Новини ринків

European stocks posted their biggest weekly rally since early February as reports from the U.S. to Germany indicated growth is gaining pace and the Federal Reserve raised its assessment of the world’s biggest economy.

In Germany, the ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said on March 13 its index of investor and analyst expectations, which seeks to predict economic developments six months in advance, rose to 22.3 from 5.4 in February. That was the fourth straight increase.

The number of Americans applying for jobless benefits fell by 14,000 to 351,000 in the week ended March 10, U.S. Labor Department figures showed on March 15. That matched a four-year low, first reached a month earlier.

National benchmark indexes rose in all of Europe’s 18 western markets except Portugal. France’s CAC 40 Index jumped 3.1 percent, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index added 1.3 percent, while Germany’s DAX Index rallied 4 percent.

Credit Suisse, Switzerland’s second-biggest bank, increased 11 percent. Deutsche Bank AG, Germany’s largest, gained 9.8 percent.

Pirelli surged 15 percent. The company on March 12 posted 2011 profit of 451.6 million euros, exceeding the 314.3 million- euro analyst estimate, and increased its dividend to 27 euro cents.

Aixtron SE, which manufactures equipment for the semiconductor industry, soared 19 percent. The stock was raised to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank AG on March 15. The analysts cited “early indications of a recovery in the LED industry demand.”

The dollar weakened against most of its major peers after U.S. inflation data fueled speculation Federal Reserve policy makers will maintain economic stimulus.

The U.S. currency fell against the 17-nation euro as a gauge of consumer prices excluding food and energy rose less than forecast. The U.S. consumer-price index climbed 0.4 percent, matching the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News, the Labor Department reported today in Washington. The core measure, which excludes more volatile food and energy costs, climbed 0.1 percent, less than projected. U.S. industrial production was little changed last month, compared to a predicted 0.4 percent expansion, the Federal Reserve reported today, and consumer confidence decreased in March. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment fell to 74.3 in March from 75.3 the prior month. The gauge was projected to rise to 76.

According to the Fed the amount of outstanding commercial debt securities of U.S. companies in terms of value rose for the week ending March 14, to 11.2 billion dollars to 936.8 billion dollars the previous week reduction rate was 1.7 billion dollars.

U.S. stocks were little changed, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index poised for its biggest weekly gain in 2012, as an unexpected decline in consumer confidence and a rally in oil tempered optimism about growth.

Equities were little changed as confidence among consumers unexpectedly fell in March, a sign rising fuel costs may be starting to weigh on the economic outlook. The cost of living rose in February by the most in 10 months, reflecting a jump in gasoline. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said yesterday rising oil prices show “we still face a dangerous and uncertain world” and there’s no easy way to lower gasoline costs.

Dow 13,249.05     -3.71   -0.03%, Nasdaq       3,055.87       -0.50   -0.02%, S&P 500    1,404.22       +1.62         +0.12%

Energy shares gained as oil traded above $105 a barrel on speculation that fuel demand will climb with the economic rebound in the U.S. Schlumberger, the world’s largest oilfield- services provider, added 2 percent to $76.45. Noble increased 4.9 percent to $41.26.

Bank of America (ВАС) increased 3.5 percent, the most in the Dow, to $9.56. Zions Bancorporation added 1.6 percent to $22.48.

Apple increased 0.1 percent to $586.07, after yesterday rising above $600 for the first time. The 9.7-inch iPad, unveiled on March 7, is the biggest upgrade yet to Apple’s tablet before Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) introduces new software for competing devices.

According to informed sources, the eurozone may extend the total amount of funds save nearly 700 billion euros, compared with existing currently 500 billion euros.

Recall that the finance ministers of the bloc will discuss changes in the size of the European Foundation for the European financial stability and stabilization mechanism at a meeting to be held in Copenhagen from 30-31 March.

Oil increased, paring this week’s decline, on speculation that fuel demand will climb with the economic rebound in the U.S., the world’s biggest crude- consuming country.

Futures in New York gained as much as 1 percent after reports showed U.S. industrial production rose for a 10th month as the previous month’s output was revised to a gain. Crude climbed after consumer prices excluding food and energy costs rose a smaller-than-forecast 0.1 percent last month, showing inflation remains controlled.

Crude for April delivery rose to $106.14 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices are up 7.1 percent this year and down 1.4 percent this week.

