Market news
13.05.2022, 15:53

USD/JPY: Reverting to traditional risk-off patterns – MUFG

The uspide potential of the US dollar versus the Japanse yen is becoming more limited, warned analysts at MUFG Bank. They noted the USD/JPY pair is reverting to a traditional risk-on/risk-off patterns amid financial instability.

Key Quotes:

“The fact that US yields have been more sensitive to asset price declines than to higher than expected inflation could have notable implications for momentum in USD/JPY. If market participants are shifting to the preservation of capital rather than the return on capital and we see leveraged positioning being cut further, USD/JPY is likely to fall further, possibly a lot further.”

“Yesterday, the 1-year USD/JPY risk-reversal had its largest one-day swing favouring JPY upside since 2010 if you exclude the COVID pandemic period. If financial conditions continue to tighten leveraged positioning is most prone to reversal. In that regard, we would point to the yen as being a highly leveraged long position in G10 FX.”

“Financial conditions continue to tighten and if this continues over the coming weeks it should help limit the upside for US rates which we would view as a scenario that leaves USD/JPY most vulnerable to a correction.”

© 2000-2022. All rights reserved.

This site is managed by Teletrade D.J. Limited 20599 IBC 2012 (First Floor, First St. Vincent Bank Ltd Building, James Street, Kingstown, St. Vincent and the Grenadines).

The information on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.

AML Website Summary

Risk Disclosure

Making transactions on financial markets with marginal financial instruments opens up wide possibilities and allows investors who are willing to take risks to earn high profits, carrying a potentially high risk of losses at the same time. Therefore you should responsibly approach the issue of choosing the appropriate investment strategy, taking the available resources into account, before starting trading.

Privacy Policy

Use of the information: full or partial use of materials from this website must always be referenced to TeleTrade as the source of information. Use of the materials on the Internet must be accompanied by a hyperlink to teletrade.org. Automatic import of materials and information from this website is prohibited.

Please contact our PR department if you have any questions or need assistance at pr@teletrade.global.

Feedback
Live Chat E-mail
Up
Choose your language / location