CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 09-03-2015

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09.03.2015
23:35
Commodities. Daily history for Mar 9’2015:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 50.00 +0.79%

Gold 1,166.30 -0.02%

23:34
Stocks. Daily history for Mar 9’2015:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 225 18,790.55 -180.45 -0.95%

Hang Seng 24,123.05 -40.95 -0.17%

Shanghai Composite 3,302.16 +60.98 +1.88%

FTSE 100 6,876.47 -35.33 -0.51%

CAC 40 4,937.2 -27.15 -0.55%

Xetra DAX 11,582.11 +31.14 +0.27%

S&P 500 2,079.43 +8.17 +0.39%

NASDAQ Composite 4,942.44 +15.07 +0.31%

Dow Jones 17,995.72ь+138.94 +0.78%

23:33
Currencies. Daily history for Mar 9’2015:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,0852 +0,03%

GBP/USD $1,5128 +0,50%

USD/CHF Chf0,9855 +0,05%

USD/JPY Y121,20 +0,43%

EUR/JPY Y131,52 +0,45%

GBP/JPY Y183,34 +0,93%

AUD/USD $0,7703 -0,18%

NZD/USD $0,7353 -0,12%

USD/CAD C$1,2601 -0,08%

23:00
Schedule for today, Tuesday, Mar 10’2015:

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

0:01 United Kingdom BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y February +0.2%

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence February 3

01:30 China PPI y/y February -4.3% -4.2%

01:30 China CPI y/y February +0.8% +1.0%

06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y February +20.4%

06:45 Switzerland Unemployment Rate February 3.1% 3.2%

07:45 France Industrial Production, m/m January +1.5% +0.8%

07:45 France Industrial Production, y/y January -1.3%

10:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings

14:00 U.S. Wholesale Inventories January +0.1% 0.0%

14:00 U.S. JOLTs Job Openings January 5028 5030

20:30 U.S. API Crude Oil Inventories March +2.9

22:05 Australia RBA Assist Gov Kent Speaks

23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence March +8.0%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders January +8.3% -3.8%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y January +11.4%

19:00
Dow +0.93% 18,022.15 +165.37 Nasdaq +0.20% 4,937.02 +9.65 S&P +0.49% 2,081.40 +10.14
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 6,876.47 -35.33 -0.51% CAC 40 4,937.2 -27.15 -0.55% DAX 11,582.11 +31.14 +0.27%
17:00
European stocks close: most stocks closed lower

Most stock indices closed lower. People with knowledge of the transactions said that the European Central Bank (ECB) has purchased German, Italia, French and Belgian bonds.

A spokesman for the ECB declined to comment.

The Sentix investor confidence index for the Eurozone rose to 18.6 in March from 12.4 in February, exceeding expectations for an increase to 15.0.That was the highest level since August 2007.

The index benefited from a weaker euro, lower oil prices and quantitative easing.

Germany's trade surplus narrowed to €19.7 billion in January from €21.6 billion in December, missing expectations for a rise to €22.3 billion. December's figure was revised down from a surplus of €21.8 billion.

Indexes on the close:

Name Price Change Change %

FTSE 100 6,876.47 -35.33 -0.51 %

DAX 11,582.11 +31.14 +0.27 %

CAC 40 4,937.2 -27.15 -0.55 %

16:34
Foreign exchange market. American session: the U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies in the absence of any major U.S. economic reports

The U.S. dollar traded mixed to higher against the most major currencies in the absence of any major U.S. economic reports on Monday.

The greenback remained supported by Friday's labour market data. The U.S. economy added 295,000 jobs in February, exceeding expectations for a rise of 241,000 jobs, after a gain of 239,000 jobs in January. J

The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 5.5% in February from 5.7% in January, beating forecast of a decline to 5.6%. That was lowest level since May 2008.

Investors expect that the Fed might start to raise its interest rate sooner than expected.

The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar. The Sentix investor confidence index for the Eurozone rose to 18.6 in March from 12.4 in February, exceeding expectations for an increase to 15.0.That was the highest level since August 2007.

