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Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: raw news — 11-07-2012.
Oil rose as the U.S. Energy Department reported that crude supplies dropped and refineries operated at the highest rate in almost five years. Futures climbed as much as 2.2 percent as inventories fell 4.7 million barrels to 378.2 million last week, more than three times the decline forecast in a Bloomberg survey of analysts. Refineries operated at 92.7 percent of capacity, the highest rate since July 2007. Stockpiles of gasoline and distillate fuel increased more than projected.
Gasoline stockpiles rose 2.75 million barrels to 207.7 million, more than five times the gain of 500,000 barrels projected in the Bloomberg survey.
Supplies of distillate fuel, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, rose 3.11 million barrels to 120.9 million. A 625,000-barrel increase was projected.
Futures also rose as more cars were sold in China. Passenger-vehicle sales exceeded analysts’ estimates for a fourth consecutive month after automakers increased shipments ahead of scheduled shutdowns for the summer. China is the world’s second-biggest crude-consuming country after the U.S.
Wholesale deliveries of passenger vehicles rose 16 percent to 1.28 million units last month, the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers said in a statement today. That compares with the 1.27 million-unit average estimate of 14 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
Oil in New York has technical support along the middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart, around $83.40 a barrel today.
The August futures on U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) on the NYMEX rose $ 2.16, and is now $ 86.07 a barrel.
August futures price for North Sea petroleum mix of mark Brent rose 2.19% to $ 100.10 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange.
Gold edged up on Wednesday, but retreated from the day's highs after the dollar pared some losses ahead of the release of U.S. central bank meeting minutes.
The dollar recovered from intraday lows to hold around its highest in nearly two years against the euro, which has taken little comfort this week from the slow progress of European leaders in solving the debt crisis.
Hopes for a quick ruling from Germany's Constitutional Court on whether the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and planned changes to the euro zone's budget rules were compatible with German law were dashed after it emerged the decision could take several weeks.
Traders will scour the statement for any sign of greater dovishness among the rate-setting committee members that could be interpreted as raising the chances for the Fed to use additional policy tools to boost growth.
The central bank has pledged to leave U.S. benchmark interest rates near zero until at least late 2014 and has already spent over $3 trillion in the last 3-1/2 years in direct purchases of government bonds to pin down borrowing rates. That has not dampened the speculation among investors that the Fed will embark on a fresh round of bond-buying to invigorate what has been a patchy economic recovery.
Low interest rates, particularly on the U.S. dollar, create a more favourable environment for investing in gold, as it can compete more effectively for investor cash when loose monetary policy cuts the yield on bonds and can undermine stock returns.
August gold futures on the COMEX today rose and now stands at $ 1581.0 USD per ounce.
Resistance of 3:1610 (Jul 6 low)
Resistance of 2:1600 (Jul 10 low)
Resistance of 1:1583 (session high)
Current Price: 1574.70
Support 1:1564 (session low)
Support 2: 1558 (resistance line from May 16)
Support 3: 1548 (low of June)
Resistance 3:91,70 (50,0% FIBO 106,10-77,20, Jun 29 high)
Resistance 2:88,70 (Jul 5 high)
Resistance 1:86,30 (Jul 10 high)
Current Price: 84.83
Support 1:83,40 (Jul 10 low)
Support 2:81,80 (Jul 2 low)
Support 3:77,20 (low of June)
Change % Change Last
Oil $84.01 +0.10 +0.12%
Gold $1,567.90 -11.90 -0.75%
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