Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 12-11-2012.

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12.11.2012
19:22
American focus: euro stabilized

 

 

The euro traded close to a two-month low against the dollar as a draft policy makers’ report said Greece may require an extra $15 billion during the next two years and there are “very large risks.”

Europe’s shared currency traded at almost a one-month low against the yen after the report about the so-called troika as European leaders prepare to meet to seek a plan to maintain Greece’s solvency. Giving Greece a two-year extension to meet budget targets would ease the impact of austerity measures, the troika said.

The Australian dollar rallied after a bigger- than-estimated trade surplus in China improved prospects for commodity exports. China’s exports exceeded imports by $32 billion in October, the customs administration said Nov. 10, compared with a $27.3 billion trade surplus estimated by economists. China is Australia’s biggest trading partner.

The pound fell amid speculation the Bank of England’s latest growth and inflation projections may lead to more asset purchases. The Bank of England’s quarterly report is due in two days and may provide room for further asset purchases to boost growth. The central bank refrained from adding more stimulus at its most recent policy meeting, minutes from which are due next week.


16:00
FRENCH FINMIN: Hope to find political accord on Greece tonight

 

 

- France attitude on Greece positive,constructive

- Must take decisive steps on Greece today

- Should see growth if we resolve Greek problem

- France making big efforts to reduce deficits


13:45
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

EUR/USD $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2870

USD/JPY Y79.00, Y79.70, Y80.00

GBP/USD $1.5900, $1.6000, $1.6100

AUD/USD $1.0300, $1.0365, $1.0400

13:15
European session: the Australian dollar has increased significantly

Data

00:30 Australia Home Loans September +1.8% +1.1% +0.9%

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 0

02:30 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks -

06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y October -2.8% -6.7%

11:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings

 

The euro traded near a two-month low against the dollar ahead of the meeting of European politicians, whose aim is to discuss a plan to maintain the solvency of Greece, and holding it in the euro area.

Note that the single currency was little changed compared to most other major currencies.

Japan's currency weakened after early data showed that the economy declined in the third quarter at the fastest pace since the earthquake last year. Japan's gross domestic product fell an annualized 3.5% in the three months to September, following a revised 0.3% rise the previous quarter. Analysts had expected a fall of 3.4%.

Also the head of the Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said that the bank is ready to continue the policy of aggressive monetary easing to fight deflation.

The Australian dollar rose against all major currencies after a bigger-than-expected surplus in the trade balance in China has improved the prospects of export commodities. According to reports, China's exports exceeded imports by $ 32 billion in October, compared with $ 27.3 billion last month.


EUR/USD: during the European session, the pair set a minimum level of $ 1.2695, and then recovered, and is now trading around $ 1.2723

GBP/USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.5910, but then fell sharply to $ 1.5863

USD/JPY: during the European session the pair fell slightly, setting all-time low at Y79.38


At 21:45 GMT New Zealand will report relative changes in the level of food prices in October. Also today in Canada is celebrated on Memorial Day and Veterans Day in the United States.


13:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.2820, $1.2800/10, $1.2760, $1.2730

Bids $1.2690, $1.2665-50, $1.2630/20


GBP/USD

Offers $1.600/10, $1.5980/85, $1.5940/50

Bids $1.5880, $1.5850, $1.5820, $1.5805/00


AUD/USD
Offers $1.0500, $1.0470/90, $1.0460, $1.0445/50

Bids $1.0385/80, $1.0360, $1.0350, $1.0300


EUR/GBP

Offers stg0.8100, stg0.8080, stg0.8040, stg0.8031, stg0.8020

Bids stg0.7970/60, stg0.7945/40

 

EUR/JPY

Offers Y102.20, Y102.00, Y101.75/80, Y101.60, Y101.45/50

Bids Y100.80, Y100.50, Y100.20, Y100.00


USD/JPY

Offers Y80.15/20, Y79.95/00, Y79.85/90

Bids Y79.25/20, Y79.10, Y79.00, Y78.80


10:21
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2700, $1.2725, $1.2775, $1.2800, $1.2850, $1.2900

USD/JPY  Y79.00, Y79.30, Y79.40, Y80.00, Y80.50

EUR/JPY Y103.25

GBP/USD  $1.6000, $1.6030, $1.6050, $1.6100, $1.5910

EUR/GBP  stg0.8000

GBP/CHF Chf1.5230

USD/CHF Chf0.9425

AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0425, $1.0430, $1.0445


08:00
Forex: Friday’s review

 

 

The euro fell to a two-month low against the dollar and to the weakest level in nearly a month against the yen since the fall of French industrial production adds speculation that Europe's economic prospects are deteriorating. The data showed that the amount of French industrial production fell by 2.7%, compared to the previous month, while the average forecast was at 1%. We also learned that business confidence in the second-largest economy of the euro area reached a three-year low last month.