Brent oil for May settlement increased $2.07, or 1.7 percent, to $124.67 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Gold on Friday reduced in price after a positive statistical data on the labor market in the U.S. reduced demand for the metal as a safe asset.

On Thursday it became known that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefitsin the U.S. for the week ended March 10 fell by 14,000 and totaled 351,000. The data were better than analysts' forecasts, reducing the number of applications waiting only for7000.

April futures price of gold on COMEX has fallen today to $ 1639.7 an ounce.

Resistance 3:1440 (high of May’2008)

Resistance 2:1410 (high of Jun’2008)

Resistance 1:1400 (session high)

Current price: 1398,25

Support 1:1394 (session low)

Support 2:1384 (Mar 14 low)

Support 3:1377 (Feb 29, Mar 1-2 lows)

EUR/USD $1.2950, $1.3000, $1.3100, $1.3130, $1.3150

USD/JPY Y83.00, Y83.35, Y83.50, Y83.75

GBP/USD $1.5650, $1.5675, $1.5700

GBP/JPY Y131.00

USD/CHF Chf0.9300

AUD/USD $1.0450, $1.0550, $1.0630

USD/CAD C$0.9850

U.S. stock futures advanced before data that may show consumers are the most upbeat in a year and factory output increased.

Global stocks:

Nikkei  10,129.83 +6.55 +0.06%

Hang Seng 21,317.85 -35.68 -0.17%

Shanghai Composite  2,404.74 +30.96 +1.30%

FTSE  5,971.08 +30.36 +0.51%

CAC  3,595.55 +15.34 +0.43%

DAX 7,188.35 +43.90 +0.61%

Crude oil (+0,7%).

Gold $1643.50 (-1,0%).

AUD/USD

Ордера на продажу $1.0645/50, $1.0600/20, $1.0555/60

Ордера на покупку $1.0475/70, $1.0455/50, $1.0425, $1.0400

EUR/JPY

Ордера на продажу Y110.45/50, Y109.95

Ордера на покупку Y108.60/55, Y108.40/35, Y108.00/90, Y107.80/70

Resistance 3: Y85.50 (high of 2011)

Resistance 2: Y84.50 (psychological level)

Resistance 1: Y84.20 (area of Mar 15 high)

Current price: Y83.70

Support 1: Y83.20 (area of Mar 15-16 low)

Support 2: Y82.70 (intraday low on Mar 13, Mar 9 high)

Support 3: Y81.90 (Mar 13 low, Mar 5 high)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9380 (Jan 23 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9330 (Mar 15 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9255 (session high)

Current price: Chf0.9268

Support 1: Chf0.9200 (Mar 15 low)

Support 2: Chf0.9140 (Mar 13 low)

Support 3: Chf0.9070 (Mar 8 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.5830 (area of Mar 8-9 high, 61.8 % FIBO $1.5990-$ 1.5600)

Resistance 2 : $1.5800 (area of 50.0% FIBO $1.5990-$ 1.5600)

Resistance 1 : $1.5750/40 (area of Mar 13-16 high, 38.2 % FIBO $1.5990-$ 1.5600)

Current price: $1.5732

Support 1 : $1.5700/90 (area of session low)

Support 2 : $1.5630 (Mar 15 low)

Support 3 : $1.5600 (Mar 12 low, 50.0 % FIBO $1.5230-$ 1.5990)

Resistance 3 : $1.3190 (Mar 13 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.3120 (Mar 15 high, МА (200) for Н1)

Resistance 1 : $1.3100 (session high)

Current price: $1.3065

Support 1 : $1.3045 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.3000 (Mar 15 low)

Support 3 : $1.2975 (low of February)

EUR/USD $1.2950, $1.3000, $1.3100, $1.3130, $1.3150

USD/JPY Y83.00, Y83.35, Y83.50, Y83.75

GBP/USD $1.5650, $1.5675, $1.5700

GBP/JPY Y131.00

USD/CHF Chf0.9300

AUD/USD $1.0450, $1.0550, $1.0630

USD/CAD C$0.9850

Asian stocks swung between gains and losses as U.S. jobs and manufacturing data added to signs the world’s biggest economy is recovering. Gains were limited as Japanese exporters fell amid a rebound in the yen.

