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Cортувати за валютними парами
09.04.2014
23:51
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, y/y, February +10.8%
23:51
Japan: Core Machinery Orders, February -8.8% (forecast -3.2%)
23:29
Commodities. Daily history for April 09’2014:
(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Gold $1,305.50 -5.20 -0.40%

ICE Brent Crude Oil $107.81 +0.14 +0.13%

NYMEX Crude Oil $103.41 +1.15 +1.12%
23:24
Stocks. Daily history for April 09’2014:
(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei 14,606.88 -201.97 -1.36%

Hang Seng 22,596.97 +219.82 +0.98%

Shanghai Composite 2,098.28 +39.45 +1.92%

S&P 1,872.18 +20.22 +1.09%

NASDAQ 4,183.9 +70.91 +1.72%

Dow 16,437.18 +181.04 +1.11%

FTSE 1,338.12 +4.84 +0.36%

CAC 4,442.68 +17.85 +0.40%

DAX 9,506.35 +15.56 +0.16%
23:19
Currencies. Daily history for April 09'2014:
(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3853 +0,82%

GBP/USD $1,6791 +0,26%

USD/CHF Chf0,8795 -0,47%

USD/JPY Y101,98 +0,13%

EUR/JPY Y141,27 +0,54%

GBP/JPY Y171,21 +0,38%

AUD/USD $0,9381 +0,29%

NZD/USD $0,8711 +0,51%

USD/CAD C$1,0882 -0,38%
22:59
Schedule for today, Thursday, April 10’2014:
(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation April +2.1%         

01:30 Australia Unemployment rate March 6.0% 6.0%     

01:30 Australia Changing the number of employed March 47.3 14.3     

02:00 China Trade Balance, bln March -23.0 -0.9     

06:00 Japan Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y March 26.1%         

06:45 France Industrial Production, m/m February -0.2%         

06:45 France Industrial Production, y/y February -0.1%         

06:45 France CPI, m/m March +0.6%         

06:45 France CPI, y/y April +0.9%         

08:00 Eurozone ECB Monthly Report April             

11:00 United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%     

11:00 United Kingdom Asset Purchase Facility 375 375     

11:00 United Kingdom MPC Rate Statement                 

12:30 Canada New Housing Price Index February +0.3% +0.5%     

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index March +0.9% +0.2%     

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims April 326 314     

13:00 G20 Meetings                 

18:00 U.S. Federal budget March -193.5 -127.5     

22:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, m/m March -1.0%         

22:45 New Zealand Food Prices Index, y/y March +0.2%         

23:50 Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
19:00
Dow +144.59 16,400.73 +0.89% Nasdaq +57.46 4,170.45 +1.40% S&P +16.03 1,867.99 +0.87%
17:40
American focus : the euro exchange rate rose slightly against the U.S. dollar

Euro traded upward against the dollar, but gradually retreating from its maximum. Impact on the dynamics of the data for Germany and the United States . As it became known , exports fell by 1.3 percent in January , this is the second drop in three months and the largest since May 2013. Predicted drop in exports by 0.5 percent after expanding by 2.2 percent in January. On the other hand , imports increased by 0.4 percent, faster than the 0.1 percent growth economists estimate . As a result, the trade surplus fell to a seasonally adjusted to 15.7 billion euros from 17.3 billion euros in January.

As for U.S. data , they showed that wholesale inventories in the U.S. rose at a slower pace in February than in the previous month , which may support predictions that the improvement does not help the economy in the first quarter . According to the report , the volume of wholesale inventories rose 0.5 percent in February after increasing 0.8 percent in January , which was revised up from 0.6 percent. Added that the increase in February was in line with economists' expectations . The data also showed that in February sales at wholesalers jumped 0.7 percent after falling 1.8 percent in January. Given the pace of sales in February will need about 1.19 months to clear the shelves of inventory. Recall that in January this ratio was also at this level.

The dynamics also affect expectations publication of the minutes of the meeting FOMC. Importance of this event overblown absence of other key events. Most likely , the report will disappoint those who expect the hawkish attitude of Yellen . However, it probably will reflect the Fed 's commitment folding program , which should last until the end of 2014 in the absence of any unexpected events.