The single currency was headed for a weekly decline against the yen and the dollar, as Greek lawmakers prepared to vote on November 11 for the next year's budget. The euro recovered some losses, even in spite of the fact that the index of U.S. consumer confidence rose to a five-year maximum.

The yen reached 79.08 per dollar, which is the strongest level since Oct. 18, but also showed an increase against most other major currencies. Note that the currency is generally stronger in times of political, financial and economic turmoil, and the latest data on the trade surplus means that the country has to rely on foreign creditors. But, despite this growth rate still declined, approaching with up to the opening level of the day.

The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.3% to 81.035, after an early increase to the level of 81.087, which is a two-month high.

Canadian dollar recovered today suffered losses early in the day, after a report on the level of consumer confidence in the United States. Note that the currency is trading above parity with U.S. counterpart for a second day.


 

07:01
Asian session: The euro traded 0.3 percent from a two-month low

 

 

00:30 Australia Home Loans September +1.8% +1.1% +0.9%

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 0

02:30 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks


The euro traded 0.3 percent from a two-month low before European finance chiefs meet today to seek a program to maintain Greek solvency. Euro-area finance ministers will meet at 5 p.m. in Brussels. While ministers probably won’t approve 31.5 billion euros ($40 billion) in fresh loans to Greece, the maturing of 5 billion euros of Greek bills on Nov. 16 won’t lead to an “accidental default,” a European official said last week.

The 17-nation euro remained lower versus the yen, following its biggest weekly loss in four months, even after Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras secured support from a majority of lawmakers for the 2013 budget needed to unlock international bailout funds. Samaras secured the vote on Greece’s 2013 budget with 167 lawmakers, setting up the next tranche of an international bailout. The nation’s fiscal plan, which forecasts a deficit of 5.2 percent of gross domestic product and a sixth year of contraction, is designed to regain the confidence of its euro- area and International Monetary Fund creditors.

The yen weakened against most of its major peers after data today showed Japan’s economy contracted in the third quarter at the fastest pace since last year’s record earthquake as exports slumped and consumer spending slid. In Japan, GDP fell an annualized 3.5 percent in the three months through September, after a revised 0.3 percent gain the previous quarter, the Cabinet Office said in Tokyo today. The median of 23 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey was for a 3.4 percent drop.

Australia’s dollar rose after a bigger-than-estimated trade surplus in China brightened prospects for commodity exports, and data today showed Australian home-loan approvals rose for a second month. China’s customs administration said Nov. 10 the nation’s exports exceeded imports by $32 billion in October, compared to a $27.3 billion trade surplus estimated by economists surveyed by Bloomberg. China is Australia’s biggest trading partner. In Australia, the number of loans granted to build or buy houses and apartments rose 0.9 percent in September from the previous month, when it grew by a revised 2.1 percent, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.2730.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair was trading around $ 1.5900.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of Y79.40-55.


With US markets closed for the Veterans' Day holiday, there is a very limited calendar Monday. UK data gets the ball rolling in Europe, with the release of the October CML Mortgage Approvals. At 1100GMT, the November OECD Leading Indicator will be released. With Greece having passed the latest budget and spending bills, attention turns to the Eurogroup meeting scheduled for today in Brussels, although it appears there will be no decisions on the disbursement of funds to Greece. At 1100GMT, the OECD leading indicator for the EMU for October will be released. As noted, US bond markets are closed, but the major stock markets, including the NYSE, are open. However, there are still possibilities that headlines could cross the wires regarding any possibile "fiscal cliff" negotiations, although Federal offices are officially closed.

06:02
Schedule for today, Monday, Nov 12’2012:

00:30 Australia Home Loans September +1.8% +1.1% +0.9%

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 0

02:30 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks -

06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y October -2.8%

11:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings -

21:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, m/m October -0.9%

21:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, y/y October -0.3%

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