Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 16-01-2018.

(pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2260 -0,04%

GBP/USD $1,3790 -0,03%

USD/CHF Chf0,95941 -0,35%

USD/JPY Y110,46 -0,05%

EUR/JPY Y135,43 -0,08%

GBP/JPY Y152,336 -0,08%

AUD/USD $0,7960 -0,04%

NZD/USD $0,7265 -0,44%

USD/CAD C$1,24343 +0,05%

0:30 Australia Home Loans November -0.6% -0.2%

10:00 Eurozone Construction Output, y/y November 2.0%

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI December 0.1% 0.4%

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Finally) December 0.9% 0.9%

10:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Finally) December 1.5% 1.4%

11:45 United Kingdom MPC Member Saunders Speaks

14:15 U.S. Capacity Utilization December 77.1% 77.3%

14:15 U.S. Industrial Production YoY December 3.4%

14:15 U.S. Industrial Production (MoM) December 0.2% 0.4%

15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report

15:00 Canada Bank of Canada Rate 1% 1.25%

15:00 Canada BOC Rate Statement

15:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index January 74 72

16:15 Canada BOC Press Conference

19:00 U.S. Fed's Beige Book

20:00 U.S. FOMC Member Charles Evans Speaks

20:15 U.S. FOMC Member Kaplan Speak

21:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows November 23.2

21:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows November 151.2

21:30 U.S. FOMC Member Mester Speaks

• The eurozone still needs an accommodative monetary policy, but can gradually reduce intensity of monetary policy support

• He is confident ECB can manage a smooth exit from ultra-loose monetary policy

Business activity continued to grow at a solid clip in New York State, according to firms responding to the January 2018 Empire State Manufacturing Survey.

The headline general business conditions index, at 17.7, was little changed from last month's level. The new orders index and the shipments index both showed ongoing growth, although at a slower pace than in December. Unfilled orders and delivery times increased slightly, and inventory levels were higher.

Labor market conditions pointed to a modest increase in employment and steady workweeks. Both input prices and selling prices increased at a faster pace than last month. Firms remained very optimistic about future business conditions and capital spending plans were robust.

• Wants swift procedure to form a new government to avert political uncertainty and harm the economy

• Nominates defence minister Mihai Fifor as interim PM

USD/JPY on the last week fell + 200 pips.

The price since the beginning of this week continues to show signs of a possible continuation of a bearish movement.

If we look at 1 hour time frame chart we can see that the price is forming a upside trend which can be interesting for an entry once the price breaks that trend.

UK house prices grew by 5.1% in the year to November 2017, experiencing a 0.3 percentage point decrease from the previous month.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' (RICS) UK Residential Market Survey for November 2017 (PDF, 598KB) reported that their headline near term price expectations series rose to -5% from -10% in October, meaning three month expectations are now more or less flat at the national level. Similarly, the new buyer enquiries series stabilised with a net balance of -5% of respondents noting a decline in demand (as opposed to an increase), up from -19% in October.

The headline rate of inflation for goods leaving the factory gate (output prices) rose 3.3% on the year to December 2017, up from 3.1% in November 2017.

Prices for materials and fuels (input prices) rose 4.9% on the year to December 2017, down from 7.3% in November 2017.

All industries provided upward contributions to output annual inflation; the largest contribution was made by food products.

Prices of imported materials and fuels increased 4.5% on the year to December 2017, down from 6.7% in November 2017.

The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers' housing costs (CPIH) 12-month inflation rate was 2.7% in December 2017, down from 2.8% in November 2017.

Following a steady increase from late 2015, since April 2017 the CPIH rate has levelled off, ranging between 2.6% and 2.8%.

The downward effect came mainly from air fares, along with a fall in the prices of a range of recreational goods, particularly games and toys.

The downward contributions were partially offset by an increase in tobacco prices, reflecting duty increases that came into effect following the Autumn Budget, along with an increase in petrol and diesel prices.

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 3.0% in December 2017, down from 3.1% in November 2017.

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2370 (2966)

$1.2339 (3431)

$1.2313 (4085)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2228

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2139 (352)

$1.2087 (1716)

$1.2054 (2055)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date February, 9 is 94394 contracts (according to data from January, 12) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2100 (5552);

GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3889 (1793)

$1.3863 (3071)

$1.3841 (3190)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3780

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3651 (84)

$1.3623 (201)

$1.3591 (659)

Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 9 is 30167 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (3490);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 9 is 26584 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (3246);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.88 versus 0.92 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 12

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

In 2017 the average index of selling prices in wholesale trade was 3.5% higher than the average index of 2016, as reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis).

Compared with December 2016, the index increased by 1.8% in December 2017. In November 2017 the annual rate of change was +3.3% and in October 2017 it was +3.0%, respectively.

Compared with November 2017 the index of wholesale prices fell by 0.3% in December 2017

Consumer prices in Germany rose by 1.8% on an annual average in 2017 compared with 2016. The increase was above the relevant levels of the past four years. Between 2014 and 2016, the year-on-year-rates of price increase were even below one percent each. The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) also reports that the inflation rates as measured by the consumer price index ranged between +1.5% and +2.2% in the individual months of 2017. In December 2017, the inflation rate stood at +1.7%.

The marked increase in the year-on-year rate of price increase in 2017 was mainly due to energy prices. Compared with 2016, energy prices increased by 3.1% in 2017 after they had declined in the previous three years (2016: -5.4%; 2015: -7.0%; 2014: -2.1%). Regarding energy products, especially the prices of heating oil (+16.0%) and motor fuels (+6.0%) were up in 2017 year on year. Declining prices were however recorded for gas (-2.8%) and charges for central and district heating (-1.5%).