Nikkei 225 10,129.83 +6.55 +0.06%

Hang Seng 21,317.85 -35.68 -0.17%

S&P/ASX 200 4,276.16 -1.61 -0.04%

Shanghai Composite 2,404.74 +30.96 +1.30%

Li & Fung Ltd. rose 3.1 percent in Hong Kong after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. recommended buying shares of supplier to Wal- Mart Stores Inc.

Honda Motor Co., Japan’s second-largest carmaker by market value, dropped 0.6 percent.

Hyundai Wia Corp. slumped 5.1 percent in Seoul after South Korean automakers sold shares in the parts manufacturer at a discount.

23:50 Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

The yen headed for a weekly drop against most major peers as signs of growth in the U.S. and prospects for further stimulus by the Bank Japan of prompted investors to seek higher-yielding assets.

The BOJ unexpectedly expanded its asset purchase program by 10 trillion yen ($120 billion) and set an inflation goal of 1 percent at its meeting that concluded on Feb. 14. One board member said the central bank should aim for 2 percent inflation, according to minutes of the meeting released today. The BOJ on March 13 expanded loans designed to boost long- term growth. On the same day, the Federal Reserve raised its outlook for U.S. growth, predicting unemployment “will decline gradually.

The greenback is poised for a five-day advance against the euro before U.S. data today forecast to show industrial production increased and consumer sentiment improved.

The dollar has risen against 14 of its 16 major counterparts this week as signs of strength in the U.S. economy reduced the chance for a third round of bond purchases -- known as quantitative easing or QE3 -- by the Fed to spur growth. Industrial output at U.S. factories, mines and utilities climbed 0.4 percent in February, according to the median of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before today’s data release. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment rose to a one-year high of 76 in March, a separate poll showed ahead of the figures due today.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair traded in a range $1.3065-$1.3100.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair gain above $1.5700.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair holds in range Y83.25-Y83.65.

On Friday EMU data sees the 1000GMT release of January trade data. US data starts at 1230GMT with CPI, which is expected to rise

0.5% in February after rising 0.2% in January both overall and excluding food and energy. Industrial production data follows at 1315GMT and is expected to rise 0.5% in February after holding steady in January. At 1355GMT, the Michigan Sentiment Index is expected to rise to a reading of 76.0 in early March from the 75.3 final February reading. Later on, at 1900GMT, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speaks to the International Research eForum on Monetary Policy in Frankfurt. Late US data then sees the 2015GMT release of C&I Loans data.

Yesterday the yen climbed from an 11-month low against the dollar as investors wagered that its largest four-day decline since November may have happened too quickly. The Japanese central bank unexpectedly added 10 trillion yen ($120 billion) to its asset-purchase program at its Feb. 14 meeting and Governor Masaaki Shirakawa indicated the central bank will keep using monetary policy as a tool to tackle deflation on March 13. The Federal Reserve raised its outlook for U.S. growth at its meeting the same day, reducing expectations of a third round of bond purchases.

The pound weakened for the first time in three days against the euro after Fitch Ratings said the U.K. risks losing its top investment grade. The U.K. currency fell against 11 of its 16 major counterparts after Fitch changed its rating outlook yesterday on Britain to negative, citing a weak recovery and high debt levels. Fitch said its decision “reflects the very limited fiscal space to absorb further economic shocks in light of such elevated debt levels and a potentially weaker than currently forecast economic recovery.” The U.K. government is implementing the biggest squeeze on government spending since World War II as it attempts to reduce the nation’s deficit.

The Swiss franc climbed from a seven-week low against the dollar as the Swiss National Bank predicted the economy will expand 1 percent this year, twice as much as its previous estimate. Policy makers led by interim Chairman Thomas Jordan, maintained their ceiling for the currency at 1.20 francs per euro, and pledged to defend the cap with their “utmost determination.” The SNB forecast that consumer prices will fall 0.6 percent this year, before inflation returns in 2013 with a rate of 0.3 percent, accelerating to 0.6 percent in 2014.

EUR/USD: yesterday the pair rose in area $1.3100.

GBP/USD: yesterday the pair gain on a floor of a figure, closed day above $1.5700.

USD/JPY: yesterday the pair showed new year’s high, however fell below Y84.00 later.

