Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 06-09-2012.

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06.09.2012
17:42
American focus: the euro rose to a two-month high against the yen

 

The euro rose to a two-month high against the yen after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi announced the decision of the central bank to launch a new program of redemption of bonds, potentially unlimited in volume to "unload" the tense situation on the debt market. Thus, the head of the European monetary authorities do not back down from its July promise to take all necessary measures to save the euro. ECB's key interest rate was in line with expectations remain the same.

More positive than expected ISM report on the non-manufacturing sector came after an equally positive data on the labor market, and together, these data supported the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen against decrease the potential for additional Fed easing. Positive U.S. data also came out against the background of Japanese authorities for further easing measures to help the Japanese economy.

The British pound rose against the dollar after the Bank of England today decided to keep unchanged the interest rate and scale asset purchase program. The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England left interest rates at 0.5%, and the size of asset purchase program - at 375 billion pounds, which was in line with the forecasts of most analysts.

The Australian dollar advanced after a government report showed that the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell in August.

15:00
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, -7.4
14:01
U.S.: ISM Non-Manufacturing, August 53.7 (forecast 52.6)
13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

EUR/USD $1.2500, $1.2525, $1.2550, $1.2625, $1.2635

USD/JPY Y78.50, Y78.70

EUR/JPY Y98.60

GBP/USD $1.5865, $1.5900, $1.5925

EUR/GBP stg0.7865, stg0.7935, stg0.7950

USD/CHF Chf0.9600

AUD/USD $1.0150, $1.0200, $1.0220, $1.0300, $1.0350

USD/CAD C$0.9900, C$0.9925

12:51
ECB President Draghi: Inflation should fall below 2% in 2013

  • ECB's requirements for

  • Aid funds must be prepared to act on the bond markets

  • The authorities should continue structural reforms with determination

  • ECB adheres mandate to protect price stability

  • euro is irreversible

  • Direct monetary operations will better support

  • Buy bonds to help reduce severe strain on the government bond market

  • We must be able to protect the transmission mechanism of monetary policy

  • The ECB plans to start a "direct monetary operations"

  • Dalneshaya tensions in the financial markets may be the downside risks to growth and inflation

  • The tension on the financial markets and increased uncertainty have a negative impact on sentiment

  • Economic growth in the euro area remains weak

  • Inflation expectations remain subdued

  • The basic rate of monetary growth remains subdued

  • Inflation is expected to remain above 2% in 2012

12:31
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 365 (forecast 369)
12:15
U.S.: ADP Employment Report, August 201 (forecast 141)
12:09
European session: The euro rose

Data
01:30 Australia Unemployment rate August 5.2% 5.3% 5.1%
01:30 Australia Changing the number of employed August 14.0 5.1 -8.8
03:40 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks -
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index August -0.6% +0.3% -0.4%
07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y August -0.6% -0.8% -0.9%
09:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (revised) Quarter II -0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
09:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (revised) Quarter II -0.4% -0.4% -0.5%
09:00 Eurozone Household Consumption (QoQ) Quarter II 0.0% -0.2% -0.2%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) July -1.6% +0.3% +0.5%
10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) July -7.8% -4.5% -4.5%
11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility - 375 375 375
11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision - 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%
11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement -
11:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision - 0.75% 0.50%

During the day, the euro close to a two-month high against the dollar on speculation the European Central Bank will announce today details of its program to buy bonds. But after the ECB left rates unchanged euro reached a new two-month high.
The single currency rose to its highest level in more than two weeks against the yen after the central bank officials said that ECB President Mario Draghi will present the plan.
The Australian dollar advanced after a government report showed that the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell in August. Under the plan, the ECB, which could be called a "currency transaction Duel", the central bank will refrain from establishing fixed income, the amount of purchases will be unlimited, and the ECB will consider the sale of bonds, if the conditions are not satisfied and the ECB will buy short-term bonds ( up to three years). This plan will focus only on government bonds, rather than a wide range of assets
Pound little changed after the Bank of England left its key interest rate at a record low of 0.5% and maintained its asset purchase program at 375 billion pounds.
The Bank of England has cut economic forecasts last month, while the Organization for Economic Cooperation Development lowered its forecast today.