The British pound traded almost unchanged against the dollar, disregarding the trade balance data . In the UK, the visible trade deficit narrowed in February , while the surplus on services decreased compared with the previous month , data showed on Wednesday the Office for National Statistics . The merchandise trade deficit fell to 9.1 billion pounds in February from 9.5 billion pounds in January. Deficit , as was expected to fall to 9.3 billion pounds. Exports of goods decreased by 1.6 percent in January to 23.5 billion pounds. In turn, imports fell by 2.2 percent to 32.6 billion pounds. Meanwhile, the services surplus amounted to 7 billion pounds compared with the January estimate of 7.3 billion pounds of surplus . Combined deficit on trade in goods and services decreased slightly to 2.1 billion pounds from 2.2 billion pounds in January.

17:20
European stock close

European stocks advanced, after the region’s equities posted their first back-to-back losses in more than three weeks, as carmakers climbed.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index gained 0.3 percent to 335.03 at 4:30 p.m. in London. The gauge has slipped 1.2 percent from a six-year high reached on April 4 as investors sold the region’s best-performing stocks and tension escalated between the U.S. and Russia over the future of Ukraine. The equity benchmark gauge has advanced 2.1 percent in 2014.

The Federal Reserve releases minutes of its March 18-19 gathering after the close of European trading today. Officials dropped a link between the benchmark U.S. interest rate and a specific level of employment at the meeting. The committee instead said it will look at indicators including labor market conditions, inflation expectations and financial markets, according to Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

National benchmark indexes rose in 15 of the 18 western European markets.

FTSE 100 6,635.61 +44.92 +0.68% CAC 40 4,442.6 +17.85 +0.40% DAX 9,506.35 +15.56 +0.16%

A gauge of European carmakers posted the biggest gain of the 19 industry groups on the Stoxx 600. Daimler rose 0.7 percent to 70.40 euros. CEO Dieter Zetsche said his expansion of Mercedes-Benz model offerings will enable the third-largest maker of luxury cars to beat competitors’ sales growth and raise operating profit significantly in 2014.

Volkswagen AG climbed 3.7 percent to 197 euros and Porsche Automobil Holding SE added 4.3 percent to 78.84 euros. Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. raised its ratings on both stocks to outperform, similar to buy, from market perform, citing the potential for a recovery in Europe and cheaper valuation multiples relative to rival Bayerische Motoren Werke AG.

Wirecard jumped 6.1 percent to 30.13 euros, rebounding from its biggest two-day drop since October 2011. The provider of online payment services said it will propose an annual dividend of 12 euro cents a share, up from last year’s 11 euro cents. Hauck & Aufhaeuser Privatbankiers KGaA upgraded its rating on the stock to buy from hold, after Wirecard also confirmed its 2014 outlook for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.

Kingfisher Plc (KGF) increased 3.5 percent to 437.2 pence. UBS AG raised its rating on Europe’s largest home-improvement company to buy from neutral, citing the possibility of higher profits from its potential acquisition of Mr Bricolage SA in France.

Norsk Hydro rose 1.9 percent to 30.19 kroner. Alcoa posted first-quarter profit excluding restructuring costs and other one-time items of 9 cents a share, beating the 5-cent average analyst estimate. The U.S. producer of the metal forecast a global supply deficit this year of 730,000 metric tons, compared with the January estimate of a 106,000-ton surplus.

Arseus NV slipped 1.5 percent to 36.75 euros. The company’s largest shareholder, Waterland Private Equity Investments BV, sold its entire 27 percent stake in the Belgian supplier of dental equipment for 35 euros a share.

16:00
European stock close: FTSE 100 6,635.61 +44.92 +0.68% CAC 40 4,442.6 +17.85 +0.40% DAX 9,506.35 +15.56 +0.16%
15:40
Oil: an overview of the market situation

The price of oil rose slightly today, despite the presented report on oil reserves in the U.S., which have to increase . The dynamics also continues to influence geopolitical tensions in Ukraine.

With respect to data from the U.S. Department of Energy , they showed :

- Oil reserves rose by 4.03 million barrels to 384.122 million barrels ;

- Gasoline inventories decreased by 5,188 million barrels . to 210.436 million barrels . ;

- Distillate stocks rose by 0.239 million barrels . to 113.194 million barrels .

- Refining capacity utilization rate of 87.5 % against 87.7 % a week earlier ;

- Oil terminal in Cushing rose by 0.345 million barrels . to 27.599 million barrels .