On Friday EMU data sees the 1000GMT release of January trade data. US data starts at 1230GMT with CPI, which is expected to rise

0.5% in February after rising 0.2% in January both overall and excluding food and energy. Industrial production data follows at 1315GMT and is expected to rise 0.5% in February after holding steady in January. At 1355GMT, the Michigan Sentiment Index is expected to rise to a reading of 76.0 in early March from the 75.3 final February reading. Later on, at 1900GMT, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans speaks to the International Research eForum on Monetary Policy in Frankfurt. Late US data then sees the 2015GMT release of C&I Loans data.

Asian stocks rose a third day as Japanese exporters advanced after the dollar rose against the yen ahead of reports expected to show a strengthening U.S. economic recovery. Mining companies fell on lower metal prices.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said yesterday home prices remain far from reasonable and relaxing curbs could cause “chaos” in the market.

Nikkei 10,123.28 +72.76 +0.72%

Hang Seng 21,353.53 +45.64 +0.21%

S&P/ASX 200 4,277.77 -9.41 -0.22%

Shanghai Composite 2,373.77 -17.46 -0.73%  

Toyota rose 2.9 percent to 3,585 yen in Tokyo.

Honda Motor Co., a carmaker that gets more than 80 percent of its revenue overseas, increased 3.5 percent to 3,295 yen.

Ricoh rose 7.9 percent to 805 yen in Tokyo, the biggest gain on the MSCI Asia Pacific Index. Citigroup analyst Masahiro Shibano recommended investors buy the stock, saying profit may rebound next fiscal year.

Resistance 3: Y84.80 (Apr 12 high)

Resistance 2: Y84.20 (Mar 15 high)

Resistance 1: Y83.65 (session high)

The current price: Y83.51

Support 1: Y83.15 (Mar 15 low)

Support 2: Y82.65 (low of the American session on Mar 13)

Support 3: Y81.95 (Mar 13 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9335 (Mar 15 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9270 (middle line from Feb 29)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9240 (session high)

The current price: Chf0.9228

Support 1: Chf0.9200 (Mar 15 low)

Support 2: Chf0.9140 (Mar 13 low)

Support 3: Chf0.9105 (low of the American session on Mar 9)

Resistance 3 : $1.5835 (Mar 8-9 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.5805 (high of the American session on Mar 9)

Resistance 1 : $1.5735 (Mar 15 high)

The current price: $1.5710

Support 1 : $1.5690 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.5630 (Mar 15 low)

Support 3 : $1.5600 (Mar 12 low, psychological level)

Resistance 3 : $1.3230 (high of the American session on Mar 9)

Resistance 2 : $1.3190 (Mar 13 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.3120 (Mar 15 high)

The current price: $1.3085

Support 1 : $1.3065 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.3005 (Mar 15 low)

Support 3 : $1.2975 (low of Feb)

Change % Change Last

Oil $105.30 +0.19 +0.18%

Gold $1,659.60 +0.10 +0.01%

Change % Change Last

Nikkei 10,123.28 +72.76 +0.72%

Hang Seng 21,353.53 +45.64 +0.21%

S&P/ASX 200 4,277.77 -9.41 -0.22%

Shanghai Composite 2,373.77 -17.46 -0.73%  

FTSE 100 5,940.72 -4.71 -0.08%

CAC 40 3,580.21 +15.70 +0.44%

DAX 7,144.45 +65.03 +0.92%

Dow 13,252.76 +58.66 +0.44%

Nasdaq 3,056.37 +15.64 +0.51%

S&P 500 1,402.60 +8.32 +0.60%

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3078 +0,37%

GBP/USD $1,5711 +0,29%

USD/CHF Chf0,9231 -0,79%

USD/JPY Y83,53 -0,18%

EUR/JPY Y109,26 +0,21%

GBP/JPY Y131,24 +0,17%

AUD/USD $1,0528 +0,76%

NZD/USD $0,8195 +1,20%

USD/CAD C$0,9918 -0,15%

10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. January 7.5 6.2

12:30 Canada Foreign investment in Canadian securities January 7.38 6.27

12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m February +0.2% +0.4%

12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y February +2.9% +2.9%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m February +0.2% +0.2%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y February +2.3% +2.2%

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) January +0.6% +0.6%

13:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) February 0.0% +0.4%

13:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization February 78.5% 78.9%

13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (preliminary) March 75.3 75.7

14:00 U.S. API Monthly Report February