CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 25-11-2014

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25.11.2014
23:40
Commodities. Daily history for Nov 25’2014:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Light Crude 73.86 -0.31%

Gold 1,200.60 +0.29%

23:31
Stocks. Daily history for Nov 25’2014:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 17,407.62 +50.11 +0.29%

Hang Seng 23,843.91 -49.23 -0.21%

Shanghai Composite 2,567.6 +34.72 +1.37%

FTSE 100 6,731.14 +1.35 +0.02%

CAC 40 4,382.31 +13.87 +0.32%

Xetra DAX 9,861.21 +75.67 +0.77%

S&P 500 2,067.03 -2.38 -0.12%

NASDAQ Composite 4,758.25 +3.36 +0.07%

Dow Jones 17,814.94 -2.96 -0.02%

23:27
Currencies. Daily history for Nov 25’2014:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2474 +0,26%

GBP/USD $1,5706 +0,01%

USD/CHF Chf0,9639 -0,24%

USD/JPY Y117,97 -0,25%

EUR/JPY Y147,15 -0,02%

GBP/JPY Y185,28 -0,24%

AUD/USD $0,8529 -1,02%

NZD/USD $0,7808 -0,67%

USD/CAD C$1,1256 -0,19%

23:00
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Nov 26’2014:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

00:30 Australia Construction Work Done Quarter III -1.2% -1.7%

04:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator October 1.41

09:30 United Kingdom Business Investment, q/q Quarter III +3.3% +2.3%

09:30 United Kingdom Business Investment, y/y Quarter III +6.7%

09:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Revised) Quarter III +0.7% +0.7%

09:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Revised) Quarter III +3.0% +3.0%

11:00 United Kingdom CBI retail sales volume balance November 31 28

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims November 291 287

13:30 U.S. Personal Income, m/m October +0.2% +0.4%

13:30 U.S. Personal spending October -0.2% +0.4%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, m/m October +0.1% +0.1%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, Y/Y October +1.5%

13:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders October -1.1% Revised From -1.3% -0.4%

13:30 U.S. Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation October -0.1% Revised From -0.2% +0.5%

13:30 U.S. Durable goods orders ex defense October -1.5%

14:45 U.S. Chicago Federal National Activity Index November 66.2 63.1

14:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Inde (Finally) November 89.4 90.2

15:00 U.S. New Home Sales October 467 471

15:00 U.S. Pending Home Sales (MoM) October +0.3% +0.9%

15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November +2.6

21:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln October -1350 -645

20:00
Dow 17,832.54 +14.64 +0.08%, Nasdaq 4,755.49 +0.60 +0.01%, S&P 500 2,067.84 -1.57 -0.08%
17:42
Bank of Japan minutes: exports remained weak four of the BoJ's nine board members voted against plans the stimulus measures boost in October

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released its minutes from the latest meeting. The minutes showed that four of the BoJ's nine board members voted against plans to expand stimulus measures.

Some members said the boost of stimulus measures may not yield as much results as the BoJ's first stimulus measures.

Some members of the BoJ's board said that more stimulus measures were necessary to achieve the 2% inflation target.

17:15
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney reiterated that inflation in the U.K. could fall below 1% in the next few months

The Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney testified in front of the Treasury Select Committee. He said that the economy in the U.K. faces risks from geopolitical tensions and a slowdown of global growth. Carney reiterated that inflation in the U.K. could fall below 1% in the next few months.

Carney pointed out that the next monetary policy move will interest rate hike, despite recent decline in inflation.

The BoE governor Carney cautioned that interest rate hike may have more impact as a result of high household debt in the U.K.

17:04
European stocks close: stocks closed higher on upward revision in U.S. third-quarter GDP and rally of Germany’s DAX

Stock indices closed higher on upward revision in U.S. third-quarter GDP and a rally of Germany's DAX. The U.S. revised GDP (gross domestic product) grew 3.9% in the third quarter, higher than the previous estimated growth of 3.5%.

