Новини ринків

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

06:00 Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Survey September 8.3 8.1

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Preliminary) Quarter III +0.9% +0.7%

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Preliminary) Quarter III +3.2% +3.0%

09:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit

13:00 Belgium Business Climate October -7.2 -7.8

14:00 U.S. New Home Sales September 504 473

The U.S. dollar traded higher against the most major currencies despite the weaker-than-expected number of initial jobless claims and the U.S. preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI).

The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending October 18 in the U.S. rose by 17,000 to 283,000. The previous week's figure was revised to 266,000 from 264.000. Analysts had expected an increase to 269.000.

The U.S. preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index declined to 56.2 in October from 57.5 in September, missing expectations for a decline to 57.2.

The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar. Eurozone's consumer confidence fell to -11.1 in October from -11.4 in September, beating forecasts for a decrease to -12.

Eurozone's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.7 in October from 50.3 in September, beating expectations for a decline to 50.0.

Eurozone's preliminary services PMI remained unchanged at 52.4 in October, beating forecasts of a decrease to 52.0.

Germany's preliminary manufacturing PMI climbed to 51.8 in October from 49.9 in September, beating forecasts of a fall to 49.6.

Germany's preliminary services PMI fell to 54.8 in October from 55.7 in August, missing forecasts of a decline to 55.0.

France's preliminary manufacturing PMI declined to 47.3 in October from 48.8 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 48.6.

Germany's preliminary services PMI decreased to 48.1 in October from 48.4 in August, missing forecasts of a fall to 48.2.

The British pound traded slightly higher against the U.S. dollar. In the morning trading session, the pound declined against the greenback after the disappointing retail sales from the U.K. Retail sales in the U.K. fell 0.3% in September, missing expectations for a 0.1% decrease, after a 0.4% gain in August.

That data could mean that the economy in the U.K. is losing momentum, and the Bank of England may delay its interest rate hike.

The Confederation of British Industry released its industrial order books balance. The CBI industrial order books balance fell to -6% in October from -4% in September, missing expectations for an increase to -3%. That was the lowest level since July 2013.

The New Zealand dollar fell against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the kiwi dropped against the greenback after the consumer price inflation from New Zealand. New Zealand's consumer price inflation climbed 0.3% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.3% gain in the second quarter.

On a yearly basis, the consumer price index in New Zealand rose 1.0% in the third quarter, after a 1.6% increase in the second quarter.

That could mean that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may delay its interest rate hike.

The Australian dollar declined against the U.S. dollar. The National Bank of Australia's business confidence index remained unchanged at 6 points in the third quarter.

The Japanese yen dropped against the U.S. dollar. Japan's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index increased to 52.8 in October from 51.7 in September, exceeding expectations for a rise to 52.1.

EUR/USD

Offers

Bids $1.2605/00, $1.2585/80

GBP/USD

Offers $1.6200, $1.6080

Bids $1.5985, $1.5900

AUD/USD

Offers $0.8900, $0.8840/50, $0.8800

Bids $0.8720/00, $0.8650

EUR/JPY

Offers Y137.50, Y137.20, Y136.80/00, Y136.45/50

Bids Y135.60/50, Y135.00, Y134.50, Y134.00

USD/JPY

Offers Y109.00, Y108.50, Y107.80/00

Bids Y107.25/20, Y107.00, Y106.50, Y106.10/00

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8066

Bids stg0.7870/65, stg0.7850, stg0.7800

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter III 6 6

01:35 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 51.7 52.1 52.8

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 50.2 50.2 50.4

06:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 48.8 48.6 47.3

06:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) October 48.4 48.2 48.1

07:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 49.9 49.6 51.8

07:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) October 55.7 55.0 54.8

07:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) October 52.4 52.0 52.4

07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 50.3 50.0 50.7

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) September +0.4% -0.1% -0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) September +3.9% +2.8% +2.7%

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals September 41.6 41.5 39.3

09:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit

10:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance October -4 -3

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead the number of initial jobless claims and the U.S. preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI).

The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. is expected to rise by 5,000 to 269,000.

The U.S. preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index is expected to decline to 57.2 in October from 57.5 in September.

The greenback remained supported by yesterday's better-than-expected U.S. consumer price inflation. The U.S. consumer price inflation rose 0.1% in September, exceeding expectations for a flat reading, after a 0.2% decrease in August.

The euro traded higher against the U.S. dollar after PMI reports from the Eurozone. Eurozone's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.7 in October from 50.3 in September, beating expectations for a decline to 50.0.

Eurozone's preliminary services PMI remained unchanged at 52.4 in October, beating forecasts of a decrease to 52.0.

Germany's preliminary manufacturing PMI climbed to 51.8 in October from 49.9 in September, beating forecasts of a fall to 49.6.

Germany's preliminary services PMI fell to 54.8 in October from 55.7 in August, missing forecasts of a decline to 55.0.

