Новини ринків

The dollar gained against the euro and the yen as the Federal Reserve policy makers raised their assessment of the economy as the labor market gathers strength and refrained from more actions to lower borrowing costs. The Federal Open Market Committee, which met today in Washington, kept the central bank’s benchmark interest rate target unchanged at zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since December 2008. Retail sales in the U.S. rose in February by the most in five months, reflecting broad-based gains that indicate the world’s largest economy is picking up even as gasoline costs climb.

The yen dropped earlier to the weakest level against the dollar in almost 11 months as the Bank of Japan plans to keep using monetary policy as a tool to tackle deflation. The yen weakened earlier after Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa indicated the central bank will keep using monetary policy as a tool to tackle deflation. Shirakawa and his board members kept the benchmark interest rate between zero and 0.1 percent, the central bank said in a statement today. Policy makers left the bank’s asset-purchase fund at 30 trillion yen ($360 billion) after unexpectedly boosting bond buying by 10 trillion yen at the Feb. 14 meeting. The measures contributed to weakening the yen and helped boost stocks, Shirakawa told reporters in Tokyo.

European stocks advanced, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbing to the highest since July 26, as reports showed German investor confidence in March increased more than forecast.

In Germany, the ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which seeks to predict economic developments six months in advance, rose to 22.3 from 5.4 in February. That’s the fourth straight increase. Economists forecast a gain to 10, according to the median of 36 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.

Euro-area finance ministers cleared a second rescue of Greece, paving the way for the first payment from the 130 billion-euro package ($170 billion) to be made this month. Officials will give a formal approval on March 14, a day before the International Monetary Fund board votes on its contribution.

National benchmark indexes rose in all of the 18 western European markets. France’s CAC 40 climbed 1.7 percent and Germany’s DAX added 1.4 percent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 rose 1.1 percent.

Raiffeisen, eastern Europe’s third-biggest lender, advanced 1.4 percent to 25.20 euros. UniCredit advanced 3.9 percent to 4.05 euros.

Tod’s SpA, the Italian owner of the Hogan brand, jumped 7.2 percent to 84.45 euros. The company reported a 20 percent increase in 2011 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization to 232.4 million euros, compared with the average analyst estimate for 230.7 million euros. The company raised its dividend 25 percent to 2.5 euros per share.

Eramet jumped 6 percent to 113.70 euros. Vedanta Resources Plc climbed 4.5 percent to 1,430 pence. Copper, lead, nickel and tin were among metals prices rising in London.

U.S. stocks advanced, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average toward the highest level since 2007, as retail sales rose by the most in five months and as investors awaited a Federal Reserve decision on interest rates.

Equities advanced after data showed retail sales rose 1.1 percent in February, matching the median forecast of 81 economists. Yet a pickup in payrolls accompanied by limited wage gains may not be enough to satisfy Fed officials, who today will probably reaffirm a commitment to keep interest rates low.

Dow 13,070.78     +111.07       +0.86%, Nasdaq      3,016.15       +32.49 +1.09%, S&P 500   1,383.46         +12.37 +0.90%

JPMorgan (JPM) increased 2 percent to $41.33. Bank of America Corp. (BAC) rallied 1.9 percent to $8.14 today.

Carmike Cinemas Inc. gained 14 percent to $10.33. The fourth-largest U.S. theater chain posted fourth-quarter revenue that exceeded the average analyst projection.

Urban Outfitters Inc. fell 5.6 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $27.87. The operator of its namesake, Anthropologie and Free People brands reported fourth-quarter earnings that missed the average analyst estimate.

Oil rose after U.S. retail sales increased by the most in five months and equities gained, signaling stronger growth and higher demand.

Crude advanced as retail sales rose 1.1 percent in February after a 0.6 percent gain in January, the Commerce Department said.

Prices also gained after data showed German investor confidence jumped to a 21-month high. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations advanced to 22.3 from 5.4 in February.

Oil for April delivery rose to $107.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The price is up 8.4 percent this year.

Brent crude for April settlement on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange gained $1.11, or 0.9 percent, to $126.45 a barrel.

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  • Spain has no plans to raise value added tax

  • The new deficit target (5.3%) suggests that the EU authorities believe to Spain

Gold prices fell below $ 1,700 on the eve of the U.S. central bank decisions on interest rates.