Germany's DAX increased after Germany's final GDP. Germany's final GDP grew 0.1% in third quarter, in line with expectations.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released its economic outlook report on Tuesday. OECD said that the slowdown in Europe is dragging down the global economy. OECD also said that the European Central Bank should implement quantitative easing measures.

The Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney testified in front of the Treasury Select Committee. He said that the economy in the U.K. faces risks from geopolitical tensions and a slowdown of global growth. Carney reiterated that inflation in the U.K. could fall below 1% in the next few months.

Indexes on the close:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 6,731.14 +1.35 +0.02%

DAX 9,861.21 +75.67 +0.77%

CAC 40 4,382.31 +13.87 +0.32%

17:01
European stocks closed in plus: FTSE 100 6,731.14 +1.35 +0.02%, CAC 40 4,382.31 +13.87 +0.32%, DAX 9,861.21 +75.67 +0.77%
16:41
Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar mixed to lower against the most major currencies after the weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence

The U.S. dollar mixed to lower against the most major currencies after the weaker-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence. The U.S. revised GDP grew 3.9% in the third quarter, higher than the previous estimated growth of 3.5%.

The U.S. consumer confidence index unexpectedly declined to 88.7 in November from 94.1 in October, missing expectations for a rise to 95.9. October's figure was revised down from 94.5.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index increased by 4.9% in September, beating expectations for a 4.7% rise, after a 5.6% gain in August.

The euro rose against the U.S. dollar after the German GDP. Germany's final GDP grew 0.1% in third quarter, in line with expectations.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released its economic outlook report on Tuesday. OECD said that the slowdown in Europe is dragging down the global economy. OECD also said that the European Central Bank should implement quantitative easing measures.

The British pound increased against the U.S. dollar. The Bank of England (BoE) Governor Mark Carney testified in front of the Treasury Select Committee. He said that the economy in the U.K. faces risks from geopolitical tensions and a slowdown of global growth. Carney reiterated that inflation in the U.K. could fall below 1% in the next few months.

The number of mortgage approvals decreased to 37,076 in October from 39,127 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 38,500. That was the lowest level since May 2013. September's figure was revised down from 39,300.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the Canadian retail sales. Canadian retail sales increased by 0.8% in September, exceeding expectations for a 0.6% rise, after a 0.2% decline in August. August's figure was revised up from a 0.3% drop.

The increase was driven by cars, furniture and appliances.

Canadian retail sales excluding automobiles were flat in September, missing forecasts of a 0.4% gain, after 0.2% drop in August. August's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decrease.

The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight and morning trading session, the kiwi fell against the greenback after the weak Reserve Bank of New Zealand' inflation expectations. Inflation expectations declined to 2.1% in the third quarter from 2.2% in the second quarter.

The Australian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight and morning trading session, the Aussie fell against the greenback. The Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Philip Lowe said in his speech to economists in Sydney today that the Australian dollar should decline with lower commodity prices and investment.

The Japanese yen traded higher against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the yen rose against the greenback after comments by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda. He said in a speech to business leaders in Nagoya on Tuesday that 2% inflation target will be achieved in or around the fiscal year starting April 2015.

Kuroda defends that the boost of stimulus measures in October was necessary to beat deflation.

The BoJ governor declined to comment on the yen's recent rapid fall.

The minutes of the BoJ's October meeting showed that some officials were against plans to expand its stimulus measures.

16:40
Oil fell

Crude futures slid after a meeting between nations supplying a third of the world's oil failed to result in a pledge to curb output in the run-up to this week's OPEC meeting.

Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Russia said they plan to start quarterly monitoring of oil prices. Today's talks in Vienna didn't result in any joint commitment to reduce supplies, said Igor Sechin, who runs Russian state oil producer OAO Rosneft.

