Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 09-04-2012.

  The nearest resistance is $1.3170 (Apr 5 high)

EUR/USD
Offers $1.3220, $1.3210, $1.3180/200, $1.3120/25
Bids $1.3035/30, $1.3020, $1.3005/00, $1.2980/70

EUR/JPY
Offers Y108.00, Y107.40, Y107.00
Bids Y106.00/20, Y105.70, Y105.60

USD/USD
Offers Y83.50, Y83.40, Y83.00
Bids Y81.20, Y81.00

Resistance 3: Y82.55 (Apr 6 high)
Resistance 2: Y82.30 (МА (200) for Н1)
Resistance 1: Y81.60 (session high)
Current price: Y81.34
Support 1: Y81.10 (38,2 % FIBO Y76,00-Y84,20)
Support 2: Y80.60 (high of March)
Support 3: Y80.20 (Feb 29 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9340 (high of March)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9250 (Mar 16 high)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9220 (area of session high and Apr 5 high)
Current price: Chf0.9188
Support 1: Chf0.9160 (Apr 6 low)
Support 2: Chf0.9140 (earlier resistance, Mar 26 high, Apr 5 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9090 (earlier resistance, Mar 29 high)

Resistance 3 : $1.6060 (Apr 2 high)
Resistance 2 : $1.5980 (area of Apr 2 low)
Resistance 1 : $1.5910 (area of Apr 4-5 highs)
Current price: $1.5875
Support 1 : $1.5830 (session low)
Support 2 : $1.5800 (Mar 26 and Apr 5 lows, support line from Jan 13)
Support 3 : $1.5770 (Mar 22 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.3250 (Apr 4 high, Mar 29 low)
Resistance 2 : $1.3170 (Apr 5 high)
Resistance 1 : $1.3100 (area of session high, Apr 6 high and Apr 4 low)  
Current price: $1.3071
Support 1 : $1.3030 (session low, Apr 5 low)
Support 2 : $1.3000 (low of March)
Support 3 : $1.2975 (low of February)

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday

00:00 Germany Bank holiday

00:00 France Bank holiday

00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday

01:30 China CPI y/y March +3.2% +3.4% +3.6%

01:30 China PPI y/y March 0.0% -0.2% -0.3%

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current March 45.9 46.6 51.8

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook March 50.1 49.7

The yen rose against all of its major peers as data showing Japan returned to a current-account surplus and tensions over a North Korean rocket launch bolstered the allure of the currency as an investment haven. The yen has weakened almost 5 percent against the dollar since the Bank of Japan set a 1 percent inflation goal on Feb. 14 and increased its planned purchases of government bonds. The BOJ starts a two-day policy meeting today.

The euro touched a one-month low versus the Japanese currency before a German report that may show exports declined in February. Exports from Germany, the euro area’s biggest economy, probably decreased 1.2 percent in February from the prior month, when they rose 2.4 percent, a Bloomberg News survey of economists showed before the report due tomorrow.

The dollar weakened against the yen before data this week that may show inflation in the U.S. eased. U.S. consumer prices advanced 0.3 percent last month after climbing 0.4 percent in February, according to a separate survey of economists taken before the Labor Department’s April 13 release. The Labor Department reported last week that nonfarm payrolls increased by 120,000 last month, the smallest gain in five months.

EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to the last week’s low.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair decreased, lowered below $1.5850.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in range Y81.20-Y81.55.

The data schedule starts at 1330GMT for the US on Monday, with the release of the weekly Capital Goods Index. This is followed at 1400GMT by the Conference Board Employment Trends and at 1430GMT by the weekly Retail Trade Index, while later data sees the 1900GMT release of Treasury Allotments By Class.

On Monday the yen rose against all of its 16 most-traded counterparts amid investor concern that Chinese manufacturing was weaker as official government data conflicted with a private-sector purchasing-manager index. The Chinese purchasing manager’s index released by the country’s logistics federation and National Bureau of Statistics for March rose to a one-year high of 53.1. In contrast, a PMI from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics showed manufacturing contracting and export orders declining. The index fell to 48.3 in March from 49.6 the previous month.