Prices also affects forecast from U.S. Department of Energy , which states that in the next year and the volume of oil in the U.S. will grow a little slower than expected , and oil consumption will increase slightly . According to the latest forecast , this year's production in the U.S. will average 8.37 million barrels of oil per day. Previous DOE forecast assumed 8,390,000 barrels per day , and in 2013 U.S. production was 7.44 million barrels per day. 2015 The Department of Energy predicts the volume of production at the level of 9.13 million barrels per day compared to the previous forecast of 9.16 million barrels per day. Projected increases in production is still significant. U.S. Department of Energy expects growth in oil consumption in 2014 to 18.9 million barrels a day, and in 2015 - up to 18.99 million barrels per day. Previous forecast department for this year called for increased consumption to 18.89 million barrels per day.

Also important was the news that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will be able to accommodate additional volumes of oil in Iraq, Iran and Libya , while quotas for Iraq will be discussed no earlier than 2015 . This was announced by OPEC Secretary General Abdalla El - Badri . According to the Secretary General , OPEC expects a gradual increase in production of Iran and Iraq , and Libya can increase production by 1 million barrels per day ( b / d ) for a month, he added.

Not unimportant event also was that the Libyan authorities have made progress in negotiations with the rebels , who control the field and export terminals in the country, which gives hope for the return of production in the country to pre-war figures.

May futures for U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to $ 102.66 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

May futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture rose $ 0.18 to $ 107.81 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

15:20
Gold: an overview of the market situation

Gold prices fell today , due to the expectations publishing minutes of the last Fed meeting, from which most analysts hoping to get more precise allusions to the QE program deadlines and to know when to start increasing the base rate .

It is worth noting that new concerns about Ukraine , as well as technical buying after the breakout of $ 1,300 , helped lift gold nearly 1 percent on Tuesday, but uncertainty about the monetary policy of the USA , as well as weak physical and investment appetite drove prices lower.

" Geopolitics and the weakening dollar gave gold growth stimulus , but until that growth is unconvincing . Optimists , unfortunately, have to rely on further deterioration in the geopolitical situation that gold has passed the level of resistance , which I estimate at $ 1,321 ," - said the chief analyst at Saxo Bank Ole Hansen .

Kiev promised within 48 hours of negotiation or force to release the building to the east of the country , captured by pro-Russian activists , demanding a referendum on independence that Kiev sees as Moscow's attempt to repeat the scenario of annexation of the Crimea . Russia on Wednesday rejected as " unfounded " fears of Kiev and the West over the presence of its troops along the Ukrainian border , saying that they do not pose a threat , and accused the U.S. of tensions in the region .

The cost of the precious metal is also supported by data on the trade balance of Germany, whose surplus in February unexpectedly fell to 15.7 billion euros from 17.2 billion in January. Experts , on the contrary , expected growth to 18.8 million euros.

Stocks of the world's largest gold exchange-traded fund secured SPDR Gold Trust Tuesday down 2.7 tonnes to 806.48 tonnes. Proceeds of new funds into the fund has not been since March 24 .

Demand in the physical market in China , the world's largest consumer of gold, rose slightly , and the price of the Shanghai Gold Exchange for the first time since early March exceeded spot prices in London, about $ 1 per ounce.

The cost of the June gold futures on the COMEX today dropped to $ 1306.40 per ounce.

14:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, April +4.0
14:00
U.S.: Wholesale Inventories, February +0.5% (forecast +0.5%)
13:40
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

USD/JPY Y101.75, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y102.80, Y103.00, Y103.50

EUR/JPY Y140.00, Y141.50, Y141.60

EUR/USD $1.3700, $1.3760, $1.3775, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3930

EUR/GBP stg.0.8290, stg0.8300

EUR/CHF Chf1.2230

AUD/USD $0.9300

USD/CAD C$1.0850, C$1.0900, C$1.0950, C$1.1000, C$1.1050

13:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow 16,268.67 +12.53 +0.08%, Nasdaq 4,134.94 +21.95 +0.53%, S&P 1,858.27 +6.31 +0.34%
13:23
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.30%, Nasdaq futures +0.41%

U.S. stock futures rose as Alcoa Inc. (AA)’s profit exceeded estimates and investors awaited minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting.