"Even those four countries are not agreeing to any kind of cut, and the last thing the Saudis want is to be the ones doing all the cutting," said Tariq Zahir, a New York-based commodity fund manager at Tyche Capital Advisors. "You have to get an above 2-million-barrel cut from OPEC to stabilize the market."

Brent for January settlement lost $1.26, or 1.6 percent, to $78.42 a barrel at 12:08 p.m. New York time on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The volume of all futures was 5.2 percent above the 100-day average.

WTI for January delivery fell $1.38, or 1.8 percent, to $74.40 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Volume was 21 percent below the 100-day average. Brent's premium to WTI was $4.04 on the ICE.

16:21
Gold regained lost ground

Gold prices have returned to the opening day after a sharp decline on strong US GDP data, which caused a rise in the dollar.

US Department of Commerce to improve the estimate of GDP growth in the third quarter of 2014 from 3.5% to 3.9%, based on the annual rate, according to the published Tuesday revised data. Analysts on average had expected a decline to 3.3%.

In the 2nd quarter of this year the US GDP rose by 4.6%, showing the maximum growth since the fourth quarter of 2012. GDP growth in six months - April-September 2014 - was the best in more than a decade - from the 2nd half of 2003.

Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of the US economy grew in the third quarter by 2.2%, whereas previously reported an increase of 1.8%, while experts predicted revision to 1.9%. Their growth, in particular, explained the highest for several years increased spending on durable goods - by 8.7%. Consumer sector added 1.5 percentage points (pp) to the growth of US GDP in the last quarter.

Market participants also expect the results of the referendum in Switzerland about the gold reserves of the central bank. In Switzerland, November 30 will be a referendum on a proposal to ban the country's central bank to sell gold reserves and oblige him to keep at least 20 percent of assets in gold, compared with 8 percent in October. According to analysts, if the Swiss will support this proposal, the price of gold will rise.

"Voting" yes "can cause a rapid rise in gold prices to $ 50. Most market participants expect that the proposal would not be supported, and although such a decision is not unexpected, it may cause psychological blow to the market, and the downward trend will resume, although prices unlikely to fall much, "- said HSBC analyst James Steel.

The cost of the December gold futures on the COMEX today fell to 1189.0 dollars per ounce, and then increased to $ 1,200.

16:17
Canadian retail sales jumped 0.8% in September

Statistics Canada released retail sales data on Tuesday. Canadian retail sales increased by 0.8% in September, exceeding expectations for a 0.6% rise, after a 0.2% decline in August. August's figure was revised up from a 0.3% drop.

The increase was driven by cars, furniture and appliances. Motor vehicle and parts sales climbed 3.4% in September, furniture and home furnishing sales increased 1.3%, while electronics and appliance sales rose 1.2%.

Canadian retail sales excluding automobiles were flat in September, missing forecasts of a 0.4% gain, after 0.2% drop in August. August's figure was revised up from a 0.3% decrease.

16:03
Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda defends the boost of stimulus measures in October

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in a speech to business leaders in Nagoya on Tuesday that the boost of stimulus measures in October was necessary to beat deflation.

Kuroda declined to comment on the yen's recent rapid fall.

The BoJ governor noted that a weak yen is positive for exporters, but it weighs on household incomes because of rising import costs.

Kuroda pointed out that the central bank will adjust its monetary policy if needed to achieve its 2% inflation target by next year.

15:44
U.S. consumer confidence index unexpectedly declined to 88.7 in November

The Conference Board released its consumer confidence index for the U.S. on Tuesday. The index unexpectedly declined to 88.7 in November from 94.1 in October, missing expectations for a rise to 95.9. October's figure was revised down from 94.5.

That was the lowest level since June.

The director of economic indicators at The Conference Board Lynn Franco said that consumer confidence declined due to "reduced optimism in the short-term outlook". She added that "consumers were somewhat less positive about current business conditions and the present state of the job market".

15:01
S&P/Case-Shiller home price index rose by 4.9% in September

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index increased by 4.9% in September, beating expectations for a 4.7% rise, after a 5.6% gain in August.

