European stocks advanced to the highest level since July as the Federal Reserve raised its economic assessment of the world’s largest economy. The Federal Open Market Committee said late yesterday that strains in global financial markets have eased and the labor market is gathering strength. At the same time, it said that the unemployment rate is “elevated” and “significant downside risks” remain. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is holding to his plan to the keep benchmark interest rate close to zero through at least 2014.
Greece’s credit rating was lifted out of the default category by Fitch Ratings on optimism that a debt swap will reduce the risk that the country eventually reneges on its obligations. Greece was raised four levels to B- from restricted default and given a stable outlook by Fitch. New government bonds have a B- rating, while debt that is not governed by Greek law has a C rating pending settlement on April 11, Fitch said.
Italy sold 6 billion euros of bonds today, with borrowing costs on its three-year debt falling to the lowest since October 2010 as European Central Bank loans helped boost demand. The Treasury sold 5 billion euros of a new three-year bond to yield 2.76 percent and 1 billion euros of seven-year bonds at 4.3 percent, meeting the 6 billion-euro maximum set for the sale.
National benchmark indexes rose in 15 of the 18 western- European (SXXP) markets. Germany’s DAX Index added 1.2 percent. France’s CAC 40 Index gained 0.4 percent and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index fell 0.2 percent.
EON AG, Germany’s biggest utility, gained 7 percent after it reported 2011 earnings that topped analysts’ estimates.
Gauges of European banks and insurers pulled the Stoxx 600 higher, with Credit Suisse rallying 5 percent to 26.3 Swiss francs, and Legal & General advancing 7.2 percent to 134.3 pence. Natixis SA added 5.2 percent to 2.95 euros and Deutsche Bank AG gained 3.4 percent to 38.17 euros.
Arkema fell 5 percent to 69 euros. Investor Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA is offering 6.2 million shares of the company for as much as 450 million euros. The shares are being sold for about 69.90 euros each, according to a term sheet.
The dollar strengthened to an 11- month high against the yen after the Federal Reserve raised its outlook for U.S. growth, reducing expectations the central bank will begin a third round of bond purchases. The Federal Open Market Committee said yesterday it expects “moderate economic growth” and predicted the U.S. unemployment rate “will decline gradually.”
The yen fell for a second day versus the dollar as the extra yield received for holding Treasury two-year notes compared with Japanese debt increased to the most since July. The extra yield investors receive from holding two-year Treasuries instead of Japanese debt widened to 24 basis points, the most since July 28, increasing the attractiveness of dollar assets. There is a “relatively high” correlation between the two-year spread and the dollar-yen exchange rate, Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa has said.
Britain’s pound rallied against most of its major peers as gilt yields rose to the highest in four months.
U.S. stocks were little changed as new record in Apple Inc. shares and a rebound in financial companies tempered valuation concern after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rallied to the highest level since June 2008.
Banks in the S&P 500 rose 0.5 percent for the fourth- biggest gain among 24 industries. After the close of trading, the Fed said 15 of 19 banks would be able to maintain capital levels above a regulatory minimum in an “extremely adverse” economic scenario, even while continuing to pay dividends and repurchasing stock.
Transportation stocks had the biggest decline in the S&P 500 among 24 industries, falling 1.2 percent. The group is considered a proxy for economic growth. The Fed said yesterday that strains in global financial markets have eased and the labor market is gathering strength, adding to speculation that it will refrain from additional stimulus.
Dow 13,182.67 +4.99 +0.04%, Nasdaq 3,031.08 -8.80 -0.29%, S&P 500 1,391.35 -4.60 -0.33%
Bank of America (ВАС) added 4.5 percent to $8.87. Zions Bancorporation soared 11 percent to $21.62. Regions Financial Corp. jumped 8 percent to $6.23. Citigroup slumped 2.9 percent to $35.40. MetLife fell 4.9 percent to $37.55.
Apple climbed 4.1 percent to $591.19, rising for a sixth day. The world’s largest technology company had its share price estimate raised to $720 from $515 at Morgan Stanley.
Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. jumped 9.7 percent to $71.18. The largest U.S. iron-ore producer more than doubled its dividend and said it’s refocusing on the execution of expansion projects.