The main event for financial markets on Tuesday will be the U.S. Federal Reserve decision on monetary policy. Expect the central bank will report on plans to leave interest rates at a level close to zero, but does not indicate the possibility of additional stimulus measures.

Since the Fed announced the first phase of quantitative easing in late 2008, gold prices have more than doubled.

Investment demand for gold remains high, as evidenced by the growth of stocks ETF assets to a record high this week. By the end of trading Monday, the largest stock funds reached 70.887 million ounces, up from early March to 361,000 ounces.

April futures price of gold on COMEX has fallen today to $ 1683.3 an ounce.

Resistance 3:1410 (Jun’2008 high)

Resistance 2:1400 (psychological level)

Resistance 1:1377 (area of Feb 29 and Mar 1-2 highs)

The current price: 1374,00

Support 1:1370 (intraday  low)

Support 2:1360 (Mar 12 low)

Support 3:1357 (Mar 9 low)

EUR/USD $1.3050, $1.3075, $1.3100, $1.3150, $1.3200

USD/JPY Y81.75, Y82.00, Y82.10, Y82.25, Y82.75, Y83.00

AUD/USD $1.0500, $1.0530, $1.0550, $1.0560, $1.0600

GBP/USD $1.5790, $1.5850

EUR/JPY Y107.00

U.S. stock futures advanced after retail sales rose by the most in five months and as investors awaited a Federal Reserve decision on interest rates.

Global Stocks:

Nikkei  9,899.08 +9.22 +0.09%

Hang Seng 21,339.7 +205.52 +0.97%

Shanghai Composite 2,455.79 +20.94 +0.86%

FTSE  5,930.83 +38.08 +0.65%

CAC  3,523.46 +33.40 +0.96%

DAX 6,963.8 +62.45 +0.90%

Crude oil $106.42 (+0,1%).

Gold $1684.20 (-0,9%).

EUR/USD

Offers $1.3200, $1.3150/55

Bids $1.3080/70, $1.3050/40, $1.3035/25, $1.3010/00 

EUR/JPY

Offers Y109.20/25, Y108.90/00, Y108.75

Bids Y108.20/15, Y107.70/60, Y107.50, Y107.10/00

Resistance 3: Y84.00 (area of Feb 2011, psychological level) Resistance 2: Y83.10 (Apr 20'2011 high) Resistance 1: Y82.80 (session high, Apr 27'2011 high) Current price: Y82.65 Support 1: Y82.50 (high of asian session) Support 2: Y81.90 (area of session low and Mar 5 high) Support 3: Y81.50 (Mar 9 low)

Комментарии: ряд технических факторов (дивергенции между ценой и индикатором MACD на D1, RSI>70 - сигнал перекупленности на D1) указывает на высокую вероятность начала коррекции.

Resistance 3: Chf0.9340 (Jan 25 high) Resistance 2: Chf0.9300 (high of February) Resistance 1: Chf0.9220 (Mar 12 high) Current price: Chf0.9197 Support 1: Chf0.9140 (session low) Support 1: Chf0.9110 (intraday low on Mar 9) Support 3: Chf0.9080/70 (area of Mar 8-9 low, Mar 1 high)

Resistance 3 : $1.5750 (intraday low on Mar 9) Resistance 2 : $1.5700 (Mar 12 high, Mar 6-7 low) Resistance 1 : $1.5675 (session high) Current price: $1.5662 Support 1 : $1.5610/00 (Mar 12 low, 50,0 % FIBO $1,5230-$ 1,5990) Support 2 : $1.5520 (61,8 % FIBO $1,5230-$ 1,5990) Support 3 : $1.5500 (psychological level)

Resistance 3 : $1.3360 (Mar 1 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.3280 (area of Mar 1 low, Mar 8-9 highs)

Resistance 1 : $1.3190 (session high)

Current price: $1.3114

Support 1 : $1.3080 (Mar 12 low)

Support 2 : $1.2975 (low of February)

Support 3 : $1.2930 (Jan 25 low)

Asian stocks rose, with the benchmark index set to gain for a third day in four, amid optimism euro-area finance chiefs will complete a second Greek bailout, and before the release of U.S. retail sales data.

Nikkei 225 9,899.08 +9.22 +0.09%

Hang Seng 21,339.7 +205.52 +0.97%

S&P/ASX 200 4,247.62 +50.93 +1.21%

Shanghai Composite 2,455.79 +20.94 +0.86%

HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe’s biggest bank by market value, rose 1.3 percent in Hong Kong.