On a monthly basis, the index rose at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.3%.

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index measures single-family home prices in 20 U.S. cities. House prices declined in nine cities, increased in nine cities, and were unchanged in the remaining two cities.

15:00
U.S.: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, November 4 (forecast 17)
15:00
U.S.: Consumer confidence , November 88.7 (forecast 95.9)
14:52
U.S. revised GDP grew 3.9% in the third quarter

The U.S. Commerce Department released gross domestic product (GDP) figures on Tuesday. The U.S. revised GDP grew 3.9% in the third quarter, higher than the previous estimated growth of 3.5%.

Consumer spending and inventory investment were stronger than previously estimated. Export growth was slower than previously estimated.

14:35
U.S. Stocks open: Dow 17,850.04 +32.14 +0.18%, Nasdaq 4,763.41 +8.52 +0.18%, S&P 2,071.92 +2.51 +0.12%
14:29
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.17%, Nasdaq futures +0.24%

U.S. stock futures rose as the economy expanded more than previously forecast in the third quarter amid bigger gains in consumer spending and business investment.

Global markets:

Nikkei 17,407.62 +50.11 +0.29%

Hang Seng 23,843.91 -49.23 -0.21%

Shanghai Composite 2,567.6 +34.72 +1.37%

FTSE 6,744.72 +14.93 +0.22%

CAC 4,395.45 +27.01 +0.62%

DAX 9,907 +121.46 +1.24%

Crude oil $75.97 (+0.22%)

Gold $1192.20 (-0.30%)

14:16
DOW components before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)


McDonald's Corp

MCD

97.20

+0.03%

0.2K

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

49.53

+0.06%

3.7K

3M Co

MMM

159.99

+0.07%

5.8K

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

61.00

+0.07%

10.5K

Pfizer Inc

PFE

30.25

+0.10%

0.3K

General Electric Co

GE

27.мар

+0.11%

14.9K

Visa

V

254.98

+0.14%

2.4K

Boeing Co

BA

134.80

+0.14%

9.9K

Chevron Corp

CVX

117.75

+0.14%

38.8K

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

107.03

+0.14%

0.8K

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

27.06

+0.15%

14.5K

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

88.25

+0.16%

3.3K

Walt Disney Co

DIS

90.80

+0.24%

2.5K

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

106.25

+0.27%

3.6K

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

95.98

+0.27%

0.4K

Nike

NKE

98.21

+0.27%

0.9K

Home Depot Inc

HD

98.74

+0.34%

3.7K

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

97.50

+0.62%

0.2K

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

85.99

+0.69%

8.4K

United Technologies Corp

UTX

109.80

+0.93%

5.4K

Intel Corp

INTC

36.25

0.00%

1.0M

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

44.27

0.00%

0.2K

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

59.23

-0.03%

3.4K

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

47.56

-0.06%

6.3K

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

161.99

-0.10%

0.7K

AT&T Inc

T

34.66

-0.12%

8.4K

14:09
Upgrades and downgrades before the market open

Upgrades:

Apple (AAPL) target raised to $130 from $115 at Stifel

Downgrades:


Other:

United Tech (UTX) upgraded from Market Perform to Outperform at Wells Fargo

14:01
U.S.: Housing Price Index, m/m, September 0.0%
14:00
U.S.: S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y, September +4.9% (forecast +4.7%)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut AUDUSD EURUSD USDCAD USDJPY

EUR/USD: $1.2350(E1.8bn), $1.2400(E481mn), $1.2500(E1.0bn)

USD/JPY: Y117.25($455mn), Y117.50($1.2bn), Y119.00($250mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8625(A$340mn), $0.8700(A$338mn)

USD/CAD: Cad1.1200($260mn), Cad1.1300($560mn)

13:31
U.S.: PCE price index, q/q, Quarter III +1.3%
13:30
U.S.: GDP, q/q, Quarter III +3.9% (forecast +3.3%)
13:30
U.S.: PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q, Quarter III +1.4%
13:30
Canada: Retail Sales, m/m, October +0.8% (forecast +0.6%)
13:30
Canada: Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m, October 0.0% (forecast +0.4%)
13:05
Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected number of mortgage approvals from the U.K.