The index benefited from a weaker euro, lower oil prices and quantitative easing.

Germany's trade surplus narrowed to €19.7 billion in January from €21.6 billion in December, missing expectations for a rise to €22.3 billion. December's figure was revised down from a surplus of €21.8 billion.

People with knowledge of the transactions said that the European Central Bank (ECB) has purchased German, Italia, French and Belgian bonds.

A spokesman for the ECB declined to comment.

The British pound traded mixed against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the U.K.

The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. Housing starts in Canada decreased to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 156,276 units in February from a revised reading of 187,025 units in January. January's figure revised down from 187,276 units. Analysts had expected an increase to 191,000 units.

The New Zealand dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the kiwi traded lower against the greenback in the absence of any major economic reports from New Zealand.

The Australian dollar traded lower against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the Aussie traded lower against the greenback. Job advertisements in Australia increased 0.9% in February, after a 1.2% rise in January. January's figure was revised down from a 1.3% gain.

The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar. In the overnight trading session, the yen traded mixed against the greenback after the mixed economic data from Japan. Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) was revised down to an annual increase of 1.5% in the fourth quarter from the preliminary estimate of a 2.2% rise.

Japan's adjusted current account surplus rose to 1,058.1 billion yen in January from 850.0 billion yen in December.

Japan's economy watchers' current conditions index climbed to 50.1 in February from 45.6 in January, exceeding expectations for an increase to 46.7.

Japan's economy watchers' future conditions index rose to 53.2 in February from 50.0 in January.

16:20
Oil: A review of the market situation

Prices for WTI crude oil rose moderately, while entrenched above $ 50, as new data pointed to the small increase in inventories in Cushing terminal. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil fell slightly, came under pressure OPEC secretary general comments.

Genscape reported that oil reserves in Cushing last week rose by 1.7 million barrels. Increase in reserves was smaller than previously expected. Concern that the capacity of the terminal Cushing exhausted, were not confirmed. "These Genscape show much less significant increase in reserves than previously expected. It seems much more oil out of Cushing to the Gulf Coast than we thought. In storage tanks on the coast of the Gulf of Mexico stock levels high, but there is storage capacity is not as close to the complete exhaustion, as in other parts of the United States, "- said Carl Larry from Frost & Sullivan

As for the statements OPEC secretary general Abdullah al-Badri, he noted that the members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries should not reduce production to "subsidize" more expensive shale oil. Recall oil prices in recent months have fallen sharply as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries refused to reductions in production, while production rates in the US were the highest in the past more than 30 years, creating an increased level of supply in the world oil market .

Also affected the course of trading forecasts Goldman Sachs. According to a recent report in the short term, oil prices could fall to US $ 40 mark as the world's oil reserves begin to grow again. Falling prices almost 60%, which took place last year, was replaced by a moderate rise in prices in January and February. "While we continue to forecast a decent recovery in demand in 2015, we believe that the consistent weakening of activity, the end of winter and reduced demand due to restocking, will cause a slowdown in demand in the spring," - said the Goldman Sachs.

Market participants also continue to analyze data from Baker Hughes, which showed that the number of drilling oil installations in the US fell by 63 last week to 923, its lowest level since June 2011. Experts note that the shrinking number of drilling rigs in recent months is a sign that in the end the excess supply of oil on the market is reduced.

April futures price for US light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to 50.22 dollars per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

April futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mix fell $ 0.52 to 59.30 dollars a barrel on the London Stock Exchange ICE Futures Europe.

16:00
Gold: A review of the market situation

Gold lost previously earned a position at the same time returning to opening levels. Support prices have expectations of the meeting of eurozone finance ministers, who will discuss the proposed economic reforms Greece.

"It seems that the markets are still unable to ignore the situation in Greece," - said Commerzbank analyst Carsten Commodities Fritsch. The expert suggested that the financial condition of the country is more dangerous than previously thought, which means that Greece may require financial assistance earlier than expected.

