The euro rose for a second day against the dollar on speculation that Spain is close to what will request financial assistance. Also, the euro rose as the EU statistical office in Luxembourg said that industrial production in the eurozone unexpectedly increased in August by 0.6%.
Later, the single currency fell as Reuters reported that the European Stability Mechanism is not enough money to rescue Spain if the country asks for help before the end of the year. However, analysts say that the fund has the right to collect the money from the sale of fixed income securities.
Dollar rose after the published data showed that consumer sentiment index jumped to 83.1 from the final level of the value in September - 78.3. As it became known, the October index is the highest since September 2007.
The Australian dollar fell against all 16 most-traded currencies amid falling stock markets in the U.S. and Europe.
The yen fell against the dollar amid signs of U.S. economic recovery, reducing demand for safe-haven.
Fundamental growth prospects of the U.S. economy in the long term is still promising
It is expected that the confidence of households will gradually rise
Rather, economic growth will accelerate later next year
Political deadlock paralyzing uncertainty creates
The recession has forced consumers to be more cautious in spending
Investment in the housing market is still low compared to historical norms
The housing market is showing some encouraging signs
Would prefer to buy Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities are not
The housing market is still faced with excess inventories of homes
Reducing unemployment frustratingly slow
Economic recovery is "pretty weak"
The benefits of bond purchases is likely to be small
I agree with the decision of the Committee on the Open Market of to keep interest rates near zero
Data:
09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August +0.6% -0.5% +0.6%
09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August -2.3% -4.1% -2.9%
The euro rose against the dollar and the yen, receiving support from the statements of the IMF C. Lagarde. She again supported the idea of giving Greece the two additional years to achieve the objectives of the exposed budget deficit, although representatives of the Fund have yet to complete the audit and to assess the progress the country has made to date.
In addition, the unexpected growth and industrial production showed the euro zone, which in August rose a second straight month. The index of industrial production in the euro area in August unexpected surprise: instead of the projected decline of 0.5% m / m (in the correction after the July growth of 0.6%) registered a growth of production again on the same 0.6% m / m However, in annual terms, industrial production is still in the red: -2.9% y / y vs. -2.8% the previous result, and although the result was more optimistic forecast of 4.0% y / y At current levels of around 10% behind the pre-crisis peak in 2008
The yen fell against the dollar amid signs of U.S. economic recovery, reducing demand for safe-haven. The second day of the Japanese currency down against the euro ahead of today's publication of data on the level of consumer confidence in the U.S.. Expected that the rate would be the best since May 2012. According to the median forecast of economists in October, the consumer sentiment index from Reuters / Michigan, is likely to be 78.0. Recall that yesterday also published figures on the U.S. labor market. Since the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in four years. The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits during the week (September 30 - October 6) decreased by 30,000 to 339,000 level.
EUR / USD: pair rose to a new intraday high of $ 1.2985
GBP / USD: pair rose to a new intraday high of $ 1.6077
USD / JPY: the pair grown to Y78.49
At 12:30 GMT the U.S. producer price index will be released, including excluding prices for food and energy in September, at 13:55 GMT - the index of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan in October. At 16:35 GMT a speech FOMC member Jeffrey Lacker.
EUR/USD
Offers $1.3070/85, $1.3035/40, $1.2990/000
Bids $1.2905/00, $1.2875/70, $1.2855/45, $1.2820-00
GBP/USD
Offers $1.6140/60, $1.6120/25, $1.6100/05, $1.6085/90
Bids $1.6040/35, $1.6025/15, $1.6005/90, $1.5985/75, $1.5950/40, $1.5925/10
AUD/USD
Offers $1.0348/50, $1.0320, $1.0300, $1.0290/94
Bids $1.0225/20, $1.0200, $1.0180, $1.0170, $1.0150
EUR/GBP
Offers stg0.8150, stg0.8100/15, stg0.8090
Bids stg0.8055/50, stg0.8025/20, stg0.8005-995, stg0.7980/75
EUR/JPY
Offers Y102.80, Y102.20, Y102.00
Bids Y101.00
USD/JPY
Offers Y79.50, Y78.80
Bids Y78.00, Y77.95/90
Yesterday the dollar fell against most major currencies, as speculation arose that Spain could ask for help, and the increased demand for Italian bonds, influenced increasing appetite for riskier assets.