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

01:00 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

02:00 China Leading Index October +0.9% +0.9%

02:00 New Zealand RBNZ Inflation Expectations q/q Quarter IV +2.2% +2.1%

04:45 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

07:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Finally) Quarter III +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%

07:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Finally) Quarter III +1.4% +1.2% +1.2%

09:05 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals October 39.1 Revised From 39.3 38.5 37.1

The U.S. dollar mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the U.S. revised gross domestic product (GDP) and consumer confidence. The U.S. revised GDP is expected to rise 3.3% in third quarter.

The U.S. consumer confidence is expected to climbs to 95.9 in November from 94.5 from October.

The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the German GDP. Germany's final GDP grew 0.1% in third quarter, in line with expectations.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) released its economic outlook report on Tuesday. OECD said that the slowdown in Europe is dragging down the global economy. OECD also said that the European Central Bank should implement quantitative easing measures.

The British pound traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected number of mortgage approvals from the U.K. The number of mortgage approvals decreased to 37,076 in October from 39,127 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 38,500. That was the lowest level since May 2013. September's figure was revised down from 39,300.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Canadian retail sales. Canadian retail sales are expected to increase 0.6% in September, after 0.3% decline in August.

Canadian retail sales excluding automobiles are expected to rise 0.4% in September, after 0.3% drop in August.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.5647

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

13:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m October -0.3% +0.6%

13:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m October -0.3% +0.4%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q Quarter III +1.2%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q Quarter III +1.3%

13:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Revised) Quarter III +3.5% +3.3%

14:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y September +5.6% +4.7%

15:00 U.S. Consumer confidence November 94.5 95.9

13:00
Orders AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2600, $1.2580, $1.2520, $1.2475/80

Bids $1.2400, $1.2360, $1.2300

GBP/USD

Offers $1.5800, $1.5780/85, $1.5745/50

Bids $1.5590, $1.5550, $1.5525/20, $1.5500

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8800, $0.8750, $0.8700, $0.8630

Bids $0.8540, $0.8500


EUR/JPY

Offers Y148.50, Y148.00, Y147.40

Bids Y145.50, Y145.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y119.50, Y119.20, Y119.00, Y118.55

Bids Y117.35, Y117.00, Y116.85/80, Y116.50

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8066, stg0.8000, stg0.7980, stg0.7950

Bids stg0.7885/75, stg0.7860/50

12:07
European stock markets mid-session: European indices stronger, DAX leading the way

European indices extend highs in today's trading session. The FTSE 100 index is currently trading higher 0.12% at 6,737.53 points, France's CAC 40 is up +0.62% currently quoted at 4,395.37 points and Germany's DAX 30 booked the biggest gains trading +1.03% at 9,885.97 points. The DAX successfully breached the 9825 resistance level and is heading for the highest close since July, after its rebound from a one-year low in October. Data on German GDP was in line with expectations reading +0.1% on a yearly and +1.2% on a quarterly basis.

11:23
Oil: Prices recouped losses

Oil prices edged up from 4-year lows in today's session with Brent Crude trading +0.50% at USD80.08 a barrel and WTI Crude gaining +0.37% currently quoted at USD76. Market participants are awaiting the outcome of the OPEC meeting, which will take place this week on Thursday in Vienna. According to an insider Iran, Iraq and Libya will not have to cut their supplies if the 12 oil ministers of the OPEC decide to trim production. The head of the Russian state oil company, Igor Sechin, met OPEC officials today fuelling rumours that Russia could trim quotas or exports if the OPEC decides to do the same.