The rise in prices is constrained by expectations of higher interest rates in the United States, which intensified after the release of a positive report on the labor market. Recall, the report showed that the number of people employed in non-agricultural sectors increased by 295 thousand. In February against expectations at the level of 241 thousand. Meanwhile, the figures for January and December were revised downward - as a whole by 18 thousand .. Unemployment rate, the time down to 5.5% from 5.7% in January. Experts predicted that the rate will drop to 5.6%.

Positive data underlined expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates in the middle of this year. It should be emphasized, after the release of the report, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Jeffrey Lacker said he believes the June meeting of the central bank the best time to raise interest rates. Lacker also said that as the economy corresponds to his expectations, he seems to June "prime candidate" for the onset of action and increase short-term interest rates from the current near-zero levels.

Small effect has also statistics on China. It is learned that the trade surplus in January-February was $ 60.60 billion, compared with expectations of $ 7.8 billion and $ 60.0 billion since January. In annual terms, exports grew last month at 48.3%, while imports decreased by 20.5%. Reduction in imports points to the continued weakness in the economy, causing speculation that Beijing policymakers need to take additional measures to stimulate economic growth.

Meanwhile, it became known that the gold reserves in the SPDR Gold Trust fell on Friday to its lowest level in more than a month.

April futures price of gold on the COMEX today rose to 1166.80 dollars per ounce.

15:30
ECB starts its quantitative easing

People with knowledge of the transactions said that the European Central Bank (ECB) has purchased German, Italia, French and Belgian bonds.

A spokesman for the ECB declined to comment.

13:50
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.0900(E372mn), $1.1000(E837mn)

USD/JPY: Y119.75($308mn), Y121.00($235mn)

GBP/USD: $1.5250(Gbp230mn)

AUD/USD: $0.7700(A$1.15bn)

USD/CAD: C$1.2550($400mn), C$1.2800($220mn)

13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.03%, Nasdaq +0.15%, S&P +0.14%
13:28
Housing starts in Canada decreased to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 156,276 units in February

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) released housing starts data on Monday. Housing starts in Canada decreased to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 156,276 units in February from a revised reading of 187,025 units in January. January's figure revised down from 187,276 units.

Analysts had expected an increase to 191,000 units.

The CMHC's Chief Economist Bob Dugan said that "the trend in housing starts decreased for a fifth consecutive month in February and reflects a decreasing trend in multiple starts".

13:26
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.15%, Nasdaq futures +0.01%

U.S. stock-index futures are mixed.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) climbed 1% as investors await details of its smartwatch that starts shipping to stores in April.

General Motors Co. (GM) advanced more than 3% after announcement a share buyback program.

Global markets:

Nikkei 18,790.55 -180.45 -0.95%

Hang Seng 24,123.05 -40.95 -0.17%

Shanghai Composite 3,302.16 +60.98 +1.88%

FTSE 6,879.45 -32.35 -0.47%

CAC 4,946.72 -17.63 -0.36%

DAX 11,564.66 +13.69 +0.12%

Crude oil $49.29 (-0.29%)

Gold $1171.40 (+0.61%)

13:16
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change, % / volume)


Pfizer Inc

PFE

33.98

+0.03%

8.8K

General Electric Co

GE

25.43

+0.04%

10.9K

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

82.62

+0.04%

0.3K

Goldman Sachs

GS

187.01

+0.05%

45.9K

Google Inc.

GOOG

567.96

+0.05%

1.5K

American Express Co

AXP

80.40

+0.11%

6.5K

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

80.15

+0.11%

30.2K

Nike

NKE

97.02

+0.11%

22.0K

Intel Corp

INTC

33.23

+0.12%

3.9K

Facebook, Inc.

FB

80.11

+0.13%

31.5K

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

28.98

+0.19%

4.2K

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

41.60

+0.19%

0.7K

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

53.47

+0.19%

0.9K

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

53.17

+0.21%

8.3K

Ford Motor Co.

F

15.97

+0.25%

45.2K

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

85.85

+0.26%

22.1K

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

57.00

+0.28%

0.2K

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

92.49

+0.30%

0.3K

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

33.15

+0.39%

1.3K

Yahoo! Inc., NASDAQ

YHOO

43.67

+0.53%

2.0K

Visa

V

270.80

+0.54%

4.7K

Apple Inc.