On Tuesday the dollar fluctuated after touching an almost one-month low against the euro before the Federal Open Market Committee releases minutes of its March meeting where policy makers raised their assessment of the economy. The FOMC will release minutes of its March 13 meeting when policy makers raised their economic assessment while repeating that “exceptionally low” interest rates may be needed through late 2014. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke still said on March 26 that further stimulus may be needed to lower unemployment.

On Wednesday the euro lost the most in almost a month against the dollar after demand declined at a Spanish bond auction, adding to concern the region is struggling to overcome its sovereign-debt crisis. Spain sold 2.59 billion euros of bonds today, less than its maximum target of 3.5 billion euros, the central bank said. Demand for notes maturing in 2015 was 2.41 times the amount allotted, down from 4.96 at the previous sale of the maturity in March. It also sold securities due in 2016 and 2020. The 17-nation currency weakened after the European Central Bank kept its benchmark rate at a record low and President Mario Draghi said the economic outlook remained subject to “downside risks.”

On Thursday the euro fell to a three-week low against the dollar as Spanish and Italian bonds slumped and borrowing costs increased at a French auction, adding to concern the region’s debt crisis is spreading. The 17-nation currency dropped to a three-week low versus the yen as Spain’s 10-year bond yields increased to the biggest spread compared with German bunds since November amid investor concern that Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy may require international aid. Spain’s 10-year yields increased to 400 basis points, or 4.0 percentage points, more than similar-maturity bunds after demand declined at a Spanish debt sale. Italy’s 10- year yield increased 12 basis points to 5.48 percent. France auctioned 4.32 billion euros of 10-year debt at an average yield of 2.98 percent, up from 2.91 percent at the previous offering on March 1. Borrowing costs for five-year and 15-year debt also increased.

On Friday the euro headed for the biggest weekly drop against the yen in seven months as Spain’s rising borrowing costs fueled concern that the region is failing to contain its debt crisis. The 17-nation currency traded 0.3 percent from a three-week low versus the dollar before data next week that may show German exports fell and growth in French industrial production slowed, adding to evidence that the fiscal woes are hampering the region’s economies. German exports probably decreased 1.2 percent in February from January, when they rose 2.4 percent, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News before the report due on April 10. In France, output increased 0.2 percent in February, after gaining 0.3 percent the prior month, another poll showed before the nation’s statistics office releases data the same day.

Resistance 3: Y83.00 (Apr 3 high)

Resistance 2: Y82.55 (Apr 6 high)

Resistance 1: Y81.80 (Apr 5 high)

The current price: Y81.37

Support 1: Y81.20 (session low)

Support 2: Y80.55 (Mar 7 low)

Support 3: Y80.00 (Feb 28 low)

Resistance 3: Chf0.9335 (Mar 15 high)

Resistance 2: Chf0.9255 (Mar 16 high)

Resistance 1: Chf0.9220 (Apr 5 high)

The current price: Chf0.9198

Support 1: Chf0.9160 (Apr 6 low)

Support 2: Chf0.9140 (Apr 5 low)

Support 3: Chf0.9095 (Apr 4 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.5975 (high of the American session on Apr 3)

Resistance 2 : $1.5910 (Apr 4-5 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.5895 (session high)

The current price: $1.5860

Support 1 : $1.5835 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.5805 (Apr 5 low)

Support 3 : $1.5770 (Mar 22 low)

Resistance 3 : $1.3210 (high of the European session on Apr 4)

Resistance 2 : $1.3165 (Apr 5 high)

Resistance 1 : $1.3110 (Apr 6 high)

The current price: $1.3060

Support 1 : $1.3030 (session low)

Support 2 : $1.3000 (psychological level)

Support 3 : $1.2975 (Feb 16 low)

00:00 Switzerland Bank holiday 0

00:00 Germany Bank holiday 0

00:00 France Bank holiday 0

00:00 United Kingdom Bank holiday 0

01:30 China CPI y/y March +3.2% +3.4%

01:30 China PPI y/y March 0.0% -0.2%

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Current March 45.9 46.6

05:00 Japan Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook March 50.1

08:30 Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence April -8.2 -7.4

14:30 Canada Bank of Canada Senior Loan Officer Quarter I -6.3

14:30 Canada Bank of Canada business outlook future sales Quarter I -4

23:01 United Kingdom RICS House Price Balance March -13% -12%

23:15 U.S. Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks 0

23:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Posen Speaks 0