Increasingly weak oil prices which have fallen by almost a third in five months add further pressure on the leading OPEC members Saudi Arabia and Kuwait that still seem resisting calls from other members to cut output as they fear losing market shares to U.S. shale drillers.

10:30
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.2350(E1.8bn), $1.2400(E481mn), $1.2500(E1.0bn)

USD/JPY: Y117.25($455mn), Y117.50($1.2bn), Y119.00($250mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8625(A$340mn), $0.8700(A$338mn)

USD/CAD: Cad1.1200($260mn), Cad1.1300($560mn)

09:40
RBA’s Deputy Governor Lowe: Australia’s link to Asia is its strength

Australia's strong links to Asia, a growing population and vast resources are key to Australia's future economic success even if the mining sector faces problems RBA's Deputy Governor Philip Lowe said in his speech to economists in Sydney today. He further mentioned that the Australian dollar should decline with lower commodity prices and investment. A global raise in interest rates is something we should hope to see sooner rather than later, he stated. Australia's benchmark rate at 2.5% is currently attracting investors supporting the aussie.


AUD/USD currently trading at new four-year lows

09:30
United Kingdom: BBA Mortgage Approvals, October 37.1 (forecast 38.5)
09:18
Press Review: ECB’s Coeure Says Officials Won’t Rush as They Debate All Assets

ECB's Coeure Says Officials Won't Rush as They Debate All Assets

The European Central Bank won't make a hasty decision to add more stimulus and will hinge any measures on incoming economic data, Executive Board member Benoit Coeure said.

"We'll have to understand how what we've already decided works -- we're not going to rush to a new decision without knowing," Coeure said yesterday in an interview with Bloomberg Television's Francine Lacqua. "We have to look at the data around us, and we have to discuss thoroughly all possible options in particular when it comes to buying new assets. There's unanimous agreement in the Governing Council that there might be situations where we'd have to do more."

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-24/coeure-says-ecb-won-t-rush-as-all-asset-options-discussed-1-.html

BLOOMBERG

Brent Drops a Second Day as OPEC Weighs Sparing Three From Cuts

Brent crude fell for a second day as OPEC considered exempting three members from potential production cuts when it meets this week. West Texas Intermediate also dropped in New York.

Futures dropped as much as 0.7 percent in London. Iraq, Iran and Libya won't have to trim supplies should the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agrees to reduce output, according to two people with knowledge of the proposal. If the market is oversupplied, it isn't the first time, Saudi Arabia's Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi said in Vienna yesterday as the 12-nation group prepared for discussions on Nov. 27.

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-24/wti-drops-a-second-day-as-opec-considers-sparing-three-from-cut.html

REUTERS

U.S. prosecutors to interview London FX traders

(Reuters) - U.S. prosecutors will travel to London in the coming weeks to interview traders about currency market manipulation, the latest sign that authorities are closer to filing criminal charges stemming from the long-running probe, sources told Reuters.

Officials from the U.S. Department of Justice will interview current or former employees at HSBC Holdings plc among other banks, people familiar with the matter told Reuters.

Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/25/us-banks-forex-probe-exclusive-idUSKCN0J90DO20141125

09:00
European Stocks. First hour: European stocks little changed after two-day rise

European stocks started slightly positive near two-month highs. Final reading on German GDP data showed growth was in line with expectations on a yearly and quarterly basis reading +0.1% and +1.2%. Investors are awaiting data on U.S. economic growth and consumer confidence published today beginning at 13:30 GMT.

The FTSE 100 index is currently trading little changed at -0.02% at 6,728.18 points, Germany's DAX 30 is up +0.16% trading at 9,8011.80 points and France's CAC 40 lost -0.08% currently quoted at 4,377.66 points.