Wynn Macau Ltd., a unit of the casino operator founded by billionaire Steve Wynn, jumped 9.1 percent after Deutsche Bank AG said Macau casino revenue may grow 25 percent in 2012.

Camera maker Canon Inc. dropped 0.7 percent in Tokyo, reversing gains, after the Bank of Japan decided against expanding its asset-purchase program and the yen strengthened.

00:01 United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance February -16% -13% -13%

00:30 Australia Home Loans January +2.1% 0.0% -1.2%

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence February 4 1

03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision March 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement 0

03:00 New Zealand REINZ Housing Price Index, m/m February -1.4% +0.8%

The New Zealand dollar strengthened against all of its 16 major counterparts after reports showed the nation’s house and food prices increased in February. The Real Estate Institute of New Zealand Inc.’s index of house prices increased 0.8 percent to 3,280.5 last month, according to an e-mailed statement released today. The number of transactions rose 37 percent from a year earlier, the institute said. New Zealand’s February food prices climbed 0.6 percent from the previous month, the statistics bureau said today. The country’s two-year swap rate, a fixed payment made to receive floating rates, increased four basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, to 3.05 percent.

The Australian dollar rose for the first time in three days as Asian shares rallied, boosting demand for riskier assets. The number of loans granted to build or buy houses and apartments in Australia dropped 1.2 percent in January from the previous month, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. That compared with a revised 2.1 percent increase in December and the 0.6 percent decline that was the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Australia’s business confidence index fell last month to 1, the lowest level since September, from 4 in January, according to a National Australia Bank Ltd. survey of more than 500 companies taken Feb. 20-24 and released in Sydney today.

The Reserve Bank of Australia on March 6 held its benchmark interest rates unchanged at 4.25 percent. A Credit Suisse Group AG index based on swaps indicates the RBA will lower rates by 53 basis points over the next 12 months.

The yen erased its loss against the dollar and euro after the Bank of Japan  concluded its policy meeting where it kept its key interest rate and asset-purchase program unchanged.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair gain, come nearer to $1.3200.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair was in range $1.5635-$1.5660.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair fell.

European data for Tuesday also starts at 0630GMT with France HICP data, while France current account data is due at 0745GMT. While the main Germany data release is the ZEW data at 1000GMT. UK data at 0930GMT includes the Trade Balance Report, CML Mortgage Approvals and also Weekly Fuel Price data. Also today, the DCLG House Price Index is due, while at 1000GMT, the UK Conference Board Leading Indicator is due.

Yesterday the dollar gained against most of its major counterparts as stronger U.S. economic data reduced bets the Federal Reserve would add to monetary stimulus, bolstering demand for the currency. Retail sales in the U.S. increased 1.1 percent in February, the most in five months, according to the median estimate of 80 economists in a survey before Commerce Department figures due tomorrow. That would follow data on March 9 that showed nonfarm payrolls increased by 227,000 in February after rising by a revised 284,000 the prior month. The unemployment rate held at a three-year low of 8.3 percent.

The 17-nation euro pared losses against the yen before European finance ministers meet in Brussels to review a second aid package for Greece. The euro held a two-week decline against the dollar before ministers from the region’s 17 nations gather in Brussels to sign off on a 130 billion-euro ($171 billion) second package for Greece after bondholders agreed last week to take a loss on the country’s debt.The world’s biggest banks are less pessimistic about the euro as the European Central Bank provides unlimited cash to the region’s financial system, Germany may avoid recession and Greece looks to complete the biggest sovereign-debt restructuring in history.

EUR/USD: yesterday the pair gain, being in downtrend.

GBP/USD: yesterday the pair fell, touched a level $1.5600.

USD/JPY: yesterday the pair was in range Y82.00-Y82.50.

European data for Tuesday also starts at 0630GMT with France HICP data, while France current account data is due at 0745GMT. While the main Germany data release is the ZEW data at 1000GMT. UK data at 0930GMT includes the Trade Balance Report, CML Mortgage Approvals and also Weekly Fuel Price data. Also today, the DCLG House Price Index is due, while at 1000GMT, the UK Conference Board Leading Indicator is due.

Asian stocks fell, with the benchmark index headed for the first loss in three days, as Chinese exports grew at a slower pace than economists forecast, overshadowing a rebound in Japan’s machinery orders and better- than-expected U.S. jobs data.