Global markets:

FTSE 6,562.96 -0.90%

CAC 4,401.51 -0.78%

DAX 9,436.95 -0.78%

Nikkei 14,606.88 -1.36%

Hang Seng 22,596.97 +0.98%

Shanghai Composite 2,098.28 +1.92%

Crude oil $102.63 (+0.07%)

Gold $1304.20 (-0.37%).

12:21
European session: the euro rose

06:00 Germany Current Account February 16.2 13.9

06:00 Germany Trade Balance February 17.2 18.8 15.7

08:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods February -9.8 -9.3 -9.1


The euro exchange rate against the dollar rose slightly against the background data on the trade balance of Germany. German exports fell in February by more than expected , while imports increased for the second month in a row, showed on Wednesday , official data agency Destatis. Exports fell by 1.3 percent in January , this is the second drop in three months and the largest since May 2013. Predicted drop in exports by 0.5 percent after expanding by 2.2 percent in January.

On the other hand , imports increased by 0.4 percent, faster than the 0.1 percent growth economists estimate . However, the pace slowed down compared with growth of 4.1 percent , which is seen in January. As a result, the trade surplus fell to a seasonally adjusted to 15.7 billion euros from 17.3 billion euros in January. The surplus also decreased from 16.7 billion euros surplus hosted a year ago.

In annual terms, exports increased by 4.6 percent , while imports rose by 6.5 percent in February . Current account balance to a surplus of 13.9 billion euros in February compared with a surplus of 15.7 billion euros in the previous year . Exports to the EU increased by 6.7 percent compared with last year , while imports from these countries increased by 9 percent. While exports to the euro area grew by 3.7 percent , while imports rose by 8.4 per cent .

British pound against the dollar has stabilized , disregarding the trade balance data . In the UK, the visible trade deficit narrowed in February , while the surplus on services decreased compared with the previous month , data showed on Wednesday the Office for National Statistics .

The merchandise trade deficit fell to 9.1 billion pounds in February from 9.5 billion pounds in January. Deficit , as was expected to fall to 9.3 billion pounds.

Exports of goods decreased by 1.6 percent in January to 23.5 billion pounds. In turn, imports fell by 2.2 percent to 32.6 billion pounds.

Meanwhile, the services surplus amounted to 7 billion pounds compared with the January estimate of 7.3 billion pounds of surplus .

Combined deficit on trade in goods and services decreased slightly to 2.1 billion pounds from 2.2 billion pounds in January.


EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3808

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair traded in a narrow range

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y102.16 and stepped


At 17:01 GMT the U.S. is deploying 10 - year bonds . At 18:00 GMT held publication of the minutes of the Fed meeting . At 22:30 GMT New Zealand will release the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of Business NZ in March . At 23:50 GMT Japan will change the volume of orders for machinery and equipment in February.


12:00
Orders

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3890-910, $1.3875/80, $1.3845/55

Bids $1.3780, $1.3720, $1.3705/00


GBP/USD

Offers  $1.6785/800

Bids $1.6710/00, $1.6685/80,  $1.6665/60, $1.6655/45


AUD/USD

Offers  $0.9450, $0.9400

Bids $0.9310/00, $0.9250, $0.9225/20, $0.9200


EUR/JPY

Offers Y142.00, Y141.45/50, Y141.20, Y141.00

Bids Y140.25/20, Y139.50


USD/JPY

Offers  Y103.00, Y102.80/85,  Y102.50, Y102.20/25

Bids Y101.50, Y101.20, Y101.00


EUR/GBP

Offers  stg0.8320/25, stg0.8300, stg0.8250

Bids stg0.8200, stg0.8190-80


10:30
European stocks advanced

European stocks advanced, after the region’s equities posted their first back-to-back losses in more than three weeks. U.S. index futures were also little changed, while Asian shares outside Japan rose.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index added 0.2 percent to 334.51 at 8:08 a.m. in London. The gauge has fallen 1.4 percent from a six-year high reached on April 4 as investors sold the region’s best-performing stocks and tension escalated between the U.S. and Russia over the future of Ukraine. The equity benchmark has advanced 1.9 percent in 2014.

The Federal Reserve releases minutes of its March 18-19 gathering after the close of European trading today. Officials dropped a link between the benchmark U.S. interest rate and a specific level of employment at the meeting. The committee instead said it will look at indicators including labor market conditions, inflation expectations and financial markets, according to Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

Kingfisher increased 1.5 percent to 428.5 pence. UBS raised its rating on Europe’s largest home-improvement company to buy from neutral, citing the possibility of higher profits from its potential acquisition of Mr Bricolage SA in France.