08:00
Global Stocks: Dow Jones and S&P500 continued to rally – closing on fresh record highs

The DOW Jones and S&P 500 were trading higher again in Monday's trading session. The DOW Jones closed at 17,817.90, adding a small plus of +0.04%, the S&P500 was up by +0.29% closing at 2,069.41 points, both extending record closings on signs that U.S. economy is recovering, Mario Draghi's pledge to raise inflation as fast as possible and People's Bank of China's unexpected cut in benchmark interest rates. Markets are anticipating data on U.S. economic growth and consumer confidence published today.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng is trading -0.31% at 23,817.97. China's Shanghai Composite closed at 2,567.60 points, a gain of +1.37%.

Japan's Nikkei, after being closed on Monday for a public holiday, added 0.29% closing higher at 17,407.62 points catching up with the rest of the region.

07:30
Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the greenback is trading mixed against its major peers

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

01:00 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

02:00 China Leading Index October +0.9% +0.9%

02:00 New Zealand RBNZ Inflation Expectations q/q Quarter IV +2.2% +2.1%

04:45 Japan BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda Speaks

07:00 Germany GDP (QoQ) (Finally) Quarter III +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%

07:00 Germany GDP (YoY) (Finally) Quarter III +1.4% +1.2% +1.2%


The U.S. dollar steadied against the euro after good data on German business sentiment improving for the first time after six successive months of declines giving indication that Eurozone's largest economy finally may end its downturn. Today investors are awaiting U.S. data on GDP, housing prices and a consumer confidence report.

The Australian dollar was trading lower erasing almost all of its recent gains amid falling iron ore prices weighing on Australia's economy. Markets await RBA Assistant Governors Lowe's speech scheduled for 09:05 GMT.

The New Zealand dollar fell against its major peers after data on expectations for inflation fell to 2.1% from 2.3% in the previous quarter.

The Japanese yen recovered against the U.S. dollar after reaching lows at USD118.98 on Thursday last week. On Friday Japan's Finance Minister Taro Aso said that the Japanese yen has fallen too quickly. In today's speech Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said that Japan's economy will reach the targeted 2% of inflation in or around the fiscal year starting in April 2015 and that the recent fall of the yen is positive for exporters but hurts households.

EUR/USD: the euro steadied against the greenback


USD/JPY: the U.S. dollar declined against the Japanese yen


GPB/USD: The British pound traded weaker against the U.S. dollar


The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

09:05 Australia RBA Assist Gov Lowe Speaks

09:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals October 39.3 38.5

13:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m October -0.3% +0.6%

13:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m October -0.3% +0.4%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index, q/q Quarter III +1.2%

13:30 U.S. PCE price index ex food, energy, q/q Quarter III +1.3%

13:30 U.S. GDP, q/q (Revised) Quarter III +3.5% +3.3%

14:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, m/m September +0.5%

14:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, y/y September +4.8%

14:00 U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, y/y September +5.6% +4.7%

15:00 U.S. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index November 20 17

15:00 U.S. Consumer confidence November 94.5 95.9

21:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories November +3.7

07:00
Germany: GDP (QoQ), Quarter III +0.1% (forecast +0.1%)
07:00
Germany: GDP (YoY), Quarter III +1.2% (forecast +1.2%)
06:28
Options levels on tuesday, November 25, 2014: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2558 (4186)

$1.2507 (1386)

$1.2475 (214)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2426

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2396 (2703)

$1.2356 (4069)

$1.2317 (5134)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 5 is 109267 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike pric $1,2800 (6108);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 5 is 112258 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2200 (7465);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.03 versus 0.99 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 24

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5901 (763)

$1.5803 (894)

$1.5708 (1285)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.5667

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.5596 (1488)

$1.5498 (1328)

$1.5399 (1035)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 5 is 40250 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6000 (1896);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 5 is 40650 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5900 (2303);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.00 versus 1.00 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 24

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

02:19
Nikkei 225 17,416.48 +58.97 +0.34%, Hang Seng 23,865.51 -27.63 -0.12%, Shanghai Composite 2,532 -0.88 -0.03%
02:02
New Zealand: RBNZ Inflation Expectations q/q, Quarter IV +2.1%
02:01
China: Leading Index , October +0.9%

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