1 4.1

09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August +1.0% -1.5% -1.8%

09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August +2.2% -0.9% -1.9%

09:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment October 6.9 0.2 -3.6

The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies. No major economic reports will be released in the U.S. today.

The euro dropped against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected the weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment data. The ZEW released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone today. The economic sentiment index for Germany dropped to -3.6 in October from 6.9 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 0.2.

The economic sentiment index for the Eurozone fell to 4.1 in October from 14.2 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 7.1.

The ZEW economic sentiment data fuelled concern the Eurozone falls into recession.

Eurozone's industrial production fell 1.8% in August, missing expectations for a 1.5% decline, after a 0.9% gain in July. July's figure was revised down from a 1.0% increase.

France's consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.4% in September from 0.5% in August, in line with expectations.

The British pound plunged against the U.S. dollar due to the weaker-than-expected consumer price inflation in the U.K. The U.K. consumer price index declined to 1.2% in September from 1.5% in August, missing forecasts of a fall to 1.4%. That was the lowest level since September 2009.

The drop was driven by lower energy and food prices. Fuel prices decreased 6% in September, while food prices fell 1.5%.

The consumer price inflation data could mean that the Bank of England will delay its interest rate hike.

The Swiss franc fell against the U.S. dollar. Swiss producer and import prices declined 0.1% in September, missing expectations for a 0.3% gain, after a 0.2% drop in August.

EUR/USD: the currency pair fell to 1.2639

GBP/USD: the currency pair decreased to $1.5909

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y106.66

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence October -4.6%

12:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2900, $1.2865, $1.2800/10

Bids $1.2600, $1.2585/80, $1.2500

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6415, $1.6300, $1.6225

Bids $1.5900, $1.5850

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8895, $0.8845/50, $0.8820, $0.8810

Bids $0.8700, $0.8640/20, $0.8600, $0.8550

EUR/JPY

Offers Y138.00, Y137.85/90, Y137.50, Y136.95, Y136.00

Bids Y135.00, Y134.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y108.90/00, Y108.75/80, Y108.50, Y108.15, Y107.60

Bids Y106.60, Y106.00

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.7900, stg0.7980, stg0.7955

Bids stg0.7890, stg0.7840/30, stg0.7820, stg0.7800

11:00
European stock markets mid session: stocks traded lower due to the weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment data

Stock indices traded lower due to the weaker-than-expected ZEW economic sentiment data. The ZEW released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone today. The economic sentiment index for Germany dropped to -3.6 in October from 6.9 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 0.2.

The economic sentiment index for the Eurozone fell to 4.1 in October from 14.2 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 7.1.

The ZEW economic sentiment data fuelled concern the Eurozone falls into recession.

France's consumer price index declined to an annual rate of 0.4% in September from 0.5% in August, in line with expectations.

Current figures:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 6,329.01 -37.23 -0.58%

DAX 8,743.3 -69.13 -0.78%

CAC 40 4,043.17 -35.53 -0.87%

10:25
UK consumer price inflation fell to 1.2% in September

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released the consumer price inflation data for the U.K. today. The U.K. consumer price index declined to 1.2% in September from 1.5% in August, missing forecasts of a fall to 1.4%. That was the lowest level since September 2009.

The drop was driven by lower energy and food prices. Fuel prices decreased 6% in September, while food prices fell 1.5%.

The Retail Prices Index declined to 2.3% in September from 2.4% in August.

The Bank of England's target is about 2%.

The consumer price inflation data could mean that the Bank of England will delay its interest rate hike.

10:02
EURUSD declines due to the weaker-than-expected ZEW Economic Sentiment

The ZEW released its economic sentiment index for Germany and the Eurozone today. The economic sentiment index for Germany dropped to -3.6 in October from 6.9 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 0.2.

The economic sentiment index for the Eurozone fell to 4.1 in October from 14.2 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 7.1.

09:44
Asian Stocks close: stocks closed lower following sell-off on Wall Street

Asian stock indices closed lower following sell-off on Wall Street. Worries about the global economic growth weighed on markets.

The People's Bank of China lowered a 14-day repo rate. That could be signs that China's central bank is willing to boost the economy. Bloomberg reported that the People's Bank of China sold 20 billion yuan of 14-day repurchase agreements at 3.4% (a 14-day repo rate was 3.5% last week).

Toyota Motor Corp. shares fell 3.9%.