AAPL

127.85

+0.99%

472.1K

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

11.47

+1.14%

16.0K

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

47.39

+1.37%

79.5K

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

37.73

+3.26%

385.8K

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Co

DD

78.14

0.00%

2.3K

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

158.50

0.00%

7.3K

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

100.11

0.00%

0.2K

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

60.89

0.00%

1.2K

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

42.36

0.00%

7.9K

Walt Disney Co

DIS

103.82

0.00%

1.2K

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

90.26

0.00%

0.2K

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

101.87

0.00%

0.2K

International Paper Company

IP

55.19

0.00%

0.2K

Boeing Co

BA

153.10

-0.01%

0.1K

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.28

-0.02%

0.4K

AT&T Inc

T

33.47

-0.03%

15.6K

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

193.72

-0.08%

7.5K

Chevron Corp

CVX

103.40

-0.14%

16.1K

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

19.41

-0.15%

179.1K

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

377.75

-0.62%

18.7K

McDonald's Corp

MCD

96.10

-1.06%

0.9K

ALCOA INC.

AA

13.93

-3.80%

39.9K

13:03
Upgrades and downgrades before the market open

Upgrades:


Downgrades:

Amazon.com (AMZN) downgradd from Buy to Neutral at Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey


Other:

Apple (AAPL) target raised to $145 from $130 at Macquarie

13:00
Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the mixed economic data from the Eurozone

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) February +1.3% +0.9%

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current February 45.6 46.7 50.1

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook February 50.0 53.2

07:00 Germany Trade Balance January 21.6 Revised From 21.8 22.3 19.7

09:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence March 12.4 15.0 18.6

10:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings

12:15 Canada Housing Starts February 187 191 156

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies. There will be released no major U.S. economic reports on Monday.

The greenback remained supported by Friday's labour market data. The U.S. economy added 295,000 jobs in February, exceeding expectations for a rise of 241,000 jobs, after a gain of 239,000 jobs in January. J

The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 5.5% in February from 5.7% in January, beating forecast of a decline to 5.6%. That was lowest level since May 2008.

Investors expect that the Fed might start to raise its interest rate sooner than expected.

The euro traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the mixed economic data from the Eurozone. The Sentix investor confidence index for the Eurozone rose to 18.6 in March from 12.4 in February, exceeding expectations for an increase to 15.0.That was the highest level since August 2007.

The index benefited from a weaker euro, lower oil prices and quantitative easing.

Germany's trade surplus narrowed to €19.7 billion in January from €21.6 billion in December, missing expectations for a rise to €22.3 billion. December's figure was revised down from a surplus of €21.8 billion.

The Eurogroup of euro zone finance ministers will discuss proposed Greek economic reforms.

The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar in the absence of any major economic reports in the U.K.

The Canadian dollar traded mixed against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected Canadian housing starts data. Housing starts in Canada decreased to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 156,276 units in February from a revised reading of 187,025 units in January. January's figure revised down from 187,276 units. Analysts had expected an increase to 191,000 units.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair rose to $1.5111

USD/JPY: the currency pair increased to Y121.06

12:50
Orders AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY EURUSD GBPUSD USDJPY

EUR/USD

Offers 1.0900 1.0925 1.0940 1.0965 1.0980 1.1000 1.1020

Bids 1.0860 1.0840 1.0825 1.0800 1.0785 1.0750


GBP/USD

Offers 1.5100 1.5120-25 1.5150 1.5180 1.5200

Bids 1.5060 1.5040 1.5025 1.5000 1.4985 1.4965 1.4950


EUR/JPY

Offers 131.80 132.00 132.20 132.50 132.80 133.00

Bids 131.20 131.00 130.80 130.50 130.30 130.00


USD/JPY

Offers 121.00 121.20 121.45-50 121.80 122.00

Bids 120.60-65 1.2025-30 120.00 119.80 119.50 119.20 119.00


EUR/GBP

Offers 0.7220-25 0.7245-50 0.7265 0.7285 0.7300-05 0.7320-25

Bids 0.7195 0.7180 0.7165 0.7150 0.7130 0.7100-10


AUD/USD

Offers 0.7740 0.7760 0.7785 0.7800 0.7815

Bids 0.7700 0.7685 0.7665 0.7650

12:15
Canada: Housing Starts, February 156 (forecast 191)
12:00
European stock markets mid-session: Stocks track U.S. losses