The dollar continued to trade down, even after the published data showed that the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell to the lowest level in four years. The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits during the week (September 30 - October 6) decreased by 30,000 to 339,000 level. However, this decline is largely due to the fact that one state has not published data.
Earlier, the euro has significantly decreased since the rating agency S & P downgraded Spain's credit rating by two notches, but because it has increased the likelihood that Spain, for financial support, the euro has soared.
The dollar index (DXY), which is used to track the value of the dollar against the currencies of the U.S. partner, fell 0.2% to 79.779.
The Australian dollar strengthened after the published data, according to which it was reported that the number of employed increased by 14,500 people in September, which was almost three times more than the average estimate of economists. At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 5.4%, reaching its highest level since April 2010.
The euro broke a three-day decline against the yen on speculation regarding the financing of Spain. Note also that the profitability of Spanish 10-year bonds fell to 5.76%.
During the U.S. session, the dollar fell sharply against the yen, after a significant increase in the early afternoon. However, the combination of weak economic performance in Japan, increased pressure on the Bank of Japan in order to soften its monetary policy, as well as the probability of the intervention to the depreciation of the yen is likely to retard the growth of the Japanese currency in the near future.
01:00 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks
The yen declined against its major counterparts as signs that the U.S. economy is stabilizing curbed demand for safer assets. Japan’s currency weakened versus the euro for a second day before data today forecast to show U.S. consumer confidence hovered near the strongest since May. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index was probably 78.0 in October, little changed from 78.3 in September, the highest since May, according to the median forecast of economists in a Bloomberg News survey before the data today. A report yesterday showed applications for jobless benefits fell to the least since February 2008. Labor Department figures yesterday showed applications for jobless benefits in the world’s largest economy decreased 30,000 to total 339,000 in the week ended Oct. 6, the fewest in more than four years.
The euro headed for a weekly drop against the dollar before figures economists said will show industrial production in the currency bloc shrank. Industrial output in the 17-nation euro area may have fallen 0.4 percent in August from the prior month, when it gained a revised 0.5 percent, a separate Bloomberg poll of economists showed. The European Union’s statistics office is scheduled to release the figures today.
Singapore’s dollar climbed against all of its 16 major counterparts. The nation’s central bank unexpectedly announced it will leave monetary policy unchanged today, seeking to curb consumer price gains even after the economy shrank an annualized 1.5 percent last quarter.
EUR/USD: during the Asian session, the pair traded in a range of $1.2920-$1.2945.
GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.6025.
USD/JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y78.55, but fell later.
Another full calendar Friday, with the IMF/World Bank meetings continuing in Tokyo. Also at the weekend, the G7 finance minister meet in Tokyo. The US calendar kicks off at 1230GMT, with the release of the September Producer Price Index. At 1355GMT, the October University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data will be released. Late data is expected at 2015GMT, with the release of the U.S. C&I Loans data.
(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)
EUR/USD $1,2929 +0,60%
GBP/USD $1,6046 +0,28%
USD/CHF Chf0,9346 -0,48%
USD/JPY Y78,39 +0,31%
EUR/JPY Y101,36 +0,92%
GBP/JPY Y125,79 +0,60%
AUD/USD $1,0265 +0,45%
NZD/USD $0,8175 +0,13%
USD/CAD C$0,9784 -0,37%
01:00 Japan BOJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks -
09:00 Eurozone Industrial production, (MoM) August +0.6% -0.5%
09:00 Eurozone Industrial Production (YoY) August -2.3% -4.1%
12:30 U.S. PPI, m/m September +1.7% +0.8%
12:30 U.S. PPI, y/y September +2.0% +1.7%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, m/m September +0.2% +0.2%
12:30 U.S. PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y September +2.5% +2.5%
13:55 U.S. Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index October 78.3 77.9
16:35 U.S. FOMC Member Laker Speaks -
18:00 U.S. Federal budget September -190.5 -4.0
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