Gold producers tumbled as speculation that an economic recovery will curb demand for the metal. Gold has surged more than 85 percent since December 2008 as the Fed held U.S. borrowing costs at a record low and bought $2.3 trillion in housing and government debt during two rounds of so-called quantitative easing. Newmont Mining Corp., the largest U.S. gold producer, dropped 1.6 percent to $54.
Crude fell as a government report showed inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, rose to the highest level in nine months last week and Saudi Arabia pledged to make up for any shortage in global supply.
Prices fell as much as 1 percent after the Energy Department said stockpiles at Cushing, the delivery point for futures traded in New York, increased 7 percent to 38.7 million barrels. Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said in Kuwait at the International Energy Forum that oil markets are balanced and have ample production and refining capacity.
Crude for April delivery slid to $105.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after climbing as high as $107.02. Brent oil for April settlement fell 39 cents to $125.83 on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange.
We are ready to start the easing of conditions in the lending market as early as next week
The price of gold fell to its lowest level since late January, as the dollar strengthened after the increase in economic forecasting U.S. Federal Reserve.
Gold has lost almost all of the profits accumulated from January 25, when the Fed hinted at the possibility of additional stimulus measures.
The dollar rose to a 11-month high against the yen and U.S. government bond yields rose. Improved economic outlook encourages investors to seek riskier investments such as stocks.
April futures price of gold on COMEX has fallen today to $ 1639.2 an ounce.
Resistance 3:1410 (Jun’2008 high)
Resistance 2:1400 (psychological level)
Resistance 1:1394 (session high)
Current price: 1391,50
Support 1:1386 (session low)
Support 2:1377 (Mar 1-2 lows)
Support 3:1370 (intraday low on Mar 13)

EUR/USD $1.3000, $1.3010, $1.3050, $1.3100, $1.3110, $1.3140, $1.3150, $1.3170
USD/JPY Y83.50, Y83.00, Y82.50, Y82.00
GBP/USD $1.5700, $1.5780
EUR/CHF Chf1.2050
AUD/USD $1.0400, $1.0550
USD/CAD C$0.9900
U.S. stock futures were little changed as investors weighed the Federal Reserve’s stress tests on financial institutions.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 10,050.52 +151.44 +1.53%
Hang Seng 21,307.89 -31.81 -0.15%
Shanghai Composite 2,391.23 -64.57 -2.63%
FTSE 5,976.99 +21.08 +0.35%
CAC 3,575.95 +25.79 +0.73%
DAX 7,083.72 +87.81 +1.26%
Crude oil $106.16 (-0,52%).
Gold $1645.70 (-2,86%).
Data:
09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count February 6.9 7.0 7.2
09:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate February 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate January 8.4% 8.4% 8.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y January +2.0% +1.9% +1.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y January +2.0% +1.9% +1.7%
10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) March -21.2 0.0
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI February -0.8% +0.5% +0.5%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (finally) February +2.6% +2.7% +2.7%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y February +1.5% +1.6% +1.5%
10:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) January -1.1% +0.8% +0.2%
10:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) January -2.0% -0.7% -1.2%
The dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve raised its outlook for U.S. growth, reducing expectations the central bank will begin a third round of bond purchases.
The yen fell for a second day versus the dollar as the extra yield received for holding two-year Treasuries over Japanese debt increased to the most since July.
The Federal Open Market Committee said yesterday it expects “moderate economic growth” and predicted the U.S. unemployment rate “will decline gradually.” In its previous statement in January, policy makers said growth would be “modest” and unemployment “will decline only gradually.” The central bank kept its benchmark interest rate target in a range of zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since December 2008.
EUR/USD: the pair was limited $1,3030-$ 1,3090.

GBP/USD: the range of of european session was about 100 points.

USD/JPY: the pair showed high above Y83,60.