EUR/USD: during the European session, the pair showed steady growth, while setting a new high at $ 1.2650
GBP/USD: the pair grown, reaching $ 1.5925
USD/JPY: the pair was trading in a narrow range

At 12:15 GMT the United States will change in the number of employees from ADP. At 12:30 GMT will be the monthly press conference of the ECB. U.S. at 12:30 GMT will publish the number of initial claims for unemployment insurance, the number of repeated applications for unemployment benefits, at 14:00 GMT ISM composite index for the non-production sphere for August at 15:00 GMT and are data on stocks of crude oil from Department of Energy.

11:45
Eurozone: ECB Interest Rate Decision, 0.75% (forecast 0.50%)
11:33
Orders

USD/JPY

Offers Y79.00, Y78.90, Y78.80, Y78.60, Y78.50/55

Bids Y78.20/15, Y77.80

EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8015/20, stg0.8000, stg0.7955

Bids stg0.7885/80, stg0.7875/70, stg0.7860/50, stg0.7810/00

 

EUR/JPY

Offers Y100.00, Y99.80, Y99.45/5

Bids Y98.50, Y98.20, Y98.00

GBP/USD

Offers $1.5980, $1.5950

Bids $1.5880, $1.5850, $1.5805/00, $1.5780/70, $1.5755/40

AUD/USD

Offers $1.0300, $1.0260, $1.0250

Bids $1.0180, $1.0150, $1.0125/20, $1.0100

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2700, $1.2670/80, $1.2640/50

Bids $1.2580, $1.2550, $1.2535/30, $1.2500, $1.2495/90

11:03
United Kingdom: Asset Purchase Facility, 375 (forecast 375)
11:03
United Kingdom: BoE Interest Rate Decision, 0.50% (forecast 0.50%)
09:28
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2500, $1.2525, $1.2550, $1.2625, $1.2635

 

USD/JPY Y78.50, Y78.70

EUR/JPY Y98.60

GBP/USD $1.5865, $1.5900, $1.5925

EUR/GBP stg0.7865, stg0.7935, stg0.7950

USD/CHF Chf0.9600

AUD/USD $1.0150, $1.0200, $1.0220, $1.0300, $1.0350

USD/CAD C$0.9900, C$0.9925

 

09:00
Eurozone: GDP (QoQ), Quarter II -0.2% (forecast -0.2%)
09:00
Eurozone: GDP (YoY), Quarter II -0.5% (forecast -0.4%)
07:44
Asian session: The euro traded 0.3 percent from a two-month high against the dollar

 

 

01:30 Australia Unemployment rate August 5.2% 5.3% 5.1%

01:30 Australia Changing the number of employed August 14.0 5.1 -8.8

03:40 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks


The euro traded 0.3 percent from a two-month high against the dollar on prospects the European Central Bank will today announce unlimited, sterilized bond buying to stem the region’s debt woes. Sterilization involves draining money from other parts of the financial system to offset new funds added. The 17-nation euro maintained gains from yesterday against the yen after two central bank officials said ECB President Mario Draghi favors such a plan.

U.S. corporate employment may have risen by 140,000 in August, the least since May, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg before ADP Employer Services announces the data today. Economists estimate a Labor Department report tomorrow will show payrolls increased by 127,000 last month from July when they added 163,000.

The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee meets on Sept. 12-13.

The Australian dollar rallied from near a seven- week low after data showed unemployment unexpectedly fell. The jobless rate in Australia fell to 5.1 percent in August from 5.2 percent the previous month, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. The median estimate of economists was for an increase of 5.3 percent.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose, approaching week’s high.


GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in a range of $1.5890-$1.5910.


USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of Y78.35-45.



