Analytics, News, and Forecasts for CFD Markets: currency news — 21-06-2012.

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21.06.2012
17:57
American focus: euro down in anticipation of downgrades of the largest banks by Moody's

 

The euro fell against the dollar after it was reported that Moody's may downgrade ratings of the largest banks in the world, including the British establishment. Most likely, the announcement will be made after the close of Wall Street. This course will be placed in a large scale to reduce the credit ratings of the leading institutions in the world. The agency has done so for some banks in European countries, including Spain and Italy. All this may increase the cost of debt capital and forcing banks to increase the amount of collateral for loans.

The pressure on the euro also had a weak data on indices of business activity in the industrial sector in Germany and the Eurozone as a whole, which was below forecasts.

The yen weakened to its lowest level against the dollar in nearly a month. The pressure on the Japanese currency had reports of increasing pressure lawmakers in the ruling party in Japan at the Bank of Japan to take additional measures to stimulate the economy.

Contribute to the strengthening of the dollar results of the meeting of the Committee on the Federal Open Market, which were announced last night. Recall that the results of the two day meeting of the Fed rate on funds not changed. At the same time has increased the volume of the program Operational Twist on the $ 267 billion to $ 667 billion at the same time duration of the program extended to the end of 2012. It was also noted that if necessary, additional measures are taken. Since it was not reported anything new about the next round of quantitative easing, to which many had hoped, the demand for the dollar rose.

17:26
Bank of Canada's Carney: “The economy can not "indefinitely" to rely on debt burdened households"

 



    • Tightening of the Government of Canada rules of mortgage finance "adequate", "time"

    • "It may be appropriate" for a convolution of a monetary incentive

    • Downside risks for the euro area have become apparent, threaten global growth

    • Europe "is now stagnating"

    • Eurozone consider bold steps such as creating a bank union

    • Measures to recapitalize Spanish banks, according to the determination of the euro area

    • Carney warmly welcomes the tightening of the rules of mortgage finance

    • There is evidence that monetary stimulus in the U.S., the UK effectively

    • Long-term monetary union in Europe requires the banking union, perhaps - a fiscal union

    • "Encouraged" seriousness with which European leaders are in a situation

    • Commodity prices are expected to remain high for some time

 

14:01
U.S.: Leading Indicators , May +0.3% (forecast +0.2%)
14:00
U.S.: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, June -16.6 (forecast 1.3)
14:00
U.S.: Existing Home Sales , May 4.55 (forecast 4.59)
13:56
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

 

 

EUR/USD $1.2575, $1.2600, $1.2650, $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2850

 

USD/JPY Y79.00, Y79.30

GBP/USD $1.5690

EUR/GBP stg0.7970

AUD/USD $1.0100, $1.0200

 

12:58
U.S.: Manufacturing PMI, June 52.9 (forecast 53.4)
12:49
Fitch Affirms Switzerland at AAA. Stable Outlook.
12:33
Canada: Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m, April -0.3% (forecast +0.2%)
12:30
U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, 387 (forecast 381)
12:28
European session:

 

Data:

06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance May 1.33 1.97 2.48

07:00 France Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 44.7 44.6 45.3

07:00 France Services PMI (preliminary) June 45.1 45.2 47.3

07:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 45.2 45.4 44.7

07:30 Germany Services PMI (preliminary) June 51.8 51.6 50.3

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln April 9.1 7.3 4.6

08:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 45.1 44.9 44.8

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (preliminary) June 46.7 46.5 46.8

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) May -2.3% +1.1% +1.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) May -1.1% +2.1% +2.4%

10:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance June -17 -19 -11


The euro fell as a report showed euro-area services and manufacturing output contracted in June, adding to signs Europe’s debt crisis is blunting economic growth.

A composite index based on a survey of purchasing managers in services and manufacturing in the euro area was below the 50 level that separates contraction from expansion for a fifth month.

Spain sold 2.2 billion euros of debt maturing between 2014 and 2017, compared with a maximum target of 2 billion euros set for the auction.

The average yield on notes maturing in 2014 was 4.706 percent, compared with 2.069 percent when they were last sold in March.

Demand for the dollar was tempered after the Federal Reserve said yesterday it stood ready to implement further stimulus following the announcement of an extension to its program to replace short-term bonds with longer-term debt.


EUR/USD: during the European session the pair traded in $1.2640 - $1.2700 area.


GBP/USD: during the European session the pair traded in $1.5650 - $1.5730 area.


USD/JPY: the pair showed high above Y80.00.