EUR/USD
Offers $1.3150/55
Bids $1.3055/50, $1.3030/20, $1.3000, $1.2980/70, $1.2950
GBP/USD
Offers $1.5800, $1.5780/85, $1.5750/55
Bids $1.5675/70, $1.5620, $1.5600, $1.5585/80
USD/JPY
Offers Y84.50, Y84.25, Y84.00, Y83.80
Bids Y83.35/30, Y82.85/80, Y82.60, Y82.55/50, Y82.30
Resistance 3: Y85.50 (high of 2011) Resistance 2: Y84.00 (area of Feb'2011 high, psychological level) Resistance 1: Y83.60 (session high) Current price: Y83.55 Support 1: Y83.00 (intraday low) Support 2: Y82.65 (Mar 9 high) Support 3: Y81.90 (area of Mar 13 low and Mar 5 high)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9340 (Jan 25 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9300 (high of February)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9275 (session high)
Current price: Chf0.9254
Support 1: Chf0.9220 (Mar 12 high)
Support 2: Chf0.9140 (Mar 13 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9110 (intraday low on Mar 9)

Resistance 3 : $1.5880 (Mar 5-6 high) Resistance 2 : $1.5830 (Mar 8-9 high) Resistance 1 : $1.5750 (intraday low on Mar 9, Mar 13 high, session high) Current price: $1.5720 Support 1 : $1.5690 (intraday low) Support 2 : $1.5650 (session low) Support 3 : $1.5610/00 (Mar 12-13 low, 50,0 % FIBO $1,5230-$ 1,5990)

Resistance 3 : $1.3190 (Mar 13 high) Resistance 2 : $1.3120 (high of american session on Mar 13) Resistance 1 : $1.3090 (sessional a maximum) Current price: $1.3070 Support 1 : $1.3030 (session low) Support 2 : $1.2975 (low of February) Support 3 : $1.2930 (Jan 25 low)

Asian stocks rose for a second day after U.S. retail sales jumped and the Federal Reserve raised its assessment of the world’s biggest economy. Shares pared gains after Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said home prices are still too high.
Nikkei 225 10,050.52 +151.44 +1.53%
Hang Seng 21,307.89 -31.81 -0.15%
S&P/ASX 200 4,287.18 +39.56 +0.93%
Shanghai Composite 2,391.23 -64.57 -2.63%
Toyota Motor Corp. rose 2.1 percent in Tokyo.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world’s biggest miner, gained 1.3 percent in Sydney after metal prices advanced.
Samsung Electronics Co. climbed 2.4 percent in Seoul after saying it will supply screens for Apple Inc.’s new iPad.
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd., a mainland developer, fell 3.2 percent.
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) January +3.8% +2.0% +1.9%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) January -4.3% -1.3%
05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report March
The dollar strengthened against most of its major counterparts after Federal Reserve policy makers raised their assessment of the U.S. economy and refrained from additional monetary easing. The Federal Open Market Committee kept the benchmark interest rate target unchanged yesterday at zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since December 2008. The central bank said it expects “moderate economic growth” and predicted the unemployment rate “will decline gradually.” In their last statement in January, policy makers said growth would be “modest” and unemployment “will decline only gradually.”
The yen slid to an 11-month low versus the greenback as the yield spread between two-year debt in the U.S. debt and Japan to widened to the most since July, making dollar-based assets more attractive. The yen also dropped as Asian stocks extended a global rally, damping demand for the lower-yielding currency. Japan posted a record 437.3 billion yen deficit in its January current account, the biggest shortfall since comparable data began in 1985, according to a report from the Ministry of Finance last week.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell, updated a month's low.
GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair decreased, receded from yesterday's high.
USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair rose, updated year’s high.
On Wednesday EMU data at 1000GMT includes industrial output, which is expected to rise 0.6% m/m but fall by a reading of -1.1% y/y and also the final HICP data for February, which should come in at 2.7% y/y (0.5% m/m). UK labour market data is due at 0930GMT and is expected to show the rise in unemployment slowing with a claimant count of 5k and an unchanged unemployment rate. US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA mortgage applications data. At 1230GMT, US data includes the Current Account and Import/Export Price Index. The weekly EIA Crude Oil Stocks is due at 1430GMT.
Yesterday the dollar gained against the euro and the yen as the Federal Reserve policy makers raised their assessment of the economy as the labor market gathers strength and refrained from more actions to lower borrowing costs. The Federal Open Market Committee, which met in Washington, kept the central bank’s benchmark interest rate target unchanged at zero to 0.25 percent, where it’s been since December 2008. Retail sales in the U.S. rose in February by the most in five months, reflecting broad-based gains that indicate the world’s largest economy is picking up even as gasoline costs climb.