In the UK, the Halifax will release the House Price Index for August at 0700GMT.  The Bank of England then delivers it's monetary policy decision at 1100GMT. The second estimate of Q2 EMU GDP data is due at 0900GMT, at the same time as German manufacturing orders for July and as the OECD publishes their interim G7 economic forecast. The main focus for Thursday will be on the ECB monetary policy decision at 1145GMT and the following press conference at 1230GMT. Also at 1230GMT, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Spanish PM Mariano Rajoy are due to hold a press conference, in Madrid. US data starts at 1130GMT with Challenger Layoffs data for August. At 1630GMT, ECB President Mario Draghi is due to deliver a speech at the awarding of the M100 Media Award, in Potsdam.US data continues with the 1215GMT ADP National Employment Report and then the 1230GMT release of the weekly Jobless Claims data. US data continues with the 1345GMT weekly Bloomberg Comfort Index followed at 1400GMT by the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and Census Bureau Services spending data. The weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage follows at 1430GMT with the weekly EIA Crude Oil Stocks data also today at 1500GMT. Late US data then sees weekly M2 Money Supply data at 2030GMT.

07:22
Forex: Wednesday’s review

 


Yesterday the
euro rose against most of its 16 major peers after two central bank officials said European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will announce unlimited sterilized bond buying to quell the region’s debt crisis.

The 17-nation currency climbed to a two-month high against the dollar last week amid optimism Draghi would announce additional monetary stimulus at ECB meeting.

Under the ECB blueprint, which may be called “Monetary Outright Transactions,” the ECB would refrain from setting a public cap on yields, according to the central bankers, and a third official, who spoke on condition of anonymity. The plan will only focus on government bonds rather than a broader range of assets and will target short-dated maturities of up to about three years, two of the people said.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel told lawmakers she can accept temporary ECB bond buying, according to a member of her party. German legislator Norbert Barthle said in Berlin that Merkel spoke in a closed-door meeting of Christian Democratic Union lawmakers.

Germany’s Constitutional Court is set to rule on the legality of the European Stability Mechanism, the euro region’s permanent bailout fund, on Sept. 12. The ECB may delay giving full details of Draghi’s bond-buying plan until after the ruling, two central bank officials said on Aug. 24.

Australia’s currency dropped to a seven-week low after the economy expanded less than forecast.

07:00
United Kingdom: Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y, August -0.9% (forecast -0.8%)
07:00
United Kingdom: Halifax house price index, August -0.4% (forecast +0.3%)
05:37
Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa: Japan govt has intervened on yen at best possible timings

 

  •  

    BOJ chief repeats high yen has more costs than benefit at this stage

     

  • Japan govt has intervened on yen at best possible timings

  • BOJ chief repeats foreign bond buys equal to fx intervention

  • fiscal reform plans must come with action

  • Japan's pro-growth efforts not enough yet

  • Japan tends to underestimate its growth potential

05:35
Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa:

 

  •  

    BOJ chief repeats high yen has more costs than benefit at this stage

     

  • Japan govt has intervened on yen at best possible timings

  • BOJ chief repeats foreign bond buys equal to fx intervention

  • fiscal reform plans must come with action

  • Japan's pro-growth efforts not enough yet

  • Japan tends to underestimate its growth potential

05:21
Currencies. Daily history for Sep 5'2012:

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2602 +0,29%

GBP/USD $1,5901 +0,18%

USD/CHF Chf0,9555 -0,01%

USD/JPY Y78,39 -0,05%

EUR/JPY Y98,82 +0,26%

GBP/JPY Y124,65 +0,14%

AUD/USD $1,0192 -0,30%

NZD/USD $0,7953 +0,10%

USD/CAD C$0,9903 +0,44%

05:00
Schedule for today, Thursday, Sep 6’2012:

01:30 Australia Unemployment rate August 5.2% 5.3% 5.1%

01:30 Australia Changing the number of employed August 14.0 5.1 -8.8

03:40 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks -

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index August -0.6% +0.3%

07:00 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y August -0.6% -0.8%

09:00 Eurozone GDP (QoQ) (revised) Quarter II -0.2% -0.2%

09:00 Eurozone GDP (YoY) (revised) Quarter II -0.4% -0.4%

09:00 Eurozone Household Consumption (QoQ) Quarter II 0.0% -0.2%

10:00 Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) July -1.7% +0.3%

10:00 Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) July -7.8% -4.5%

11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility - 375 375

11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision - 0.50% 0.50%

11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement -

11:45 Eurozone Economic sentiment index - 0.75% 0.50%

12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report August 163 141

12:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference -

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 374 369

14:00 U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing August 52.6 52.6

15:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories - +3.8

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