11:52
Orders

EUR/USD
Offers $1.2790/800, $1.2730/50  
Bids $1.2625/20, $1.2610/00, $1.2580/70

AUD/USD
Offers $1.0300, $1.0275/80, $1.0250, $1.0200/05
Bids $1.0115/10, $1.0105/00, $1.0080

USD/JPY
Offers Y80.10/15
Bids Y79.40/35, Y79.05/00, Y78.65/60, Y78.50

EUR/JPY
Offers Y102.50, Y102.00, Y101.50
Bids Y100.55/50, Y100.00, Y99.85/80, Y99.55/50

11:37
Tech on USD/JPY

 

Resistance 3: Y81.00 (61,8%% FIBO Y84 ,20-Y77, 60)

Resistance 2: Y80.55 (MA (100) for D1, highs of May)

Resistance 1: Y80.15 (May 22 high, 38,2% FIBO Y84 ,20-Y77, 60)

Current price: Y78.98

Support 1: Y79.30 (Jun 18 high, MA (200) for H1)

Support 2: Y79.10 (MA (100) for H1)

Support 3: Y78.80 (Jun low)


 

11:30
Tech on USD/CHF

 

Resistance 3: Chf0.9560 (Jun 18 high)
Resistance 2: Chf0.9530 (MA (200) for H1)
Resistance 1: Chf0.9500 (session high, Jun 20 high)
Current price: Chf0.9460
Support 1: Chf0.9420/10 (Jun 18 low, 50,0% FIBO Chf0 ,9040-Chf0, 9780)
Support 2: Chf0.9370 (May 21 low)
Support 3: Chf0.9325 (61.8% FIBO Chf0 ,9040-Chf0, 9780)

 

11:27
Tech on GBP/USD

 

Resistance 3: $ 1.5900 (61,% FIBO $ 1,6290 - $ 1,5260)
Resistance 2: $ 1.5840 (MA (100) for D1, May 22 high)
Resistance 1: $ 1.5780 (session high, 50.0% FIBO $ 1,6290 - $ 1,5260)
Current price: $ 1.5714
Support 1: $ 1.5650 (session low, Jun 20 low)
Support 2: $ 1.5610 (Jun 19 low,  MA (200) for H1)
Support 3: $ 1.5470 (Jun 14-15 low)


 

10:45
Tech on EUR/USD

 

Resistance 3: $ 1.2820 (May 21 high)
Resistance 2: $ 1.2785 (50,0% FIBO $1,3280 - $1,2290)
Resistance 1: $ 1.2740/50 (Jun 18 and 20 high)
Current price: $ 1.2674
Support 1: $ 1.2660 (MA (200) for H1)
Support 2: $ 1.2560 (Jun 18 low)
Support 3: $ 1.2440 (Jun 12 low)


 

10:00
United Kingdom: CBI industrial order books balance, June -11 (forecast -19)
09:30
Option expiries for today's 1400GMT cut:

 

EUR/USD $1.2575, $1.2600, $1.2650, $1.2700, $1.2750, $1.2800, $1.2850

USD/JPY Y79.00, Y79.30

GBP/USD $1.5690

EUR/GBP stg0.7970

AUD/USD $1.0100, $1.0200

 

09:00
Spain auction results: Tesoro sold E2.22bln vs target E1.0bln-E2.0bln

E699.6mln of 3.40% Apr 2014 Bono; cover 3.96

E917.6mln of 4.00% July 2015 Bono; cover 3.18 vs 3.02 previous

E602.3mln of 5.50% July 2017 Obligacion; cover 3.44 vs 3.14 previous

08:51
Forex: Wednesday’s review

 


Yesterday the
euro fluctuates against the dollar after the announcement of the results of a two-day meeting of the Committee to work on the open market, the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Fed decided to keep rates within the range of 0-0.25%, but the operation was extended twist - an operation aimed at lowering long-term interest rates by selling short-term bonds. Launched in September 2011, Operation Twist was to end in late June, but the FOMC announced its extension until the end of the year (or approximately $ 267 billion). Many experts expect more such solutions, rather than introducing QE3. The Fed reiterated that it "is ready to take further action if it is necessary to continue to support the growth of the economy and the labor market in the context of price stability."

After the initial growth of the dollar again came under downward pressure against the backdrop of recovery of stock markets. Currency also declined against its major competitors. Volatility also contributed to the strengthening of the statement by German Chancellor Angela Merkel that the question of bond purchases Stabilization Fund may be discussed. These words helped the euro to update daily lows against the dollar.