The yen dropped earlier to the weakest level against the dollar in almost 11 months as the Bank of Japan plans to keep using monetary policy as a tool to tackle deflation. The yen weakened earlier after Bank of Japan Governor Masaaki Shirakawa indicated the central bank will keep using monetary policy as a tool to tackle deflation. Shirakawa and his board members kept the benchmark interest rate between zero and 0.1 percent, the central bank said in a statement. Policy makers left the bank’s asset-purchase fund at 30 trillion yen ($360 billion) after unexpectedly boosting bond buying by 10 trillion yen at the Feb. 14 meeting. The measures contributed to weakening the yen and helped boost stocks, Shirakawa told reporters in Tokyo.
EUR/USD: yesterday the pair fell, updated a month's low.
GBP/USD: yesterday the pair rose, closed day above $1.5700.
USD/JPY: yesterday the pair rose, updated year’s high.
On Wednesday EMU data at 1000GMT includes industrial output, which is expected to rise 0.6% m/m but fall by a reading of -1.1% y/y and also the final HICP data for February, which should come in at 2.7% y/y (0.5% m/m). UK labour market data is due at 0930GMT and is expected to show the rise in unemployment slowing with a claimant count of 5k and an unchanged unemployment rate. US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA mortgage applications data. At 1230GMT, US data includes the Current Account and Import/Export Price Index. The weekly EIA Crude Oil Stocks is due at 1430GMT.
Asian stocks rose, with the benchmark index set to gain for a third day in four, amid optimism euro-area finance chiefs will complete a second Greek bailout, and before the release of U.S. retail sales data.
Nikkei 225 9,899.08 +9.22 +0.09%
Hang Seng 21,339.7 +205.52 +0.97%
S&P/ASX 200 4,247.62 +50.93 +1.21%
Shanghai Composite 2,455.79 +20.94 +0.86%
HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe’s biggest bank by market value, rose 1.3 percent in Hong Kong.
Wynn Macau Ltd., a unit of the casino operator founded by billionaire Steve Wynn, jumped 9.1 percent after Deutsche Bank AG said Macau casino revenue may grow 25 percent in 2012.
Camera maker Canon Inc. dropped 0.7 percent in Tokyo, reversing gains, after the Bank of Japan decided against expanding its asset-purchase program and the yen strengthened.
European stocks advanced, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbing to the highest since July 26, as reports showed German investor confidence in March increased more than forecast.
In Germany, the ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which seeks to predict economic developments six months in advance, rose to 22.3 from 5.4 in February. That’s the fourth straight increase. Economists forecast a gain to 10, according to the median of 36 estimates.
Euro-area finance ministers cleared a second rescue of Greece, paving the way for the first payment from the 130 billion-euro package ($170 billion) to be made this month. Officials will give a formal approval on March 14, a day before the International Monetary Fund board votes on its contribution.
National benchmark indexes rose in all of the 18 western European markets. France’s CAC 40 climbed 1.7 percent and Germany’s DAX added 1.4 percent. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 rose 1.1 percent.
Raiffeisen, eastern Europe’s third-biggest lender, advanced 1.4 percent to 25.20 euros. UniCredit advanced 3.9 percent to 4.05 euros.
Tod’s SpA, the Italian owner of the Hogan brand, jumped 7.2 percent to 84.45 euros. The company reported a 20 percent increase in 2011 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization to 232.4 million euros, compared with the average analyst estimate for 230.7 million euros. The company raised its dividend 25 percent to 2.5 euros per share.
Eramet jumped 6 percent to 113.70 euros. Vedanta Resources Plc climbed 4.5 percent to 1,430 pence. Copper, lead, nickel and tin were among metals prices rising in London.
U.S. stocks advanced, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the highest level since 2007, amid data showing that retail sales increased by the most in five months and as JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted its dividend.
Stocks rose as retail sales increased 1.1 percent in February. The Federal Reserve raised its assessment of the economy as the labor market gathers strength. After the close of trading, the Fed said 15 of the 19 largest U.S. banks could maintain adequate capital levels even in a recession scenario in which they continue paying dividends and buy back stock.