Indexes on the close:

Nikkei 225 14,936.51 -364.04 -2.38%

Hang Seng 23,047.97 -95.41 -0.41%

Shanghai Composite 2,359.47 -6.53 -0.28%

09:25
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.67bn), $1.2615(E610mn), $1.2625(E2.44bn), $1.2650(E2.36bn), $1.2700(E1.29bn), $1.2725(E313mn), $1.2740(E383mn), $1.2745(E348mn), $1.2750(E2.17bn), $1.2800(E218mn), $1.2825(E1.37bn)

USD/JPY: Y106.85($410mn), Y107.00($917mn), Y107.50($701mn), Y107.75($600mn), Y108.00(1.1bn)

EUR/JPY: Y135.80(E200mn)

GBP/USD: $1.6100(stg210mn)

EUR/GBP: stg0.7900(E200mn), stg7960-65(E420mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8780(A$200mn), $0.8800(A$1.48bn), $0.8855(A$200mn)

NZD/USD: $0.7940(NZ$729mn)

AUD/NZD: NZ$1.1025(A$290mn), NZ$1.1135(A$360mn)

USD/CAD: C$1.1150($365mn), C$1.1260-65($470mn)

09:04
Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weak National Australia Bank's business confidence index and comment by the Reserve Bank of Australia assistant governor Guy Debelle

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence September 7 Revised From 8 5

06:45 France CPI, m/m September +0.4% -0.3% -0.4%

06:45 France CPI, y/y September +0.5% +0.4% +0.4%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m September -0.2% +0.3% -0.1%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y September -1.2% -1.4% -1.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m September +0.4% +0.3% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y September +2.4% +2.3% +2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) September -0.6% -0.4% -0.6%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) September -7.2% -6.6% -7.4%

08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y September +2.5% +2.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) September -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) September -0.3% -0.4% -0.4%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m September +0.4% +0.3% +0.0%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y September +1.5% +1.4% +1.2%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y September +1.9% +1.8% +1.5%

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment October 14.2 7.1 4.1

09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August +1.0% -1.5% -1.8%

09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August +2.2% -0.9% -1.9%

09:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment October 6.9 0.2 -3.6

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies on comments. No major economic reports were released in the U.S. yesterday. The U.S. bond market was closed for the Columbus Day holiday.

The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar as the People's Bank of China lowered a 14-day repo rate. That could be signs that China's central bank is willing to boost the economy. Bloomberg reported that the People's Bank of China sold 20 billion yuan of 14-day repurchase agreements at 3.4% (a 14-day repo rate was 3.5% last week).

No major economic reports were released in New Zealand.

The Australian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the weak National Australia Bank's business confidence index and comment by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) assistant governor Guy Debelle.

The National Australia Bank's business confidence index fell to 5 in September from 7 in August. August's figure was revised down from 8.

The RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle said at the Citi Annual Australian and New Zealand investment conference in Sydney that the Aussie was still too high despite the decline in September. He also said that the next sell-off in global fixed-income markets could be "relatively violent".

The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in Japan.

EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.2697

GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.6120

USD/JPY: the currency pair fell to Y107.05

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence October -4.6%

09:01
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, October 4.1 (forecast 7.1)
09:00
Eurozone: Industrial production, (MoM), August -1.8% (forecast -1.5%)
09:00
Eurozone: Industrial Production (YoY), August -1.9% (forecast -0.9%)
09:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, October -3.6 (forecast 0.2)
08:32
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) , September -0.4% (forecast -0.4%)
08:32
United Kingdom: Retail Price Index, m/m, September +0.2% (forecast +0.3%)
08:32
United Kingdom: Retail prices, Y/Y, September +2.3% (forecast +2.3%)
08:32
United Kingdom: HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y, September +1.5% (forecast +1.8%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) , September -7.4% (forecast -6.6%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Input (MoM), September -0.6% (forecast -0.4%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Producer Price Index - Output (MoM), September -0.1% (forecast -0.1%)
08:30
United Kingdom: HICP, Y/Y, September +1.2% (forecast +1.4%)
08:30
United Kingdom: HICP, m/m, September +0.0% (forecast +0.3%)
07:16
Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, September -1.4% (forecast -1.4%)
07:15
Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, m/m, September -0.1% (forecast +0.3%)
06:45
France: CPI, m/m, September -0.4% (forecast -0.3%)
06:45
France: CPI, y/y, September +0.4% (forecast +0.4%)
05:30
Options levels on tuesday, October 14, 2014:

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2881 (1982)

$1.2844 (2564)

$1.2782 (4254)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2724

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2661 (1654)

$1.2627 (3234)

$1.2589 (1789)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 7 is 52468 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2900 (6362);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 7 is 52137 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2400 (5343);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.99 versus 0.99 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 13

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.6303 (1358)

$1.6205 (2004)

$1.6109 (1017)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6078

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.5991 (2267)

$1.5894 (940)

$1.5796 (1485)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 7 is 25236 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (2004);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 7 is 31236 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5400 (2504);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.24 versus 1.24 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 13

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

02:01
Nikkei 225 15,039.9 -260.65 -1.70%, Hang Seng 23,174.03 +30.65 +0.13%, S&P/ASX 200 5,216.1 +60.60 +1.18%, Shanghai Composite 2,367.77 +1.76 +0.07%
00:30
Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, September 5

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