Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: raw news — 23-09-2020.

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23.09.2020
14:57
Gold: Four traditional explanations for price rise - Natixis

FXStreet reports that strategists at Natixis look at periods when gold prices have risen significantly and identify four usual explanations for a rise in the yellow metal. 

“The first explanation is expected inflation, which drives savers into gold as a safe-haven against a loss of the value of money. The rise in the gold price of 1973-75 and 1978-81 can be attributed to inflation.”

“The second usual explanation is a depreciation of the dollar: gold is then a substitute for the dollar as a reserve currency. The rise in the gold price in 1973 to 1975, 1978 to 1981, 1987-88, 2002 to 2012 and 2020 can be attributed to dollar depreciation.”

“The third explanation is a rise in risk aversion and, as a result, an equity market decline, resulting in investors switching from equities to gold. The rise in the gold price can be linked to the fall in stock market indices in 1987-88, from 2009 to 2012 and in 2020.”

“A fourth explanation is an excessive increase in the quantity of money, which leads to a loss of confidence in money to store savings. This can be the quantity of money in the United States (in dollars) or in the OECD as a whole. Rapid money supply growth may explain the rise in the gold price from 2009 to 2012 and in 2019-2020.”

14:37
EIA’s report reveals smaller-than-expected decline in U.S. crude oil inventories

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) revealed on Wednesday that crude inventories fell by 1.639 million barrels in the week ended September 18. Economists had forecast a decrease of 2.325 million barrels.

At the same time, gasoline stocks dropped by 4.025 million barrels, while analysts had expected a decline of 0.648 million barrels. Distillate stocks plunged by 3.363 million barrels, while analysts had forecast a gain of 1.020 million barrels.

Meanwhile, oil production in the U.S. reduced by 200,000 barrels a day to 10.700 million barrels a day.

U.S. crude oil imports averaged 5.2 million barrels per day last week, up by 160,000 barrels per day from the previous week.

10:27
Gold: Corrective decline to find support at $1837 - Credit Suisse

FXStreet reports that gold extends its decline below $1900 but the yellow metal weakness stays seen as a corrective by the Credit Suisse analyst team. 

“Gold extends its consolidation/correction following the move to our base case objective of $2075/80 in August for a test of a cluster of flagged supports at $1897/37, which includes the 23.6% retracement of the rally from the 2018 low. We look for this to continue to hold to maintain the sideways range. Should weakness extend though, we would see scope for a deeper setback to $1765, potentially $1726.” 

02:30
Commodities. Daily history for Tuesday, September 22, 2020
Raw materials Closed Change, %
Brent 41.62 -0.05
Silver 24.39 -1.26
Gold 1900.181 -0.63
Palladium 2227.32 -1.92

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