European stocks recovered slightly over the course of the day after a negative start tracking losses in the U.S. Greece remains in the focus as the proposed list of measures is far from complete, the head of Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Sunday. Today Eurozone finance ministers will further discuss on how to proceed with Greece and its reform plans. Time is running out for the country as it is expected to run out of money by the end of the month.

Today Destatis reported data on the Trade Balance of Eurozone's biggest economy that showed a decline from January's balance and was below expectations. The Trade Balance narrowed from revised 21.6 billion euros (21.8) to 19.7 billion. Economist expected a rise to 22.3 billion euros.

Exports showed the sharpest decline in five months and slumped by 2.1% after strong gains in December although the weaker euro should bolster exports in the future. Imports declined by 0.3%.

Market research group Sentix reported data on Investor Confidence today. The survey was conducted among 1000 private and institutional investors. Investor Confidence for March came in at 18.6, climbing 6.2 points, compared to forecasts of 15 points and a previous reading of 12.4, reaching the highest reading since August 2007.

The stronger-than-expected data eases concerns over the economic outlook of the Eurozone. A weaker Euro, Quantitative Easing and lower oil prices boost the European economy. A level above zero shows that optimism prevails, below zero indicates pessimism.

The FTSE 100 index is currently trading -0.70% quoted at 6,863.39. Germany's DAX 30 lost -0.20% trading at 11,528.09. France's CAC 40 is currently trading at 4,931.88 points, -0.65%.

11:20
Oil: Prices mixed – Crude down on OPEC comments, WTI up

Oil traded mixed on Monday with Brent Crude declining by -0.55%, currently trading at USD59.40 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate gaining +0.40% currently quoted at USD49.81.

On Sunday OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri said that OPEC members should not lower production as this would only help U.S. producers with their higher-cost shale. Data from Baker Hughes on Friday showed that U.S. rig-numbers further declined.

Oil prices declined by almost 60% between June 2014 and January 2015 and recovered by almost 35% in 2015.Although prices rebounded after setting new lows, worldwide supply still exceeds demand in a period of low global economic growth, pushing stockpiles to record highs and weighing on prices.

11:00
Gold moderately rebounds from Friday’s selloff

Gold recovered moderately from Friday's selloff but still trades close to 3-month lows. Better-than-expected U.S. jobs data reported on Friday added to expectations that the FED will hike interest rates rather sooner than later sending the precious metal down to intraday-lows not seen since December.

A stronger U.S. dollar and the prospect for higher U.S. rates recently weighed on the precious metal as the precious metal is dollar-denominated and not yield-bearing.

Today Eurogroup meetings will be in the focus where the Eurozone finance ministers meet to discuss on how to proceed with Greece as the proposed list of measures is far from complete, the head of Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Sunday.

Gold is currently quoted at USD1,174.60, +0,71% a troy ounce. On Thursday the 22nd of January gold reached a five-month high at USD1,307.40.

10:20
Eurozone: Sentix Investor Confidence at 7-year high

Market research group Sentix reported data on Investor Confidence today. The survey was conducted among 1000 private and institutional investors. Investor Confidence for March came in at 18.6, climbing 6.2 points, compared to forecasts of 15 points and a previous reading of 12.4, reaching the highest reading since August 2007.

The stronger-than-expected data eases concerns over the economic outlook of the Eurozone. A weaker Euro, Quantitative Easing and lower oil prices boost the European economy. A level above zero shows that optimism prevails, below zero indicates pessimism.