Nikkei 225 9,889.86 -39.88 -0.40%

Hang Seng 21,134.18 +48.18 +0.23%

S&P/ASX 200 4,196.69 -15.30 -0.36%

Shanghai Composite 2,434.86 -4.60 -0.19%

Li & Fung Ltd., a supplier to Wal-Mart Stores Inc. that gets more than 95 percent of revenue from exports from China, fell 2 percent in Hong Kong.

Samsung Electronics Co., South Korea’s No. 1 consumer electronics exporter, slid 1.1 percent in Seoul after Apple Inc. claimed it violated a court order in a patent-infringement case.

Railway-related shares plunged in Hong Kong after a report a high-speed railway in China collapsed.

Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., a maker of bulldozers and cranes, rose 1.2 percent in Tokyo.

Resistance 3: Y83.75 (Apr 15 high)

Resistance 2: Y83.10 (Apr 20 high)

Resistance 1: Y82.65 (Mar 9 high)

The current price: Y82.08

Support 1: Y81.90 (high of the Asian session on Mar 9)

Support 2: Y81.45 (Mar 9 low)

Support 3: Y81.05 (Mar 8 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9250 (Feb 15 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9220 (Mar 12 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9180 (low of the European session on Mar 12)

The current price: Chf0.9154

Support 1: Chf0.9140 (session low)

Support 2: Chf0.9110 (low of the European session on Mar 9)

Support 3: Chf0.9070 (Mar 8 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.5750 (low of the European session on Mar 9)

Resistance 2 : $1.5695 (Mar 12 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.5660 (session high)

The current price: $1.5645

Support 1 : $1.5600 (psychological level, Mar 12 low)

Support 2 : $1.5530 (Jan 24-25 low)

Support 3 : $1.5450 (Jan 20 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.3290 (Mar 8 high)

Resistance 2 : $1.3230 (high of the European session on Mar 9)

Resistance 1 : $1.3190 (session high)

The current price: $1.3162

Support 1 : $1.3135 (high of the European session on Mar 12)

Support 2 : $1.3080 (Mar 12 low)

Support 3 : $1.3040 (Feb 15 low)

Change % Change Last

Oil $106.41 +0.07 +0.07%

Gold $1,700.50 +0.70 +0.04%

Change % Change Last

Nikkei 225 9,889.86 -39.88 -0.40%

Hang Seng 21,134.18 +48.18 +0.23%

S&P/ASX 200 4,196.69 -15.30 -0.36%

Shanghai Composite 2,434.86 -4.60 -0.19%

FTSE 100 5,892.75 +5.26 +0.09%

CAC 40 3,490.06 +2.58 +0.07%

DAX 6,901.35 +21.14 +0.31%

Dow 12,959.71 +37.69 +0.29%

Nasdaq 2,983.66 -4.68 -0.16%

S&P 500 1,371.09 +0.22 +0.02%

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,3148 +0,27%

GBP/USD $1,5633 -0,26%

USD/CHF Chf0,9171 -0,21%

USD/JPY Y82,31 -0,12%

EUR/JPY Y108,22 +0,14%

GBP/JPY Y128,66 -0,38%

AUD/USD $1,0509 -0,57%

NZD/USD $0,8184 -0,33%

USD/CAD C$0,9925 +0,18%

00:01 United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance February -16% -13% -13%

00:30 Australia Home Loans January +2.1% 0.0% -1.2%

00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence February 4 1

03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision March 0.10% 0.10%

03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement 0

03:00 New Zealand REINZ Housing Price Index, m/m February -1.4% +0.8%

06:30 France CPI, m/m February -0.4% +0.4%

06:30 France CPI, y/y February +2.3% +2.4%

07:00 Japan BOJ Press Conference 0

08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m February 0.0% +0.4%

08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y February -2.4% -2.4%

09:00 Eurozone ECOFIN Meetings 0

09:30 United Kingdom Trade in goods January -7.1 -7.8

10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment March 5.4 11.2

10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment March -8.1 3.8

12:30 U.S. Retail sales February +0.4% +1.1%

12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto February +0.7% +0.8%

12:30 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks 0

16:30 Canada Gov Council Member Macklem Speaks 0

18:15 U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision 0 0.25% 0.25%

18:15 U.S. FOMC Statement 0

23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence March +4.2%

23:50 Japan BSI Manufacturing Index Quarter I -6.1 1.3