Dow 13,177.68 +217.97 +1.68%, Nasdaq 3,039.88 +56.22 +1.88%, S&P 500 1,395.95 +24.86 +1.81%
JPMorgan (JPM) increased 7 percent to $43.39 after boosting its quarterly dividend by 5 cents to 30 cents a share. The lender also authorized a $15 billion stock repurchase program, with $12 billion approved for 2012.
Bank of America (ВАС) jumped 6.3 percent to $8.49. Goldman Sachs Group rallied 6.5 percent to $124.54.
FactSet Research Systems Inc. advanced 8.6 percent to $98.66. The Norwalk, Connecticut-based financial-data supplier reported second-quarter profit and sales that exceeded analysts’ estimates.
Urban Outfitters Inc. fell 5.3 percent, the most in the S&P 500, to $27.95. The operator of its namesake, Anthropologie and Free People brands reported fourth-quarter earnings that missed the average analyst estimate.
Resistance 3: Y84.50 (Apr 12 high)
Resistance 2: Y84.25 (Apr 13 high)
Resistance 1: Y83.75 (Apr 15 high)
The current price: Y83.26
Support 1: Y82.85 (session low)
Support 2: Y82.65 (low of the American session on Mar 13)
Support 3: Y81.95 (Mar 13 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9340 (Jan 25 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9300 (Feb 16 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9275 (resistance line from Mar 9)
The current price: Chf0.9255
Support 1: Chf0.9225 (session low)
Support 2: Chf0.9185 (low of the American session on Mar 13)
Support 3: Chf0.9140 (Mar 13 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.5805 (high of the European session on Mar 9)
Resistance 2 : $1.5745 (Mar 13 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.5710 (session high)
The current price: $1.5679
Support 1 : $1.5655 (low of the Asian session on Mar 12)
Support 2 : $1.5600 (Mar 12 low)
Support 3 : $1.5530 (Jan 24-25 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.3190 (Mar 13 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.3120 (high of the American session on Mar 13)
Resistance 1 : $1.3090 (session high)
The current price: $1.3066
Support 1 : $1.3050 (Mar 13 low)
Support 2 : $1.3000 (psychological level)
Support 3 : $1.2975 (Feb 16 low)

Change % Change Last
Oil $106.73 +0.02 +0.02%
Gold $1,671.30 -22.90 -1.35%
Change % Change Last
Nikkei 225 9,899.08 +9.22 +0.09%
Hang Seng 21,339.7 +205.52 +0.97%
S&P/ASX 200 4,247.62 +50.93 +1.21%
Shanghai Composite 2,455.79 +20.94 +0.86%
FTSE 100 5,955.91 +63.16 +1.07%
CAC 40 3,550.16 +60.10 +1.72%
DAX 6,995.91 +94.56 +1.37%
Dow 13,177.68 +217.97 +1.68%
Nasdaq 3,039.88 +56.22 +1.88%
S&P 500 1,395.95 +24.86 +1.81%
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,3080 -0,52%
GBP/USD $1,5705 +0,46%
USD/CHF Chf0,9232 +0,66%
USD/JPY Y82,87 +0,68%
EUR/JPY Y108,38 +0,15%
GBP/JPY Y130,15 +1,14%
AUD/USD $1,0537 +0,27%
NZD/USD $0,8220 +0,44%
USD/CAD C$0,9887 -0,38%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) January +3.8% +2.0%
04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) January -4.3%
05:00 Japan BoJ monthly economic report March
09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count February 6.9 7.0
09:30 United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate February 5.0% 5.0%
09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate January 8.4% 8.4%
09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y January +2.0% +1.9%
09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y January +2.0% +1.9%
10:00 Switzerland Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) March -21.2
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI February -0.8% +0.5%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y
(finally) February +2.6% +2.7%
10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y February +1.5% +1.6%
10:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) January -1.1% +0.8%
10:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) January -2.0% -0.7%
12:30 U.S. Current cccount, bln IV quarter -110 -114
12:30 U.S. Import Price Index February +0.3% +0.6%
14:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks 0
14:30 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Stocks change 09/03/2012 +0.8
21:00 New Zealand Business NZ PMI February 50.5
21:30 New Zealand ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) February -2.7%
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