Indesit, an Italian maker of ovens and fridges, added 2 percent to 11.10 euros. Some members of the Merloni family, which controls Indesit, would agree on a share offer to remain in the business, Il Sole 24 Ore reported, without citing anyone.

Norsk Hydro rose 1.8 percent to 30.17 kroner. Alcoa posted first-quarter profit excluding restructuring costs and other one-time items of 9 cents a share, beating the 5-cent average of 18 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Aluminum climbed on the London Metal Exchange as the U.S. producer of the metal forecast a global supply deficit this year of 730,000 metric tons, compared with the January estimate of a 106,000-ton surplus.

Arseus slipped 5.9 percent to 35.10 euros. Waterland Private Equity Investments BV sold 8.36 million shares in the company at 35 euros ($48.26) apiece, according to a statement late yesterday. The Belgian market regulator had suspended the shares in afternoon trading yesterday.

09:23
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut

USD/JPY Y101.75, Y102.00, Y102.50, Y102.80, Y103.00, Y103.50

EUR/JPY Y140.00, Y141.50, Y141.60

EUR/USD $1.3700, $1.3760, $1.3775, $1.3790, $1.3800, $1.3930

EUR/GBP stg.0.8290, stg0.8300

EUR/CHF Chf1.2230

AUD/USD $0.9300

USD/CAD C$1.0850, C$1.0900, C$1.0950, C$1.1000, C$1.1050

08:40
Asia Pacific stocks close

Asian stocks outside Japan rose, with a gauge of regional shares heading for the highest close in five months, as consumer companies advanced. Japanese equities fell after the yen rose the most since August.

Nikkei 225 14,299.69 -307.19 -2.10%

S&P/ASX 200 5,463.8 +53.17 +0.98%

Shanghai Composite 2,100.94 +2.65 +0.13%

David Jones Ltd., Australia’s biggest department store by market value, surged 23 percent after agreeing to a takeover offer from South African retail chain Woolworths Holdings Ltd.

Nissan Motor Co., which gets about 79 percent of its car sales outside Japan, slid 2.6 percent.

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd. retreated 5.5 percent in Tokyo as the world’s largest merchant-fleet operator sells convertible bonds.

08:32
United Kingdom: Trade in goods , February -9.1 (forecast -9.3)
07:40
FTSE 100 6,604.9 +14.21 +0.22%, CAC 40 4,431.29 +6.46 +0.15%, Xetra DAX 9,502.7 +11.91 +0.13%
06:02
Germany: Current Account , February 13.9
06:01
Germany: Trade Balance, February 15.7 (forecast 18.8)
05:44
European bourses are initially seen trading flat to modestly higher Weds: the FTSE will open higher by 0.1% and the CAC & DAX higher by 0.2%.
05:22
Asian session: The Australian and New Zealand currencies advanced

00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence April -0.7% +0.3%

01:30 Australia Home Loans February 0.0% +0.4% +2.3%

05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report April


The Australian and New Zealand currencies advanced after data showed home-loan approvals increased at a faster pace than estimated in the larger nation. Home-loan approvals rose 2.3 percent in February from a month earlier, the biggest increase since September, figures from Australia’s statistics bureau showed today. That compares with the 1.5 percent growth estimated by economists in a Bloomberg News survey. A separate private report showed consumer confidence improved this month for the first time since November.

Demand for the greenback was supported before the Federal Reserve releases minutes of its March meeting today as investors weigh when the U.S. central bank will start to raise rates. The U.S. central bank reduced monthly bond purchases by $10 billion to $55 billion at the March 18-19 meeting. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said that time the central bank may start to increase interest rates “around six months” after ending its asset-buying program.

Sterling appreciated against most of its 16 major peers yesterday as data showed factory output rose in February three times faster than economists estimated in a Bloomberg survey. BOE Governor Mark Carney said rates might begin to rise before the general election in May 2015, according to an interview published on April 3 with the Northern Echo newspaper.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3785-95

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.6735-50

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y102.05


UK trade data at 0830GMT provides the domestic interest but attention will be set on the release of Fed Minutes later in the day (1800GMT).

00:30
Australia: Westpac Consumer Confidence, April +0.3%

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