The yen resumed its decline against the euro and the dollar after a brief recovery at the Fed decision. The yen fell sharply on Wednesday on reports that Japanese lawmakers are close to reaching an agreement on tax measures aimed at lowering the national currency.

08:31
United Kingdom: Retail Sales (YoY) , May +2.4% (forecast +2.1%)
08:31
United Kingdom: Retail Sales (MoM), May +1.4% (forecast +1.1%)
08:00
Eurozone: Current account, adjusted, bln , April 4.6 (forecast 7.3)
07:58
Eurozone: Services PMI, June 46.8 (forecast 46.5)
07:58
Eurozone: Manufacturing PMI, June 44.8 (forecast 44.9)
07:51
Tech for USD / JPY

 

Resistance 3: Y80.55 (May 16 high)

Resistance 2: Y80.15 (May 22 high)

Resistance 1: Y79.75/80 (area of ​​Jun 8-13 highs)

Current price: Y79.59

Support 1: Y79.40 (session low)

Support 2: Y79.15 (Jun 19 high)

Support 3: Y78.80 (Jun 20  low)


07:31
Germany: Services PMI, June 50.3 (forecast 51.6)
07:31
Germany: Manufacturing PMI, June 44.7 (forecast 45.4)
06:59
France: Services PMI, June 47.3 (forecast 45.2)
06:59
France: Manufacturing PMI, June 45.3 (forecast 44.6)
06:26
Tech on GBP / USD

Resistance 3: $ 1.5850 (May 23 high)

Resistance 2: $ 1.5775 (Jun 20 high)

Resistance 1: $ 1.5715 (session high)

Current Price: $ 1.5672

Support 1: $ 1.5650 (Jun 20 low)

Support 2: $ 1.5610/35 (area of Jun 18-19 lows)

Support 3: $ 1.5565 (Jun 14-15 low)


06:00
Switzerland: Trade Balance, May 2.48 (forecast 1.97)
05:46
Tech for EUR / USD

 

Resistance 3: $ 1.2870 (Jun 15 high)

Resistance 2: $ 1.2810/25 (area of ​​Jun 21-22 highs)

Resistance 1: $ 1.2745/50 (area of ​​Jun 18-20 highs)

Current Price: $ 1.2668

Support 1: $ 1.2635 (Jun 20 low)

Support 2: $ 1.2555/65 (area of Jun 18-19 lows)

Support 3: $ 1.2515 (low of U.S. session on Jun 13)


05:24
Currencies. Daily history for Jun 20'2012:

 

(pare/closed(00:00 GMT +02:00)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2698 +0,08%

GBP/USD $1,5707 -0,12%

USD/CHF Chf0,9456 -0,07%

USD/JPY Y78,47 -0,65%

EUR/JPY Y100,90 +0,67%

GBP/JPY Y124,81 +0,51%

AUD/USD $1,0184 -0,09%

NZD/USD $0,7957 -0,30%

USD/CAD C$1,0187 +0,10%

05:02
Schedule for today, Thursday, Jun 21'2012:

 

01:30 Australia RBA Bulletin Quarter II

02:30 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 48.4

06:00 Switzerland Trade Balance May 1.33 1.97

07:00 France Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 44.7 44.6

07:00 France Services PMI (preliminary) June 45.1 45.2

07:15 Switzerland Industrial Production (QoQ) Quarter I +7.9% -7.5%

07:15 Switzerland Industrial Production (YoY) Quarter I -1.4% 0.0%

07:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 45.2 45.4

07:30 Germany Services PMI (preliminary) June 51.8 51.6

08:00 Eurozone Current account, adjusted, bln April 9.1 7.3

08:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (preliminary) June 45.1 44.9

08:00 Eurozone Services PMI (preliminary) June 46.7 46.5

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) May -2.3% +1.1%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) May -1.1% +2.1%

10:00 United Kingdom CBI industrial order books balance June -17 -19

12:30 Canada Retail Sales, m/m April +0.4% +0.3%

12:30 Canada Retail Sales ex Autos, m/m April +0.1% +0.2%

12:30 Canada Leading Indicators, m/m May +0.3%

12:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims - 386 381

14:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence June -19.3 -19.8

14:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales May 4.62 4.59

14:00 U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey June -5.8 1.3

14:00 U.S. Leading Indicators May -0.1% +0.2%

14:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, m/m April +1.8% +0.5%

14:00 U.S. Housing Price Index, y/y April +2.7%

15:45 Canada BOC Gov Carney Speaks -

16:00 Eurozone ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks -

17:30 United Kingdom MPC Member Weale Speaks -

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