France's preliminary manufacturing PMI declined to 47.3 in October from 48.8 in September, missing expectations for a decrease to 48.6.

Germany's preliminary services PMI decreased to 48.1 in October from 48.4 in August, missing forecasts of a fall to 48.2.

Eurozone's consumer confidence is expected to fall to -12 in October from -11 in September.

The British pound fell against the U.S. dollar after the disappointing retail sales from the U.K. Retail sales in the U.K. fell 0.3% in September, missing expectations for a 0.1% decrease, after a 0.4% gain in August.

That data could mean that the economy in the U.K. is losing momentum, and the Bank of England may delay its interest rate hike.

The Confederation of British Industry released its industrial order books balance. The CBI industrial order books balance fell to -6% in October from -4% in September, missing expectations for an increase to -3%. That was the lowest level since July 2013.

EUR/USD: the currency pair rose to 1.2675

GBP/USD: the currency pair fell to $1.5993

USD/JPY: the currency pair climbed to Y107.64

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims October 264 269

13:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 57.5 57.2

14:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence October -11 -12

21:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln September -472 -620

The Office for National Statistics released the retail sales data for the U.K. Retail sales in the U.K. fell 0.3% in September, missing expectations for a 0.1% decrease, after a 0.4% gain in August.

On a yearly basis, retail sales in the U.K. climbed 2.7% in September, missing expectations for a 2.8% rise, after a 3.7% increase in August. August's figure was revised down from a 3.9% rise.

The decline was driven by a weak clothing demand. Clothing and footwear sales dropped by 7.8% in September, the biggest monthly decline since April 2012.

That data could mean that the economy in the U.K. is losing momentum, and the Bank of England may delay its interest rate hike.

EUR/USD: $1.2600(E1.1bn), $1.2650(E1.9bn), $1.2695-00(E600mn), $1.2720-25(E668mn), $1.2750(E803mn)

USD/JPY: Y106.75($590mn), Y107.00($1.745bn), Y107.35($585mn)

EUR/GBP: Stg0.7800(E391mn)

USD/CHF: Chf0.9375($786mn), Chf0.9475($278mn), Chf0.9700($500mn)

AUD/USD: $0.8700(A$1.0bn), $0.8800(A$350mn), $0.8835(A$507mn)

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia NAB Quarterly Business Confidence Quarter III 6 6

01:35 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 51.7 52.1 52.8

01:45 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 50.2 50.2 50.4

06:58 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 48.8 48.6 47.3

06:58 France Services PMI (Preliminary) October 48.4 48.2 48.1

07:28 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 49.9 49.6 51.8

07:28 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) October 55.7 55.0 54.8

07:58 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) October 52.4 52.0 52.4

07:58 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 50.3 50.0 50.7

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) September +0.4% -0.1% -0.3%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) September +3.9% +2.8% +2.7%

08:30 United Kingdom BBA Mortgage Approvals September 41.6 41.5 39.3

09:00 Eurozone EU Economic Summit

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. The greenback remained supported by yesterday's better-than-expected U.S. consumer price inflation. The U.S. consumer price inflation rose 0.1% in September, exceeding expectations for a flat reading, after a 0.2% decrease in August.

The New Zealand dollar dropped against the U.S. dollar after the consumer price inflation from New Zealand. New Zealand's consumer price inflation climbed 0.3% in the third quarter, missing expectations for a 0.5% rise, after a 0.3% gain in the second quarter.

On a yearly basis, the consumer price index in New Zealand rose 1.0% in the third quarter, after a 1.6% increase in the second quarter.

That could mean that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may delay its interest rate hike.

The Australian dollar traded slightly lower against the U.S. dollar despite the better-than-expected preliminary Chinese HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index. China's HSBC manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 50.4 in October from 50.2 in September. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 50.2.

The National Bank of Australia's business confidence index remained unchanged at 6 points in the third quarter.

The Japanese yen traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Japan's preliminary manufacturing purchasing managers' index increased to 52.8 in October from 51.7 in September, exceeding expectations for a rise to 52.1.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.6056

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

NZD/USD: the currency pair fell to $0.7830

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

10:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance October -4 -3

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims October 264 269

13:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) October 57.5 57.2

14:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence October -11 -12

21:45 New Zealand Trade Balance, mln September -472 -620

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2797 (3435)

$1.2739 (1668)

$1.2699 (1664)

Price at time of writing this review: $ 1.2637

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2582 (3127)

$1.2531 (6357)

$1.2499 (4454)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 7 is 56529 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike pric $1,2900 (6995);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 7 is 59170 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (6596);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.05 versus 1.02 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 22

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.6302 (1700)

$1.6204 (2041)

$1.6107 (1492)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.6051

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.5992 (2339)

$1.5895 (1768)

$1.5797 (1532)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 7 is 27029 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,6200 (2041);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 7 is 32742 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5400 (2398);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.21 versus 1.20 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 22

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.