10:09
Option expiries for today's 10:00 ET NY cut

EUR/USD: $1.0900(E372mn), $1.1000(E837mn)

USD/JPY: Y119.75($308mn), Y121.00($235mn)

GBP/USD: $1.5250(Gbp230mn)

AUD/USD: $0.7700(A$1.15bn)

USD/CAD: C$1.2550($400mn), C$1.2800($220mn)

09:30
Eurozone: Sentix Investor Confidence, March 18.6 (forecast 15.0)
09:20
Press Review: Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem: Greece reform outline 'far from complete'

BLOOMBERG

RBNZ Likely Looking at New Tools to Avoid Rate Rises, Key Says

(Bloomberg) -- New Zealand's central bank is probably investigating new tools to slow housing demand because it is unable to raise interest rates in a low-inflation environment, Prime Minister John Key says.

The Reserve Bank said last week it was seeking views on how to define property investment loans, adding to signs it may tighten rules in an attempt to cool surging house prices. Key said he hadn't been briefed on the issue by the RBNZ while a spokesman for the central bank declined to comment.

"It's clearly trying to ensure there's not a bubble emerging in the housing market," Key told reporters in Wellington Monday. "It's doing so in such a way that it's not having to lift interest rates."

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-09/rbnz-likely-looking-at-new-tools-to-avoid-rate-rises-key-says

REUTERS

Eurogroup's Dijsselbloem: Greece reform outline 'far from complete'

(Reuters) - A list of reforms proposed by Greece last week to help it win creditor support is "far from complete," the head of the Eurogroup said.

Speaking at an event in Amsterdam on Sunday, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, who is also Dutch finance minister, said the Greek proposal was "serious" but not enough.

Dijsselbloem, whose Eurogroup of euro zone finance ministers will discuss Greece at a meeting on Monday, said Athens had submitted six proposals, with more expected to come.

Source: http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/09/us-eurozone-greece-dijsselbloem-idUSKBN0M50IY20150309

BLOOMBERG

ECB Said to Begin Buying German Government Bonds in QE

(Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank was said to start buying euro-area government bonds as it took the first step of its expanded quantitative-easing plan designed to boost price growth in the region.

Central banks from the region bought German bonds, said two traders in government debt, who asked not to be identified because the transactions are confidential. Sovereign securities across the region advanced. A spokesman for the ECB declined to comment on the purchases.

Bonds rallied. The yield on Germany's 10-year bunds fell four basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, to 0.35 percent at 8:54 a.m. London time, approaching the record-low 0.283 percent set on Feb. 26. Italy's 10-year yield dropped four basis points to 1.28 percent.

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-09/ecb-said-to-begin-buying-german-government-bonds-under-qe-plan-i71mqdno

09:00
European stock markets First hour: Stocks decline tracking Wall Street

European stocks follow the Wall Street and fall at the start. On Friday strong U.S. jobs data led U.S. shares lower on expectations that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates rather sooner than later.

Greece remains in the focus as the proposed list of measures is far from complete, the head of Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem said on Sunday.

Today Destatis reported data on the Trade Balance of Eurozone's biggest economy that showed a decline from January's Balance and was below expectations. The Trade Balance fell from revised 21.6 billion euros (21.8) to 19.7 billion. Economist expected a rise to 22.3 billion euros.

Exports showed the sharpest decline in five months and slumped by 2.1% after strong gains in December although the weaker euro should bolster exports in the future. Imports declined by 0.3%.

Markets look forward to Eurozone's Sentix Investor Confidence data due at 09:30 GMT and the Eurogroup meetings scheduled for 10:00 GMT where Eurozone finance ministers will further discuss on how to proceed with Greece. Time is running out for the country as it is expected to run out of money by the end of the month.

The FTSE 100 index is currently trading -0.60% quoted at 6,870.67. Germany's DAX 30 lost -0.55% trading at 11,487.80, France's CAC 40 is currently trading at 4,928.83 points, -0.72%.

08:30
German Trade Balance below expectations

Today Destatis reported data on the Trade Balance of Eurozone's biggest economy that showed a decline from January's Balance and was below expectations. The Trade Balance fell from revised 21.6 billion euros (21.8) to 19.7 billion. Economist expected a rise to 22.3 billion euros.

