Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 28-12-2016.

09:00 Eurozone Private Loans, Y/Y November 1.8%

09:00 Eurozone M3 money supply, adjusted y/y November 4.4% 4.4%

13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims 2036 2030

13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 275 264

16:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December 2.256

EUR/USD 1.0450 (EUR 256 M) 1.0590-1.0605 (EUR 376 M)

EUR/GBP 0.8496 (EUR 920 M) 0.8530-0.8545 (EUR 373 M)

USD/JPY 116.00 (USD 250 M) 118.15-118.20 (USD 254 M) 119.00 (USD 300 M)

AUD/USD 0.7320 (AUD 366 M)

USD/CAD 1.3370-1.3386 (USD 252 M) 1.3410-1.3425 (USD 229 M)

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0485 1.0500 1.0525 1.0550-55 1.0585 1.0600

Bids 1.0400 1.0380-85 1.0365 1.0350 1.0335 1.0300

GBP/USD

Offers 1.2300 1.2330 1.2350 1.2380-85 1.2400

Bids 1.2220-25 1.2200 1.2185 1.2150 1.2100 1.2080 1.2050 1.2000

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.8530 0.8550 0.8575-80 0.8600

Bids 0.8485 0.8460 0.8435-40 0.8400

EUR/JPY

Offers 123.30 123.60 123.85 124.00-10 124.30 124.50

Bids 122.60 122.20 122.00 121.75 121.50 121.00

USD/JPY

Offers 117.80-85 118.00 118.20-25 118.45-50 118.80 119.00

Bids 117.00 116.70 116.50-55 116.30 116.00 115.85 115.50

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7230 0.7260 0.7280 0.7300 0.7320 0.7350 0.7365 0.7380 0.7400

Bids 0.7175-80 0.7145-50 0.7100-10 0.7065 0.7030 0.7000

"Consumer credit growth continues to be strong, despite falling back a little in November, reflecting strong retail sales in recent months.

The reduction in interest rates in August may have boosted remortgaging approvals, with consumers looking to take advantage of the current economic conditions and lock-in lower interest rates.

A corollary of a low interest rate environment is a growth in deposits and we've seen personal deposits, in particular, grow more strongly in recent months as consumers hoard cash in the absence of higher-yielding, liquid investment opportunities. This growth in personal deposits may also suggest that consumers are looking to grow their cash reserves against potential economic uncertainties, such as an expectation of lower wage growth", said Dr Rebecca Harding, BBA Chief Economist.

Retail sales rose by 0.2% after rising 2.5% in October, said today the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan. In annual terms, this index (seasonally adjusted) was 1.7%, higher than economists' forecast of 0.9%. The previous value was revised from -0.1% to -0.2%.

The volume of retail sales - an indicator that assesses the total volume of sales through specialized outlets involved in the sale of goods and related services to the population. Consumer spending - an important indicator of the state of the Japanese economy.

Despite the growth of sales, the Japanese currency fell after the publication of the indicator due to year end flows.

According to preliminary data of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan the index of industrial production increased by 1.5%, after flat in October. Economists had expected an increase of 1.7%. On an annual basis Japan industrial activity grew by 4.6%, much higher than the previous value of -1.4%. Industrial production - an indicator of the volume of production plants, factories and mining enterprises, main indicator of the strength and health of the manufacturing sector. A high value is considered positive for the Japanese currency.

As for the future, the manufacturers expect industrial production growth at about 2.0% in December and 2.2% in January.

The Ministry of Commerce noted that industrial production is gaining momentum on the back of export growth and improving global demand.

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.0740 (2003)

$1.0665 (563)

$1.0610 (233)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0468

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0400 (1103)

$1.0361 (2218)

$1.0313 (2851)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 13 is 44593 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3200);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 13 is 54015 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0000 (5007);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.21 versus 1.21 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 27

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2513 (434)

$1.2417 (238)

$1.2322 (111)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2285

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2183 (577)

$1.2286 (428)

$1.1989 (1319)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 13 is 13615 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (2995);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 13 is 116631 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3014);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.22 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 27

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.