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Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: raw news — 29-06-2020.
FXStreet notes that gold trades around the $1770 region and, in the opinion of strategists at TD Securities, it could surpass the $1800 level as inflation-hedge assets increase its popularity.
“Gold is on the edge of a breakout. Price action continues to lend strength to our view that gold's role is shifting from a safe-haven asset to an inflation-hedge product.”
“The entire maturity spectrum of inflation breakevens are still priced below policy objectives. In this context, declining real rates should imminently support gold prices into the $1800s.”
“The world-war era fiscal and central bank stimulus, the change in the central bank template that will incorporate 'symmetric inflation targets' and unwinding globalization, suggest that inflation-hedge assets may grow in popularity.”
FXStreet notes that the US increased its oil production for the first time in 14 weeks and as the amount of oil stored is also high, and strategists at OCBC Bank expect oil prices to remain depressed in the next weeks.
“Crude oil production in the US rose from 10.5mbpd in the week of 12 June to 11mbpd in the week of 19 June, in a sign that prices are now healthy enough to encourage the return of marginal producers. Data from Baker Hughes also showed that the crude oil rotary rig count in the US only decreased by one to 188 in the week of 26 June, suggesting that a bottom is high likely around the corner.”
“The market appears to be balancing itself, with the high prices encouraging a supply comeback in the US. This is in addition to the high amount of oil stock around the world, notably in the US.”
“We continue to maintain our view that oil may have reached its peak in the short-run and prices are likely to consolidate over the next few weeks.”
FXStreet reports that strategists at UOB Group’s Quarterly Global Outlook noted the ounce troy of the yellow metal could test the $1,800 mark in the not-so-distant horizon.
“The price actions in spot gold since March have been choppy. However, with monthly ADX rising strongly above the 25 level, spot gold is deemed to be in a long-term up-trend.”
“Overbought shorter-term conditions could lead to a period of consolidation first but spot gold is expected to stage another push higher towards (and possibly above) the 8-year peak of $1,795, likely closer to the end of third quarter.”
“Support is at $1,600 but only an unlikely break of $1,500 would indicate that spot gold has found a top.”
| Raw materials | Closed | Change, % |
|---|---|---|
| Brent | 40.55 | -1.77 |
| Silver | 17.73 | -0.17 |
| Gold | 1769.455 | 0.33 |
| Palladium | 1871.76 | 1.82 |
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