Exports showed the sharpest decline in five months and slumped by 2.1% after strong gains in December although the weaker euro should bolster exports in the future. Imports declined by 0.3%.

08:00
Global Stocks: Wall Street and Nikkei decline sharply on U.S. jobs data, Shanghai composite rallies

U.S. stocks slumped on Friday after the better-than-expected U.S. labour market data reported on Friday. The U.S. economy added 295,000 jobs in February, exceeding expectations for a rise of 241,000 jobs, after a gain of 239,000 jobs in January. January's figure was revised down from a rise of 257,000 jobs - the data fuelled expectations of the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates rather sooner than later.

The S&P 500 closed -1.42% with a final quote of 2,071.26 points with the financial sector as top performer although all 10 sectors declined. The DOW JONES index declined by -1.54% closing at 17,856.78 points.

Chinese stocks traded mixed at the start of the week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng is trading moderately lower -0.04% at 24,155.27 points. China's Shanghai Composite closed at 3,336.14 points rising +1.88% at the close. Gains were led by banks after the China Securities Regulatory Commission announced that lenders might be allowed to act as brokerages.

The Nikkei lost ground on Monday following Wall Street with low volumes traded. The Nikkei closed -0.95% with a final quote of 18,790.55 points. . Data on the Japanese Eco Watchers Survey was reported. The Current Survey showed an increase from 45.6 to 50.1, beating an estimated increase to 46.7 points. -the Outlook came in at 53.2 in February coming from 50.0 in January.

07:30
Foreign exchange market. Asian session: U.S. dollar traded mixed against its major peers

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

00:30 Australia ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) February +1.3% +0.9%

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current February 45.6 46.7 50.1

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook February 50.0 53.2

07:00 Germany Trade Balance January 21.8 22.3 19.7

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against its major peers on Monday after the better-than-expected U.S. labour market data reported on Friday. The U.S. economy added 295,000 jobs in February, exceeding expectations for a rise of 241,000 jobs, after a gain of 239,000 jobs in January. January's figure was revised down from a rise of 257,000 jobs - the data fuelled expectations of a mid-year rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

The euro and sterling rebounded slightly after Friday's slump versus the greenback.

The Australian dollar declined traded almost flat against the greenback currently quoted at USD0.7713. ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) came in at +0.9% in February compared to +1.3% in January.

New Zealand's dollar lost ground against the greenback and is trading at three-wekk lows in the absence any major economic reports from New Zealand.

The Japanese yen traded lower against the greenback on Monday not far from Friday's three-month low of USD121.28 and close to a 7-1/2 year low hit in December. Data on the Japanese Eco Watchers Survey was reported. The Current Survey showed an increase from 45.6 to 50.1, beating an estimated increase to 46.7 points. -the Outlook came in at 53.2 in February coming from 50.0 in January.

EUR/USD: the euro traded higher against the greenback

USD/JPY: the U.S. dollar traded higher against the yen

GPB/USD: Sterling recovered moderately against the U.S. dollar

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

09:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence March 12.4 15.0

10:00 Eurozone Eurogroup Meetings

12:15 Canada Housing Starts February 187 191

07:06
Options levels on monday, March 9, 2015: EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR / USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1033 (425)

$1.0982 (284)

$1.0929 (139)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0854

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.0808 (4194)

$1.0766 (3028)

$1.0711 (2956)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 2 is 37511 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (2987);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 2 is 45537 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1000 (4194);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.21 versus 0.96 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 6

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.5303 (356)

$1.5206 (389)

$1.5110 (803)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.5073

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.4989 (1620)

$1.4893 (802)

$1.4795 (1094)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 2 is 14805 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5600 (1365);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 2 is 20183 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,5000 (1620);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.36 versus 1.14 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 6


* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:00
Germany: Trade Balance, January 19.7 (forecast 22.3)
05:02
Japan: Eco Watchers Survey: Current , February 50.1 (forecast 46.7)
02:02
Nikkei 225 18,850.69 -120.31 -0.63 %, Hang Seng 24,011.09 -152.91 -0.63 %, Shanghai Composite 3,205 -36.19 -1.12 %
00:30
Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), February +0.9%

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