Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 29-12-2016.

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m November 0.5% 0.5%

00:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y November 5.3%

14:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index December 57.6 57

EURUSD 1.0320, 1.0350, 1.0375 1.0475 1.0575 1.0600, 1.0650 (939m)

USDJPY 114.0/09 (670m) 115.00, 115.50/55/60, 115.75 116.00, 116.25, 116.50 117.45/50/52 (865m)

AUDUSD 0.7000 0.7175

NZDUSD 0.6800

AUDNZD 1.0465 (225m)

USDCAD 1.3200 1.3444/45

EURJPY 120.45/50, 120.60 123.00

The international trade deficit was $65.3 billion in November, up $3.4 billion from $61.9 billion in October. Exports of goods for November were $121.7 billion, $1.2 billion less than October exports. Imports of goods for November were $187.0 billion, $2.2 billion more than October imports.

Wholesale inventories for November, adjusted for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were estimated at an end-of-month level of $594.5 billion, up 0.9 percent (±0.2 percent) from October 2016, and were up 1.2 percent (±1.1 percent) from November 2015. The September 2016 to October 2016 percentage change was revised from down 0.4 percent (±0.4 percent)* to down 0.1 percent (±0.4 percent).

In the week ending December 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 265,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 275,000. The 4-week moving average was 263,000, a decrease of 750 from the previous week's unrevised average of 263,750.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims. This marks 95 consecutive weeks of initial claims below 300,000, the longest streak since 1970.

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0485 1.0500 1.0525 1.0550-55 1.0585 1.0600

Bids 1.0400 1.0380-85 1.0365 1.0350 1.0335 1.0300

GBP/USD

Offers 1.2300 1.2330 1.2350 1.2380-85 1.2400

Bids 1.2200 1.2185 1.2150 1.2100 1.2080 1.2050 1.2000

EUR/GBP

Offers 0.8550 0.8575-80 0.8600

Bids 0.8500 0.8485 0.8460 0.8435-40 0.8400

EUR/JPY

Offers 122.20 122.60 123.30 123.60 123.85 124.00-10

Bids 121.50 121.00 120.50 120.00

USD/JPY

Offers 117.00 117.80-85 118.00 118.20-25 118.45-50 118.80 119.00

Bids 116.30 116.00 115.85 115.50

AUD/USD

Offers 0.7230 0.7260 0.7280 0.7300 0.7320 0.7350 0.7365 0.7380 0.7400

Bids 0.7175-80 0.7145-50 0.7100-10 0.7065 0.7030 0.7000

USDJPY 114.0/09 (670m), 115.00, 115.50/55/60, 115.75, 116.00, 116.25, 116.50, 117.45/50/52 (865m)

EURUSD 1.0320, 1.0350, 1.0375, 1.0475, 1.0575, 1.0600, 1.0650 (939m)

AUDUSD 0.7000, 0.7175

NZDUSD 0.6800

AUDNZD 1.0465 (225m)

USDCAD 1.3200, 1.3444/45

EURJPY 120.45/50, 120.60, 123.00

Информационно-аналитический отдел TeleTrade

The annual growth rate of the broad monetary aggregate M3 increased to 4.8% in November 2016, from 4.4% in October, averaging 4.7% in the three months up to November. The components of M3 showed the following developments.

The annual growth rate of the narrower aggregate, including currency in circulation and overnight deposits (M1), increased to 8.7% in November, from 8.0% in October.

The annual growth rate of short-term deposits other than overnight deposits (M2-M1) was more negative at -2.0% in November, from -1.7% in October. The annual growth rate of marketable instruments (M3-M2) increased to 2.4% in November, from 1.8% in October.

This report includes forecasts of the central bank on inflation and economic growth, and is published 8 times a year, approximately 10 days after the decision on monetary policy.

At the December meeting, the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged:

• the use of the previously fixed interest rate yield curve shows difficulty

• weak yen only pushes up prices in the short term

• improved personal consumption

• the United States economy could further strengthen under the new president

• growth in manufacturing was recorded all over the world

• the Bank of Japan should firmly support the current policy stance

• it is necessary to go a long way to reach the inflation target of 2%

• the yield curve was formed smoothly

Commenting on the figures, Robert Gardner, Nationwide's Chief Economist, said: "The story of UK house price growth in 2016 was one of relative stability. Annual house price growth ended 2016 at 4.5%, the same as the rate recorded in 2015. "There were signs that London's significant period of outperformance may be drawing to a close. For the first year since 2008, annual house price growth in the capital was lower than the UK average, with prices increasing by 3.7% over the year, down from 12.2% in 2015. "The South of England as a whole continued to see slightly stronger price growth than the North of England, though the differential narrowed. "Price growth in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland remained subdued, though each saw small gains overall in 2016 (see page 3 for more detail on regional price trends).

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.0725 (2002)

$1.0643 (593)

$1.0582 (236)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0458

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0394 (1113)

$1.0368 (1103)

$1.0334 (2218)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 13 is 43935 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (3202);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 13 is 54257 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,0000 (5021);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.23 versus 1.21 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 28

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2511 (489)

$1.2415 (238)

$1.2319 (111)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2253

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2180 (744)

$1.2086 (433)

$1.1988 (1321)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 13 is 13979 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (2995);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 13 is 16753 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (2968);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 28

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.